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Both said the days after Meta's October 21 earnings, when the stock fell on higher spending.
Nathanson, who rates Meta a buy, said the core ad business alone is worth about $900 a share with nothing for Muse or the AI models, and trades below the market multiple.
Eisman called the results strong but pointed to about $825 billion of future lease and computing commitments from a company that, he said, no longer has positive cash flow.
Editorial summaries of public statements. Dates belong to the cited sources; they are not trade execution dates.
Every dot is a day someone on the record made a call. Hover one to see who. We are not scoring them — the point is that you can see it and judge for yourself.
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt)CIO, Seymour Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's equity offering being roughly 25x oversubscribed is a major institutional show of confidence that… |
| 2026-10-27 | Jim Cramer (CNBC)Host, CNBC's Mad Money | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | META's $60B at-the-money equity offering program will drag the stock lower because brokerage-house ATM… |
| 2026-10-27 | Ron Josey | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's AI investments are improving engagement and recommendations while Muse and WhatsApp agents create… |
| 2026-10-27 | Ronald Josie | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's distribution to nearly 3.7 billion daily users should accelerate adoption of Muse and new AI tools… |
| 2026-10-27 | Jim Cramer (CNBC)Host, CNBC's Mad Money | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's planned at-the-market share issuance is likely to cap rallies because ongoing selling adds supply… |
| 2026-10-26 | Ayako YoshiokaPortfolio consulting director, Wealth Enhancement Group | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta is still showing growth and beginning to see returns on its AI capital spending; the market's… |
| 2026-10-26 | Liz Peake | Bearish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta's $125 billion AI CAPEX commitment sent the stock lower because Wall Street is finally questioning ROI… |
| 2026-10-26 | Jim Cramer (CNBC)Host, CNBC's Mad Money | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's at-the-market offering of up to $60B in new Class C shares creates persistent stock overhang that will… |
| 2026-10-26 | Unknown | Bearish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta faces a state-by-state regulatory avalanche and worldwide consequences because management is knowingly… |
| 2026-10-26 | Unknown | Bearish | Fox Business (uncut) | Management is knowingly programming addictive behavior and ignoring data takedown obligations, creating risk… |
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Meta's post-earnings selloff was an overreaction driven by market-wide credit nervousness rather than any… |
| 2026-10-23 | Diggan | Bearish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta issuing equity instead of debt to fund AI CapEx is an admission it cannot safely borrow at current… |
| 2026-10-23 | Marcus | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta's existing consumer base across Instagram, Facebook, and emerging platforms gives it disproportionate… |
| 2026-10-23 | Michael Sansoterra | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Meta is the closest company to becoming a fourth hyperscaler because it attracted frontier-model talent… |
| 2026-10-23 | Rob LunaCEO, Valtrion | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Heavy AI spend criticism is misplaced because Meta's proprietary data advantage makes AI spend directly… |
| 2026-10-23 | Stephanie Link (Hightower)Chief Investment Strategist, Hightower | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Near-4 billion user base provides long monetization runway for Muse, OpEx came in better than feared, and 19x… |
| 2026-10-23 | Jason SnipeCIO, Odyssey Capital Advisors | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | Pro forma Muse monetization does not currently cover the cost of capital, and expense growth running faster… |
| 2026-10-23 | John Belton | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | AI is materially accelerating Meta's digital advertising business at scale and the market is… |
| 2026-10-23 | Carter WorthMarket technician, Worth Charting | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | After a 50% run from $525 to $775 and a subsequent 18% sell-off, META's sequencing leaves it at a level where… |
| 2026-10-23 | Steve EismanHost, The Real Eisman Playbook; former PM, Neuberger Berman | Bearish | Steve Eisman (newest) | LLM and agentic AI apps have no moats so Meta's AI-driven momentum is temporary, while an $825B future… |
| 2026-10-23 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Liz Ann Sonders (newest) | Meta's selloff in response to higher capex and equity issuance without voting rights was a sentiment-driven… |
| 2026-10-23 | Gene MunsterManaging Partner, Deepwater Asset Mgmt | Bullish | Gene Munster (newest) | Meta's aggressive AI CapEx is justified because early Meta AI usage is growing fast enough that Zuckerberg… |
| 2026-10-23 | Cathie WoodCEO & CIO, ARK Invest | Bullish | Global Money Talk | Meta's Muse AI agent is the dominant consumer AI product (28 consecutive days as #1 iOS productivity app, 2M… |
| 2026-10-22 | Nick JonesSenior U.S. Internet Analyst, BNP Paribas | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Meta's massive distribution, improving advertising funnel and AI-driven gains in impressions and pricing… |
| 2026-10-22 | Nick JonesSenior U.S. Internet Analyst, BNP Paribas | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Meta's massive distribution, strengthening advertising funnel and AI-driven gains in impressions and pricing… |
| 2026-10-22 | Michael Nathanson | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Meta's core advertising business is worth about $900 per share because AI-driven improvements have sustained… |
| 2026-10-22 | Mandeep SinghGlobal head of tech research, Bloomberg Intelligence | Bearish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Open-ended AI spending, negative free cash flow, potential equity dilution, and increasingly expensive debt… |
| 2026-10-22 | Gil | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's early AI investments are accelerating digital-ad growth and taking share from Google, while… |
| 2026-10-22 | Laura MartinSenior internet & media analyst, Needham & Company | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's AI investment is accelerating core advertising revenue, reducing headcount costs, improving… |
| 2026-10-22 | Nancy TenglerCEO & CIO, Laffer Tengler Investments | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Meta now trades more like a value stock, while Muse could become a game-changing revenue stream comparable to… |
| 2026-10-22 | Gene MunsterManaging Partner, Deepwater Asset Mgmt | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta’s AI products are transformative and its sharply rising capital spending should pay off as adoption and… |
| 2026-10-22 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | META is accelerating its AI-driven business (Llama democratizing agents), holds $80B cash with no net… |
| 2026-10-22 | Rob Sechan (NewEdge Wealth)Co-founder & CEO, NewEdge Wealth | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's AI capex surge is justified by proven AI monetization and inelastic enterprise demand for AI… |
| 2026-10-22 | Malcolm Ethridge (CIC Wealth)Wealth advisor & CNBC contributor | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | Market has zero tolerance for hyperscalers going cashflow negative, and the unexplained early earnings call… |
| 2026-10-22 | Dan GreenhausChief economist & strategist, Solus Alternative Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's ~$83B cash against only ~$84B debt and still-rising CapEx make it and the other hyperscalers… |
| 2026-10-22 | Lou BasenesePresident & chief market strategist, MDB Capital Holdings | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | 86% of Meta's recent patent filings are in Reality Labs, signaling Zuckerberg is going all-in on AI wearables… |
| 2026-10-22 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's Q3 results are a validation moment for the AI monetization thesis — Muse's early traction and… |
| 2026-10-22 | Barbara DoranCEO & CIO, BD8 Capital Partners | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Muse shifts Meta's model from ad-dependent to transaction-based revenue, which will be highly profitable… |
| 2026-10-22 | Adam JohnsonFounder & Portfolio Manager, Bullseye Investment Group | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta's debt issuance to fund capex is being misread by a market that has conflated corporate debt with… |
| 2026-10-22 | Brad Erikson | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's Q3 growth and Q4 guidance are strong enough to underwrite the stock at current levels despite upcoming… |
| 2026-10-22 | Michael Morris | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's Q3 operating results were strong and the Muse AI agent is a transformative monetization platform with… |
| 2026-10-22 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's AI assistant (Muse) is demonstrably accelerating its business, the $80B cash balance and zero net… |
| 2026-10-22 | Michael Nathanson | Bullish | Bloomberg Open Interest | Core ad business alone justifies roughly $900/share at a below-market multiple, with AI investments already… |
| 2026-10-22 | Gene MunsterManaging Partner, Deepwater Asset Mgmt | Bullish | Gene Munster (newest) | Meta's AI spend is converting to real, measurable usage growth (10M daily AI users, full business pivot to AI… |
| 2026-10-22 | Nick JonesSenior U.S. Internet Analyst, BNP Paribas | Bullish | Bloomberg Surveillance | META's core ad business continues to compound via AI-driven impression and pricing gains, and Muse is… |
| 2026-10-22 | Gene MunsterManaging Partner, Deepwater Asset Mgmt | Bullish | Gene Munster (newest) | Meta's Muse personalized-bot platform is the company's future, converting a 3.65B-user base into a… |
| 2026-10-21 | Ron Josey | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Muse agent adoption is gaining real traction as a daily internet driver, management is executing a credible… |
| 2026-10-21 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's advertising growth and monetization of Muse across its massive installed base could add $100-$150 per… |
| 2026-10-21 | Bryn Talkington (Requisite)Managing Partner, Requisite Capital | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Rapid enthusiasm and adoption for Muse create a large consumer opportunity that should outweigh investor… |
| 2026-10-21 | Ron Josey | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta's strong advertising revenue and engagement can finance its AI investments, while greater visibility… |
| 2026-10-21 | Kyle ReidheadCo-owner & head of research, Milk Road | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta's improving models and Muse strategy support its long-term direction, although monetization will take… |
| 2026-10-21 | Jenny Harrington (Gilman Hill)CEO, Gilman Hill Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Meta is profitably applying AI better than peers, with expected 24% earnings growth, a roughly 21-times… |
| 2026-10-21 | Steve Weiss (Short Hills)Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Meta is demonstrating that AI can increase revenue and cash flow, supporting a permanent core holding while… |
| 2026-10-21 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Meta's AI spending is now producing advertising monetization across a 3.5-billion-user installed base… |
| 2026-10-21 | Libby Leffler | Bullish | Bloomberg The Close | Muse's rapid adoption, enterprise integrations, and potential subscription and transaction revenue give Meta… |
| 2026-10-21 | Brent Thill | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's Muse AI assistant is a killer app driving multi-vector monetization — incremental advertising… |
| 2026-10-21 | Marta Norton | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | AI investments are already compounding in the core ad business with 23% price increases in US/Canada, while… |
| 2026-10-21 | Dan Nathan (RiskReversal)Trader & co-host, RiskReversal Media | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | Muse monetization remains unproven, new non-voting stock class signals future equity dilution, and free cash… |
| 2026-10-21 | Gene MunsterManaging Partner, Deepwater Asset Mgmt | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Muse is converting Meta's 3.65 billion-user base into a new personalized-agent platform and the future of… |
| 2026-10-21 | Yusef Scully | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | AI investments have already inflected revenue growth from mid-teens to 27%, and Muse can add $28-30B in… |
| 2026-10-20 | Mandeep SinghGlobal head of tech research, Bloomberg Intelligence | Neutral | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Good news is already priced into META after the stock's run-up, and an expected CapEx increase will not be… |
| 2026-10-19 | Rich GreenfieldPartner and Media & Technology Analyst, LightShed Partners | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Meta's Muse AI product creates a new consumer utility platform with advertising and affiliate monetization… |
| 2026-10-19 | Kelly KowalskiHead of Investment Strategy, MassMutual | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Hyperscaler credit spreads have remained stable (inside 150bp for sub-10yr debt) even as neocloud spreads… |
| 2026-10-19 | Chris VerroneChief market strategist, Baird Strategas | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Bearish chart setup never broke, which is historically bullish, and the stock has turned powerfully over the… |
| 2026-10-19 | Jim Cramer (CNBC)Host, CNBC's Mad Money | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta is positioned to deliver a strong quarterly earnings report relative to current depressed market… |
| 2026-10-19 | Anastasia AmorosoChief Investment Strategist, iCapital | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta can provide the market's first tangible evidence of AI ROI through digital and sales-marketing payoffs… |
| 2026-10-19 | Keith FitzPrincipal, Fitz-Gerald Group | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Personally unwilling to own due to CEO trust deficit: repeated privacy violations, fraud liability ruling in… |
| 2026-10-19 | Ted ThatcherFounder and President, Bright Lake Wealth Management | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Key regulatory headwinds now in the rearview mirror, already reflected in the price; Jensen Huang's view that… |
| 2026-10-19 | Chris VerroneChief market strategist, Baird Strategas | Bullish | Bloomberg Open Interest | Meta has a strong chart, has refused to break down under recent selling pressure, and consistently acts as a… |
| 2026-10-19 | Jason WareCIO, Albion Financial Group | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Meta's AI CapEx story is finally becoming legible to the Street and agentic AI (driven by Muse) represents a… |
| 2026-10-19 | Rich GreenfieldPartner and Media & Technology Analyst, LightShed Partners | Bullish | Bloomberg Surveillance | Muse AI agent restores Meta's utility-platform flywheel, strengthens the core advertising business, opens… |
| 2026-10-16 | Rob Sechan (NewEdge Wealth)Co-founder & CEO, NewEdge Wealth | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta is the cheapest large-cap owner of direct customer relationships in the application layer, which… |
| 2026-10-16 | Victoria GreenFounding Partner & CIO, G Squared Private Wealth | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta is executing well on AI with 3.6 billion daily users across platforms, and Muse provides a durable… |
| 2026-10-16 | Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt)CIO, Seymour Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's valuation is far from expensive after its run and the stock looks interesting here as a quality… |
| 2026-10-16 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Dan Ives (newest) | Meta's Muse open-source AI model is a technology game-changer, and the new Apple-Meta partnership gives Meta… |
| 2026-10-15 | Mark MahaneySenior Managing Director and Head of Internet Research, Evercore ISI | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's Llama-based consumer AI product has decisively captured the consumer AI market with no credible… |
| 2026-10-15 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's Muse technology and agentic AI access on Instagram represent a genuine first-mover advantage, and the… |
| 2026-10-14 | Rich GreenfieldPartner and Media & Technology Analyst, LightShed Partners | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Muse AI agent is driving persistent consumer trust and engagement, including payment and file access, making… |
| 2026-10-14 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's massive install base positions it as a consumer AI toll collector, and Muse is driving meaningful… |
| 2026-10-14 | Brent Thill | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Meta's Muse agent is the closest thing to a consumer killer app seen in years, and first-mover advantage in… |
| 2026-10-13 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Dan Ives (newest) | Meta's new AI rollout is a game changer because it monetizes 3.6 billion users in a way skeptics who doubted… |
| 2026-10-13 | Rob Sechan (NewEdge Wealth)Co-founder & CEO, NewEdge Wealth | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Meta is the best-performing mega-cap over the past month while remaining the cheapest on valuation, with new… |
| 2026-10-12 | Martin ShkreliCo-founder, DL Software (Godel Terminal) | Bullish | All-In Podcast | Meta has the distribution scale (through Muse/Llama) and proven product execution ability to capture outsized… |
| 2026-10-12 | Chris DavisChairman, Davis Advisors | Bullish | Excess Returns Clips | Every dollar Meta reinvests in AI directly amplifies its existing ad business, meaning AI capex creates… |
| 2026-10-12 | Mike NovogratzFounder/CEO, Galaxy Digital | Bullish | Money Rehab with Nicole Lapin | Mag 7 AI infrastructure beneficiaries still making fortunes and the AI bubble has not had its blow-off top… |
| 2026-10-11 | Unknown | Bullish | The Real Eisman Playbook | Meta's Muse AI app has dethroned ChatGPT as the #1 downloaded app with hundreds of thousands of daily… |
| 2026-10-06 | Nancy TenglerCEO & CIO, Laffer Tengler Investments | Bullish | Bloomberg Open Interest | Meta is now showing it can monetize its AI capex spend via the Muse enterprise product, reversing the bear… |
| 2026-10-06 | Andrew Huberman | Bullish | Invest Like the Best | Meta, OpenAI, and Anthropic are fundamentally neurotech/biotech companies in disguise — their real arms race… |
| 2026-10-02 | Ed ElsonCo-host, The Prof G Pod | Bullish | The Compound | Meta stock became deeply oversold and Zuckerberg demonstrated responsible AI development by holding Muse… |
| 2026-10-01 | George Blue Cloud TradingHost, Blue Cloud Trading | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Meta is forming a bullish pennant pattern on the daily chart after a strong prior uptrend, stalling at the… |
| 2026-09-28 | Sarah KunstManaging director, Cleo Capital | Bullish | Bloomberg Surveillance | Meta generates substantial profits from core advertising businesses entirely independent of AI, and AI… |
| 2026-09-26 | Madison AlworthCorrespondent, Fox Business Network | Bullish | Fox Making Money (playlist) | Meta's AI companion wearable (Muse) gives it a hardware-plus-ecosystem path to replace the smartphone… |
| 2026-09-24 | Guy Adami (RiskReversal)Trader & CNBC Fast Money panelist | Bearish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Meta's 40% move from 550 to 750+ in one month has already priced in the Muse personal-agent catalyst… |
| 2026-09-22 | Josh Brown (Ritholtz)CEO, Ritholtz Wealth Management | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Meta's narrative has fully shifted from 'wasted $200B on AI' to dominant free AI monetization across WhatsApp… |
| 2026-09-22 | Ken GawrelskiMD & internet equity analyst, Wells Fargo Securities | Bullish | Bloomberg Surveillance | Meta's Muse AI agent marks a genuine transition from enterprise chatbots to consumer AI assistants—a 'new… |
| 2026-09-20 | Rob VinallFounder & managing director, RV Capital | Bullish | We Study Billionaires | Meta's Zuckerberg is a deeply committed founder executing an extraordinarily difficult balancing act from… |
| 2026-09-16 | Dan Nathan (RiskReversal)Trader & co-host, RiskReversal Media | Bearish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Margin compression from mounting AI infrastructure spend (gross margins declining from 82% toward 78% by… |
| 2026-09-14 | Sarah KunstManaging director, Cleo Capital | Bullish | Bloomberg Surveillance | Meta's open-weight model strategy insulates it from the pricing threat posed by cheap Chinese AI that… |
| 2026-09-08 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | William Green | Richer, Wiser, Happier | Meta was irrationally sold off after Cambridge Analytica on purely emotional/anecdotal negativity while its… |
| 2026-09-04 | Unknown | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Meta's pivot to offering AI models demonstrates Zuckerberg's ability to navigate AI opportunities, and the… |
| 2026-08-18 | Ben ThompsonFounder & author, Stratechery | Bullish | Invest Like the Best | Meta's advertising business is structurally undervalued — free user-generated content means near-zero content… |
| 2026-08-18 | Stephanie Link (Hightower)Chief Investment Strategist, Hightower | Bearish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Meta is spending excessively with no clear path to operating leverage, and faces a significant legal overhang… |
| 2026-07-27 | Steve Weiss (Short Hills)Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Meta's increased AI capex is already well-known and priced in, while core business fundamentals remain… |
| 2026-07-20 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | Money News Network | Meta is a cheap, high-quality business that is a beneficiary of AI and will compound at high rates, making it… |
| 2026-07-11 | Tom Lee (Fundstrat)Co-founder & head of research, Fundstrat | Bullish | Tom Lee | Meta's proven track record of making existential pivots — desktop to mobile advertising, user content to… |
| 2026-07-10 | Steve Weiss (Short Hills)Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners | Bullish | CNBC Television | Zuckerberg's visionary leadership gives Meta a structural edge over manager-led Mag 7 peers in AI… |
| 2026-07-10 | Kevin Simpson (Capital Wealth)Founder & CIO, Capital Wealth Planning | Bullish | CNBC Television | Meta has shifted from blind AI spend toward a monetizable path — selling excess compute capacity like… |
| 2026-07-09 | Jim Cramer (CNBC)Host, CNBC's Mad Money | Bullish | CNBC Television | Zuckerberg's massive capex on custom chips and data centers likely targets a profitable new revenue… |
| 2026-07-06 | Pat DorseyFounder & Portfolio Manager, Dorsey Asset Management | Bullish | Capital Allocators | Meta has maintained a durable social media moat across platform shifts while never reaching extreme… |
| 2026-07-03 | Brian Belski (BMO)Chief Investment Strategist, BMO | Bullish | The Compound | Meta fits Belski's value framework of operationally-tripped companies with great core assets — the… |
| 2026-07-01 | Ben CarlsonDirector of institutional AM, Ritholtz Wealth | Bullish | The Compound | Hyperscalers have re-rated down to market multiples with free cash flow projections collapsing to near zero… |
| 2026-06-29 | Jenny Harrington (Gilman Hill)CEO, Gilman Hill Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | After a ~6% pullback last week, Meta reached an attractive entry point and was added to growth portfolios… |
| 2026-06-25 | Stephanie Link (Hightower)Chief Investment Strategist, Hightower | Bearish | Tom Lee | Meta's free cash flow is falling as the company accelerates AI spending and taps both debt and equity markets… |
| 2026-06-21 | Hari RamachandraInvestor & Author, BitsBusiness | Bullish | We Study Billionaires | Meta's advertising dominance (on pace to surpass Google in ad revenue), walled-garden data advantage for… |
| 2026-06-21 | Chris DavisChairman, Davis Advisors | Neutral | Excess Returns Clips | Davis has trimmed ~75% of his Meta position because modeled forward IRR has compressed from ~14% to ~4-5%… |
| 2026-06-20 | Jack FarleyHost, Monetary Matters | Bearish | Jim Chanos | Meta's AI strategy is fundamentally misconceived as a business proposition, and while the bearish view is… |
| 2026-06-17 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | AJ Bell | Meta's growth has dramatically accelerated as an AI beneficiary — advertisers are getting higher returns on… |
| 2026-06-05 | Tom Lee (Fundstrat)Co-founder & head of research, Fundstrat | Bullish | Tom Lee | Major AI companies are building large-scale infrastructure that remains underfunded relative to the… |
| 2026-06-03 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | All-In Podcast | Meta is being treated as an 'old-fashioned' company by markets rotating into pure-play AI names, depressing… |
| 2026-05-20 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | Invest Like The Best | Zuckerberg is the only true internet-era CEO to have genuinely transformed his company into an AI-first… |
| 2026-05-11 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | TorontoWealthGroup | AI is materially improving advertiser ROI on Meta's platform, which drives ad-spend growth and makes Meta's… |
| 2026-05-10 | Myles KuahFounder, Value Zoomer | Bullish | Sunday's Idea Brunch | META controls high-quality, targetable ad inventory that becomes more valuable as AI floods the internet with… |
| 2026-05-10 | Ale Ale S World Of StocksHost, Ale's World of Stocks (YouTube) | Bullish | Cathie Wood | Near-term CapEx-driven selloff is a buying opportunity because Meta's $145B AI infrastructure build is… |
| 2026-05-06 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | Guy Spier | Meta is undervalued because the market gives it no credit for its massive data-center capex build-out —… |
| 2026-03-19 | François RochonPresident & Portfolio Manager, Giverny Capital | Bullish | Francois Rochon | Meta has extracted more ROI from AI than any company Rochon follows — AI-driven ad targeting enabled higher… |
| 2026-03-17 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bearish | Fundsmith LLP UK | Despite being a strong prior performer, AI capex at 91% of free cash flow creates the same structural concern… |
| 2026-02-09 | Steve Weiss (Short Hills)Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Meta stands out as genuinely cheap relative to other high-multiple AI-narrative names where valuations are… |
| 2026-01-02 | Clay FinckPodcast host — The Investor's Podcast | Bullish | We Study Billionaires | Meta's AI investments are already delivering measurable ROI through improved ad targeting and engagement (ad… |
| 2025-12-22 | Stephanie Link (Hightower)Chief Investment Strategist, Hightower | Bullish | Tom Lee | Meta is still 6% off highs, wins from AI in its ad and messaging businesses, metaverse cost cuts add… |
| 2025-12-16 | Jim ChanosShort seller — Chanos & Co (family office) | Bullish | The Monetary Matters Network | Meta is one of only two hyperscalers earning above its incremental cost of capital on AI spending and can… |
| 2025-12-15 | Louis Vincent GaveCo-founder & CEO, Gavekal | Bearish | Louis-Vincent Gave | The market has already stopped rewarding AI capital spending — Oracle and SoftBank both broke the pattern —… |
| 2025-12-11 | Jonathan KinskyChief Market Technician, BTIG | Bearish | Tom Lee | Meta is trading below its 200-day moving average with the slope of the 200-day potentially inflecting lower… |
| 2025-12-09 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bearish | Invest Like The Best | Meta failed categorically to build a frontier AI model despite massive spending, its ROIC has already… |
| 2025-11-16 | François RochonPresident & Portfolio Manager, Giverny Capital | Bullish | Francois Rochon | Meta's free-to-user, advertiser-funded network is nearly impossible to displace at its scale, and trading at… |
| 2025-11-11 | Michael BurryFounder, Scion Asset Management | Bearish | Breaking Points | Hyperscalers are artificially extending the useful life of compute equipment to understate depreciation… |
| 2025-11-07 | Brad GerstnerFounder & CEO, Altimeter Capital | Bullish | Chase Coleman | Meta is making the right founder-level, risk-seeking investments to build the world's best AI foundation… |
| 2025-11-07 | Josh WolfeCo-founder, Lux Capital | Bullish | Chase Coleman | Meta will win on-device AI through glasses and wristborne devices enabling 'lifecording' (continuous 24/7… |
| 2025-11-07 | Andrew HomanManaging Partner, Maverick Silicon | Bullish | Chase Coleman | Google's search advertising model—the 'golden goose'—faces structural risk as AI replaces 10-blue-links with… |
| 2025-10-14 | Larry FinkChairman/CEO, BlackRock | Bullish | CNBC Television | Hyperscalers like Meta are well-positioned to be winners in AI due to their scale and ongoing investment in… |
| 2025-10-14 | Brad GerstnerFounder & CEO, Altimeter Capital | Bullish | Bg2 Pod | Meta's elevated CapEx (back to ~66% of FCF) is fundamentally different from the Reality Labs era because AI… |
| 2025-08-16 | Robert HagstromCIO, EquityCompass Investment Management | Bullish | Bill Miller | Meta is a publishing and advertising business operating in a digital economy with high returns on capital… |
| 2025-08-09 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | All-In Podcast | AI is materially driving Meta's revenue acceleration by improving ad targeting ROI for advertisers and… |
| 2025-07-10 | Brad GerstnerFounder & CEO, Altimeter Capital | Bullish | Bg2 Pod | Meta is founder-controlled so Zuckerberg can make bold, asymmetric AI bets without board friction, and its… |
| 2025-06-25 | Philippe LaffontFounder & CIO, Coatue Management | Bullish | CNBC Television | AI-driven ad personalization will customize every impression to the individual viewer, causing revenue per ad… |
| 2025-04-23 | Dan LoebFounder/CEO, Third Point | Bearish | CNBC Television | Loeb exited his Meta position in the last few months, rotating away from Magnificent Seven equities toward… |
| 2025-04-21 | Chris DavisChairman, Davis Advisors | Bullish | CNBC Television | Meta is among the Mag 7 names with superior business model durability and valuation relative to peers, making… |
| 2025-03-14 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Fundsmith LLP UK | Bought during the Cambridge Analytica controversy against a tsunami of criticism; fundamental business… |
| 2025-02-03 | Jessica RabeCo-Founder, DataTrek Research | Bullish | The Compound | Cheap AI from DeepSeek reduces Meta's need to spend on building AI infrastructure (planned $60-65B capex at… |
| 2025-01-02 | Chris DavisChairman, Davis Advisors | Bullish | Barron's | Meta's AI investments are creating real value and its AR platform optionality has moved from free option to… |
| 2024-12-22 | François RochonPresident & Portfolio Manager, Giverny Capital | Bullish | Francois Rochon | Meta has captured the most revenue benefit from AI investments among any large-cap, through dramatically… |
| 2024-12-20 | Jason CalacanisAngel investor | Bullish | All-In Podcast | Meta's open-source LLaMA strategy caps competitor pricing while Meta's capital scale and Zuck's competitive… |
| 2024-11-28 | Ram AhluwaliaCEO, Lumida Wealth | Bullish | Wealthion | Meta has billions of users, distribution scale, and technology depth to close the gap with OpenAI in the AI… |
| 2024-11-01 | John BuckinghamCIO, Value87 Investment Partners | Bullish | The Business Brew | Even at the nadir of metaverse spending, Meta had a strong balance sheet and massive cash flows that… |
| 2024-10-15 | Ram AhluwaliaCEO, Lumida Wealth | Bullish | Forward Guidance | Meta's unmatched distribution (WhatsApp, Instagram, Facebook) and proprietary training data create… |
| 2024-09-27 | David SacksVC — Craft Ventures | Bullish | All-In Podcast | Meta is executing exceptionally well across three vectors simultaneously — aggressive cost-cutting that Wall… |
| 2024-09-26 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Financial Planner Life Podcast | Meta dominates communications and online advertising, a structurally growing market, and sits within… |
| 2024-08-07 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | This Week in Startups | Meta placing a search box at the top of every app across 3-4 billion phones is a decisive strategic move that… |
| 2024-03-12 | Whitney TilsonFormer hedge fund manager — T2 Partners | Bullish | The Julia La Roche Show | Meta was mispriced at under $100 during peak pessimism and has been a 5x winner; Tilson continues to hold… |
| 2024-02-15 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Killik & Co | Meta is 'clearly very well sorted' operationally — Zuckerberg's execution surprised sceptics — making it… |
| 2024-01-11 | Chris DavisChairman, Davis Advisors | Bullish | Excess Returns | Meta was deeply undervalued at roughly 9x earnings ex-metaverse losses, with 2.5B growing customers and… |
| 2023-06-27 | Seth KlarmanCEO, Baupost Group | Bullish | CNBC Television | Large well-established companies like Meta that are widely analyzable can still be mispriced due to… |
| 2023-03-14 | Karen Firestone (Aureus)CEO, Aureus Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Layoffs signal commitment to margin improvement; EBIT was $47B a few years ago and is expected to be half… |
| 2023-01-14 | Rob VinallFounder & managing director, RV Capital | Bullish | Dennis Hong | TikTok's market-share gains against Facebook apps have flattened, and Reels now represent 20-30% of page… |
| 2023-01-14 | Andreas LechnerPartner, RV Capital (Business Owner Fund) | Bullish | Dennis Hong | Meta is rebuilding its advertising stack using AI capabilities on par with OpenAI's, and ~$70B in combined… |
| 2022-11-19 | Hari RamachandraInvestor & Author, BitsBusiness | Bullish | We Study Billionaires | Core Facebook/Instagram/WhatsApp business has healthy engagement and currency-adjusted revenue growth yet the… |
| 2022-11-19 | Tobias CarlisleFounder & CIO, Acquirers Funds | Bullish | We Study Billionaires | Quantitative screen shows Meta at high single-digit price-to-FCF with an intrinsic value of ~$300-340 versus… |
| 2022-05-24 | Bill MillerFounder, Miller Value Partners (retired) | Bullish | The Intrinsic Value Podcast | Meta (Facebook) is a very cheap stock and a major personal and fund holding; Miller would put 10% in it as… |
| 2022-05-24 | Bill MillerFounder, Miller Value Partners (retired) | Bullish | Preston Pysh | Meta is a high-quality internet franchise that has de-rated to the point where it is simply a very cheap… |
| 2022-05-02 | Raoul PalCo-founder, Real Vision; ex-GLG PM | Bullish | Real Vision | Meta is three standard deviations oversold on its log channel and either the network is genuinely failing (a… |
| 2022-03-13 | Pat DorseyFounder & Portfolio Manager, Dorsey Asset Management | Bullish | CFA Society India | Facebook's network-effect moat remains intact while Zuckerberg has matured as a capital steward and hired… |
| 2021-06-08 | Bill NygrenPortfolio manager, Oakmark Funds | Bullish | Value Investing Q&A Series Brown University | Facebook's core social and Instagram businesses trade at a low-teens P/E after stripping out cash, WhatsApp… |
| 2019-09-25 | Whitney TilsonFormer hedge fund manager — T2 Partners | Bullish | Empire Financial Research | Meta is one of his three favorite large-cap tech compounders held as a core long-term position |
| Report | When | EPS actual vs est. | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | after the close | 7.40 vs 6.87 | -9.4% |
Sessions in the last 120 where META’s settled options volume ran ≥ 2× its trailing 20-session baseline, or delta-dollar flow ran ≥ 2.5× — 8 of 120 sessions qualified.
| Date | Close | RVOL | Δ$ flow ($M) | Call % | LEAPS % | +20 sess. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | ||||||
| 2026-09-24 | ||||||
| 2026-09-21 | ||||||
| 2026-08-18 | ||||||
| 2026-07-30 | ||||||
| 2026-07-10 | ||||||
| 2026-07-09 | ||||||
| 2026-07-01 |
META passed our 1-month put test (30-delta put, 30–45 days, sold at the bid, bought back at half the credit), 2022–2026.
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