Managing Partner, Ironsides Macroeconomics
5 dated public stances tracked since 2026-07-29, most recently 2026-07-29. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Barry Knapp's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Barry Knapp is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2026-07-29 | short TECHNOLOGY SECTOR / short COMMUNICATION SERVICES SECTOR / long INDUSTRIALS / long ENERGY (+2 legs) | pair | +6.2% | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | WMT | bearish | -4.7% | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | CASH | bullish | +0.9% | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | BANKS | bullish | -4.6% | — | — |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| BANKS | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2026-07-29 |
| CASH | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2026-07-29 |
| CONSUMER STAPLES SECTOR | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2026-07-29 |
| WMT | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2026-07-29 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-07-29
short TECHNOLOGY SECTOR / short COMMUNICATION SERVICES SECTOR / long INDUSTRIALS / long ENERGY (+2 legs)
pair
Wealthion · video
AI capex rate-of-change is peaking (hyperscalers at 90% capex/EBITDA, analogous to telecom in 1999-2000 and energy in 2014-15), while a Warsh Fed yield-curve steepening and manufacturing renaissance create a non-AI capex tailwind for industrials, energy…
“I'm overweight the rest of the capital investment story…but not AI capital spending, everything else”
90d +6.2%
Barry Knapp: I Cut Tech. Here's Why.
2026-07-29
BANKS
bullish
Wealthion · video
Warsh Fed plan to deregulate banking and steepen the yield curve (cut policy rate while unwinding long-duration Fed holdings) will sharply boost regional bank profitability, which trades at a ~3% ROE discount to large banks — a discount the market…
“I don't think people fully appreciate how much this regulatory regime and steepening of the yield curve will mean for their profitability”
90d -4.6%
Barry Knapp: I Cut Tech. Here's Why.
2026-07-29
WMT
bearish
Wealthion · video
Walmart trades at roughly 30x earnings despite only ~5% earnings growth and mounting margin pressure from tariffs and energy costs, making the valuation unjustifiable even as a defensive holding
“why are you paying 30 times earnings for something where earnings are going up 5%”
90d -4.7%
Barry Knapp: I Cut Tech. Here's Why.
2026-07-29
CONSUMER STAPLES SECTOR
bearish
Wealthion · video
Tariff-driven margin compression and the K-shaped economy are squeezing staples earnings (30-year margin lows), yet the sector trades at elevated multiples (~30x) for only ~5% EPS growth, making defensive positioning in staples a poor risk-reward
“buying a slow growing company at 25 times earnings is not really a defensive trade”
Barry Knapp: I Cut Tech. Here's Why.
2026-07-29
CASH
bullish
Wealthion · video
Rising 10-year real rates (TIPS yields moving up as markets price in Fed balance-sheet normalization) risk a ~10% equity drawdown, and mid-term years historically deliver such corrections, justifying a meaningful cash buffer
“rising real rates could cause a 10% draw down at any point”
90d +0.9%
Barry Knapp: I Cut Tech. Here's Why.
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