Managing partner, Peterson Capital Management
4 dated public stances tracked since 2020-11-16, most recently 2022-06-27. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Matthew Peterson's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Matthew Peterson is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2022-06-27 | SRG | bullish | +51.6% | +102.6% | +51.9% |
| 2022-06-27 | DJCO | bullish | -9.2% | +9.7% | +8.2% |
| 2021-02-22 | DJCO | bullish | -7.9% | -6.2% | -2.8% |
| 2020-11-16 | DJCO | bullish | +21.0% | +11.0% | +39.3% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| DJCO | 3 | | 3 bullish | 2022-06-27 |
| SRG | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-06-27 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2022-06-27
DJCO
bullish
Guy Spier · video
Charlie Munger-run pseudo-SaaS business serving a large and sticky court/justice-system market with many moats, extraordinary off-balance-sheet goodwill, client-bears-no-cost-until-go-live model aligning incentives, and currently priced at a deep discount —…
“we may end up owning half a percent of one of maybe a duopoly that runs the american justice system”
90d -9.2% · 180d +9.7% · 1y +8.2%
How To Run A Hedge Fund (An Interview with Guy Spier of Aquamarine Capital)
2022-06-27
SRG
bullish
Guy Spier · video
Deeply misunderstood REIT repositioning legacy Sears assets across five strategic buckets — recycling capital from low-IRR liquidations into high-IRR densification projects creates asymmetric upside as market confusion depresses price well below intrinsic…
“the story is so misunderstood that the potential outcome is very asymmetric”
90d +51.6% · 180d +102.6% · 1y +51.9%
How To Run A Hedge Fund (An Interview with Guy Spier of Aquamarine Capital)
2021-02-22
DJCO
bullish
MOI Global · video
After backing out a $311M equity portfolio (56% BYD, plus US bank stocks), the market prices Journal Technologies — a sticky SaaS court/agency platform with deferred revenue from 4–7-year pre-go-live contracts — at under $200M, while comparable Tyler…
“a decade-long fisher compounder selling at below six times revenue”
90d -7.9% · 180d -6.2% · 1y -2.8%
DJCO MOI Best Ideas 2021 Matthew Peterson
2020-11-16
DJCO
bullish
The Acquirers Podcast · video
Daily Journal's ~$350M market cap is underpinned by a $200M+ equity portfolio—including a largely hidden BYD stake now worth over $100M—while its SaaS court-management software (e-Suites) carries hundreds of millions in deferred municipal revenue not on the…
“you're buying something for 350 you may get—you'll definitely get your 350 and you might get one and a half billion or more”
90d +21.0% · 180d +11.0% · 1y +39.3%
Structured Value: Matt Peterson on options and value with Tobias Carlisle on The Acquirers Podcast
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