Founder, CEO & CIO, Valor Equity Partners
4 dated public stances tracked since 2024-02-23, most recently 2026-03-20. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Antonio Gracias's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Antonio Gracias is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2026-03-20 | TSLA | bullish | +8.8% | -2.7% | — |
| 2025-02-07 | GOOGL | bullish | -16.7% | +6.1% | +75.7% |
| 2024-02-23 | TSLA | bullish | -9.5% | +16.3% | +72.2% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| TSLA | 2 | | 2 bullish | 2026-03-20 |
| GOOGL | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2025-02-07 |
| LEVERAGED SOFTWARE BUYOUT HIGH-YIELD DEBT | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2026-03-20 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-03-20
LEVERAGED SOFTWARE BUYOUT HIGH-YIELD DEBT
bearish
Gavin Baker · video
AI-driven disruption will destroy the revenue base of SaaS companies acquired in LBOs over the last two years, making their 3–4x levered high-yield debt extremely risky as the fundamental business erodes
“I'd be very worried if I were holding the three or four times levered high-yield security for a buyout done by a software firm two years ago”
AI, Tesla, Defense & Energy: What Comes Next? | Antonio Gracias & Gavin Baker
2026-03-20
TSLA
bullish
Gavin Baker · video
Tesla's Autopilot is the most advanced and token-efficient AI in the world today — doing the most complex human task on ~20-50W at the edge with no cloud access — which establishes the technology and architecture leadership that will power Optimus and define…
“Tesla actually has today the most advanced AI in the world. It does the most complex thing a human does, drive a car.”
90d +8.8% · 180d -2.7%
AI, Tesla, Defense & Energy: What Comes Next? | Antonio Gracias & Gavin Baker
2025-02-07
GOOGL
bullish
All-In Podcast · video
Google will win in AI because custom tensor chips, ROIC focus, and a durable ad-monetization monopoly fund continued investment at the highest return on capital among hyperscalers
“Google will also win because they have their tensor flow chips...they have a great Monopoly to kind of fund it all”
90d -16.7% · 180d +6.1% · 1y +75.7%
DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
2024-02-23
TSLA
bullish
Gavin Baker · video
Tesla's FSD v12 drives like a human and Optimus creates a closed reinforcement-learning loop between driving data and factory robotics, positioning Tesla for an AI/robotics re-rating to a $2T enterprise value rather than being valued as an EV company
“I think Tesla will be the next public company you see p $2 Enterprise value... as an AI company not as an EV company”
90d -9.5% · 180d +16.3% · 1y +72.2%
Rise of the Gigafirm: What will be the next trillion-dollar tech company? #FIIPRIORITY
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