VP & CIO, Rockefeller University
5 dated public stances tracked since 2022-11-07, most recently 2022-11-07. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Paula Volent's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Paula Volent is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2022-11-07 | China Equities | bearish | -30.5% | -23.1% | -12.1% |
| 2022-11-07 | BITCOIN | bullish | +11.5% | +41.5% | +72.1% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| BITCOIN | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-11-07 |
| China Equities | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2022-11-07 |
| Crypto Other | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-11-07 |
| LATIN AMERICA — NATURAL RESOURCES AND AGRICULTURE | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-11-07 |
| VENTURE CAPITAL — NEXT TWO VINTAGE YEARS | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2022-11-07 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2022-11-07
VENTURE CAPITAL — NEXT TWO VINTAGE YEARS
bullish
Delivering Alpha · video
Startup valuations have reset sharply and deal timelines have normalized, making the 2022-2023 vintage years likely to generate strong returns for new commitments
“venture capital, the next two vintage years may be really good ones because valuations are finally down”
Leading Alpha: "How To Invest" with David Rubenstein & Paula Volent at Delivering Alpha Summit 2022
2022-11-07
BITCOIN
bullish
Delivering Alpha · video
Bitcoin miners built capital-heavy facilities backed by Bitcoin as collateral; the crypto price collapse has distressed their debt, creating idiosyncratic deep-discount entry points in the debt stack
“distressed debt to Bitcoin miners... they built these facilities that need a lot of electricity... backed with collateralized with Bitcoin, which is down”
90d +11.5% · 180d +41.5% · 1y +72.1%
Leading Alpha: "How To Invest" with David Rubenstein & Paula Volent at Delivering Alpha Summit 2022
2022-11-07
Crypto Other
bullish
Delivering Alpha · video
Crypto exchange and infrastructure businesses capture value from the asset class without the binary currency risk, making them a superior way to gain digital-asset exposure versus holding coins directly
“the picks and shovels are more interesting than the actual currency the coins”
Leading Alpha: "How To Invest" with David Rubenstein & Paula Volent at Delivering Alpha Summit 2022
2022-11-07
LATIN AMERICA — NATURAL RESOURCES AND AGRICULTURE
bullish
Delivering Alpha · video
Moving capital away from Europe toward Latin America, which offers strong commodity and agricultural tailwinds as a counterweight to geopolitical risk elsewhere
“very strong in natural resources and ag... we're moving away from Europe to look in other geographies”
Leading Alpha: "How To Invest" with David Rubenstein & Paula Volent at Delivering Alpha Summit 2022
2022-11-07
China Equities
bearish
Delivering Alpha · video
Geopolitical risk — particularly the Taiwan hard-line stance — prompted a deliberate reduction in China allocation at the portfolio level
“our investment committee asked us to cut back on China just because of the geopolitical risk”
90d -30.5% · 180d -23.1% · 1y -12.1%
Leading Alpha: "How To Invest" with David Rubenstein & Paula Volent at Delivering Alpha Summit 2022
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