Investors / stance tracking
What Alex Roepers is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowFounder & CIO, Atlantic Investment Management
10 dated public stances tracked since 2018-11-20, most recently 2026-06-15. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Alex Roepers's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Alex Roepers is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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10
tracked stances
9
themes
0
side flips
2026-06-15
last heard
Returns 90d -28.5% 20% correct · 5 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | NOMD | bullish | +7.5% | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | DCH | bullish | -3.8% | — | — |
| 2019-12-22 | TKR | bullish | -55.2% | -21.2% | +39.2% |
| 2019-12-22 | INDUSTRIALS | bullish | -40.1% | -15.0% | +9.3% |
| 2019-12-22 | EMN | bullish | -50.6% | -9.7% | +35.4% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCH | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-06-15 | |
| EMN | 1 | 1 bullish | 2019-12-22 | |
| EUROPEAN MID-CAP VALUE STOCKS | 1 | 1 bullish | 2019-12-22 | |
| INDUSTRIALS | 1 | 1 bullish | 2019-12-22 | |
| JP | 1 | 1 bullish | 2019-12-22 | |
| NOMD | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-06-15 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
The American Axle + Dowlais merger creates $300M+ in achievable cost synergies on an $11B revenue base (3% of sales, ~30% SG&A / 50% purchasing / 20% operational), the stock trades near 5x free cash flow with a PSU grant structure ($12–$22 strike vs. ~$6…
“you're looking at you know a double or triple on the stock in the next...year and a half to two years”
90d -3.8%
Alex Roepers on two deep-value special situations: $DCH and $NOMD
Nomad Foods trades at ~7x EBITDA and ~5.5x earnings with a 7%+ dividend yield, a new CEO resetting expectations and promising an October analyst day, insider buying by co-founder Gottesman at $10, and clear private-equity takeout logic given the high cash…
“I think the stock will go to 15 to 20, and you'll see the yield dropping that way to four, four and a half”
90d +7.5%
Alex Roepers on two deep-value special situations: $DCH and $NOMD
2019-12-22
EUROPEAN MID-CAP VALUE STOCKS
bullish
Value Investing Congress · video
ETF-driven capital concentration into large-cap growth has left European mid-caps trading at single-digit multiples with low expectations and low rates providing a favorable macro backdrop for reversion
“Europe is a candy store for mid-cap value investing at this particular moment”
Alex Roepers, where could value investors find the best "candies" to invest in 2020?
Japanese industrial companies hold enormous cash balances relative to market cap and are being pushed toward buybacks, dividends, and better corporate governance by Abenomics reforms, creating shareholder value upside as China stabilizes
“we see within Japan clearly at this moment a lot of opportunity in the industrial space”
90d -40.1% · 180d -15.0% · 1y +9.3%
Alex Roepers, where could value investors find the best "candies" to invest in 2020?
Timken's high-precision ball bearings serve diverse, non-cyclical end markets including rail, wind energy, and aftermarket repair, and the proprietary manufacturing know-how creates a durable competitive moat tied to global economic growth
“the know-how, the capability of making those high-quality critical ball bearings is really unique to them”
90d -55.2% · 180d -21.2% · 1y +39.2%
Alex Roepers, where could value investors find the best "candies" to invest in 2020?
Eastman Chemical has successfully diversified away from its declining cigarette-filter acetate business (now <10% of earnings vs. 40% historically) into growing specialty applications like paint additives and automotive safety laminates, with further M&A…
“Eastman is a very stable company with R&D and M&A opportunities that get them into the growth area”
90d -50.6% · 180d -9.7% · 1y +35.4%
Alex Roepers, where could value investors find the best "candies" to invest in 2020?
2019-12-22
JP
bullish
Value Investing Congress · video
Koito Manufacturing dominates LED headlamp and taillight content per vehicle which is rising due to adaptive beam technology, driving revenue and profit growth even in flat global car sales, while ~$2.5B cash on a ~$9-10B market cap provides a shareholder…
“two and a half billion dollars of cash on a company with a nine ten billion dollar market cap”
Alex Roepers, where could value investors find the best "candies" to invest in 2020?
2019-12-22
VALUE STOCKS VS. GROWTH/MOMENTUM
bullish
Value Investing Congress · video
Passive/ETF flows have compressed valuations of mid-cap value names to historic extremes relative to mega-cap growth, mirroring the 1999 tech bubble setup; the WeWork implosion is an early catalyst signaling the rotation has begun
“for the price of six favorite growth stocks you can buy 80 well-known large industrial companies for the same price”
Alex Roepers, where could value investors find the best "candies" to invest in 2020?
2018-11-20
long MID/SMALL-CAP VALUE STOCKS / short Big Tech
pair
Value Investing Congress · video
The valuation gap between value and growth stocks is at historic highs and a rotation is imminent, driven by rising rates compressing DCF terminal values for growth names while simultaneously relieving pension funding burdens for old-economy industrials and…
“we are very close to having a rotation to value”
"Why is it time for value now?" asks Value Investor Alexander J. Roepers (Atlantic Investment)
2018-11-20
VWAGY
bullish
Value Investing Congress · video
Volkswagen trades at ~€100B market cap (~2.5x EBITDA on €240B sales) while owning Porsche alone which could be worth ~€80B as a standalone listing, meaning investors receive Audi, Bentley, and the core VW brand plus a dividend yield essentially for free…
“just taking Porsche out of Volkswagen you're done with the entire value, get everything else for free and you get a dividend yield”
"Why is it time for value now?" asks Value Investor Alexander J. Roepers (Atlantic Investment)
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