c8alpha — today's picks
2026-06-20 14:30 ET · auto-refresh 60s

Today's picks.

▸ Showing the last session — Thu Jun 18. New picks fire after ~9:30 ET.

Live recommendations from validated plays. BUYs are deterministic-gate-cleared, then LLM-scored for conviction tier (HIGH/MED/LOW). SKIPs are grouped by the override mechanism that filtered them. All judgment cites the validated mechanism — no caution-as-rigor.

BUYs today
0
Open positions
10
Closed (track record)
49
Hit rate / mean
59% · +3.2%
Refreshed 2026-06-20 14:30 ET · 2026-06-18 · build 898d0aff
🟢 Market stance: RISK-ON SPY -1.7% off its high · 12d since ATH

New confirmed BUYs today (0)

Genuinely new picks that made it through all four stages today: mechanical gate passes, advisor evaluates favorably, AND the play's publication policy is satisfied on fire #1 (plays like csp_panic and leaps_drip that publish on the first fire by design — single-fire WR is real edge, see methodology). Separately, 1 re-confirmation fired today on ticker already in the open book — those are signal-validation only (do not add to existing positions) and are listed below, not counted here.

No new confirmed BUYs today. 1 re-confirmation on existing position below.
Position re-confirmations (1) — signal validation only, do not add

These tickers are already in the open book and the play's edge re-fired today. They confirm the existing thesis — keep holding per the original exit rule. Not a new entry: do not add to the position (for option-sellers, the existing contract is still the trade).

MED conviction 1
Re-confirm PWR SELL PUT
csp_panic
Position opened 2026-06-15 · re-confirmed today · existing put still valid — do not add
MED
13:46 ET
+0.00%
day 1 / 3.0
Quanta Services (PWR) on csp_panic generates four independent threads.
active
Quanta Services·Electrical Work
▲ Exiting soon (3) — hold window closes within 2 trading days. An action you may want to take.
PWR csp_panic -2.91% exits today · 2026-06-20
MPWR csp_panic -5.20% exits today · 2026-06-20
LUMN earnings_lead_propagation -22.86% 1d left · 2026-06-21

Open positions (10) · ranked by validation tier

One row per ticker, not per fire. Re-fires within each play's hold window are treated as signal confirmations on the same position (per spec.position). Sorted by freshness. Click a column header to re-sort. Entry recomputed from raw bars. Signal freshness: Fresh 0 Active 4 Mature 6 — factual labels only; no claim about whether to chase or hold (per backtest 2026-05-26, neither chase nor mean-reversion edge clears permutation per play).

Sectors: ★ AI/DC 1 — AI/DC closed n=142 mean +15.9% WR 68% p=0.0000. Software closed n=38 mean +6.4% but median -3.6%, WR 45%, p=0.75 (mixed). Per validation 2026-05-26. Labeling only.

Ticker / company
Bought / now
Plays that fired
Freshness
Return
#1 KSPI BUY Validated Active
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz American Depository Shares
$13.8B · 52w $68.84–$97.71 (-15.9%)
signal: options flow → position: equity
Entered 2026-06-17
$83.31
Now $82.20
uoa_slow_build
2 fires · 1 distinct play · CE 57% · n34
~17d to auto-exit last fire 3d ago · 20d hold
-1.33%
held 3d
#2 WSBC BUY Validated Active
WesBanco Inc · National Commercial Banks
$3.3B · 52w $29.44–$37.89 (-4.2%)
signal: options flow → position: equity
Entered 2026-06-15
$36.70
Now $36.29
uoa_slow_build
2 fires · 1 distinct play · CE Pending
~15d to auto-exit last fire 5d ago · 20d hold
-1.12%
held 5d
#3 HWC BUY Validated Mature ↑ Rising conv
Hancock Whitney Corporation · State Commercial Banks
$5.2B · 52w $53.18–$74.41 (-5.6%)
signal: options flow → position: equity
Entered 2026-06-08
$69.72
Now $70.24
uoa_slow_build
3 fires · 1 distinct play · CE Pending
~10d to auto-exit last fire 10d ago · 20d hold
+0.75%
held 12d
#4 DNOW BUY Emerging Active
DNOW · Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment
$2.2B · 52w $11.12–$16.87 (-20.0%)
signal: LEAPS flow → position: equity (not LEAPS)
Entered 2026-06-15
$13.81
Now $13.50
leaps_drip
2 fires · 1 distinct play · CE Pending
~15d to auto-exit last fire 5d ago · 20d hold
-2.28%
held 5d
#5 GENI BUY Emerging Mature
Genius Sports Limited
$1.2B · 52w $3.92–$13.55 (-55.0%)
signal: LEAPS flow → position: equity (not LEAPS)
Entered 2026-06-09
$6.66
Now $6.10
leaps_drip
6 fires · 1 distinct play · CE Pending
~9d to auto-exit last fire 11d ago · 20d hold
-8.41%
held 11d
#6 RR BUY Emerging Mature
Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, Nec
$476M · 52w $1.73–$7.06 (-69.7%)
signal: OI accumulation → position: equity
Entered 2026-06-01
$3.10
Now $2.14
institutional_oi_build
6 fires · 1 distinct play · CE Pending
~11d to auto-exit last fire 9d ago · 20d hold
-30.97%
held 19d
#7 VRRM BUY Emerging LOW22 Mature
Verra Mobility Corporation Class A · Transportation Services
$2.2B · 52w $3.85–$25.65 (-82.7%)
signal: options divergence → position: equity
Entered 2026-05-28
$4.13
Now $4.45
uoa_slow_build institutional_oi_build uoa_smart_divergence
13 fires · 3 distinct plays · CE Pending
~8d to auto-exit last fire 12d ago · 20d hold
+7.75%
held 23d
Two problems. First, validation: this fired from source 'short_covering', which has no validated cell or spec evidence in the lookup (label not_tested) — there is no backtest edge to anchor on, unlike the RSI≤≅15 short_covering_rsi15 base. Second, the setup is broken, not oversold: RSI 11.3 looks like an extreme-reversal trigger, but it sits on a -66% five-day collapse with the stock at the 3rd percentile of its 52-week range. RSI mean-reversion is for names that overshot, not names that are imploding on a structural event — same failure mode as VRDN. Elevated option RVOL (4.3) is just as consistent with a scramble as a bottom. I can't responsibly source a catalyst for a turn from our data, and the -66% move is extreme enough to warrant a data-quality check on the bars. Single un-validated thread on a broken chart.
#8 LUMN BUY Emerging Mature ★ AI/DC
Lumen Technologies · Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)
$7.0B · 52w $3.70–$11.83 (-30.7%)
Entered 2026-05-28
$10.63
Now $8.20
earnings_lead_propagation
6 fires · 1 distinct play · CE Pending
~1d to auto-exit last fire 19d ago · 20d hold
-22.86%
held 23d
#9 BORR BUY Emerging LOW31 Mature
Borr Drilling Limited
$1.6B · 52w $1.83–$6.61 (-36.2%)
signal: OI accumulation → position: equity
Entered 2026-05-25
$5.50
Now $4.22
institutional_oi_build uoa_smart_divergence
9 fires · 2 distinct plays · CE Pending
~5d to auto-exit last fire 15d ago · 20d hold
review 15 · 2026-06-13
-23.27%
held 26d
institutional_oi_build's backtest is the validation and it holds — score>=9 onset OOS PF 3.54 / WR 69% on n=80, perm_p=0.0046, regime-robust — so the play isn't the problem; this specific BORR instance is. The headline "3 distinct plays on the ticker" is illusory stack depth: uoa_smart_divergence (call_pct 0.874, vol_ratio 7.66) and institutional_oi_build (call_pct_avg 0.879, rvol 4.45, total_oi 36K) are the SAME LEAPS-call accumulation read on the SAME chain — one independent thread, not two. And the third "play," institutional_oi_trap_fade, isn't corroboration at all: it's a SHORT, and it fired on BORR 2026-05-29 precisely because this build is failing — both trap legs tripped (price fwd_5d −6.18% AND LEAPS call OI declining −3.27% four days post-signal, derived straight off build_pick 2026-05-25_BORR). The system's own machinery is now betting against the long. Two quality marks compound it: the build scores exactly 10/17 (at the floor — fine, that's the peak-alpha band) but leaps_pct_avg is 0.739, which lands in the 70%+ LEAPS bucket the spec flags as WEAKEST (PF 1.42, leaps_pts earned = 0); the validated edge lives in the 30-50% bucket, not here. The price structure seals it — this is a flow play so "no catalyst" is by design, but the technical setup is broken, not intact: BORR sliced through its multi-month ~$5.50 shelf on a 30.6M-share capitulation candle (5/21, vs ~7M typical) and kept bleeding to $5.07, now −23% off the 60-day high. A single options-chain thread, fired into a failed-support breakdown, that the platform's own trap-fade is already shorting. Single-thread bet the surrounding context refuses to confirm.
#10 MORN BUY Emerging Active
Morningstar · Investment Advice
$6.5B · 52w $153.68–$313.93 (-51.0%)
Entered 2026-05-01
$168.22
Now $153.68
earnings_lead_propagation
23 fires · 1 distinct play · CE Pending
~15d to auto-exit last fire 5d ago · 20d hold
-8.64%
held 50d
Provisional (56) — single fires from playbook-eligible plays, watching for confirmation

Single fires of second_fire plays — preliminary signals, not yet held. A confirming second fire on the same ticker (any play) promotes them to Open. If none arrives within the hold window, the signal closes to the Track Record. See docs/POSITION_MODEL.md.

Ticker / company
Bought / now
Play
State
Return
AIZ BUY
Assurant
Entered 2026-06-18
$259.86
Now $259.86
earnings_lead_propagation
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
ALLY BUY
Ally Financial
Entered 2026-06-18
$45.49
Now $45.49
earnings_lead_propagation
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
AMRX BUY
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Class A
Entered 2026-06-18
$16.21
Now $16.21
leaps_drip
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
BHP BUY
BHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
Entered 2026-06-18
$87.87
Now $87.87
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
CACC BUY
Credit Acceptance Corp
Entered 2026-06-18
$579.73
Now $579.73
earnings_lead_propagation
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
CCJ BUY
Cameco Corporation
Entered 2026-06-18
$106.49
Now $106.74
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.23%
since signal · day 2
CLF BUY
Cleveland-Cliffs
Entered 2026-06-18
$12.28
Now $12.28
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
DRVN BUY
Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
Entered 2026-06-18
$12.68
Now $12.68
uoa_smart_divergence
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
FCX BUY
Freeport-McMoran
Entered 2026-06-18
$68.68
Now $68.68
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
FRMI BUY
Fermi Inc.
Entered 2026-06-18
$9.50
Now $9.50
leaps_drip
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
FWRD BUY
Forward Air Corp
Entered 2026-06-18
$13.62
Now $13.62
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
GSHD BUY
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. Class A
Entered 2026-06-18
$36.88
Now $36.88
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
MLTX BUY
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Class A Ordinary Shares
Entered 2026-06-18
$19.21
Now $19.21
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
MT BUY
ArcelorMittal
Entered 2026-06-18
$63.41
Now $63.41
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
RIO BUY
Rio Tinto plc
Entered 2026-06-18
$100.08
Now $100.08
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
STLD BUY
Steel Dynamics Inc
Entered 2026-06-18
$249.91
Now $249.91
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
TECK BUY
Teck Resources Limited
Entered 2026-06-18
$64.36
Now $64.36
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
UEC BUY
Uranium Energy
Entered 2026-06-18
$12.01
Now $12.01
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
VALE BUY
VALE S.A.
Entered 2026-06-18
$15.42
Now $15.42
commodity_flip
provisional
~12d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
WLK BUY
Westlake Corporation
Entered 2026-06-18
$80.28
Now $80.28
earnings_lead_propagation
provisional
~18d window
+0.00%
since signal · day 2
FOXA BUY
Fox Corporation Class A
Entered 2026-06-17
$51.39
Now $52.23
uoa_smart_divergence
provisional
~17d window
+1.63%
since signal · day 3
MCRI BUY
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
Entered 2026-06-17
$128.58
Now $130.66
uoa_slow_build
provisional
~17d window
+1.62%
since signal · day 3
PR BUY
Permian Resources Corporation
Entered 2026-06-17
$18.37
Now $18.43
uoa_smart_divergence
provisional
~17d window
+0.33%
since signal · day 3
VET BUY
VERMILION ENERGY INC.
Entered 2026-06-17
$10.01
Now $9.83
leaps_drip
provisional
~17d window
-1.80%
since signal · day 3
BTE BUY
Baytex Energy
Entered 2026-06-16
$4.22
Now $3.98
leaps_drip
provisional
~16d window
-5.69%
since signal · day 4
CNM BUY
Core & Main
Entered 2026-06-16
$47.45
Now $48.58
uoa_smart_divergence
provisional
~16d window
+2.38%
since signal · day 4
SFNC BUY
Simmons First National Corp
Entered 2026-06-16
$22.03
Now $21.90
leaps_drip
provisional
~16d window
-0.59%
since signal · day 4
VYX BUY
NCR Voyix Corporation
Entered 2026-06-16
$7.50
Now $7.49
uoa_slow_build
provisional
~16d window
-0.13%
since signal · day 4
MNKD BUY
Mannkind Corporation
Entered 2026-06-15
$4.00
Now $3.94
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~15d window
-1.50%
since signal · day 5
NAT BUY
Nordic American Tanker
Entered 2026-06-15
$5.47
Now $5.85
uoa_slow_build
provisional
~15d window
+6.95%
since signal · day 5
PRIM BUY
Primoris Services Corporation
Entered 2026-06-15
$103.00
Now $101.30
uoa_smart_divergence
provisional
~15d window
-1.65%
since signal · day 5
TRMB BUY
Trimble Inc.
Entered 2026-06-15
$50.24
Now $49.16
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~15d window
-2.15%
since signal · day 5
ASM BUY
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
Entered 2026-06-11
$6.06
Now $6.54
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~11d window
+7.92%
since signal · day 9
SXC BUY
SUNCOKE ENERGY INC
Entered 2026-06-11
$9.45
Now $8.45
leaps_drip
provisional
~11d window
-10.58%
since signal · day 9
UNM BUY
Unum Group
Entered 2026-06-11
$91.99
Now $89.98
uoa_slow_build
provisional
~11d window
-2.19%
since signal · day 9
CRVS BUY
Corvus Pharmaceuticals
Entered 2026-06-10
$11.18
Now $11.91
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~10d window
+6.53%
since signal · day 10
PAYO BUY
Payoneer Global Inc.
Entered 2026-06-10
$6.60
Now $7.02
leaps_drip
provisional
~10d window
+6.36%
since signal · day 10
PHR BUY
Phreesia
Entered 2026-06-10
$9.04
Now $9.38
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~10d window
+3.76%
since signal · day 10
WVE BUY
Wave Life Sciences Ltd. Ordinary Shares
Entered 2026-06-10
$5.67
Now $6.16
institutional_oi_build
provisional
~10d window
+8.55%
since signal · day 10
ABAT BUY
American Battery Technology Company
Entered 2026-06-09
$3.22
Now $3.12
leaps_drip
provisional
~9d window
-3.11%
since signal · day 11
AMRC BUY
Ameresco
Entered 2026-06-08
$27.92
Now $28.64
leaps_drip
provisional
~8d window
+2.58%
since signal · day 12
AIG BUY
American International Group
Entered 2026-06-05
$74.87
Now $74.02
earnings_lead_propagation
provisional
~5d window
-1.14%
since signal · day 15
PTEN BUY
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
Entered 2026-06-05
$11.73
Now $10.04
leaps_drip
provisional
~5d window
-14.41%
since signal · day 15
TAC BUY
TransAlta Corporation
Entered 2026-06-05
$12.69
Now $13.74
leaps_drip
provisional
~5d window
+8.27%
since signal · day 15
VOD BUY
Vodafone Group PLC
Entered 2026-06-05
$14.80
Now $14.30
leaps_drip
provisional
~5d window
-3.38%
since signal · day 15
YELP BUY
YELP INC.
Entered 2026-06-05
$22.78
Now $22.88
leaps_drip
provisional
~5d window
+0.44%
since signal · day 15
FTI BUY
TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share
Entered 2026-06-04
$68.73
Now $65.17
uoa_smart_divergence
provisional
~4d window
-5.18%
since signal · day 16
CSIQ BUY
Canadian Solar Inc. Common Shares (ON)
Entered 2026-06-03
$19.00
Now $16.27
leaps_drip
provisional
~3d window
-14.37%
since signal · day 17
ADEA BUY
Adeia Inc.
Entered 2026-06-02
$31.12
Now $31.81
leaps_drip
provisional
~2d window
+2.22%
since signal · day 18
FLNC BUY
Fluence Energy, Inc. Class A
Entered 2026-06-02
$27.14
Now $24.74
leaps_drip
provisional
~2d window
-8.84%
since signal · day 18
HPQ BUY
HP
Entered 2026-06-02
$26.61
Now $23.50
leaps_drip
provisional
~2d window
-11.69%
since signal · day 18
RXRX BUY
Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Class A
Entered 2026-06-02
$3.54
Now $3.23
uoa_slow_build
provisional
~2d window
-8.76%
since signal · day 18
TGB BUY
Taseko Mines Limited
Entered 2026-06-02
$8.14
Now $7.14
leaps_drip
provisional
~2d window
-12.29%
since signal · day 18
ATAI BUY
AtaiBeckley Inc.
Entered 2026-06-01
$4.78
Now $4.02
leaps_drip
provisional
~1d window
-15.90%
since signal · day 19
RZLV BUY
Rezolve AI PLC Ordinary Shares
Entered 2026-06-01
$2.85
Now $2.71
leaps_drip
provisional
~1d window
-4.92%
since signal · day 19
SDGR BUY
Schrodinger, Inc.
Entered 2026-06-01
$15.35
Now $15.43
leaps_drip
provisional
~1d window
+0.52%
since signal · day 19

Options — cash-secured puts (2)

Sell-to-open puts (csp_panic) — a velocity play: collect premium, capture ~25% in ~2–5 days, then close. It does not hold to expiry. Premium shown is the entry mid; the realized return lands in the track record when the position exits. A different trade than an equity buy — columns reflect the option.

TickerContractPremiumPlanHeldStatus
PWR $630 put · exp Jul 17 $9.25 · IV 50% capture 25% · ~5d exit 5d open
MPWR $1300 put · exp Jul 17 $27.45 · IV 74% capture 25% · ~5d exit 5d open

Track record

Closed positions only — one row per ticker per continuous holding period. Re-fires within 20 days are rolled into the same position. Entry / exit prices recomputed from raw market bars.

Validation backtest · out-of-sample, per play

The methodology's edge is established by out-of-sample backtest, per play — there is no single blended figure. Live forward (below) is a sanity check: the published track record is still thin (since 2026-05-08).

PlayStatusPFWinsignificance
UOA Slow Build Validated 2.63drift-ref p=0.004
CSP Panic Validated 1.98 59% p=0.000
Institutional OI Build Emerging 2.18 58% p=0.003
LEAPS Drip Buy Emerging 2.14 57% p=0.001
Cohort Flip (Commodity Producers) Emerging 1.83 67% p=0.011
UOA Smart Divergence Emerging 1.82 57% p=0.000
Small-Cap MOMO — Buildout Complex Emerging 1.80 48% p=0.003
Earnings-Lead Propagation Emerging 1.61 58% p=0.061
Live forward · published MED/HIGH BUYs · since 2026-05-08 n 37 62% win PF 2.38 +4.0% mean — small sample, sanity check only
Closed equity positions — track record
Top winners
PSNL
Personalis, Inc.
2026-05-14
$6.52
uoa_slow_build
+50.1%
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V. Class A O...
2026-04-23
$163.67
earnings_lead_propagation
+27.1%
SABR
Sabre Corporation
2026-05-20
$1.56
uoa_smart_divergence
+20.5%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises Inc
2026-05-20
$90.80
uoa_slow_build
+19.4%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
2026-05-05
$23.58
leaps_drip
+18.8%
Top losers
NN
NextNav Inc.
2026-05-19
$23.09
institutional_oi_build
-21.3%
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp. Class A
2026-05-26
$1.06
institutional_oi_build
-20.1%
FERG
Ferguson Enterprises
2026-04-23
$261.94
earnings_lead_propagation
-13.2%
INTR
Inter & Co. Inc. Class A Co...
2026-05-12
$6.36
uoa_smart_divergence
-10.2%
BBD
Banco Bradesco S.A. America...
2026-05-05
$3.74
leaps_drip
-10.2%
Show all 49 closed positions (filterable)
Filter: All Winners Losers
Ticker
Entered
Exited
Plays that fired
Return
PSNL
Personalis, Inc.
2026-05-14
$6.52
2026-06-03
$9.79
uoa_slow_build
+50.15%
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
2026-04-23
$163.67
2026-05-13
$208.06
earnings_lead_propagation
+27.12%
SABR
Sabre Corporation
2026-05-20
$1.56
2026-06-09
$1.88
uoa_smart_divergence
+20.51%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises Inc
2026-05-20
$90.80
2026-06-09
$108.44
uoa_slow_build
+19.43%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
2026-05-05
$23.58
2026-05-25
$28.02
leaps_drip
+18.83%
ICUI
ICU Medical Inc
2026-05-12
$122.25
2026-06-01
$142.86
uoa_slow_build
+16.86%
HSIC
Henry Schein Inc
2026-05-13
$69.84
2026-06-02
$81.25
uoa_smart_divergence
+16.34%
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings
2026-05-13
$147.82
2026-06-02
$170.61
uoa_smart_divergence
+15.42%
ORBS
Eightco Holdings Inc.
2026-05-27
$0.89
2026-06-16
$1.03
institutional_oi_build
+15.34%
LAES
SEALSQ Corp Ordinary Shares
2026-05-19
$2.73
2026-06-08
$3.12
institutional_oi_build
+14.50%
BIO
Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc.Class A
2026-05-06
$260.49
2026-05-26
$294.32
uoa_smart_divergence
+12.99%
LNN
Lindsay Corporation
2026-05-14
$105.82
2026-06-14
$119.10
uoa_slow_build
+12.55%
ZION
Zions Bancorporation N.A.
2026-05-14
$60.12
2026-06-03
$66.27
uoa_smart_divergence
+10.23%
HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. Common Shares
2026-05-20
$3.88
2026-06-09
$4.26
uoa_slow_build
+9.79%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
2026-05-05
$7.86
2026-05-25
$8.56
leaps_drip
+8.91%
FCF
First Commonwealth Financial Corporation
2026-05-14
$18.28
2026-06-03
$19.63
uoa_slow_build
+7.39%
FERG
Ferguson Enterprises
2026-05-22
$223.71
2026-06-11
$238.35
earnings_lead_propagation
+6.54%
UGI
UGI Corporation
2026-05-11
$32.94
2026-05-31
$34.79
uoa_smart_divergence
+5.62%
PLNT
Planet Fitness
2026-05-12
$49.10
2026-06-01
$51.48
uoa_smart_divergence
+4.85%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
2026-04-30
$65.08
2026-05-20
$68.23
earnings_lead_propagation
+4.84%
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
2026-05-05
$20.95
2026-05-25
$21.52
leaps_drip
+2.72%
NWS
News Corporation Class B
2026-05-07
$30.31
2026-05-27
$31.03
uoa_slow_build
+2.38%
CNM
Core & Main
2026-05-22
$47.57
2026-06-11
$48.58
earnings_lead_propagation
+2.12%
PHR
Phreesia
2026-04-23
$8.83
2026-05-13
$8.95
leaps_drip
+1.36%
CLBT
Cellebrite DI Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
2026-05-14
$12.90
2026-06-03
$13.05
uoa_smart_divergence
+1.16%
ICL
ICL Group
2026-05-13
$6.58
2026-06-02
$6.64
uoa_slow_build
+0.91%
FIVN
FIVE9, INC.
2026-05-13
$21.10
2026-06-02
$21.23
uoa_smart_divergence
+0.62%
MCW
Mister Car Wash
2026-05-05
$7.06
2026-05-25
$7.10
leaps_drip
+0.57%
ABG
Asbury Automotive Group
2026-05-11
$197.63
2026-05-31
$198.13
uoa_slow_build
+0.25%
ITRI
Itron Inc
2026-05-20
$80.88
2026-06-09
$80.81
institutional_oi_build
-0.09%
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
2026-05-14
$18.04
2026-06-03
$17.96
uoa_smart_divergence
-0.44%
POR
Portland General Electric Company
2026-05-01
$49.40
2026-05-21
$48.92
earnings_lead_propagation
-0.97%
GLOB
GLOBANT S.A.
2026-05-14
$37.45
2026-06-03
$36.87
uoa_smart_divergence
-1.55%
MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A
2026-05-11
$28.39
2026-05-31
$27.81
uoa_smart_divergence
-2.04%
FANG
Diamondback Energy
2026-05-13
$198.92
2026-06-02
$192.13
uoa_smart_divergence
-3.41%
PACS
PACS Group
2026-05-15
$37.54
2026-06-04
$35.89
uoa_slow_build
-4.40%
ABEV
AMBEV S.A.
2026-05-11
$3.29
2026-05-31
$3.11
uoa_slow_build
-5.47%
ASTE
Astec Industries Inc
2026-05-11
$52.87
2026-05-31
$49.46
uoa_slow_build
-6.45%
VNOM
Viper Energy, Inc. Class A
2026-05-13
$47.70
2026-06-02
$44.38
uoa_smart_divergence
-6.96%
EDU
New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
2026-05-20
$48.69
2026-06-09
$45.02
institutional_oi_build
-7.54%
PR
Permian Resources Corporation
2026-05-01
$22.12
2026-05-21
$20.18
earnings_lead_propagation
-8.77%
EMBJ
Embraer S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing Four Common Shares)
2026-04-22
$64.40
2026-06-01
$58.40
earnings_lead_propagation
-9.32%
TMC
TMC the metals company Inc.
2026-05-27
$5.67
2026-06-16
$5.13
institutional_oi_build
-9.52%
SR
Spire
2026-04-29
$89.69
2026-05-19
$80.72
earnings_lead_propagation
-10.00%
BBD
Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)
2026-05-05
$3.74
2026-05-25
$3.36
leaps_drip
-10.16%
INTR
Inter & Co. Inc. Class A Common Shares
2026-05-12
$6.36
2026-06-01
$5.71
uoa_smart_divergence
-10.22%
FERG
Ferguson Enterprises
2026-04-23
$261.94
2026-05-13
$227.30
earnings_lead_propagation
-13.22%
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp. Class A
2026-05-26
$1.06
2026-06-15
$0.85
institutional_oi_build
-20.15%
NN
NextNav Inc.
2026-05-19
$23.09
2026-06-08
$18.18
institutional_oi_build
-21.26%
Closed options (cash-secured puts) — track record

Sold puts exit at ~25% premium capture in ~5 days (velocity), not held to expiry — so return is on capital (premium captured ÷ strike), not the stock move. The validated edge is the backtest above (csp_panic); realized per-trade P&L shows where the entry premium was recorded.

Realized · 8 closed puts 100% win +0.40% mean RoC — per-cycle premium capture; thin sample, fills forward
Ticker
Entered
Contract
RoC
CCJ
2026-06-10
contract not recorded
ADI
2026-05-21
contract not recorded
ETN
2026-05-20
contract not recorded
CCJ
2026-05-22
contract not recorded
BWXT
2026-06-09
Sell Jul 17 $160p · mid $2.67
+0.42%
UBER
2026-05-27
contract not recorded
UBER
2026-06-11
Sell Jul 02 $63p · mid $0.60
+0.24%
ADI
2026-06-11
Sell Jul 17 $340p · mid $5.05
+0.37%
PWR
2026-06-08
Sell Jul 17 $590p · mid $9.50
+0.40%
BWXT
2026-06-01
Sell Jun 18 $175p · mid $2.40
+0.34%
EME
2026-06-08
Sell Jul 17 $750p · mid $19.70
+0.66%
BWXT
2026-05-20
contract not recorded
PWR
2026-06-02
Sell Jul 17 $590p · mid $11.45
+0.49%
EME
2026-06-01
Sell Jun 18 $750p · mid $8.50
+0.28%
EME
2026-05-26
contract not recorded
BWXT
2026-05-26
contract not recorded

Recently exited (10)

Positions the system closed mechanically within the last 5 trading days. Final move is realized at the exit close. Cradle-to-grave audit trail — every BUY broadcast has a symmetric CLOSE.

10 recently exited positions
Ticker
Entered → Closed
Plays
Days held
Return
Why closed
ORBS
Eightco Holdings Inc.
Short-Term Business Credit Institutions
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-16
institutional_oi_build ×2
20
+15.34%
Hold horizon reached
UBER
Uber Technologies
Services-Business Services, Nec
2026-06-11 → 2026-06-16
csp_panic
5
+1.27%
Hold horizon reached
ADI
Analog Devices
Semiconductors & Related Devices
2026-06-11 → 2026-06-16
csp_panic
5
+0.61%
Hold horizon reached
TMC
TMC the metals company Inc.
Metal Mining
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-16
institutional_oi_build ×2
20
-9.52%
Hold horizon reached
CCJ
Cameco Corporation
2026-06-10 → 2026-06-15
csp_panic
5
+12.07%
Hold horizon reached
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp. Class A
Finance Services
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-15
institutional_oi_build ×2
20
-20.15%
Hold horizon reached
LNN
Lindsay Corporation
Farm Machinery & Equipment
2026-05-14 → 2026-06-14
uoa_slow_build ×5
31
+12.55%
Hold horizon reached
BWXT
BWX Technologies
Engines & Turbines
2026-06-09 → 2026-06-14
csp_panic
5
+3.43%
Hold horizon reached
PWR
Quanta Services
Electrical Work
2026-06-08 → 2026-06-13
csp_panic
5
+0.48%
Hold horizon reached
EME
EMCOR Group
Electrical Work
2026-06-08 → 2026-06-13
csp_panic
5
-1.05%
Hold horizon reached

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