Stocks / Software
MSFTSoftware
Microsoft Corp
$496.901d +0.9%5d +1.4%settled close · 2026-09-17
Mkt cap $2.77T (4/10)β 0.8152w $355–542Shares 7.43BInd. Services-Prepackaged SoftwareNasdaq since 1986Emp. 228,000HQ Redmond, WAmicrosoft.com
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Who said what, and what MSFT did next
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Who’s talking about MSFT
33 long3 neutral13 shortlatest 2026-09-04
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Rob Sechan (NewEdge Wealth)Co-founder & CEO, NewEdge Wealth | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Microsoft is one of the highest-quality broad-based tech names globally, its earnings demonstrated… |
| 2026-09-02 | Chris BloomstranPresident & CIO, Semper Augustus Investments | Bearish | MOI Global | Hyperscalers are spending $350-400B annually on AI-related capex against less than $40B of corresponding… |
| 2026-08-31 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | a16z | A multi-model future—where enterprises fine-tune open-source models on proprietary data behind a router… |
| 2026-08-24 | Alex MorrisFounder, TSOH Investment Research | Bullish | The Big Picture (Ritholtz) | Microsoft's cloud runway under Satya Nadella justified holding through repeated 'fully valued' moments for… |
| 2026-08-21 | Alex MorrisFounder, TSOH Investment Research | Bullish | Masters in Business | Satya Nadella's cloud strategy provided a long business runway that justified holding despite a rising PE… |
| 2026-08-18 | Ben ThompsonFounder & author, Stratechery | Bearish | Invest Like the Best | AI coding assistants and agentic tools are 'aimed like an arrow to the heart' of Microsoft's core UI and… |
| 2026-08-11 | Karen Firestone (Aureus)CEO, Aureus Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Microsoft's products are indispensable to enterprise workflows (Outlook, calendar) and the fears of its death… |
| 2026-08-04 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | Invest Like the Best | Hyperscaler operating cash flows accelerated from ~28% to ~35% (adjusted for one-timers) this quarter, and as… |
| 2026-07-22 | Joe Terranova (Virtus)Chief market strategist, Virtus | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Microsoft is showing relative outperformance within software in July, which Joe reads as a bottoming signal… |
| 2026-07-20 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | Money News Network | Microsoft is a high-quality durable compounder trading at a price offering a higher go-forward return than… |
Show all 49 mentions
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Jim ChanosShort seller — Chanos & Co (family office) | Bearish | RiskReversal Media | Incremental return on invested capital at hyperscalers has already fallen from ~40% to ~20% and is tracking… |
| 2026-07-11 | Vance Howard (Howard Capital)CEO, Howard Capital Management | Bearish | Fox Business | Microsoft's chart pattern looks broken with too many better opportunities elsewhere, causing the speaker to… |
| 2026-07-11 | Tom Lee (Fundstrat)Co-founder & head of research, Fundstrat | Bullish | Tom Lee | Microsoft's history of smart early AI investments and cloud dominance demonstrates a 'pretty decent crystal… |
| 2026-07-10 | Peter BoockvarCIO, OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners | Bearish | Louis-Vincent Gave | Hyperscalers are signing 30-year lease commitments and embedding enormous ongoing maintenance capex for… |
| 2026-07-09 | Steven FeldmanCo-Founder & CEO, GBI | Bearish | Wealthion | Microsoft has transitioned from a zero-marginal-cost software model to a capital-intensive infrastructure… |
| 2026-07-03 | Brian Belski (BMO)Chief Investment Strategist, BMO | Bullish | The Compound | Microsoft's ~23% YTD decline is a narrative-driven overreaction given 34% ROE, $78B on the balance sheet, and… |
| 2026-07-01 | Michael BatnickManaging Partner, Ritholtz Wealth | Bullish | The Compound | Hyperscalers have de-rated to market multiples while memory stocks ran 1,500%, making MSFT and NFLX better… |
| 2026-06-17 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | AJ Bell | Microsoft is down ~40% from highs and is labeled 'old tech' by the market, but Ackman believes it is… |
| 2026-06-03 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bullish | All-In Podcast | Microsoft is being left behind by short-term capital chasing AI infrastructure plays, creating a cheap… |
| 2026-05-18 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Bloomberg The Close | Microsoft is well-positioned in AI through Azure and Copilot with organic initiatives that extend beyond its… |
| 2026-05-12 | Dan Chung | Bullish | Bloomberg The Close | Microsoft has demonstrated a rare ability to reinvent itself across technology cycles and, with Azure and its… |
| 2026-04-20 | Scott GallowayNYU Stern professor & podcast host | Bullish | interview | Microsoft is trading at historically low forward multiples post-drawdown, representing a value entry point… |
| 2026-03-17 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bearish | Fundsmith LLP UK | AI capex at 87% of free cash flow in 2026 is transforming a capital-light, high-ROCE business into a… |
| 2026-03-10 | David WooIndependent macro strategist (ex-BofA) | Bearish | Julia La Roche Show | AI CapEx cycle is built on a false winner-takes-all monetization premise; no one is making money yet… |
| 2026-03-05 | David RosenbergEconomist — Rosenberg Research | Bullish | Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money® | Microsoft trades at an attractive multiple relative to other large-cap AI-era names and offers defensive… |
| 2026-01-23 | Karen Finerman (Metropolitan)CEO, Metropolitan Capital Advisors | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Microsoft is the highest-quality way to own AI infrastructure with demonstrated real-world learnings and… |
| 2026-01-05 | Steve Weiss (Short Hills)Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners | Neutral | CNBC Halftime Committee | AI-displacing-software narrative creates a persistent overhang with no catalyst for finality, making… |
| 2025-12-16 | Jim ChanosShort seller — Chanos & Co (family office) | Bullish | The Monetary Matters Network | Microsoft is one of only two hyperscalers currently earning above its incremental cost of capital (~40%… |
| 2025-12-09 | Gavin BakerFounder & CIO, Atreides Management | Bullish | Invest Like The Best | Microsoft is the only major SaaS incumbent successfully embracing the AI transition — accepting lower gross… |
| 2025-11-29 | Bill AckmanCEO, Pershing Square | Bearish | Unreleased Podcast | Microsoft trades at nearly 40x earnings with a mature core Office business, intensifying cloud competition… |
| 2025-10-31 | Brad GerstnerFounder & CEO, Altimeter Capital | Bullish | interview | Market misattributes net negative value to Microsoft's OpenAI exposure by focusing on consolidated losses… |
| 2025-10-14 | Larry FinkChairman/CEO, BlackRock | Bullish | CNBC Television | Hyperscalers like Microsoft are well-positioned to be winners in AI due to their scale and ongoing investment… |
| 2025-06-25 | Charlie MungerLate vice chairman, Berkshire Hathaway | Neutral | The Long-Term Investor | Microsoft is a sensational business run by the best management, but the technology landscape is too… |
| 2025-06-16 | Jim Lebenthal (Cerity)Partner, Cerity Partners | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Microsoft's breakout to record highs is AI-driven and represents a genuine earnings-growth story, not just… |
| 2025-05-14 | Sir Chris HohnFounder & CIO, TCI Fund Management | Bullish | Chris Hohn | Microsoft's bundled Office franchise creates deep customer switching costs and lets it distribute new… |
| 2025-01-31 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | The Compound | Azure AI revenue at $13B is the top of the first inning; as cloud workload migration accelerates from 45% of… |
| 2024-11-28 | Ram AhluwaliaCEO, Lumida Wealth | Bearish | Wealthion | Microsoft is a massive AI capex spender with uncertain returns — up only 9% YTD versus AI infrastructure… |
| 2024-10-10 | Ram AhluwaliaCEO, Lumida Wealth | Bearish | Wealthion | Microsoft is a net spender on AI infrastructure (buying from Nvidia) rather than a beneficiary, lagging the… |
| 2024-09-26 | Terry SmithFounder & CIO, Fundsmith | Bullish | Financial Planner Life Podcast | Microsoft's operating-system dominance and distributed (cloud) computing position give it recurring… |
| 2024-02-22 | Mohnish PabraiFund manager — Pabrai Investment Funds | Bearish | interview | Microsoft in 2000 was trading at ~70-80x trailing earnings on a $600B market cap, creating an egregiously… |
| 2023-12-04 | Chris BloomstranPresident & CIO, Semper Augustus Investments | Bearish | The JRo Show | Profit margins have recovered to mid-30s%, nearly matching the 1999 peak that preceded 15 years of subpar… |
| 2023-09-26 | Mohnish PabraiFund manager — Pabrai Investment Funds | Bullish | interview | Bill Gates, whose deep technical insight into the sector Pabrai found highly credible after a 2.5-hour… |
| 2023-09-14 | Aswath DamodaranProfessor of finance, NYU Stern | Bullish | The Investor’s Podcast | Microsoft was purchased at an attractive valuation in 2013 when the market had not yet priced in its future… |
| 2023-08-16 | Mohnish PabraiFund manager — Pabrai Investment Funds | Bullish | Meb Faber | Bill Gates, whose insight Pabrai endorsed, named Microsoft as a conviction long alongside Amazon and AMD… |
| 2023-08-10 | James DemmertFounder & CIO, Main Street Research | Bullish | Bill Nygren | AI theme exposure is essential and Microsoft is a favored name combining consistent earnings growth with… |
| 2023-05-10 | Stanley DruckenmillerChairman/CEO, Duquesne Family Office | Bullish | Sohn Conference Foundation | Microsoft is one of the two clearest vehicles to participate in AI, which Druckenmiller believes will be as… |
| 2022-08-03 | Jim Lebenthal (Cerity)Partner, Cerity Partners | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Mega-cap tech is not defensive — future price gains are capped to 8–10% EPS growth with no multiple expansion… |
| 2021-06-08 | Bill NygrenPortfolio manager, Oakmark Funds | Bullish | Value Investing Q&A Series Brown University | Microsoft's transition to software-as-a-service and cloud proved more valuable than Nygren anticipated, but… |
| 2020-03-30 | Jay HillManaging Director, Tweedy Browne | Neutral | The Acquirers Podcast | Microsoft reached a 2.8% free cash flow yield, leaving no margin of safety; even a meaningful pullback to… |
1 new mention of MSFT this week is in The Brief — who, which way, and what they said, in subscribers’ inboxes every morning. Free pages update a week later.
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Earnings
Next report: 27 Oct 2026
Confirmed date · consensus EPS 4.82. Reactions below are the next settled session over the prior close.
The options tapeThe Brief · paid
Notable options days
Sessions in the last 120 where MSFT’s settled options volume ran ≥ 2× its trailing 20-session baseline, or delta-dollar flow ran ≥ 2.5× — 6 of 120 sessions qualified.
The qualifying dates are the free record. Close, flow, call/LEAPS mix and the 20-session outcome — for every session below — are Brief subscriber content.
| Date | Close | RVOL | Δ$ flow ($M) | Call % | LEAPS % | +20 sess. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | ||||||
| 2026-07-30 | ||||||
| 2026-05-28 | ||||||
| 2026-04-15 | ||||||
| 2026-04-13 | ||||||
| 2026-04-01 |
+20 sess. = raw price change over the following 20
sessions — not market-adjusted; the tape tells you where to look,
not what happens next.
Today’s tape on
MSFT is in this morning’s Brief.
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