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Who said what, and what MSFT did next
Every dot is a day someone on the record made a call. Hover one to see who. We are not scoring them — the point is that you can see it and judge for yourself.
Who’s talking about MSFT
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Nancy TenglerCEO & CIO, Laffer Tengler Investments | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Microsoft is a defensive tech holding because it is debt-light with positive free cash flow and a large cash… |
| 2026-10-27 | Nancy TenglerCEO & CIO, Laffer Tengler Investments | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Microsoft is deeply embedded in enterprise and Azure AI monetization is accelerating, making it a defensive… |
| 2026-10-27 | Mike Co | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | At 4.4% implied earnings move, Microsoft options look significantly underpriced relative to a three-quarter… |
| 2026-10-27 | Unknown | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Microsoft is favored as an investment despite near-term market jitters surrounding the midterms, bond… |
| 2026-10-26 | Dan GreenhausChief economist & strategist, Solus Alternative Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Hyperscaler CapEx plans are not the right risk indicator for the AI trade; real peak signals will come from… |
| 2026-10-26 | Chris HarveyHead of US equity strategy, CIBC Capital Markets | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Funding markets and latest AI applications are performing well, leaving plenty of room remaining in the… |
| 2026-10-26 | Barbara DoranCEO & CIO, BD8 Capital Partners | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Microsoft is a growth-plus-quality play with concerns about AI readiness resolved and a massive embedded… |
| 2026-10-26 | Victoria GreenFounding Partner & CIO, G Squared Private Wealth | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Co-pilot seat upgrades from E5 to E7 ($60→$99/head) are underappreciated and Azure growth above 47% makes… |
| 2026-10-26 | Victoria GreenFounding Partner & CIO, G Squared Private Wealth | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft is the most trusted AI platform partner for enterprises alongside Google, benefiting as… |
| 2026-10-26 | Unknown | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft is cutting headcount to reallocate capital into AI infrastructure, demonstrating cost discipline… |
Show all 97 mentions
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Mark Habib | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | Hyperscalers carry significantly more AI-related debt than reported because lease and purchase commitments… |
| 2026-10-26 | Unknown | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Microsoft's Q earnings will validate AI CapEx spending as a $50B investment in infrastructure pays off… |
| 2026-10-26 | Unknown | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Microsoft's earnings will be strong because AI capex spending is justified and will show clear monetization… |
| 2026-10-23 | Dan NilesFounder & Portfolio Manager, Niles Investment Management | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft wins enterprise AI because its 365 install base at 95% of corporations gives it a safe, trusted… |
| 2026-10-23 | Jason SnipeCIO, Odyssey Capital Advisors | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft has 30 million paid Copilot users, Azure is growing 40-45%, and the company turned free cash flow… |
| 2026-10-23 | Brad Conger | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft derated to a 24x PE multiple from high-20s/low-30s, creating a valuation entry point after being… |
| 2026-10-23 | Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt)CIO, Seymour Asset Management | Neutral | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft earnings beats next week may not move the stock higher because investor focus has shifted entirely… |
| 2026-10-20 | Chris GrisantiChief Market Strategist & Regional President, MAI Capital Management | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft trades well below its historical average valuation while earnings growth is accelerating, not… |
| 2026-10-19 | Ted | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Microsoft's UK data center pullout is a location-specific energy stand-up delay rather than a strategic… |
| 2026-10-19 | Tyler RatkyCo-head of U.S. Software Research, Citi | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft is free cash flow positive despite heavy CapEx spend and does not rely on debt markets, giving it… |
| 2026-10-19 | Kelly KowalskiHead of Investment Strategy, MassMutual | Bullish | Bloomberg Surveillance | Hyperscaler debt spreads have remained stable at inside 150bps while neo-cloud spreads blew out, confirming… |
| 2026-10-16 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Dan Ives (newest) | Microsoft Enterprise is directly positioned to capture the AI ads and buildout opportunity within its core… |
| 2026-10-15 | Dan NilesFounder & Portfolio Manager, Niles Investment Management | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft wins the enterprise AI layer because it has successfully integrated AI into its existing… |
| 2026-10-15 | Unknown | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft has the consumer footprint via Copilot and has just hit all-time highs; legacy hyperscalers with… |
| 2026-10-15 | Jim Cramer (CNBC)Host, CNBC's Mad Money | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Microsoft is undervalued going into earnings given Azure's expected strength; stock is barely up and Cramer… |
| 2026-10-15 | Ted MortonsonTechnology desk strategist, Baird | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Microsoft generates ~$25B of free cash flow per quarter and cannot spend it fast enough, while Co-Pilot and… |
| 2026-10-14 | Emily RonanCo-Chief Investment Strategist, Manulife John Hancock Investments | Bullish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Microsoft ranks at the top of quality indices by return on equity and its large-cap scale provides inflation… |
| 2026-10-13 | Carter WorthMarket technician, Worth Charting | Neutral | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Microsoft has rallied back to former highs forming a potential triple top after going virtually nowhere for a… |
| 2026-10-13 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Dan Ives (newest) | Microsoft is a hyperscaler winner positioned to benefit from accelerating AI demand that will show up in… |
| 2026-10-10 | Bren | Bullish | Tom Lee | Microsoft Copilot's shift to model-neutral architecture (supporting Claude, OpenAI, and others) increases… |
| 2026-10-06 | Nancy TenglerCEO & CIO, Laffer Tengler Investments | Bullish | Bloomberg Open Interest | Microsoft's enterprise dominance gives it a VHS-over-Betamax lock-in advantage in AI adoption — the product… |
| 2026-10-06 | Bryn Talkington (Requisite)Managing Partner, Requisite Capital | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Azure growth is re-accelerating as AI agent usage scales, and Copilot's pivot to a model-neutral architecture… |
| 2026-10-02 | Steve EismanHost, The Real Eisman Playbook; former PM, Neuberger Berman | Bearish | Michael Burry | Hyperscalers have destroyed their formerly prodigious free cash flow — some now negative — via massive AI… |
| 2026-10-02 | Ed ElsonCo-host, The Prof G Pod | Bullish | The Compound | Microsoft was unfairly punished during the SaaS concerns (SaaS apocalypse narrative) creating a buying… |
| 2026-09-22 | Glen KacherCIO, Light Street Capital | Bullish | The Big Picture (Ritholtz) | Microsoft is the world's largest cybersecurity company and AI's proliferation structurally forces every… |
| 2026-09-17 | Danielle Dimartino BoothCEO & Chief Strategist, QI Research | Bearish | The Julia La Roche Show | Hyperscaler earnings are artificially inflated by an accounting loophole that routes VC funding rounds into… |
| 2026-09-15 | Aswath DamodaranProfessor of finance, NYU Stern | Neutral | BiggerPockets Money | All five remaining Mag 7 holdings are fairly valued to slightly overvalued, but California capital gains tax… |
| 2026-09-08 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | William Green | Richer, Wiser, Happier | Microsoft was mispriced at ~8x PE due to Ballmer-era failures and missed mobile, while its underlying… |
| 2026-09-04 | Rob Sechan (NewEdge Wealth)Co-founder & CEO, NewEdge Wealth | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Microsoft is one of the highest-quality broad-based tech names globally, its earnings demonstrated… |
| 2026-09-02 | Chris BloomstranPresident & CIO, Semper Augustus Investments | Bearish | MOI Global | Hyperscalers are spending $350-400B annually on AI-related capex against less than $40B of corresponding… |
| 2026-08-31 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | a16z | A multi-model future—where enterprises fine-tune open-source models on proprietary data behind a router… |
| 2026-08-24 | Alex MorrisFounder, TSOH Investment Research | Bullish | The Big Picture (Ritholtz) | Microsoft's cloud runway under Satya Nadella justified holding through repeated 'fully valued' moments for… |
| 2026-08-21 | Alex MorrisFounder, TSOH Investment Research | Bullish | Masters in Business | Satya Nadella's cloud strategy provided a long business runway that justified holding despite a rising PE… |
| 2026-08-18 | Ben ThompsonFounder & author, Stratechery | Bearish | Invest Like the Best | AI coding assistants and agentic tools are 'aimed like an arrow to the heart' of Microsoft's core UI and… |
| 2026-08-11 | Karen Firestone (Aureus)CEO, Aureus Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Microsoft's products are indispensable to enterprise workflows (Outlook, calendar) and the fears of its death… |
| 2026-08-04 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | Invest Like the Best | Hyperscaler operating cash flows accelerated from ~28% to ~35% (adjusted for one-timers) this quarter, and as… |
| 2026-07-22 | Joe Terranova (Virtus)Chief market strategist, Virtus | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Microsoft is showing relative outperformance within software in July, which Joe reads as a bottoming signal… |
| 2026-07-20 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | Money News Network | Microsoft is a high-quality durable compounder trading at a price offering a higher go-forward return than… |
| 2026-07-17 | Jim ChanosShort seller — Chanos & Co (family office) | Bearish | RiskReversal Media | Incremental return on invested capital at hyperscalers has already fallen from ~40% to ~20% and is tracking… |
| 2026-07-11 | Vance Howard (Howard Capital)CEO, Howard Capital Management | Bearish | Fox Business | Microsoft's chart pattern looks broken with too many better opportunities elsewhere, causing the speaker to… |
| 2026-07-11 | Tom Lee (Fundstrat)Co-founder & head of research, Fundstrat | Bullish | Tom Lee | Microsoft's history of smart early AI investments and cloud dominance demonstrates a 'pretty decent crystal… |
| 2026-07-10 | Peter BoockvarCIO, OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners | Bearish | Louis-Vincent Gave | Hyperscalers are signing 30-year lease commitments and embedding enormous ongoing maintenance capex for… |
| 2026-07-09 | Steven FeldmanCo-Founder & CEO, GBI | Bearish | Wealthion | Microsoft has transitioned from a zero-marginal-cost software model to a capital-intensive infrastructure… |
| 2026-07-03 | Brian Belski (BMO)Chief Investment Strategist, BMO | Bullish | The Compound | Microsoft's ~23% YTD decline is a narrative-driven overreaction given 34% ROE, $78B on the balance sheet, and… |
| 2026-07-01 | Michael BatnickManaging Partner, Ritholtz Wealth | Bullish | The Compound | Hyperscalers have de-rated to market multiples while memory stocks ran 1,500%, making MSFT and NFLX better… |
| 2026-06-17 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | AJ Bell | Microsoft is down ~40% from highs and is labeled 'old tech' by the market, but Ackman believes it is… |
| 2026-06-03 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | All-In Podcast | Microsoft is being left behind by short-term capital chasing AI infrastructure plays, creating a cheap… |
| 2026-05-18 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Bloomberg The Close | Microsoft is well-positioned in AI through Azure and Copilot with organic initiatives that extend beyond its… |
| 2026-05-12 | Dan ChungCEO & CIO, Alger | Bullish | Bloomberg The Close | Microsoft has demonstrated a rare ability to reinvent itself across technology cycles and, with Azure and its… |
| 2026-04-20 | Scott GallowayNYU Stern professor & podcast host | Bullish | interview | Microsoft is trading at historically low forward multiples post-drawdown, representing a value entry point… |
| 2026-03-17 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bearish | Fundsmith LLP UK | AI capex at 87% of free cash flow in 2026 is transforming a capital-light, high-ROCE business into a… |
| 2026-03-10 | David WooIndependent macro strategist (ex-BofA) | Bearish | Julia La Roche Show | AI CapEx cycle is built on a false winner-takes-all monetization premise; no one is making money yet… |
| 2026-03-05 | David RosenbergEconomist — Rosenberg Research | Bullish | Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money® | Microsoft trades at an attractive multiple relative to other large-cap AI-era names and offers defensive… |
| 2026-01-23 | Karen Finerman (Metropolitan)CEO, Metropolitan Capital Advisors | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Microsoft is the highest-quality way to own AI infrastructure with demonstrated real-world learnings and… |
| 2026-01-05 | Steve Weiss (Short Hills)Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners | Neutral | CNBC Halftime Committee | AI-displacing-software narrative creates a persistent overhang with no catalyst for finality, making… |
| 2025-12-16 | Jim ChanosShort seller — Chanos & Co (family office) | Bullish | The Monetary Matters Network | Microsoft is one of only two hyperscalers currently earning above its incremental cost of capital (~40%… |
| 2025-12-09 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | Invest Like The Best | Microsoft is the only major SaaS incumbent successfully embracing the AI transition — accepting lower gross… |
| 2025-10-31 | Brad GerstnerFounder & CEO, Altimeter Capital | Bullish | interview | Market misattributes net negative value to Microsoft's OpenAI exposure by focusing on consolidated losses… |
| 2025-10-14 | Larry FinkChairman/CEO, BlackRock | Bullish | CNBC Television | Hyperscalers like Microsoft are well-positioned to be winners in AI due to their scale and ongoing investment… |
| 2025-08-16 | Robert HagstromCIO, EquityCompass Investment Management | Bullish | Bill Miller | Microsoft's earnings per share grew faster than its share price in 2023-24 so the multiple contracted… |
| 2025-06-25 | Charlie MungerLate vice chairman, Berkshire Hathaway | Neutral | The Long-Term Investor | Microsoft is a sensational business run by the best management, but the technology landscape is too… |
| 2025-06-25 | Philippe LaffontFounder & CIO, Coatue Management | Bullish | CNBC Television | Microsoft is positioned to remain a top-index constituent as AI transitions from cloud/SaaS era, mirroring… |
| 2025-06-21 | David FriedbergCEO, Ohalo; co-host, All-In | Bearish | All-In Podcast | Microsoft's largest enterprise customers are the ones most at risk of AI disruption and will decline, while… |
| 2025-06-16 | Jim Lebenthal (Cerity)Partner, Cerity Partners | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Microsoft's breakout to record highs is AI-driven and represents a genuine earnings-growth story, not just… |
| 2025-05-14 | Chris HohnFounder & CIO, TCI Fund Management | Bullish | Norges Bank Investment Management | Microsoft's bundled Office franchise creates deep customer switching costs and lets it distribute new… |
| 2025-03-14 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Fundsmith LLP UK | Microsoft has been a top-five performer for eight consecutive years and is at the center of enterprise AI… |
| 2025-01-31 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | The Compound | Azure AI revenue at $13B is the top of the first inning; as cloud workload migration accelerates from 45% of… |
| 2024-11-28 | Ram AhluwaliaCEO, Lumida Wealth | Bearish | Wealthion | Microsoft is a massive AI capex spender with uncertain returns — up only 9% YTD versus AI infrastructure… |
| 2024-11-08 | Katie StocktonTechnical strategist — Fairlead | Bearish | The Compound | Microsoft has a brand-new monthly MACD sell signal with overbought stochastics rolling over, and the chart… |
| 2024-10-10 | Ram AhluwaliaCEO, Lumida Wealth | Bearish | Wealthion | Microsoft is a net spender on AI infrastructure (buying from Nvidia) rather than a beneficiary, lagging the… |
| 2024-09-26 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Financial Planner Life Podcast | Microsoft's operating-system dominance and distributed (cloud) computing position give it recurring… |
| 2024-02-22 | Mohnish PabraiFund manager — Pabrai Investment Funds | Bearish | interview | Microsoft in 2000 was trading at ~70-80x trailing earnings on a $600B market cap, creating an egregiously… |
| 2024-02-15 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Killik & Co | Microsoft's partial ownership of OpenAI and its Copilot integration puts it in a structurally advantaged… |
| 2023-12-04 | Chris BloomstranPresident & CIO, Semper Augustus Investments | Bearish | The JRo Show | Profit margins have recovered to mid-30s%, nearly matching the 1999 peak that preceded 15 years of subpar… |
| 2023-09-26 | Mohnish PabraiFund manager — Pabrai Investment Funds | Bullish | interview | Bill Gates, whose deep technical insight into the sector Pabrai found highly credible after a 2.5-hour… |
| 2023-09-14 | Aswath DamodaranProfessor of finance, NYU Stern | Bullish | The Investor’s Podcast | Microsoft was purchased at an attractive valuation in 2013 when the market had not yet priced in its future… |
| 2023-08-16 | Mohnish PabraiFund manager — Pabrai Investment Funds | Bullish | Meb Faber | Bill Gates, whose insight Pabrai endorsed, named Microsoft as a conviction long alongside Amazon and AMD… |
| 2023-08-10 | James DemmertFounder & CIO, Main Street Research | Bullish | Bill Nygren | AI theme exposure is essential and Microsoft is a favored name combining consistent earnings growth with… |
| 2023-05-30 | Joseph CarlsonHost, Joseph Carlson Show (YouTube) | Bullish | Chris Hohn | Microsoft is a monopoly software business with high barriers to entry that can sell recurring products… |
| 2023-05-10 | Stanley DruckenmillerChairman/CEO, Duquesne Family Office | Bullish | Sohn Conference Foundation | Microsoft is one of the two clearest vehicles to participate in AI, which Druckenmiller believes will be as… |
| 2023-01-14 | Andreas LechnerPartner, RV Capital (Business Owner Fund) | Bullish | Dennis Hong | Microsoft's intrinsic diversification across Windows, Office, Azure, LinkedIn, and gaming means it counts as… |
| 2022-08-03 | Jim Lebenthal (Cerity)Partner, Cerity Partners | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Mega-cap tech is not defensive — future price gains are capped to 8–10% EPS growth with no multiple expansion… |
| 2022-05-02 | Keith Fitz GeraldFounder & principal, Fitz-Gerald Group | Bullish | Fox Market Check (playlist) | Microsoft is firing on all cylinders with every business unit growing double-digits and supply-chain concerns… |
| 2021-12-01 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Investors' Chronicle | Microsoft's enterprise and OS software creates an installed base with the same switching-cost stickiness as… |
| 2021-06-08 | Bill NygrenPortfolio manager, Oakmark Funds | Bullish | Value Investing Q&A Series Brown University | Microsoft's transition to software-as-a-service and cloud proved more valuable than Nygren anticipated, but… |
| 2020-03-30 | Jay HillManaging Director, Tweedy Browne | Neutral | The Acquirers Podcast | Microsoft reached a 2.8% free cash flow yield, leaving no margin of safety; even a meaningful pullback to… |
| 2020-01-06 | Stanley DruckenmillerChairman/CEO, Duquesne Family Office | Bullish | Bloomberg Television | Corporate cloud adoption is only in the second inning; in a low-growth, low-rate environment… |
Next report: 26 Jan 2027
| Report | When | EPS actual vs est. | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | after the close | 4.89 vs 4.82 | -3.2% |
Notable options days
Sessions in the last 120 where MSFT’s settled options volume ran ≥ 2× its trailing 20-session baseline, or delta-dollar flow ran ≥ 2.5× — 6 of 120 sessions qualified.
| Date | Close | RVOL | Δ$ flow ($M) | Call % | LEAPS % | +20 sess. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | ||||||
| 2026-09-25 | ||||||
| 2026-09-22 | ||||||
| 2026-08-03 | ||||||
| 2026-07-30 | ||||||
| 2026-05-28 |
MSFT on the Wheel
MSFT passed our 1-month put test (30-delta put, 30–45 days, sold at the bid, bought back at half the credit), 2016–2026.
The Wheel lists cash-secured puts on stocks after a 3% drop, with live quotes, the chance of assignment and each stock’s own history. Free to use; a free account lets you follow stocks, add your own and ask questions.
Decision support, not advice · questions put sellers ask us
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