Investors / stance tracking
What Alice Han is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowDirector (China), Greenmantle
Economist
13 dated public stances tracked since 2025-09-16, most recently 2026-09-15. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Alice Han's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Alice Han is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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13
tracked stances
11
themes
0
side flips
2026-09-15
last heard
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | NVDA | bullish | +1.8% | +8.9% | — |
| 2025-09-16 | China Equities | bullish | -5.6% | -9.2% | -15.9% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Equities | 2 | 2 bullish | 2026-09-01 | |
| ASML | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-09-15 | |
| BYD | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-09-01 | |
| CHINESE AI APPLICATION LAYER COMPANIES | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-09-15 | |
| CHINESE OPEN-SOURCE AI MODELS | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-07-14 | |
| CHINESE ORGANIC FOOD PRODUCERS AND RETAILERS | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-06-30 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
China's closed capital account, structurally weak bond yields, and incentive to suppress CNY to maintain trade surpluses make a meaningful displacement of USD by CNY in FX reserves implausible over a 5–15+ year horizon
“CNY is around 2% of global FX reserves… very hard for me to see that dollar gets displaced”
Could China Replace the U.S. as the Global Superpower? | China Decode
2026-09-15
CHINESE TOURISM SECTOR / CHINESE LUXURY HOTELS
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
China's expanding 30-day visa-free policy (now 50 countries) is driving inbound and domestic tourism, and Alice expects the $880B annual tourism sector to double within 5 years as new luxury hotel supply surges
“I'm pretty bullish on Chinese hotels and Chinese tourism”
Could China Replace the U.S. as the Global Superpower? | China Decode
Taiwan, ASML, and Nvidia maintain a clear, durable lead in cutting-edge chip production and GPU design that China cannot fully overcome despite workarounds like Huawei and homegrown DRAM
“given the lead that Taiwan, ASML, some of the US chip design companies for GPUs like Nvidia have, it's hard for me to see China completely disrupt them”
Could China Replace the U.S. as the Global Superpower? | China Decode
2026-09-15
NIO
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
China's combination of scale, cost advantage, and heavy R&D via Huawei/NIO/Xiaomi positions it to dominate global autonomous vehicle exports, replacing EVs as the dominant Chinese export theme in 10–15 years
“I think that will be a theme that replaces EVs in 10, 15 years from now”
Could China Replace the U.S. as the Global Superpower? | China Decode
2026-09-15
CHINESE AI APPLICATION LAYER COMPANIES
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
Chinese companies already lead globally in fastest-growing AI video and photo editing apps, and will dominate the AI application layer — especially via APAC's 4.85B-person market — replicating TikTok's global breakout
“the fastest growth AI app companies in those domains are coming from China globally”
Could China Replace the U.S. as the Global Superpower? | China Decode
2026-09-08
long China Equities / short China Equities
ratio
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
Star Market's high-tech composition (AI, robotics, semiconductors, humanoid robots) will compound faster than Hong Kong's legacy SOE/bank/large-cap platform mix, closing and ultimately exceeding HK's $6.25T market cap from Star's current $2.3T within 5–10…
“the future of Chinese tech is really being listed in the mainland…that's going to be a trend moving forward”
China's Pharma Industry Is Booming — Here's Why | China Decode
2026-09-01
China Equities
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
Chinese AI development is uncorrelated to US markets and underappreciated by global capital allocators, creating a window for European, Middle Eastern, and G7 investors to enter early-stage Chinese AI via local GPs before broader recognition catches up
“there's a lot of movement that's interesting in China in the AI realm that's uncorrelated”
Is China Winning the Global AI Trust War? | China Decode
US-Canada trade war is opening the Canadian market to Chinese EVs, mirroring the Australia pattern where Chinese EV share surged after US/Japanese automakers exited, and BYD's 30% YoY profit growth is expected to accelerate as export share of Chinese EV…
“BYD... had pretty good profit growth 30% year-on-year, I think that's expected to rise”
Is China Winning the Global AI Trust War? | China Decode
2026-07-21
CXMT
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
Chinese semiconductor exports by value doubled in H1 2026 and CXMT is injecting record DRAM supply at cheaper costs, positioning Chinese memory exporters for record full-year volumes while pressuring Samsung and SK Hynix on pricing
“semiconductor exports from China to the rest of the world by value doubled relative to last year”
China Just Passed America in Global Popularity. Here's Why It Matters. | China Decode
2026-07-14
CHINESE OPEN-SOURCE AI MODELS
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
Chinese open-source models already show 6x the token consumption of US counterparts and are approaching competitive parity with leading US models (e.g. Claude Code), driven by lower hosting costs, ease of fine-tuning, and growing corporate/consumer adoption
“I'm starting to get more bullish on Chinese open source models and the use cases for corporates and consumers are becoming more and more compelling”
China Just Dropped Its Jobs Target for the First Time in Decades | China Decode
2026-06-30
CHINESE ORGANIC FOOD PRODUCERS AND RETAILERS
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
China's 500 million middle-class consumers are undergoing a cultural shift toward health-conscious eating, driving the organic food market from $16.7B in 2024 toward a projected $31B by 2028, supported by rapid supply-side expansion in organic farmland…
“I'm really bullish on the organic food market... I think this is just the beginning”
China’s AI Has Apple PANICKING, DeepSeek's Billions, and the Californication of Food | China Decode
The shift from chatbot to agentic AI dramatically multiplies token consumption, and Nvidia's Blackwell chips are the dominant hardware for efficient token generation, so demand will surge as the global token premium rises
“all of this suggests to me that Nvidia is a big winner”
90d +1.8% · 180d +8.9%
2025-09-16
China Equities
bullish
Prof G Pod (Galloway) · video
Forward PE ratios remain cheap versus US and historical standards, Beijing is explicitly backing a 'slow bull' run to restore household wealth, and a structural shift from retail to institutional ownership (insurance cos now allowed 30% equity allocation…
“given how cheap the forward PE ratios are...I think that this bull run has a bit more to go”
90d -5.6% · 180d -9.2% · 1y -15.9%
How Labubus Explain China’s Global Reach | China Decode
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