c8alpha
Idea Scout · archive · 2026-W27

c8alpha Idea Scout — Week of 2026-07-05

2026-W27 · window: last 14 days · 1 consensus · 0 divergences · 3 outside picks

Research only. Aggregates public statements from canonical investors (podcasts, interviews, 13F filings). Not a trading signal, not a recommendation.

Consensus

ThemeProxyDirectionSpeakersWho
GOLDGLDLONG3Chris Whalen, Jeremy Grantham, Rick Rule

Divergence

No themes are genuinely split this week.

Outside Ideas

Specific-ticker calls from canonical speakers with a positive 90d prior track record (mean signed return > 0 across n≥3 matured prior calls). The track-record column is the speaker’s prior hit rate — the credibility signal for featuring the call. Each pick below is fresh, so its own 90d result is still maturing (date shown). Not part of any consensus or divergence theme above.

TickerDirSpeakerSpeaker prior 90dThesis
BISTLONGMohnish Pabrai+5.6% · 64% hit · n=33result matures 2026-09-23
Prime Istanbul warehouse assets are naturally inflation-hedged (land/cement/steel are inflation-indexed) and currency-immune, purchased at ~3% of liquidation value when Turkish lira was under pressure [video]
TAVLONGMohnish Pabrai+5.6% · 64% hit · n=33result matures 2026-09-23
Revenue entirely in euros while costs are in collapsing Turkish lira, creating a structural margin expansion; trades at 3-4x PE vs Indian airport peers at 50-70x simply because it sits on the Istanbul [video]
CSULONGMohnish Pabrai+5.6% · 64% hit · n=33result matures 2026-09-23
Mark Leonard has built an un-clonable serial acquirer of vertical market software at 5-6x cash flow with proprietary deal flow touching 70-100K private companies twice a year, compounding cash flows a [video]

What Changed

No significant changes versus last week's state.

Track Record Scoreboard

Top speakers by 90d mean signed return (n≥3). Long/short-aware. Refreshed each memo run — corpus expands, numbers move.

Speakern₉₀HitMean 90d
Greenlight / Einhorn (13F)3100%+26.8%
Bill Nygren5372%+19.3%
Grant Williams944%+16.5%
David Einhorn11100%+10.0%
Cathie Wood3754%+8.1%
Patrick Boyle1856%+7.4%
Barry Sternlicht1182%+7.4%
Paul Tudor Jones3376%+7.1%
Stanley Druckenmiller2552%+7.0%
Terry Smith367%+6.6%
David Rubenstein580%+6.6%
Seth Klarman1471%+5.8%
Mohnish Pabrai3364%+5.6%
Tim Urbanowicz450%+5.4%
Jim Bianco3100%+5.3%
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