The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Hugh Hendry's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Hugh Hendry is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
2026-07-23
long Japan Equities / short UNKNOWN
hedge
Hugh Hendry · video
Nikkei's 30-year ceiling broken at 40,000 unlocks explosive upside toward 200,000 as yen weakness transfers wealth to Japanese corporates and reverses the deflationary mindset, but concurrent dollar strength to 200 JPY would erase all equity gains for non-JPY…
“I think Nikkei is going to be close to 200,000 ... I don't want to own that stock market and then lose all my money on the currency”
Hugh Hendry: The Biggest Trade of the Next 10 Years Has Started
2026-07-03
long FCX / long RIO
basket
Hugh Hendry · video
Major mining stocks (FCX, Rio Tinto) broke out from 2008 highs and are tracing the same long-term chart pattern that has driven other multi-decade breakouts; AI, data centres, and SpaceX infrastructure capital requirements are poised to rival the Chinese…
“stocks like those are stocks that look as if they go up four or five times”
90d +7.6%
Yen Will Collapse While Silver Goes To $250!! (And Much More) | Hugh Hendry
2026-07-03
SILVER
bullish
Hugh Hendry · video
Silver has broken out of arguably the longest bear market in commodity history, mirroring gold's 2010–2011 breakout above the 1980 high; following gold's subsequent 7× move, a 4–5× move from silver's prior $50 high implies a target around $250, underpinned by…
“I would own silver. Silver goes to 250.”
90d -1.9%
Yen Will Collapse While Silver Goes To $250!! (And Much More) | Hugh Hendry
Said again: 2026-07-23 (Hugh Hendry)
2026-07-03
USD
bullish
Hugh Hendry · video
Japan is deliberately engineering yen weakness to generate animal spirits and positive real wage growth; JGBs are becoming less money-like, forcing Japanese banks to roll eurodollar credit by pledging more dollar assets daily, creating a structural bid for…
“we've been discussing the notion that dollar yen is going not to 100 but to 300”
90d +2.3%
Yen Will Collapse While Silver Goes To $250!! (And Much More) | Hugh Hendry
Said again: 2026-07-23 (Hugh Hendry)
2026-07-03
ALUMINIUM
bullish
Hugh Hendry · video
Domestic North American aluminium smelting is strategically essential for the AI, connectivity, and space build-out but is economically unviable at current spot prices; for greenfield capacity to get built, the forward aluminium price must be multiples of…
“the spot price or the forward price has to be multiples of where it is today”
Yen Will Collapse While Silver Goes To $250!! (And Much More) | Hugh Hendry
2026-07-03
IBM
bullish
Hugh Hendry · video
IBM sits at the centre of the world's COBOL-dependent financial infrastructure, is transitioning to a recurring-software platform model analogous to Palantir, and holds a leading quantum computing foundry position — a combination that could take the stock 4×…
“don't think big blue, think blue sky”
90d -24.1%
Yen Will Collapse While Silver Goes To $250!! (And Much More) | Hugh Hendry
2026-07-03
NOK
owns
Hugh Hendry · video
Nokia is the principal Western replacement for Huawei in critical cellular infrastructure as democracies expel Chinese base-station software; AI's data-transfer demands require a 5G/6G upgrade cycle Nokia is uniquely positioned to supply, and Jensen Huang's…
“I'm buying something at 11:30. I think it's going to 250. That's 25 bagger.”
90d -16.9%
Yen Will Collapse While Silver Goes To $250!! (And Much More) | Hugh Hendry
2026-07-03
DXJ
bullish
Hugh Hendry · video
DXJ captures both legs of the Japan thesis — Nikkei equities benefiting from yen-induced corporate profit expansion AND yen depreciation — so dollar-based investors are not eroded by the currency move that is itself the catalyst
“you want Nikkei dollar. There you go. And that's the DXJ”
90d +0.0%
Yen Will Collapse While Silver Goes To $250!! (And Much More) | Hugh Hendry
2022-11-25
Long Dur Treasuries
bullish
Lacy Hunt · video
Peak in long-term yields likely already in at ~4.5%, with dollar destruction offshore and domestic monetary tightening set to crush growth and inflation, driving yields back to 1.5%
“I want to lick the honey from the treasury bond yield at 3.8 and if I'm wrong I get closed out about 450 but I think we're going to 150”
90d +0.1% · 180d -0.8% · 1y -8.3%
Escape Velocity with Lacy Hunt