Research only. Aggregates public statements from canonical investors (podcasts, interviews, 13F filings). Not a trading signal, not a recommendation.
No consensus themes this week.
No themes are genuinely split this week.
Specific-ticker calls from canonical speakers with positive 90d prior track record (mean signed return > 0 across n≥3). Not part of any consensus or divergence theme above.
| Ticker | Dir | Speaker | Prior 90d | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RESA | LONG | Mohnish Pabrai | +6.0% (n=26) | Purchased in 2019 at less than 3% of liquidation value, representing extreme undervaluation in the Turkish market [video] |
| AMZN | LONG | Mohnish Pabrai | +6.0% (n=26) | Amazon is a quality compounder and spawner of new businesses that should be held forever rather than sold, as demonstrated by Nick Sleep's portfolio construction [video] |
| COST | LONG | Mohnish Pabrai | +6.0% (n=26) | Costco exemplifies highest-quality business attributes — management, moat, and operations — warranting permanent holding as one of three core positions [video] |
| BRK | LONG | Mohnish Pabrai | +6.0% (n=26) | Berkshire Hathaway represents a quality forever-hold that compounds capital efficiently with no fee drag, recommended even to fund investors upon capital return [video] |
| BRK | LONG | Mohnish Pabrai | +6.0% (n=26) | Berkshire offers diversified exposure at reasonable valuation with improving operational discipline under Greg Abel, making it a superior alternative to pure S&P 500 indexing over long horizons [video] |
| AMR | LONG | Mohnish Pabrai | +6.0% (n=26) | Met coal is a hated sector causing undervaluation, but Alpha offers strong forward cash flow visibility similar to the IPSCO framework where asset value far exceeds stock price [video] |
| CSU | LONG | Mohnish Pabrai | +6.0% (n=26) | Constellation is an exceptionally resilient compounder of 1,000 businesses with ethics-driven management that should never be trimmed, as selling at 10% portfolio weight destroys long-term compounding [video] |
| MSFT | LONG | Bill Ackman | +1.1% (n=44) | Microsoft is being left behind by short-term capital chasing AI infrastructure plays, creating a cheap valuation in a high-quality, durable business that is itself deeply embedded in AI [video] |
| META | LONG | Bill Ackman | +1.1% (n=44) | Meta is being treated as an 'old-fashioned' company by markets rotating into pure-play AI names, depressing its valuation despite being a high-quality, durable business with massive AI integration [video] |
| AMZN | LONG | Bill Ackman | +1.1% (n=44) | Amazon is being mispriced as legacy by markets chasing AI chip and energy plays, similar to how Berkshire was mispriced during the dot-com bubble, creating an attractive entry point [video] |
| HHC | LONG | Bill Ackman | +1.1% (n=44) | Howard Hughes trades at a discount to liquidation value (~60 cents on the dollar) and Ackman is repositioning it from a real estate developer into a Berkshire-style compounding machine by reinvesting [video] |
| CRM | SHORT | Bill Ackman | +1.1% (n=44) | Salesforce is at risk from AI disruption because it charges high monopolistic software pricing to customers who could increasingly find AI-native alternatives, making its moat less durable than lower- [video] |
| NVDA | LONG | Dan Loeb | +0.6% (n=9) | Nvidia trades at ~15x 2027 and ~12x 2028 earnings as the dominant player in AI infrastructure with very fast growth, making it among the most attractive stocks even after significant appreciation [video] |
| X | LONG | Dan Loeb | +0.6% (n=9) | Morgan Stanley offloaded Twitter LBO debt near par at ~12% yield; most credit investors were scared despite the yield and Third Point was comfortable enough with underlying business value to make it t [video] |
| RR | LONG | Dan Loeb | +0.6% (n=9) | Rolls-Royce is cited as one of Third Point's European holdings that works because it is a global business not dependent on the weak local European economy [video] |
Top speakers by 90d mean signed return (n≥3). Long/short-aware. Refreshed each memo run — corpus expands, numbers move.
| Speaker | n₉₀ | Hit | Mean 90d |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenlight / Einhorn (13F) | 3 | 100% | +26.8% |
| Grant Williams | 9 | 44% | +16.5% |
| Stanley Druckenmiller | 18 | 67% | +11.1% |
| Patrick Boyle | 15 | 67% | +10.2% |
| David Einhorn | 11 | 100% | +10.0% |
| Cathie Wood | 37 | 54% | +8.1% |
| Bill Nygren | 48 | 71% | +7.9% |
| Barry Sternlicht | 10 | 80% | +7.5% |
| Paul Tudor Jones | 33 | 76% | +7.1% |
| Terry Smith | 3 | 67% | +6.6% |
| David Rubenstein | 5 | 80% | +6.5% |
| Mohnish Pabrai | 26 | 69% | +6.0% |
| Seth Klarman | 14 | 71% | +5.8% |
| Tim Urbanowicz | 4 | 50% | +5.4% |
| Bill Miller | 47 | 45% | +5.2% |
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