Portfolio Manager & Head of Active EM Debt, VanEck
3 dated public stances tracked since 2024-08-22, most recently 2024-08-22. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Eric Fine's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Eric Fine is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2024-08-22 | long USTS / long USTS / short USTS | pair | -1.0% | -1.0% | +0.7% |
| 2024-08-22 | long USTS / short USTS | pair | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2024-08-22 | USTS | bearish | +3.0% | +2.9% | -2.2% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| USTS | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2024-08-22 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2024-08-22
long USTS / short USTS
pair
Forward Guidance · video
EM bonds offer materially higher carry, lower sovereign debt loads, and independent inflation-targeting central banks versus over-indebted DM sovereigns whose central banks are increasingly co-opted by fiscal needs — making a long EM / short DM rates position…
“em has lower debt pays you more and it's a winner”
90d +0.0% · 180d +0.0% · 1y +0.0%
How the Dollar Will Be Usurped by Emerging Market Currencies | Eric Fine & Natalia Gurushina
2024-08-22
long USTS / long USTS / short USTS
pair
Forward Guidance · video
Poland and Hungary bonds at roughly double Germany's yield offer dramatically superior fiscal and reform credentials versus a German growth model that has lost its structural pillars (cheap energy, open trade, low defense spend), making a long CEE / short…
“Germany's the loser pole and Hungary the winner right double the rates much better situations”
90d -1.0% · 180d -1.0% · 1y +0.7%
How the Dollar Will Be Usurped by Emerging Market Currencies | Eric Fine & Natalia Gurushina
2024-08-22
USTS
bearish
Forward Guidance · video
Egypt is over-indebted with massive market popularity built on conditional Gulf and IMF money that requires reforms not materializing, while political risk adds an obvious additional layer of risk on top of the structural problems
“Egypt over indebted everybody loves it...it is conditional money...we don't see any real transformations in the Egyptian economy”
90d +3.0% · 180d +2.9% · 1y -2.2%
How the Dollar Will Be Usurped by Emerging Market Currencies | Eric Fine & Natalia Gurushina
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