Lead Analyst, Value Investor's Edge
6 dated public stances tracked since 2022-05-19, most recently 2022-05-19. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of J Mintzmyer's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. J Mintzmyer is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Returns 90d +1.3% 50% correct · 6 calls · 180d -1.2% 50% correct · 6 calls · 1y +10.1% 50% correct · 6 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2022-05-19 | ZIM | bullish | -21.8% | -52.2% | -54.9% |
| 2022-05-19 | TRTN | bullish | +7.3% | +9.8% | +42.4% |
| 2022-05-19 | TGH | bullish | +9.6% | +2.9% | +25.1% |
| 2022-05-19 | STNG | owns | +35.7% | +70.0% | +73.1% |
| 2022-05-19 | GSL | bullish | -13.9% | -14.0% | -7.4% |
| 2022-05-19 | DAC | bullish | -8.9% | -23.8% | -18.0% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| DAC | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-05-19 |
| GSL | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-05-19 |
| STNG | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-05-19 |
| TGH | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-05-19 |
| TRTN | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-05-19 |
| ZIM | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-05-19 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2022-05-19
TGH
bullish
The Business Brew · video
Textainer, a container-box lessor, has 7-12 year leases generating steady daily income regardless of shipping disruptions or congestion, and the 6-7% annual lease-turnover pipeline is repricing sharply higher in an extremely tight utilization environment…
“congestion and disruption and all sorts of things unequivocally a good thing for box lessors”
90d +9.6% · 180d +2.9% · 1y +25.1%
J Mintzmyer Returns
2022-05-19
GSL
bullish
The Business Brew · video
Global Ship Lease, like Danaos, is a ship lessor whose locked-in contracted cash flows plus fleet demolition value exceed the current share price, and it collects fixed charter payments regardless of spot freight rate volatility or port congestion.
“I'm really bullish on a few of those because it's just a simple locked-in discounted cash flow sort of scenario”
90d -13.9% · 180d -14.0% · 1y -7.4%
J Mintzmyer Returns
2022-05-19
ZIM
bullish
The Business Brew · video
ZIM trades at ~1-1.5x earnings (below 1x ex-cash) with ~$25/share in cash, zero conventional debt, and 50% of trans-Pacific freight just locked in at 100-150% above prior-year rates, while its cost structure peaks in late 2022/early 2023 then declines as…
“I believe ZIM's fair value is about 75 dollars a share... I'm comfortable getting long again”
90d -21.8% · 180d -52.2% · 1y -54.9%
J Mintzmyer Returns
2022-05-19
DAC
bullish
The Business Brew · video
Danaos Corp trades at ~$80-85 vs. an intrinsic value of ~$115-120 computed purely from locked-in multi-year charter cash flows plus worst-case demolition value, while counterparty risk is near nil because liner customers (Zim, Maersk) are carrying record cash…
“the number of Danaos Corp's locked-in cash flows plus demolition is roughly 115 to 120... this company is massively underpriced”
90d -8.9% · 180d -23.8% · 1y -18.0%
J Mintzmyer Returns
2022-05-19
STNG
owns
The Business Brew · video
Scorpio Tankers benefits from non-discretionary product tanker demand (refined fuels for power generation and heating) that is relatively recession-resilient compared to container shipping, and the product tanker market had not yet been bid up like LNG…
“scorpio tankers stock symbol STG is the most liquid and I do have a long exposure to that name”
90d +35.7% · 180d +70.0% · 1y +73.1%
J Mintzmyer Returns
2022-05-19
TRTN
bullish
The Business Brew · video
Triton International, a container-box lessor, benefits from the same locked-lease structure as Textainer — fixed daily income unaffected by congestion, with lease rollovers and new underwriting repricing sharply higher in a record-tight container market.
“that's why I say they're winners”
90d +7.3% · 180d +9.8% · 1y +42.4%
J Mintzmyer Returns
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