What Dan Dolev is saying
Managing Director, Fintech Equity Research, Mizuho Securities
5 dated public stances tracked since 2024-10-07, most recently 2024-10-07. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Dan Dolev's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Dan Dolev is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.
2024-10-07
PYPL
bullish
The Compound · video
New CEO Alex Chriss is avoiding wasteful M&A while delivering steady positive catalysts — Amazon Buy with Prime integration, Fast Lane one-click checkout for third-party sites, and Venmo monetization — that are reviving the highly profitable checkout button…
“PayPal is just in the first inning of the Revival or Resurrection”
90d +11.6% · 180d -27.1% · 1y -7.0%
Why PayPal Is Crushing the Market This Year
2024-10-07
AFRM
bullish
The Compound · video
Falling interest rates mechanically reduce Affirm's default risk, allowing founder-CEO Max Levchin to widen the credit box and grow GMV volumes 30%+ above consensus, creating significant operating leverage toward ~$3 GAAP EPS in FY2027 that the market has not…
“you don't often come across a genius like Max”
90d +68.6% · 180d -2.7% · 1y +98.6%
Why PayPal Is Crushing the Market This Year
2024-10-07
ACN
bullish
The Compound · video
Accenture is the picks-and-shovels beneficiary of enterprise AI adoption because Fortune 500 companies require large IT consultants to actually implement AI initiatives, and the prior cyclical headwind from post-pandemic IT budget normalization is bottoming…
“they are the engines of AI and that's not going to change”
90d -1.2% · 180d -19.7% · 1y -28.6%
Why PayPal Is Crushing the Market This Year
2024-10-07
UPST
bullish
The Compound · video
Like Affirm, Upstart benefits from lower rates reducing consumer default risk while its proprietary data allows it to extend credit to consumers underserved by traditional banks, widening the effective credit box
“that's why I like upstarts same reason”
90d +54.9% · 180d -7.9% · 1y +26.3%
Why PayPal Is Crushing the Market This Year
2024-10-07
long MA / short V
pair
The Compound · video
MasterCard's higher international mix and lower debit exposure give it more secular cash-to-card runway, while Visa faces an exhausted US debit penetration ceiling, DOJ antitrust scrutiny of its ~70% debit share, and the emerging pay-by-bank threat via…
“as a pair trade it's like the perfect pair because MasterCard is gaining share”
90d -5.1% · 180d -7.7% · 1y -5.5%
Why PayPal Is Crushing the Market This Year
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