Investors / stance tracking
What Adam Parker is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowFounder & CEO, Trivariate Research
14 dated public stances tracked since 2024-11-15, most recently 2026-11-02. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Adam Parker's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Adam Parker is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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14
tracked stances
9
themes
1
side flips
2026-11-02
last heard
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-01 | long MCK / long CAH / long COR | basket | +19.6% | +25.4% | +26.4% |
| 2024-11-15 | SPX | bearish | -4.4% | -1.0% | -15.0% |
| 2024-11-15 | COST | bearish | -18.9% | -9.6% | -1.1% |
View flips
Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPX | 2 | 1 bullish / 1 bearish | 2026-10-28 | |
| Ai Infra | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-19 | |
| Big Tech | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-11-02 | |
| CONSUMER STAPLES | 1 | 1 bearish | 2025-08-01 | |
| COST | 1 | 1 bearish | 2024-11-15 | |
| DEEP VALUE STOCKS (CHEAPEST DECILE) | 1 | 1 bearish | 2024-11-15 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-11-02
short HEALTHCARE / long SECULAR GROWTH / CYCLICAL LAGGARDS
pair
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Expensive defensive sectors have rallied too far and should be trimmed in favor of secular growth or cyclical laggards that underperformed in the rotation
“I don't want to buy some of these expensive defenses. To me, the moves in some of those are a little bit too high.”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 15:22 ET (5 min)
2026-11-02
Big Tech
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
The tech trade is not over and will end higher; near-term volatility is amplified by leveraged ETFs and zero-day options rather than a fundamental deterioration in earnings
“I'm not in the camp that the tech trade is over”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 15:17 ET (5 min)
2026-10-28
long NVDA / long AVGO / long SEMIS / long Ai Infra
basket
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
AI leaders should outperform because institutional investors remain underweight while hyperscalers and semiconductor companies are positioned to grow gross profit much faster than the broader market for several years.
“Those things are going to grow much faster than the market for the next two, three, four, five years.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 15:40 ET (5 min)
Micron should rally as beaten-down, high-beta AI stocks catch up and improving earnings regain importance for valuations.
“I think Micron's... 200 by the time this thing is six months from now.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 15:40 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-28 (CNBC (uncut))
US equities should be materially higher as valuation compression slows and earnings growth becomes the dominant market driver.
“I think we end up materially higher in six months.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 15:40 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-11-02 (CNBC (uncut))
2026-10-19
long MU / long NVDA / long AVGO
basket
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
AI compute cycle is only 3-4 years into an 8-10 year run with structural shortages of compute and power ahead, driving strong multi-year earnings growth for leading semiconductor and memory names
“I want to own at these prices, Micron, NVIDIA, and Broadcom for the next two to three years”
Closing Bell — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Semicap equipment is a direct beneficiary of the AI data center buildout with earnings growth expected to persist through the multi-year compute shortage cycle
“I want to own all those. I think they're going to outperform the market over a 12, 18, 24 month timeframe”
Closing Bell — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Said again: 2026-10-28 (CNBC (uncut))
2026-10-19
Ai Infra
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Structural multi-year shortage of power for AI data centers makes power-related equities direct beneficiaries of the ongoing compute buildout cycle
Closing Bell — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
2025-08-01
long MCK / long CAH / long COR
basket
The Compound · video
Drug distributors (MCK, CAH, COR) run at ~1% margins on enormous revenue bases; even modest AI-driven improvement to 1.5% margins produces ~50% earnings growth and multiple expansion analogous to Costco's re-rating
“I am recommending McKesson and Cardinal and Cencora — they're drug distributors”
90d +19.6% · 180d +25.4% · 1y +26.4%
Why Valuations Don't Matter | TCAF 202
2025-08-01
CONSUMER STAPLES
bearish
The Compound · video
Staples companies face the highest tariff/cost-pressure vulnerability and lack pricing power against Walmart and Amazon, who can threaten shelf placement to force them to absorb margin hits
“I think it makes sense to be cautious on most of the staples and select consumer stuff”
Why Valuations Don't Matter | TCAF 202
Stocks that breach 50x forward PE historically see multiple contraction 6-9 months later with only 24% sustaining the multiple two years out, making COST at 50x+ a poor new-money entry despite being a great business
“to walk in today and say for the first time ever, 'Geez, this Costco seems like a great investment today,' that seems like [bad]”
90d -18.9% · 180d -9.6% · 1y -1.1%
Buy the Election, Sell the Inauguration | TCAF 166
2024-11-15
DEEP VALUE STOCKS (CHEAPEST DECILE)
bearish
The Compound · video
The cheapest decile is cheap because the market is correctly pricing earnings impairment or obsolescence risk — the low multiple is a warning sign, not a contrarian opportunity, as downward revisions plus low multiples produce a double whammy
“The reason they're so cheap is the market's telling you something's wrong”
Buy the Election, Sell the Inauguration | TCAF 166
2024-11-15
HIGH GROSS MARGIN EXPANSION STOCKS
bullish
The Compound · video
Stocks outperforming by 20%+ are disproportionately those with the highest gross margin expansion, because rising gross margins signal pricing power, repeatable business models, and durable moats that make earnings more forecastable and defensible
“you don't want to short stocks where the gross margins are going up”
Buy the Election, Sell the Inauguration | TCAF 166
Universal institutional bullishness, record consumer confidence at all-time highs, and Goldman/Morgan Stanley likely turning bullish in year-end outlooks removes the wall of worry, skewing risk-reward negative into the inauguration
“I don't see how I can justify being bullish for the first half of next year”
90d -4.4% · 180d -1.0% · 1y -15.0%
Buy the Election, Sell the Inauguration | TCAF 166
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