Investors / stance tracking
What Brett Schaefer is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowCo-host, Chit Chat Stocks
Media
16 dated public stances tracked since 2024-09-05, most recently 2026-06-10. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Brett Schaefer's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Brett Schaefer is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Think we got something wrong? Report a misattribution — we correct it or take it down.
16
tracked stances
15
themes
0
side flips
2026-06-10
last heard
Returns 90d +9.8% 75% correct · 12 calls · 180d +13.4% 73% correct · 11 calls · 1y +22.1% 83% correct · 6 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | CRM | bullish | +46.1% | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | MELI | bullish | -3.5% | +11.0% | — |
| 2026-02-27 | CPNG | bullish | -15.1% | -13.4% | — |
| 2026-02-27 | AXP | bullish | +2.3% | +9.5% | — |
| 2026-02-27 | ABNB | bullish | -0.5% | +39.2% | — |
| 2026-01-29 | AMZN | bullish | +8.8% | -4.5% | — |
| 2025-01-29 | OMAB | bullish | +9.7% | +33.5% | +57.5% |
| 2024-09-25 | long V / long MA / long AXP | basket | +14.4% | +14.8% | +23.6% |
| 2024-09-25 | FICO | bullish | +10.2% | -0.6% | -18.9% |
| 2024-09-05 | PM | bullish | +5.4% | +25.7% | +34.1% |
| 2024-09-05 | PCAR | bullish | +28.2% | +13.4% | +11.4% |
| 2024-09-05 | CME | bullish | +11.3% | +18.9% | +24.8% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-02-27 | |
| AMZN | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-01-29 | |
| AXP | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-02-27 | |
| CME | 1 | 1 bullish | 2024-09-05 | |
| CPNG | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-02-27 | |
| CRM | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-06-10 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
Salesforce at ~21x earnings offers better capital efficiency and comparable or faster growth than O'Reilly at ~29x, making it a sensible rotation into a higher-quality compounder at a lower multiple
“Salesforce can probably with more capital efficiency grow slightly faster than O'Reilly”
90d +46.1%
Chuck Akre: Betting Big On Quality Stocks ($AMT, $CSU, And?) - PODCAST
AI will reduce Airbnb's customer support costs from roughly 10% of revenue to ~2% as automation scales from the current one-third to full coverage, while the 9-million-host supply moat makes the platform impossible for AI agents to disintermediate
“They've already fully automated a third of customer support queries. Eventually, they're going to have that at 100%.”
90d -0.5% · 180d +39.2%
AI Market Meltdown; MercadoLibre + Coupang Earnings; Celebrating 200 Power Hour Episodes!
MercadoLibre is intentionally compressing margins to accelerate e-commerce infrastructure in Latin America where penetration is half of developed markets, trading at roughly 20x depressed earnings while growing 47% FX-neutral, with advertising monetization…
“investors just really worried about temporary margin compression because you look at the stock here, it's turning at 20 something times earnings, depressed earnings”
90d -3.5% · 180d +11.0%
AI Market Meltdown; MercadoLibre + Coupang Earnings; Celebrating 200 Power Hour Episodes!
The data breach scandal affecting only 2,600 lobby codes with zero financial data exploited was politically amplified and will blow over as consumers prioritize Coupang's one-hour grocery delivery over a one-day shelter-in-place headline, with stabilization…
“I trust the founder... I think a year from now volume will be higher.”
90d -15.1% · 180d -13.4%
AI Market Meltdown; MercadoLibre + Coupang Earnings; Celebrating 200 Power Hour Episodes!
2026-02-27
MEXICAN AIRPORT STOCKS
bullish
Chit Chat Stocks · video
The cartel-related violence following the killing of the Jalisco New Generation leader was an isolated one-day event with no sustained follow-on, making the stock drawdown an overreaction, with the FIFA World Cup in Guadalajara and Monterrey providing a…
“I think a year from now volume will be higher. Travel volume to most of the Mexican airports will be higher.”
AI Market Meltdown; MercadoLibre + Coupang Earnings; Celebrating 200 Power Hour Episodes!
The AI-agent disintermediation thesis for American Express is wrong because the real moat is an irreplicable partner network — Hilton, Marriott, Delta, Centurion lounges, 150M cards in distribution — not interchange fees alone; the legitimate risk is…
“How are you going to replicate the long-standing relationship with Hilton and Marriott? How are you going to replicate that relationship with Delta?”
90d +2.3% · 180d +9.5%
AI Market Meltdown; MercadoLibre + Coupang Earnings; Celebrating 200 Power Hour Episodes!
Amazon is the only big tech stock worth buying today, with ongoing efficiency gains from headcount reductions and a material Anthropic stake providing AI upside
“I'd buy Amazon. That's it.”
90d +8.8% · 180d -4.5%
Meta, Microsoft, and Tesla; Silver/Gold and Dollar Debasement; Burry's Wild GameStop Pitch $GME
2025-01-29
OMAB
bullish
Chit Chat Stocks · video
Government-sanctioned northern Mexico airport monopoly trading at ~10x FCF with an inflation-repricing MDP renewal coming in 2026, a reshoring-driven Monterrey traffic boom, and management that returns essentially all excess cash as dividends
“it hits all three of the criteria... high quality business, cheap valuation, and a management team I can trust”
90d +9.7% · 180d +33.5% · 1y +57.5%
I Bought The Highest Quality Stock In Mexico (And It Trades At 10x Earnings)
2025-01-29
GAPB
bullish
Chit Chat Stocks · video
Pacific Mexico airport operator owning Tijuana, Guadalajara, Puerto Vallarta, and Cabo already negotiated a large inflation-adjusted MDP fee increase for 2025-2029, demonstrating the same pricing-power dynamic as OMAB
“the Pacific one I think is also fairly attractive”
I Bought The Highest Quality Stock In Mexico (And It Trades At 10x Earnings)
2024-09-25
long V / long MA / long AXP
basket
Chit Chat Stocks · video
Payment networks have the most durable two-sided network effects — cardholders and merchants reinforce each other, creating a moat competitors can only attack by building an entirely new network from scratch
“every time I cover Network effects I feel like I should just own Visa Mastercard American Express go to the beach”
90d +14.4% · 180d +14.8% · 1y +23.6%
PAT DORSEY: Buy Wide Moat Stocks (How To Win)
FICO holds regulatory capture, brand, and switching costs simultaneously — a rare triple-moat, capital-light business that is underappreciated and under-discussed relative to its actual competitive strength
“one of the moatiest businesses in the world apparently under-discussed”
90d +10.2% · 180d -0.6% · 1y -18.9%
PAT DORSEY: Buy Wide Moat Stocks (How To Win)
2024-09-25
TOBACCO STOCKS
bullish
Chit Chat Stocks · video
Cigarette companies benefit from both brand moat and structural regulatory capture via the Master Settlement Agreement, which banned new-brand marketing and locked in incumbent share, enabling above-inflation annual price increases indefinitely
“the cigarette companies again make a lot of sense because you have the combination of brand value and regulatory capture”
PAT DORSEY: Buy Wide Moat Stocks (How To Win)
Mix shift toward reduced-risk products is returning Philip Morris to volume growth, supporting expected double-digit earnings growth while the stock yields over 4%
“I expect this is a business that can grow their earnings in double digit percent range for the foreseeable future”
90d +5.4% · 180d +25.7% · 1y +34.1%
6 Growing Stocks With a 4% Dividend Yield; Dollar Tree and Celsius Stock Collapses; Founder Mode?
Commercial truck manufacturer with 16% EPS CAGR over five years that returns substantial capital via special dividends, yielding roughly 4.6% on a trailing basis
90d +28.2% · 180d +13.4% · 1y +11.4%
6 Growing Stocks With a 4% Dividend Yield; Dollar Tree and Celsius Stock Collapses; Founder Mode?
Wide-moat derivatives marketplace with durable fee-based economics, 11.6% FCF-per-share CAGR since 2014, and a ~4.7% dividend yield that consistently appears on wide-moat stock lists
“CME Group's probably one of the most attractive ones on this list”
90d +11.3% · 180d +18.9% · 1y +24.8%
6 Growing Stocks With a 4% Dividend Yield; Dollar Tree and Celsius Stock Collapses; Founder Mode?
2024-09-05
OTCM
bullish
Chit Chat Stocks · video
Subscription-based OTC exchange infrastructure with a genuine network-effect moat, 10.3% revenue CAGR over 10 years, founder-led management, ~17x EBIT valuation, and a 4.7% dividend yield at under $600M market cap
“I find it quite rare to find a small cap with like a true moat”
6 Growing Stocks With a 4% Dividend Yield; Dollar Tree and Celsius Stock Collapses; Founder Mode?
Idea Scout Weekly
Every Sunday: who said what across the tape we track — 1766 voices, 5,177 episodes and articles — with side-flips and points of disagreement called out. Free. How we track it.
Free · double opt-in · unsubscribe in one click