LEN · Andrew Walker (Yet Another Value Podcast)
Walker said Lennar is down about 25% this year and trades around book value, and that homebuilders could be interesting.
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5 investor calls on LEN in the last 90 days (3 bullish, 2 bearish). Follow LEN free and new calls come to you in The Brief, our morning email, the day after we record them. This page shows them a week later.
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Both said on October 14.
Walker said Lennar is down about 25% this year and trades around book value, and that homebuilders could be interesting.
Gerli said many buyers cannot qualify at today's mortgage payments, and expects more pain for homebuilders over the next year or two.
Editorial summaries of public statements. Dates belong to the cited sources; they are not trade execution dates.
Every dot is a day someone on the record made a call. Hover one to see who. We are not scoring them — the point is that you can see it and judge for yourself.
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Latticework Host | Bullish | MOI Global | Lennar has compressed its build cycle to 116 days—half the time required in early 2023—supporting a base-case… |
| 2026-10-14 | Nick GerliFounder and CEO, Reventure Consulting | Bearish | Wealthion | Even after cutting prices ~30% from peak and offering aggressive rate buy-downs, Lennar still sees roughly… |
| 2026-10-14 | Andrew WalkerPortfolio Manager, Rangeley Capital | Bullish | Yet Another Value Podcast (feed) | Lennar is down ~25% YTD and trading near book value while Berkshire is buying; existing homebuilder land/lots… |
| 2026-10-13 | Carter WorthMarket technician, Worth Charting | Bearish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Homebuilders are in a slow, protracted established downtrend with no catalyst for reversal — unlike casinos… |
| 2026-09-22 | Ed WachenheimFounder, chairman & CEO, Greenhaven Associates | Bullish | MOI Global | Lennar's 2025 pricing misstep is temporary; normalized 2027 EPS of ~$19.75 at a conservative 16x multiple… |
| 2022-05-24 | Bill MillerFounder, Miller Value Partners (retired) | Bullish | The Intrinsic Value Podcast | Lennar and other quality homebuilders trade at roughly 3x earnings versus a 10x historical average while… |
| Report | When | EPS actual vs est. | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | after the close | 1.19 vs 1.31 | +3.7% |
Sessions in the last 120 where LEN’s settled options volume ran ≥ 2× its trailing 20-session baseline, or delta-dollar flow ran ≥ 2.5× — 12 of 120 sessions qualified.
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LEN passed our 1-month put test (30-delta put, 30–45 days, sold at the bid, bought back at half the credit), 2021–2026.
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