The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Jack Farley's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Jack Farley is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
2026-10-23
long SEMIS / short SPACEX
hedge
Monetary Matters · video
Semiconductors are the superior vehicle for AI-cycle earnings exposure versus NeoClouds; long semis as the core while shorting SpaceX (a neocloud at 100x revenues) to reduce beta and hedge the froth.
“we're also short SpaceX but against semis. So, we have like way more semi-longs.”
George Noble: AI Hyperscaler Earnings Go NEGATIVE by 2030
2026-10-23
LRCX
bullish
Monetary Matters · video
Lam Research's strong balance sheet and central role in semiconductor equipment make it a better-quality expression of the AI capex cycle than NeoClouds, with an imminent earnings catalyst.
“I can talk about the balance sheet of lam research which I'm bullish on”
George Noble: AI Hyperscaler Earnings Go NEGATIVE by 2030
2026-06-20
META
bearish
Jim Chanos · video
Meta's AI strategy is fundamentally misconceived as a business proposition, and while the bearish view is slowly becoming consensus the underlying skepticism is warranted
“Meta's AI strategy makes no sense to me whatsoever... definitely consider me a bear on the stock”
90d -18.1%
Accounting Mismatch in AI Profits | Jim Chanos and Val Zlatev on Long/Short Alpha in AI & Semis
2026-06-20
NVDA
bullish
Jim Chanos · video
Nvidia is the dominant platform of the AI infrastructure build-out, trades at cheap multiples relative to the earnings surge driven by hyperscaler CapEx spending, and is the clearest single-name expression of AI semiconductor earnings power in an…
“the name that I'm most excited about right now, I would say Nvidia”
90d +6.6%
Accounting Mismatch in AI Profits | Jim Chanos and Val Zlatev on Long/Short Alpha in AI & Semis
2025-04-11
short Big Tech / long BITCOIN
pair
Forward Guidance · video
In an economic war framework where rest-of-world fiscal spending expands to offset US pullback and global liquidity is added to avoid financial breakdown, Bitcoin benefits more from the liquidity impulse than US tech earnings-dependent NASDAQ
“this trade I keep...short NASDAQ, long Bitcoin idea...it ties into a lot of those ideas”
90d +8.3% · 180d +6.5% · 1y -24.5%
The Trump Put Is In The Bond Market | Weekly Roundup
2025-04-11
Long Dur Treasuries
bullish
Forward Guidance · video
Crypto Twitter being crowded short bonds is a contrarian signal, and the inflation data — oil down 25%, super-core CPI at cycle lows, inflation swaps falling — supports lower yields
“crypto Twitter is short bonds right now...you almost got to just put some lunch money on the other side of that just because out of principle”
90d +1.2% · 180d +5.0% · 1y +4.4%
The Trump Put Is In The Bond Market | Weekly Roundup
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