Investors / stance tracking
What Danielle Dimartino Booth is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowCEO & Chief Strategist, QI Research
18 dated public stances tracked since 2023-10-27, most recently 2026-10-15. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Danielle Dimartino Booth's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Danielle Dimartino Booth is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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18
tracked stances
15
themes
1
side flips
2026-10-15
last heard
Returns 90d -3.4% 43% correct · 7 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | USTS | bearish | +1.5% | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | USTS | bullish | -4.3% | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | GOLD | bullish | +2.6% | — | — |
| 2025-03-25 | GOLD | bullish | +11.7% | +23.9% | +49.5% |
| 2025-03-25 | BANKS | bearish | -0.8% | -12.7% | -11.9% |
| 2024-11-21 | VOL | bullish | -13.8% | +8.2% | -22.8% |
| 2023-10-27 | XRT | bearish | -20.7% | -26.1% | -33.7% |
View flips
Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD | 3 | 3 bullish | 2026-10-15 | |
| USTS | 2 | 1 bullish / 1 bearish | 2026-07-30 | |
| Ai Infra | 1 | 1 bearish | 2026-10-08 | |
| BANKS | 1 | 1 bearish | 2025-03-25 | |
| CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY EQUITIES | 1 | 1 bearish | 2025-03-25 | |
| CONSUMER STAPLES EQUITIES | 1 | 1 bearish | 2025-03-25 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
Lag effects from the Fed's higher-for-longer policy combined with mounting credit stress will drive gold's rediscovery as a safe haven, making it an ideal interim trade near current levels around $4,000-$4,100 for investors who lack the sophisticated hedging…
“gold will be rediscovered... it could be a really ideal place to hide”
Credit at a Breaking Point? Danielle DiMartino Booth
2026-10-15
High Yield
bearish
Danielle DiMartino Booth · video
Triple-C high yield spreads have crossed the 10,000 basis point threshold and companies are increasingly missing coupon payments outright rather than pursuing distressed debt exchanges, signaling that forced refinancing into a high-rate environment will…
“triple C high yield spreads gap out... crossed the 10,000 basis point threshold... that's a really bright red signal”
Credit at a Breaking Point? Danielle DiMartino Booth
Markets face an unprecedented simultaneous combination of 1999-level equity valuations and 2007-level corporate leverage with no historical playbook, and historically the stock market is the last asset to roll over after credit risk begins building — which it…
“we have stock market valuation where it was in 1999 and leverage where it was in 2007. There's no playbook”
Credit at a Breaking Point? Danielle DiMartino Booth
2026-10-08
Ai Infra
bearish
Danielle DiMartino Booth · video
AI-focused tech companies are casually issuing massive debt at elevated yields while corporate AI spending has not yet translated into measurable productivity gains for corporations, and IPO stumbles (e.g. Firmus Grid) signal speculative excess
“I would be very cautious at this time when it comes to these technology stocks”
Danielle DiMartino Booth with BNN 'The Open': Fed signals rate hikes with no rush
Said again: 2026-10-15 (Danielle DiMartino Booth)
Data centers already under construction still require a reinforced energy grid to operate, making utilities and energy providers a relative safe harbor even as new builds are paused or delayed by political opposition and higher capital costs
“there's a lot of data centers that are already under construction and they need this energy grid to be sounder”
Bankruptcies Soar 64%; Fed Just Lit A Fuse | Danielle DiMartino Booth
Hyperscaler earnings are artificially inflated by an accounting loophole that routes VC funding rounds into OpenAI/Anthropic straight to their bottom lines, so if peak AI investment has passed, the 'E' in P/E ratios is severely at risk
“the E in the price to earnings ratio is very much at risk... it's not real”
Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Is Hiking Into Recession, Consumers Tapped Out, & Credit Tightening
2026-08-29
FED FUNDS RATE / US RATE POLICY
neutral
Danielle DiMartino Booth · video
Worsh commands a unified bloc of permanent Fed Board governors who have not dissented, giving him cover to hold rates through year-end against market pricing of roughly 30% odds of a September hike
“I actually believe that we're going to see a hold not just in September, but for the rest of the year”
Danielle DiMartino Booth Appears on ‘Bloomberg Asia’ to Discuss U.S. Markets
Absent a significant expansion of Bessant's Treasury buyback program beyond the current scale, the dollar lacks a catalyst for another big leg lower and will remain range-bound near the 99 level
“I would say that we're going to kind of hang in here and hover”
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research via Fintech TV The Opening Bell
Bankruptcies are at 15-year highs while CCC spreads have only recently started widening, and bond yields remain untenably high for these companies to refinance, pointing to further spread widening and credit deterioration
“bankruptcies that are invisible in the private credit market, I suspect we're going to find out”
90d +1.5%
Danielle DiMartino Booth: Nobody's Happy, Cracks Are Showing, & the Bond Market Already Tightened
Speculative tourists have been shaken out during the consolidation phase, clearing froth, while the Fed's growing balance sheet is functionally QE and a potential market correction would drive shelter-seeking flows back into the asset class
“I just said last week for the first time in a long time, I think it's time to step back in”
90d +2.6%
Are The Rich Starting To Stumble? | Danielle DiMartino Booth
Said again: 2026-07-30 (Julia La Roche Show), 2026-08-22 (Danielle DiMartino Booth), 2026-09-16 (Danielle DiMartino Booth), 2026-09-17 (Danielle DiMartino Booth)
Market expectations for a 2026 rate hike are wrong — imminent negative month-over-month CPI prints and no-hike Fed trajectory mean locking in 4.1% on a 2-year is asymmetrically attractive while waiting for speculative excess to unwind
“you can get 4.1% on a two-year. Just go lock that in. Lock and load”
90d -4.3%
Are The Rich Starting To Stumble? | Danielle DiMartino Booth
Geopolitical tensions, ongoing financial system dislocation, and central bank accumulation (especially China's reserve expansion toward developed-nation levels) put a structural floor under gold prices, with uncertainty across trade/geopolitics acting as a…
“gold is your ultimate hedge... the higher the uncertainty element, the higher the price of gold”
90d +11.7% · 180d +23.9% · 1y +49.5%
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research
2025-03-25
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY EQUITIES
bearish
Danielle DiMartino Booth · video
Americans are cutting lifestyle spending—dining out, recreation, travel—amid a private-sector recession, driving a wave of bankruptcies already running at nearly double the pre-pandemic rate in consumer discretionary.
“weakness in consumer discretionary, weakness in the banks”
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research
Higher-for-longer rates are pressuring commercial real estate loan books held by mid-size and smaller banks—rising delinquencies, 6,000+ store closing announcements in 2025 straining retail CRE, and still-elevated unrealized losses on bond portfolios point to…
“delinquency rates are still continuing to rise... that's a source of serious weakness throughout the US banking system”
90d -0.8% · 180d -12.7% · 1y -11.9%
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research
2025-03-25
CONSUMER STAPLES EQUITIES
bearish
Danielle DiMartino Booth · video
Consumer retrenchment is bleeding beyond discretionary into essentials—trading down on brands and packaged goods—creating an underappreciated headwind for staples companies as spending on both goods and services contracts simultaneously.
“when you have the head of Dollar Tree say households are pulling back on essentials, that's going to manifest in consumer staples”
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research
2024-11-21
DEFENSIVE DIVIDEND STOCKS
bullish
Danielle DiMartino Booth · video
With recessionary pressures building and household balance sheets deteriorating, companies with strong and stable cashflows that maintain dividends offer safe harbor versus riskier asset classes
“companies that behave like gold — that are defensive in nature, that have really strong cashflow streams”
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research joins Investing News Network for the latest
The path for risky assets will be bumpier than for inflation even as the Fed eases, making volatility exposure a viable ongoing hedge against turbulent markets ahead
“being exposed to volatility however you can is not necessarily a bad way to hedge yourself going forward”
90d -13.8% · 180d +8.2% · 1y -22.8%
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research joins Investing News Network for the latest
Equal-weight retail basket is already trading at lows as government stimulus pillars (ERC, pandemic food stamps, Medicaid expansion, Social Security COLA bump) have been removed one by one, leaving the pattern resembling late 2019 when the economy was heading…
“the xrt… is on the lows… it looks a lot like late 2019 when the US economy was headed into recession”
90d -20.7% · 180d -26.1% · 1y -33.7%
Hedgeye Investing Summit | Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist, QI Research
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