Investors / stance tracking
What Katie Stockton is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowTechnical strategist — Fairlead
14 dated public stances tracked since 2024-11-08, most recently 2026-10-26. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Katie Stockton's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Katie Stockton is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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14
tracked stances
13
themes
0
side flips
2026-10-26
last heard
Returns 90d -2.2% 33% correct · 9 calls · 180d -4.4% 44% correct · 9 calls · 1y +10.3% 50% correct · 8 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | BITCOIN | bullish | -21.2% | -30.2% | — |
| 2024-11-08 | USTS | bullish | +0.2% | +2.8% | +6.5% |
| 2024-11-08 | USD | bearish | -3.7% | +2.6% | +0.2% |
| 2024-11-08 | SPX | bearish | -1.7% | +5.6% | -15.3% |
| 2024-11-08 | MU | bullish | -15.4% | -26.0% | +127.3% |
| 2024-11-08 | MSFT | bearish | +1.4% | -3.0% | -20.7% |
| 2024-11-08 | Japan Equities | bearish | -1.5% | -5.3% | -23.4% |
| 2024-11-08 | European Equities | bearish | -4.1% | -12.9% | -25.8% |
| 2024-11-08 | BITCOIN | bullish | +26.2% | +26.7% | +33.6% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BITCOIN | 2 | 2 bullish | 2025-12-26 | |
| CONSUMER STAPLES | 1 | 1 bullish | 2024-11-08 | |
| EL | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-26 | |
| European Equities | 1 | 1 bearish | 2024-11-08 | |
| Japan Equities | 1 | 1 bearish | 2024-11-08 | |
| MSFT | 1 | 1 bearish | 2024-11-08 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
Estée Lauder has positive November seasonal tailwinds and is in a long-term technical uptrend
“it does have positive holidays”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-26 17:58 ET (5 min)
Semis generated exhaustive downside and DeMark buy signals after last week's gap-downs, support levels remain intact, suggesting Friday marked a short-term low with a tradeable bounce ahead
“I suspect that Friday even marked a short term low for that space”
Squawk Box — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Sentiment has gotten very negative around Bitcoin (contrarian indicator), offering a risk-defined entry with a stop below approximately $84,000
“the sentiment's gotten pretty bad there... keep a stop loss below about 84,000”
90d -21.2% · 180d -30.2%
Final Trade: BTC, IGV, MSTR, FCX
Bitcoin is forming a cup-and-handle breakout on the weekly chart with a measured-move target near $86K, supported by the Trump administration's likely shift toward treating it as a reserve asset and improved institutional access via ETFs.
“cup and handle... I would buy any asset that has that setup”
90d +26.2% · 180d +26.7% · 1y +33.6%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
The monthly S&P 500 chart shows a DeMark sequential 13 exhaustion count and a peaking MACD histogram alongside long-term overbought stochastics rolling over, suggesting a cyclical correction is likely before the secular bull can resume toward the 6,118…
“we might see a correction start to unfold between now and year end”
90d -1.7% · 180d +5.6% · 1y -15.3%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
Micron has an active DeMark buy signal with approximately a two-week duration, offering a short-term tradeable turnaround setup if price clears near-term resistance.
“it does have a Demar Buy Signal by the way that's active short-term”
90d -15.4% · 180d -26.0% · 1y +127.3%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
2024-11-08
CONSUMER STAPLES
bullish
The Compound · video
A simultaneous sector-wide pullback brought major staples names (PG, General Mills, Kimberly-Clark, Colgate) to their 200-day moving averages, creating a short-term entry that also offers relative insulation if broad market consolidation unfolds.
“it feels also like if you are like me expecting consolidation well the consumer staples relative performance should be a little bit better”
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
Post-election spike in Treasury yields is overdone relative to the pace at which tariff and fiscal policy can realistically be enacted, making the yield surge unlikely to sustain.
“I'm more leaning towards the dollar and yields as being overdone”
90d +0.2% · 180d +2.8% · 1y +6.5%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
The post-election single-day dollar spike is an extreme overreaction; even tariff policy, which doesn't require Congress, takes time to implement and the move is too far too fast.
“the dollar is looking a little bit crazy”
90d -3.7% · 180d +2.6% · 1y +0.2%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
2024-11-08
European Equities
bearish
The Compound · video
European benchmark indices have already resolved a distribution phase to the downside, diverging from the US post-election euphoria and suggesting the US rally is more optimistic than global signals warrant.
“distribution phase there that's been resolved to the downside pretty much already”
90d -4.1% · 180d -12.9% · 1y -25.8%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
2024-11-08
Japan Equities
bearish
The Compound · video
Japanese equity benchmarks look toppy from a technical standpoint and are not participating in the post-election US rally, reinforcing a cautious global picture.
“Japan looks Toppy is probably the best way to simplify it”
90d -1.5% · 180d -5.3% · 1y -23.4%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
Microsoft has a brand-new monthly MACD sell signal with overbought stochastics rolling over, and the chart structure resembles a classic head-and-shoulders top, making it technically risky from a long-term perspective.
“brand new macd sell signal on the monthly chart”
90d +1.4% · 180d -3.0% · 1y -20.7%
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
2024-11-08
SEMICONDUCTORS
bearish
The Compound · video
The broader semiconductor sector (excluding ASML which has already broken down) shows a notable loss of intermediate-term momentum that has carried through to the monthly chart, making it unattractive for new long exposure despite Nvidia's all-time high.
“a generic semi actually has a pretty notable loss of momentum that's carried over to the monthly chart”
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
2024-11-08
TECHNOLOGY AND COMMUNICATION SERVICES SECTORS
bearish
The Compound · video
The six-month relative rotation graph shows tech and communication services rotating out of favor versus defensives, which is bearish for the overall market given their outsized index weight.
“Tech and communication Services look the worst they look like they're the ones that are rotating out of favor”
The Most Bullish Chart in the World | TCAF 165
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