c8alpha
Investors / stance tracking

What Josh Brown (Ritholtz) is saying

CEO, Ritholtz Wealth Management

79 dated public stances tracked since 2022-07-21, most recently 2026-08-21. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.

The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Josh Brown (Ritholtz)'s public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Josh Brown (Ritholtz) is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.

Think we got something wrong? Report a misattribution — we correct it or take it down.

79
tracked stances
51
themes
3
side flips
2026-08-21
last heard
Returns  90d -1.0% (n=62) · 180d +0.3% (n=57) · 1y +6.4% (n=45)

Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.

View flips

Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.

AAPL — bearish2025-06-20 → bullish2026-07-03
SPX — bearish2025-04-04 → bullish2026-04-21
GOOGL — bearish2024-12-03 → bullish2025-04-01

Most-argued themes

ThemeStancesLeanMixLast
NVDA99 bullish2026-08-13
NFLX55 bullish2026-08-13
AAPL32 bullish / 1 bearish2026-07-31
AMZN33 bullish2026-01-08
BANKS33 bullish2026-07-03
BITCOIN22 bullish2025-04-28

Tracked stances

bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.

2026-08-21 long DELL / long HPE / long ANET / long MRVL (+6 legs) basket CNBC Fast Money Final Trade · video
Nvidia's guidance on 2027-2028 AI capex on the earnings call will move hundreds of AI infrastructure stocks regardless of NVDA's own muted price reaction, because Jensen Wang functions as the de-facto AI Fed chair for the entire ecosystem
“Jensen Wang is the AI Fed chair… those remarks are going to affect vast swaths of the S&P 500”
Trading the major week ahead: The Investment Committee's strategy
2026-08-13 NVDA bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Nvidia trades at only 14x for 85% revenue growth with $90B in free cash flow set to double by end of next year, and the recent private equity infrastructure announcement should alone justify a price of $275
“The stock should be 275. Okay, immediately. And if it wasn't a five-trillion-dollar market cap, it probably would already be there.”
CNBC halftime report August 13, 2026 | Nvidia, Micron, Amazon, Microsoft, Cerebras Systems & more
2026-08-13 NFLX bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Netflix trades at 20x forward earnings with 42% projected earnings growth, near-zero churn, a growing ad tier, and a dominant streaming moat that makes the stock too cheap at 39% below its highs
“How many stocks can you find in the S&P 500 that can grow earnings 40% and trade it at 20 multiple? I can think of two.”
CNBC halftime report August 13, 2026 | Nvidia, Micron, Amazon, Microsoft, Cerebras Systems & more
2026-08-10 IMAX bullish The Compound · video
IMAX's brand recognition and influence as the essential format for blockbuster releases is drastically undervalued relative to its market cap, with growing revenue levers including merchandising, filmmaker integration into the greenlight process, and a…
“the amount of influence and brand recognition that you have compared to your market cap was a joke”
Is IMAX a Screaming Buy? | LFTC
2026-08-04 INSIGHT (TICKER AS CAPTIONED — LIKELY TRANSCRIPTION ERROR; BIOTECH, ~$24B MARKET CAP) bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Biotech formerly viewed as a one-drug company has expanded to a 9-10 drug pipeline across multiple trial stages, crushed earnings versus $2.12 EPS consensus, and raised full-year sales guidance
“This is a company that was thought of as a one drug company that now has a pipeline with 9 or 10 drugs”
Josh Brown's "Best Stocks in the Market": Biotech
2026-07-31 SNOW bullish The Compound · video
Snowflake is becoming ground zero for enterprise AI workflows by letting customers run AI directly inside the data warehouse without moving data, causing the market to reprice it from a software company to AI infrastructure
“they sort of are becoming a ground zero for AI workflows for the enterprise”
Why Demand for Compute Is About to Explode | TCAF 253
2026-07-31 AAPL bullish The Compound · video
Apple is positioned to become the consumer AI tollbooth by using App Store leverage to mandate interoperability with Agentic Siri across all major apps, capturing AI value without having to spend heavily on AI development itself
“it looks like we're the toll booth for consumer AI use”
Why Demand for Compute Is About to Explode | TCAF 253
2026-07-31 RDDT bullish The Compound · video
Reddit is a backdoor AI play combining social media advertising with data licensing revenues, as AI labs must pay to train on Reddit's 18-year archive of human-generated content or face being blocked from crawling it
“Reddit is like an 18-year-old platform with trillions of user interactions and tons of information on it”
Why Demand for Compute Is About to Explode | TCAF 253
2026-07-29 SHAK owns The Compound · video
Shake Shack's $2B market cap is tiny relative to its 15% unit CAGR target over the next decade and still-intact brand premium, with current cost headwinds (food/paper inflation, Middle East licensing drag) being transient operational issues rather than…
“I still like the long-term growth story here... I've bought every one of these pullbacks, including the most recent one”
When Should You Turn Bearish on the Stock Market?
2026-07-17 NVDA bullish The Compound · video
Nvidia is not in a bubble because its P/E has compressed to a discount versus the S&P 500 even as earnings have not decelerated — the market is pricing in competitive disruption risk that has not materialized yet
“this is not a bubble... this is a discount to the market, it's a huge discount”
You’re About to See the Real AI Winners Stand Up
2026-07-13 SEMICONDUCTOR CAPITAL EQUIPMENT STOCKS bullish The Compound · video
Hyperscalers' concerted push to build their own chips sustains capital equipment demand regardless of which chip designer wins the end-market, making the equipment layer less dependent on individual chip-vendor outcomes
“it almost doesn't matter who's selling chips at that point for that group so long as someone is”
We Answer the Number One Question Facing Investors Right Now | WDWL
2026-07-03 IGV bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
IGV bottomed the same day as the Mag7 but has since outperformed (+11% vs +7%), and the value component of software — Adobe at ~8x, Oracle at ~13x — is far cheaper than overextended semis and Mag7 names, making IGV a better tech value entry
“if you want to buy value in tech, maybe you want to look at the IGV names more so than you want to look at the Mag 7”
CNBC HOST PUTS TOM LEE ON THE HOT SEAT + Josh Brown's Top picks in 1st segment(07/02)
2026-07-03 BANKS bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Regional banks are rising on real-economy lending fundamentals (autos, small business, mid-size business) unrelated to AI/IPO hype, and every stock in the index is sending the same signal — the consumer and small business are healthy — making KRE a more…
“every chart of every stock in this regional banking index is saying the same thing. The consumer is okay”
CNBC HOST PUTS TOM LEE ON THE HOT SEAT + Josh Brown's Top picks in 1st segment(07/02)
2026-07-03 AAPL bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Apple is the only Mag7 name within 5% of all-time highs and carries multiple upcoming catalysts — five new iPhones through 2027, a foldable, and an AI refresh cycle not yet demonstrated to consumers — that should drive it to new highs in H2
“Apple's the one to watch in the second half given product”
CNBC HOST PUTS TOM LEE ON THE HOT SEAT + Josh Brown's Top picks in 1st segment(07/02)
2026-07-03 NVDA bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Nvidia has derated to below the median forward P/E of the S&P 500 while its earnings growth guidance is far ahead of that median, creating a valuation anomaly worth exploiting
“Nvidia is now cheaper on a forward earnings multiple than the median stock in the S&P 500”
CNBC HOST PUTS TOM LEE ON THE HOT SEAT + Josh Brown's Top picks in 1st segment(07/02)
2026-07-03 long CME / long CBOE / long ICE / long NDAQ basket The Compound · video
US exchange operators sold off sharply on Coinbase perpetual listing news, but the competitive threat is grossly overstated relative to the scale and network advantages of incumbent exchanges, making the selloff a buying opportunity
“I bought CME today... are they that big of a threat to suddenly start crashing? No.”
Brian Belski Returns! | TCAF 249
2026-06-26 BANKS bullish The Compound · video
Regional banks are breaking out to new highs and their strength signals a healthy underlying economy because these institutions depend entirely on Main Street lending (home equity, auto loans, small business credit), making a macro doom case very difficult to…
“When these stocks are breaking out, it's very hard to make a macro doom case”
Too Early to Get Off the Wave | TCAF 248
2026-06-25 IWC bullish Tom Lee · video
Micro-cap ETF (mix of tech, industrials, biotech) is catching fire as investors who acknowledge the next 10-15% above benchmark will not come from Microsoft or Tesla rotate into small, nimble names; composition aligns with the AI buildout and healthcare…
“the next fifteen hundred basis points above the benchmark... probably ain't coming from Microsoft and Tesla”
CNBC HOST GRILLS TOM LEE (06/25) Stock Market Analysis by Blue Cloud Trading
2026-06-25 NFLX owns Tom Lee · video
Netflix remains the most dominant streamer and has continued to execute through M&A drama and CEO transition; NFL football content reduces churn risk; selloff from ~$120+ to ~$70 reflects narrative fear not fundamental deterioration
“personally I think it still is [the most dominant streamer]... I bought the stock into this downturn”
CNBC HOST GRILLS TOM LEE (06/25) Stock Market Analysis by Blue Cloud Trading
2026-06-25 CFG bullish Tom Lee · video
Citizens Financial has the 'holy trinity' — sector tailwind (KRE at new highs), bullish chart breakout above prior resistance at $68.79, and a fundamental story of a wealth management division growing faster than any other business line; 35% earnings growth…
“I live for this... sector being in favor, chart on your side, and fundamental story — all three working at once”
CNBC HOST GRILLS TOM LEE (06/25) Stock Market Analysis by Blue Cloud Trading
2026-06-25 Big Tech bearish Tom Lee · video
Mag 7 stocks are in a heavy investment cycle with no operating leverage accruing to shareholders yet — three of the seven are in outright bear markets, the group has derated from 35x to 25x PE, and free cash flow generation is down 70-100%+; they are net…
“The Mag 7 as a group are dragging down the returns of the S&P 500 year-to-date”
CNBC HOST GRILLS TOM LEE (06/25) Stock Market Analysis by Blue Cloud Trading
2026-06-25 ONTO bullish Tom Lee · video
Onto Innovation is a memory-oriented semiconductor equipment name with a sub-triple-digit valuation and 121% YTD gain, participating in the AI buildout cycle as a less-crowded alternative to the hyperscalers with a more reasonable entry
“memory oriented semiconductor equipment name, less than a triple digit valuation”
CNBC HOST GRILLS TOM LEE (06/25) Stock Market Analysis by Blue Cloud Trading
2026-06-18 BANKS bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Strong financial sector tailwinds from the first full capital markets cycle since 2021 — higher quality than 2021 — support JPM breaking to new all-time highs after pulling back from 315
“I wanted to restore a position if it got back above 330”
How to trade the SpaceX dip
2026-06-12 TRV bullish The Compound · video
Travelers is generating tangible AI-driven underwriting profit improvement — 21% YoY jump in underwriting profit that management attributed explicitly to AI on the conference call — making it an early proven beneficiary of AI productivity outside of the…
“they announced a 21% year-over-year jump in underwriting profit... It's the AI”
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes | TCAF 246
2026-06-12 RUSSELL 2000 / SMALL CAPS bullish The Compound · video
Oil prices and inflation expectations peaking should re-enable Fed easing, lifting the rate-sensitive and cyclical names that have been shut out of the AI-only bull market, with the Russell 2000 / S&P 500 ratio showing a major technical breakout in progress
“This thing looks like a major major breakout is coming”
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes | TCAF 246
2026-05-21 NVDA bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
The quarterly guide came in $4-5B ahead of expectations, validating the pre-earnings rally from 170 to 220, and 18x forward earnings is cheap for a company guiding 83% EPS growth over the next 12 months
“You want to sell a stock trading 18 times forward earnings that's telling you they're going to grow earnings 83% in the next 12 months? I wouldn't.”
90d -0.8%
How investors can trade AI after Nvidia's earnings report
2026-05-15 PUBLICLY TRADED SOFTWARE STOCKS bearish The Compound · video
AI tools like Claude Code make code essentially free, destroying the only moat legacy software companies had, meaning their products can be replicated by anyone and many names will never recover their prior values
“I think they're going to zero. I really do... a lot of publicly traded software companies are going to be zeros”
Nasdaq Euphoria is Hitting its Limit | TCAF 242
2026-04-21 NFLX owns video
Post-earnings selloff is overdone given Netflix generates $16.2B EBIT exceeding all of Disney's combined operations, ad revenue platform at a $3B run rate growing from near-zero, and live sports expansion still ahead
“I had buy limit orders in at 94 and at 92... I am I think investing in this one”
90d -27.0%
2026-04-21 SPX bullish video
30% gains over 18-24 months are historically consistent with prior rally patterns and current FOMO dynamics, with earnings accelerating and retail still under-invested
“I could see S&P 10,000... we can't rally 30% in 2 years? You kidding me? We've been doing that”
90d +5.7%
2026-04-21 SKM bullish video
SK Telecom is the public equity proxy for Anthropic, and as US-Anthropic tensions ease — Trump calling them 'shaping up' after White House talks — the geopolitical risk overhang is lifting
“SK Telecom is the public proxy. It's SKM. And it's still going higher.”
90d -18.2%
2026-04-21 RUSSELL 2000 / SMALL-CAP STOCKS bullish video
Small caps broke out of a multi-year base, the Russell 2000 vs S&P 500 relative chart is snapping a downtrend, and they are more rate-sensitive so will disproportionately benefit from eventual Fed cuts
“You would want to be long this. It actually looks like it's snapping a downtrend”
2026-04-21 SMALL-CAP TECHNOLOGY STOCKS / AI BENEFICIARIES bullish video
Small cap tech is the AI beneficiary handoff trade — these are the companies spending on compute, tokens, and AI services that hyperscalers built, and the Invesco S&P Small Cap Tech Fund is already breaking out relative to XLK
“This is the handoff from the AI hyperscaler CapEx theme to the beneficiary theme”
2026-01-22 ENERGY owns CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Exxon broke out from a best-stocks watchlist in November and December and has moved materially higher, with a $150 price target for the year
“I remain long personally. I think we could see 150 this year.”
90d +16.4% · 180d +21.3%
Final Trades: Vertex Pharma, Kimberly-Clark, S&P Global and Exxon Mobil
2026-01-20 TOST bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Price action is constructive today, reinforcing an existing bullish conviction on the stock
“Reiterate toast. I like the price action today.”
90d -10.9% · 180d -5.8%
Final Trades: Toast, Southern Company, the IGV and the TBT
2026-01-16 BKR bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Baker Hughes has broken out above 50 after weeks of building, and today's low-volume pullback is a buying opportunity for investors with no sector exposure
“Baker above 50 is in breakout”
90d +17.5% · 180d +11.4%
Final Trades: Baker Hughes, Honda Motor, Wells Fargo and the KRE
2026-01-08 AMZN bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Amazon is outperforming the broader tech sector with positive price momentum
“Amazon bucking the tech trend going higher. Stock looks great”
90d -10.2% · 180d -0.1%
Final Trades: Morgan Stanley, Leidos Holdings, Enterprise Products and Amazon
2025-12-11 UBER bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Autonomous vehicles will become a commodity owned by capital providers, leaving Uber as the uniquely profitable software layer connecting riders at scale — competitors are spending enormous capital to catch a network Uber already owns
“Uber will have the only profitable network of both autonomous and human driven vehicles on the road”
90d -12.3% · 180d -17.6%
Trade Alert: Stephanie Link sells Uber
2025-11-18 NFLX bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Price action on the day signals near-term strength worth buying into
“Netflix, I like this price action today”
90d -32.5% · 180d -21.4%
Final Trades: Netflix, Nvidia, Lockheed Martin and Freeport-McMoRan
2025-10-28 NFLX bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Netflix is testing its 200-day moving average and expected to reverse back above it as technical support holds
“Netflix tussling with the 200 day. I think it'll reverse back above”
90d -22.3% · 180d -17.1%
Final Trades: Netflix, Vistra, Paypal and the QQQ
2025-10-17 NVDA bullish The Compound · video
Nvidia is underperforming its own earnings growth relative to other pockets of tech, making it a relative value even at all-time highs, and confirmed hyperscaler AI capex spend from Microsoft and Meta earnings provides a clear fundamental floor before any…
“Nvidia is underperforming its earnings growth — we see Nvidia as almost relative to other pockets in tech a value buy”
90d +2.1% · 180d +8.6%
Inside the Gold and Silver Mania | TCAF 213
2025-10-03 ACHR bullish CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Archer Aviation was named Conviction Long for Q4 by Deutsche Bank, and the broader eVTOL category (Joby, Planet Labs) has had an exceptional week
“Archer Aviation was just named Conviction Long for Q4 at Deutsch”
90d -29.7% · 180d -55.0%
Final Trades: Archer Aviation, JPMorgan Chase, Shell and Capital One
2025-09-23 NVDA bullish CNBC Halftime Committee · video
Nvidia's $100B OpenAI investment is strategically rational for a $4T company with clear ROI in GPU sales and services revenue, unlike the vendor-financed telecom deals of 1999-2000
“you're talking about a $4 trillion company making a $100 billion investment with an obvious ROI attached”
90d +3.0% · 180d -1.5%
The 'Halftime' Investment Committee's AI playbook
2025-09-11 AI INFRASTRUCTURE / MAG-7 TECH bullish CNBC Halftime Committee · video
Global AI CapEx buildout is a worldwide phenomenon confirmed by international markets breaking out simultaneously, making fading the trade more dangerous than staying long regardless of Fed rate rhetoric
“you're probably in more danger trying to fade it, quite frankly, than staying put”
'Halftime Report' Investment Committee debate how to navigate the seasonal volatility
2025-08-29 UTILITY STOCKS / ELECTRICITY TRANSMISSION COMPANIES bullish The Compound · video
AI data center load is forcing unprecedented capex, regulators are granting rate cases because utilities literally cannot meet demand, and the sector is experiencing a once-in-a-century multiple rerating
“This is like a once in a hundred years rerating for these names”
How to Make Money in the Bull Market for Electricity | TCAF 206
2025-07-15 CME bullish The Compound · video
CME benefits directly from the gamblification of markets (futures, options volume) and offers a more sustainable, lower-risk path to the same 'degen economy' exposure as Robinhood, which has already doubled and is approaching CME's market cap on a fraction of…
“if you want exposure to the degen economy but you miss Robin Hood, you could do it through CME Group”
90d -0.9% · 180d -2.7% · 1y -7.4%
Yes, You May Sell Some Nvidia Now | WAYT?
2025-07-15 IBKR bullish The Compound · video
Interactive Brokers is breaking out of long resistance at $59 with 30%-per-quarter account growth, a balanced retail/institutional mix that insulates it from pure-retail sentiment swings, and a strongly procyclical business model that benefits from strong…
“it's a breakout in progress and this is on my best stocks in the market list”
90d +18.4% · 180d +19.0% · 1y +64.1%
Yes, You May Sell Some Nvidia Now | WAYT?
2025-07-15 NVDA bullish The Compound · video
Nvidia has become so large a portfolio weight for most retail holders that regret minimization favors trimming — not because the fundamental thesis is broken (he expects 200s eventually) but because a 30% drawdown on a giant concentrated position is…
“if you're asking me, then yeah, you probably should sell some”
Yes, You May Sell Some Nvidia Now | WAYT?
2025-07-15 SOL owns The Compound · video
Solana is the best-positioned layer-1 for the tokenization of real-world assets given its throughput advantage (~600k TPS), and a pending SEC-approved ETF (the last of the big three without one) would bring a wave of traditional-finance capital just as…
“I'm accumulating Solana on public; if we get approval for ETFs surrounding Solana you're going to see investors come in from traditional finance”
90d -5.2%
Yes, You May Sell Some Nvidia Now | WAYT?
2025-07-11 CZR bearish The Compound · video
Caesars is in a clear downtrend as Vegas faces self-inflicted demand destruction from extreme price increases (tourist volumes down 6.5% YoY, international arrivals -8.7%), with no catalyst to reverse the chart deterioration
“you wouldn't buy this chart”
90d +23.4% · 180d +23.4% · 1y +1.2%
Why the Stock Market Goes Higher in the Second Half | TCAF 199
2025-07-11 WYNN bullish The Compound · video
Wynn is building the first major new Vegas resort to open in years, providing a company-specific catalyst that distinguishes it from peers suffering broad Vegas consumer softness, and the chart looks technically constructive
“Win looks great. Yeah, they're building something crazy”
90d +11.4% · 180d +5.1% · 1y -11.8%
Why the Stock Market Goes Higher in the Second Half | TCAF 199
2025-06-30 VEEV bullish The Compound · video
Veeva Systems is positioned as the key AI implementation platform for healthcare industry customers, and the B2B uptake is already visible in the stock — representing the early-stage phase-2 beneficiary pattern Joe Davis describes
“they look as though they will be the key implement of AI for their healthcare industry customers”
90d +1.7% · 180d -21.9% · 1y -38.4%
In the Battle for America's Future, It's AI vs the National Debt
2025-06-20 UBER owns The Compound · video
Uber is a prime example of the second tier of market cap compounders that have grown dramatically from ~$75B to ~$180B and are on their way to $200B, driven by broadening market participation beyond Mag 7
“Uber, which everyone knows I'm long...on its way to 200”
90d +13.0% · 180d -5.5% · 1y -14.7%
Why Defensive Stocks Have Disappeared | TCAF Chartpalooza Special
2025-06-20 AAPL bearish The Compound · video
Apple has permanently peaked in relative market dominance and will not recover to prior relative highs because it lacks a transformative product cycle and is now following Chinese competitors into foldables rather than leading
“Will Apple ever make a new high relative to the S&P? I say no”
Why Defensive Stocks Have Disappeared | TCAF Chartpalooza Special
2025-06-17 AMZN bullish The Compound · video
AWS holds 29% global cloud share — more than Azure and Google Cloud combined — making it the most important AI infrastructure company in the world, with earnings power that has tripled in five years and likely to accelerate as capex converts to profit.
“AWS could be like a $3 trillion company. Amazon's going to 250.”
90d +7.7% · 180d +3.6% · 1y +10.6%
Why Amazon is Josh's Favorite Mag 7 | WAYT?
2025-06-17 IEO owns The Compound · video
Domestic US E&P companies provide asymmetric upside if an oil supply shock tanks the broader market, while costing little in normal low-volatility regimes — making it a permanent portfolio hedge sized to grow with overall equity exposure.
“never take the hedge off and actually add to it as the rest of my portfolio grows”
90d -3.2% · 180d -0.4% · 1y +19.6%
Why Amazon is Josh's Favorite Mag 7 | WAYT?
2025-06-10 DIS bullish The Compound · video
Disney completing Hulu acquisition gives full streaming integration while Disney+ ARR model justifies a higher multiple, and the stock is approaching a technical breakout with well-defined support below
“The stock is Disney. It is on the verge of an outbreak.”
90d +0.5% · 180d -9.0% · 1y -16.0%
The Only Comp for AI Growth is Electricity | WAYT?
2025-06-10 MCD bearish The Compound · video
Weight-loss drug adoption is a structural headwind to traffic, pricing power is eroding so McDonald's no longer functions as a defensive holding, and triple analyst downgrades (Redburn double-downgrade, Loop Capital, Morgan Stanley) reflect same-store sales…
“Don't buy it. I'm not.”
90d -4.7% · 180d -4.3% · 1y +3.7%
The Only Comp for AI Growth is Electricity | WAYT?
2025-06-06 AI / AUTOMATION COMPANIES bullish The Compound · video
AI is the primary disinflationary force in the economy — companies keep doubling capex commitments even through a near-bear market — making AI and automation equities the natural hedge against persistent inflation
“buy the robots — that's the hedge”
How Individual Investors Outsmarted the Pros | TCAF 195
2025-04-28 BITCOIN owns The Compound · video
Bitcoin is becoming a 'legal fiction' analogous to a corporate charter — widespread institutional adoption (BlackRock spot ETF as fastest-growing product, Fidelity custody) and political entrenchment via well-financed crypto super PACs mean that broad enough…
“I own it, but I'm not like an evangelist, but it's headed to that place where if enough people believe that it's real, that's all you need”
90d +25.8% · 180d +17.6% · 1y -19.6%
How the US Dollar Dominates the World
2025-04-18 USTS bullish The Compound · video
The 4.5–5% 10-year yield is market-mechanic and foreign-flow driven, not fundamental; inflation is heading lower and a weakening labor market will force the Fed to cut rates, making the yield spike a head fake
“I don't believe this 4 and a half 5% 10-year Treasury yield… that rip higher in bond yields is a total head fake.”
90d +1.0% · 180d +5.1% · 1y +5.7%
End of an Empire | TCAF 188

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