Investors / stance tracking
What Bill Baruch is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowFounder, Blue Line Capital & Futures
16 dated public stances tracked since 2025-10-17, most recently 2026-10-28. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Bill Baruch's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Bill Baruch is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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16
tracked stances
11
themes
0
side flips
2026-10-28
last heard
Returns 90d +9.8% 100% correct · 5 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | NVDA | bullish | +9.4% | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Big Tech | bullish | +3.2% | — | — |
| 2025-10-17 | long KMI / long LNG / long CCJ | basket | +15.9% | +28.0% | +10.1% |
| 2025-10-17 | long NEM / long GOLD / long CDE | basket | +11.9% | +10.6% | +0.6% |
| 2025-10-17 | GOLD | bullish | +8.8% | +13.2% | -2.4% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD | 2 | 2 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| AVGO | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| Big Tech | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-07-10 | |
| CRWD | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| DEFENSE | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| FED POLICY RATE | 1 | 1 neutral | 2026-10-28 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-10-28
short CQQQ / long XTN
pair
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
He is rotating from underperforming Chinese technology into equal-weight US transports because the expected Chinese memory competition failed to materialize while strong US growth supports a secular transport bull market.
“We're going to cut it, move on... buying XTN. We love the transports.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:39 ET (5 min)
Gold should rise as favorable seasonality, de-dollarization, widening fiscal deficits, central-bank buying, and resilience despite ETF outflows revive the debasement trade.
“I think gold has some significant upside.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:49 ET (5 min)
2026-10-28
FED POLICY RATE
neutral
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
The Fed may deliver a token December hike but projected 2027 hikes should be priced out because energy inflation is unresponsive to monetary policy while restrictive housing conditions limit further tightening.
“We may get a token hike in December and I see those hikes next year getting priced out.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:04 ET (5 min)
Microsoft should break above $550 as strong Azure growth, positive free cash flow, and its earnings guidance validate the market's optimism.
“I expect this stock to really break out, get out above $550 in the coming weeks.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:09 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-28 (CNBC (uncut))
Meta's enormous projected capital expenditures, negative free cash flow, failed post-earnings follow-through and resistance near $700 make it a source of funds for more attractive opportunities.
“For now, Meta is a sacrifice here that we don't like the story behind it.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:14 ET (5 min)
Alphabet is poised for a strong earnings report while its shares are trading at technical support.
“It's right there trading at support. And I do agree that we're seeing a very strong report from Alphabet.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:14 ET (5 min)
Memory pricing should remain stable or improve through 2030, supporting Micron despite trimming the position for risk management after strong gains.
“We still see memory pricing...at least stable through 2030. We're a long-run believer in this name.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:34 ET (5 min)
Broadcom's recovery above key support near $333 and favorable response from recent lows suggest that the shares can continue higher.
“It's back above key support, 333. We like the way it's looking.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:34 ET (5 min)
CrowdStrike should benefit from the growing need for cybersecurity, though its volatility and oversized portfolio weight justify trimming the position for risk management.
“We love CrowdStrike. We love the trajectory of the need for cybersecurity.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:39 ET (5 min)
RTX is a high-quality defense company whose move back above its 20-day moving average supports putting newly raised cash into the stock.
“With the cash that we raised, we're putting half of that to RTX.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:59 ET (5 min)
Nvidia is holding its 200-day moving average after digesting flat YTD gains, and CapEx-fear capitulation following Micron's earnings has reversed the headwind — making it constructive for a run.
“Nvidia, Broadcom. I think these are buys right here and it's going to run.”
90d +9.4%
The state of the tech trade as SK Hynix opens for trading
2026-07-10
Big Tech
bullish
CNBC Television · video
CapEx fear capitulation after Micron's earnings has reversed the bearish narrative on hyperscaler spending, and Mag 7 earnings delivery will drive the group to outperform in H2 2026.
“Our base call in the second half of the year is mag seven's going to outperform.”
90d +3.2%
The state of the tech trade as SK Hynix opens for trading
2025-10-17
long SILVER / short SILVER
spread
The Compound · video
Silver faces acute physical scarcity (lease rates surging as ETFs in London must secure physical metal) combined with 50%-plus industrial demand share, setting up a blow-off move toward $70+ while a defined-risk call spread caps downside in the elevated-ATR…
“we got the January 65-75 call spreads… to capitalize if it keeps this pace up”
Inside the Gold and Silver Mania | TCAF 213
2025-10-17
long NEM / long GOLD / long CDE
basket
The Compound · video
Record gold prices combined with falling oil/energy input costs are creating massive free cash flow expansion for senior gold miners, and the group is likely only 18 months into what could be a 5-year bull cycle
“any pullbacks we want to be buying”
90d +11.9% · 180d +10.6% · 1y +0.6%
Inside the Gold and Silver Mania | TCAF 213
2025-10-17
long KMI / long LNG / long CCJ
basket
The Compound · video
Record AI-driven electricity demand will benefit natural gas pipeline operators and uranium miners as the true infrastructure play, rather than regulated utilities, because gas transporters monetize volume growth and uranium demand is structurally rising for…
“we own KMI, we own LNG, we own CCJ… the natural gas is going to be a massive player”
90d +15.9% · 180d +28.0% · 1y +10.1%
Inside the Gold and Silver Mania | TCAF 213
Persistent central bank accumulation (with China likely understating reserves by ~20%), de-dollarization, and Basel III upgrading gold to a tier-one asset on bank balance sheets create structural demand with no meaningful seller base on the horizon
“our thesis was gold is going to go to 5,000 — we just didn't think it was going to happen this quick”
90d +8.8% · 180d +13.2% · 1y -2.4%
Inside the Gold and Silver Mania | TCAF 213
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