Co-host, 1000x podcast
3 dated public stances tracked since 2025-03-24, most recently 2025-03-24. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Avi Felman's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Avi Felman is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2025-03-24 | DEFENSE | bullish | +15.8% | +29.8% | +41.6% |
| 2025-03-24 | DAX | bearish | -9.2% | -11.9% | -5.0% |
| 2025-03-24 | BITCOIN | bullish | +15.3% | +32.2% | -19.4% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| BITCOIN | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2025-03-24 |
| DAX | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2025-03-24 |
| DEFENSE | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2025-03-24 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2025-03-24
DEFENSE
bullish
Forward Guidance · video
European politicians are structurally committed to domestic defense spending regardless of US political pivots because once you've experienced US political volatility you can't re-concentrate in that basket, creating durable demand for the sector
“the European defense industry is probably a good sector play”
90d +15.8% · 180d +29.8% · 1y +41.6%
How To Position For 2025 | Jonah Van Bourg & Avi Felman LIVE from DAS
2025-03-24
DAX
bearish
Forward Guidance · video
European broad indices face structural multi-decade headwinds from over-taxation, socialist culture reducing productivity, and probable EU breakup driven by the intractable immigration problem, making any near-term rally a sell
“would I buy the DAX, the CAC, the Footsie? Like, hell no”
90d -9.2% · 180d -11.9% · 1y -5.0%
How To Position For 2025 | Jonah Van Bourg & Avi Felman LIVE from DAS
2025-03-24
BITCOIN
bullish
Forward Guidance · video
Bearish catalysts are fully priced and theta-decaying — de-risked sellers waiting for a dip that doesn't arrive will pull limit orders and buy at current prices, creating an asymmetric near-term setup as each passing day without a new negative catalyst makes…
“there's a theta decay to the bearishness here”
90d +15.3% · 180d +32.2% · 1y -19.4%
How To Position For 2025 | Jonah Van Bourg & Avi Felman LIVE from DAS
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