Investors / stance tracking
What Tim Seymour is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowCIO, Seymour Asset Management
75 dated public stances tracked since 2018-07-19, most recently 2026-11-02. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Tim Seymour's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Tim Seymour is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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75
tracked stances
62
themes
1
side flips
2026-11-02
last heard
Returns 90d +0.6% 57% correct · 23 calls · 180d +0.1% 57% correct · 23 calls · 1y +18.7% 73% correct · 11 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | SII | bullish | +3.7% | -13.7% | — |
| 2026-01-20 | DAL | bullish | +5.8% | +26.3% | — |
| 2026-01-16 | BANKS | bullish | +0.4% | +11.3% | — |
| 2026-01-15 | NFLX | bullish | +22.3% | -16.5% | — |
| 2026-01-13 | TGT | bullish | +9.6% | +26.5% | — |
| 2026-01-13 | ORCL | bullish | -22.8% | -34.5% | — |
| 2026-01-13 | MLCO | bullish | -14.1% | -17.8% | — |
| 2026-01-13 | BIIB | bullish | -1.1% | +17.2% | — |
| 2026-01-09 | SLB | bullish | +16.9% | +6.1% | — |
| 2026-01-07 | BA | bullish | -7.9% | +2.8% | — |
| 2026-01-06 | RIO | bullish | +13.4% | +12.9% | — |
| 2025-12-23 | NVO | bullish | -28.7% | -8.9% | — |
| 2025-10-28 | SCCO | bullish | +38.1% | +31.8% | +45.0% |
| 2025-09-19 | CG | bullish | -13.1% | -29.1% | -38.4% |
| 2025-05-27 | ASML | bullish | -0.1% | +31.0% | +112.5% |
| 2023-06-30 | SLB | bullish | +24.6% | +8.9% | -3.2% |
| 2023-06-16 | PEP | bearish | +1.9% | +6.2% | +8.0% |
| 2023-03-29 | INTC | bullish | +8.6% | +9.7% | +42.1% |
| 2023-01-13 | LYFT | bullish | -31.0% | -21.0% | -13.7% |
| 2023-01-06 | Em Equities | bullish | -1.7% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2022-10-07 | CSX | bullish | +15.8% | +10.2% | +17.7% |
| 2020-01-10 | BANKS | bullish | -33.1% | -35.2% | +1.9% |
| 2019-09-19 | FB | bullish | +6.5% | -21.4% | +32.8% |
View flips
Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB | 3 | 3 bullish | 2026-10-23 | |
| AMZN | 2 | 1 bullish / 1 neutral | 2026-10-23 | |
| BANKS | 2 | 2 bullish | 2026-01-16 | |
| INTC | 2 | 1 bullish / 1 bearish | 2026-10-29 | |
| MSFT | 2 | 1 bullish / 1 neutral | 2026-10-29 | |
| NVO | 2 | 2 bullish | 2026-10-22 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
Apple's hardware upgrade cycle positions it as the interconnected distribution platform for smaller AI models at a time when AI capex is being scrutinized, and its ~$137B FCF supports the valuation even though the AI story (Siri) remains unproven
“I'll give you 137 billion reasons why you run to the stock right now”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 17:03 ET (5 min)
2026-10-30
long ENERGY / long ENERGY
basket
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Chevron and Exxon have record refining profitability and strong buyback programs converting free cash flow to EPS, and large integrated names have more upside runway than pure refiners while hedging against Middle East escalation and tech sector weakness
“you don't go too far away... this is kind of your hedge against what's going on in the Middle East”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:23 ET (5 min)
Palo Alto's valuation is absurdly expensive and the broader cybersecurity software crowded-trade unwind creates a natural point to challenge and reduce exposure
“those valuations, when they're absurdly expensive, become at least a place you have to begin to challenge”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:03 ET (5 min)
Cybersecurity valuations are absurdly expensive and crowded trades are unwinding, making elevated names like CrowdStrike a place to begin trimming exposure
“it was a day for me to trim a little bit over the last couple of days in a crowd strike in Palo Alto”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:03 ET (5 min)
2026-10-30
CONSUMER STAPLES
bearish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Staples have gotten stretched after investors rotated into them as a defensive trade, making them unattractive to chase at current elevated valuations
“I definitely don't want to chase staples here”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:18 ET (5 min)
Industrials have lagged the recent sector rotation, have better margins and business quality than other areas, and offer value as interest rate sensitivity has weighed on them while yields appear to be stabilizing
“these are better businesses. I think they have better margins. I think they have actually lagged a bit”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:18 ET (5 min)
Healthcare sold off due to interest rate sensitivity but offers opportunities as yields stabilize, with large-cap names like Lilly providing significant index weight and sector tailwinds
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:18 ET (5 min)
2026-10-30
US AIRLINES
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Airlines are generating better margins even in a high fuel-cost environment and have recently reported strong earnings, making them a preferred way to play industrials over over-extended names like Caterpillar
“If I was gonna buy industrial names, I'd be buying a couple of the airlines”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:38 ET (5 min)
Caterpillar's cyclical business faces slowing demand concerns and its AI/data-center picks-and-shovels premium still looks heavy; better-margined industrials in airlines and rails are preferable
“that picks and shovels trade that looks very heavy here still. I don't think you need to chase it”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:38 ET (5 min)
2026-10-30
US RAIL OPERATORS
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Rail operators are demonstrating improving margins and have delivered strong recent earnings results, representing a better risk/reward in industrials than cyclically exposed names
“I'd even be buying some of the rails. We're starting to see better margins there”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:38 ET (5 min)
Google's AI search selloff is overdone because the company has already proven it can monetize search and will similarly find ways to monetize AI search
“If they figured out how to monetize search, I think they can figure out how to monetize AI search. I think this is overdone.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 17:58 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-11-02 (CNBC (uncut))
Gilead is re-rating to a higher multiple at all-time highs as its HIV/HCV cash-cow franchises continue to generate strong earnings while the market rewards investment in its growing pipeline.
“these numbers were excellent...the stock's re-rating at a high multiple”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-29 17:48 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-30 (CNBC (uncut))
Large-cap biotech names are breaking out simultaneously, making the IBB a vehicle to capture the broad sector move rather than single-stock concentration.
“just don't fall asleep on the IBB”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-29 17:48 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-30 (CNBC (uncut))
Intel's move from $40 to $132 was entirely macro-driven by CPU-GPU ratio shifts and had nothing to do with the company's chronically mis-executing core business, leaving the stock overinflated relative to its operational reality
“Intel is the worst house on a nice block”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-29 17:03 ET (5 min)
PC market softness is a demand-side budget issue driven by high memory costs, not a sign of memory oversupply, so memory pricing itself remains supply-constrained and should stay elevated
“Memory prices, I think memory prices do stay strong”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-29 17:03 ET (5 min)
Microsoft offers the most straightforward large-cap AI investment because its core business is intact and Copilot monetization is slowly but genuinely progressing, providing a better risk-reward than peers with challenged core businesses
“Microsoft seems to me the one that is the easiest invest here, given both valuation and the core business”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-29 16:48 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-30 (CNBC (uncut))
Chipotle's improved performance and turnaround at its 73rd Street location support a positive view on the stock.
“CMG, nice turnaround.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 17:56 ET (5 min)
Turnaround is materializing with beaten estimates and second-half 2026 ramp intact, stock is cheap relative to FedEx on a historical pair-trade basis, and dividend provides carry while waiting
“I am long UPS. You're paid a nice did to be along for the ride. It's not expensive”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-27 17:31 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-28 (CNBC (uncut))
GM is generating record free cash flow while being valued on ICE/OEM fundamentals rather than as an EV proxy, making current valuation attractive relative to operational execution
“GM unlike Boeing has never generated more free cash flow”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-27 17:31 ET (5 min)
Home Depot's pro business remains solid and the stock offers asymmetric risk/reward in a high-rate environment because expectations have been reset to modest levels while interest-rate sensitivity could become a tailwind if rates peak
“I have been slowly nibbling at Home Depot...I think you have some kind of asymmetric exposure on owning Home Depot in this environment”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-27 17:51 ET (5 min)
Brazil ETF selloff on Lula win was overdone — EWZ is approximately 10% cheap relative to pre-Bolsonaro-surprise levels, making the reaction a buying opportunity
“oversold on the reaction is my view”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-26 17:23 ET (5 min)
Nu Holdings is a pan-Latin American digital bank rather than a cyclical Brazil-domestic play, so investors will differentiate it from the broad EM selloff and the stock should recover faster than the local-economy names
“it's a digital bank thrown into Latin America. And I think people will sort through what's what”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-26 17:23 ET (5 min)
2026-10-23
long GM / long HD / long DAL
basket
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Cyclicals GM, Home Depot, and Delta have best-in-history earnings profiles and expanding margins but have been punished by cyclicality fears, creating a legging-in opportunity absent a recession
“the earnings profiles, it's never been better, really, if you think about what's going on with margin expansion”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-23 17:09 ET (5 min)
SLB beat EPS estimates, Middle East operations are showing improvement, and its technology/data capabilities underpin durable earnings power despite the muted post-earnings stock reaction
“I do think the earnings power of SLB is there”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-23 17:39 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-23 (CNBC (uncut))
Microsoft earnings beats next week may not move the stock higher because investor focus has shifted entirely to forward CapEx spending rather than current-period revenue or AI traction
“even if they beat, even if they have some good traction on AI...I don't know if that's going to be enough to move the stocks higher”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-23 17:04 ET (5 min)
Amazon earnings beats next week may not move the stock higher because investor anxiety over AI CapEx commitments is overriding otherwise solid fundamental results
“when you think about Microsoft and Amazon...even if they beat...I don't know if that's going to be enough to move the stocks higher”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-23 17:04 ET (5 min)
AXP's beat was partly driven by a lower provision rather than genuine strength, SMB spending remains uncertain, and the risk/reward skews asymmetrically to the downside with no fundamental reason to own it
“I think you have asymmetric downside here relative to the fundamentals. There's nothing saying, hey, I need to own Amax here”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-23 17:24 ET (5 min)
Better second-half comps driven by tariff headwinds rolling off and favorable shrink comparisons from last year, while executing well in affordable luxury home goods ahead of the holiday season
“there's things that actually look better for them going into this holiday season than ever”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-23 17:29 ET (5 min)
2026-10-22
long HD / long DAL / long GM
basket
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Tightening financial conditions and growth fears are forcing short-term rates lower, creating a buy opportunity in rate-sensitive large-cap industrials that have already sold off meaningfully
“Home Depot, Delta Airlines, GM. Big industrial names that are also sensitive.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-22 17:23 ET (5 min)
2026-10-22
long BMY / long PFE
basket
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Healthcare sector rotation is ongoing with investors underweight large-cap pharma, making Bristol Myers and Pfizer names to continue holding as the rotation extends
“Bristol Myers Pfizer are ones you want to continue to own and I do think the rotation will continue”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-22 17:38 ET (5 min)
Novo Nordisk's fundamental story remains intact and the stock is not being bought as a sector re-rating play, making it a durable position independent of broader healthcare flows
“I think it's still a place you can play — the fundamental story, you're not buying it for a sector that's re-rating”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-22 17:38 ET (5 min)
Stocks are not priced for the growth scare now developing — AI capex financing costs have blown out (CoreWeave senior unsecured above 15%), oil is at cycle highs sustaining inflation, and financial conditions are tightening faster than the equity market has…
“I don't think stocks are priced for less growth here”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-22 17:03 ET (5 min)
Semis are testing their 200-day moving average for the first time since Liberation Day, making new lows and new relative lows on heavy volume as the market reprices an AI growth scare that has no clear resolution
“They're making new lows and they're making new relative lows”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-22 17:03 ET (5 min)
2026-10-22
UTILITIES
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Utilities are a place to play as financial conditions tighten and growth fears push short-term rates lower, making rate-sensitive defensives attractive
“I think it's another place to play.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-22 17:23 ET (5 min)
2026-10-22
LVMHF
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
LVMH's Louis Vuitton offers a superior luxury portfolio versus Kering, where Gucci — 50% of revenue — has shown no turnaround after years of weakness and broad category declines
“I'd rather, if I could, be in Louis Vuitton. So I think a better portfolio”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-22 17:48 ET (5 min)
2026-10-20
AIRLINES
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Airlines merit buying after their pullback because industry gross margins are historically strong, capacity is controlled, and fuel and interest-rate pressures could eventually become tailwinds.
“Why you wouldn't be nibbling at airlines here?”
Fast Money — 2026-10-20 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk offer similar obesity-drug fundamentals despite Novo receiving disproportionately little credit, while rotation into healthcare supports both names.
“I'm the person that's also long Novo and long Lilly.”
Fast Money — 2026-10-20 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Citigroup has underperformed the S&P by roughly 13% since July despite growing earnings, improving efficiency, and being a beneficiary of Wall Street's AI capital-markets activity, making the valuation gap look like an opportunity absent a major credit cycle
“I like Citi, I like banks. If we don't have a massive credit cycle here, then banks look interesting”
Fast Money — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
AWS is re-accelerating at 37% year-over-year growth with strong sequential momentum, e-commerce margins have structurally improved versus five years ago, and the stock is holding an uptrend off March lows, making the Morgan Stanley top-pick call credible
“If you look at where AWS has started to re-accelerate, I actually think it will continue to take market share from its peer group”
Fast Money — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Said again: 2026-10-29 (CNBC (uncut)), 2026-10-30 (CNBC (uncut))
Petrobras is being managed better than at any point in its history and pays nearly a 10% dividend, making it attractive as a value/income play in Brazil
“I'm long Petrobras, which I think is being run as well as they've ever been run and pays almost a 10 percent dividend”
Fast Money — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Said again: 2026-10-26 (CNBC (uncut))
SMH has pulled back to meaningful long-term support around 540 with the 200-day just below, making the dip in plain-vanilla semiconductors a buying opportunity within the broader AI infrastructure chain
“If you look at the SMH around 540, which is where it bounced, you have some pretty decent long-term support”
Fast Money — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Said again: 2026-10-27 (CNBC (uncut)), 2026-10-27 (CNBC (uncut))
Taiwan Semiconductor is the indispensable fab for every major AI chip customer, making it the most structurally protected name in the semiconductor supply chain even when investor concerns swirl around specific end-customers like Nvidia
“Taiwan Semi is basically the one that's building for everybody”
Fast Money — 2026-10-19 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
2026-10-16
long Big Tech / short Small Caps
pair
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Rotate out of small caps (revolving debt, ~40% unprofitable, squeezed by higher rates) and into Mag7 (cash-rich, no need to borrow, historically where capital returns after a scare)
“there's no reason to own small caps”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-16 17:02 ET (30 min)
Meta's valuation is far from expensive after its run and the stock looks interesting here as a quality, cash-generative name that benefits from rotation back into Mag7 names that don't need to borrow
“Meta is far from expensive. I think Meta looks really interesting here”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-16 17:02 ET (30 min)
Said again: 2026-10-27 (CNBC (uncut))
Miners held up well despite dollar strength; a turn toward dollar weakness from central bank differentials should amplify miners' upside relative to spot bullion
“I think it's a very interesting time to be buying miners and commodities”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-15 17:01 ET (30 min)
Said again: 2026-10-15 (CNBC (uncut)), 2026-10-22 (CNBC (uncut))
Physical uranium faces a structural supply-demand mismatch driven by utility sector shortages and growing hyperscaler interest in securing uranium supply for AI data center power, with the squeeze making it a long-term hold
“I think there are shortages in physical in the utility space... there really is a mismatch between supply and demand”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-15 17:31 ET (30 min)
2026-10-15
MATERIALS / METALS / MINING
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
We are in the early-to-middle innings of an industrial capex cycle and the physical inputs to AI infrastructure build-out — metals, mining, industrial gases — are broadly underowned because investor attention is fixated on semiconductors
“all the stuff that goes into industrial production build out looks super interesting but all we wanna think about is semis”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-15 17:31 ET (30 min)
Agnico Eagle is the preferred vehicle for gold miner exposure given the multiple bullish catalysts for gold (rates, dollar, central bank demand, AI company interest in physical gold)
“Agnico Eagle”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-15 17:31 ET (30 min)
2026-01-23
long Gold Miners / short Gold Miners
hedge
CNBC Fast Money Final Trade · video
Still long gold via GDX but selling calls against the position as a tactical hedge because gold looks near-term overdone, not abandoning the bull thesis
“I'm selling calls in GDX I'm not abandoning this trade in fact hedging up but I also think gold's a little overdone here”
Final Trade: VST, EEK, MSFT, DRI
2026-01-22
SII
bullish
CNBC Fast Money Final Trade · video
SII offers optionality and leverage to gold (up 30% YTD vs gold), giving it room to go higher
“I think there's optionality and I think there's leverage in that company and goes higher”
90d +3.7% · 180d -13.7%
Final Trade: SII, C, SMH, NVO
Airlines sector is positioned to continue rereating higher, with Delta as the preferred name
“the topic of airlines, I think, is one that will continue to rerate. I like Delta”
90d +5.8% · 180d +26.3%
Final Trade: DAL, NFLX, INTC, RIG
Regional banks are rerating higher following the money center banks' move, with today's news providing additional confirmation of the trend
“Regional banks I think so great to see rerating there after the money center banks.”
90d +0.4% · 180d +11.3%
Final Trade: IONQ, URA, KRE, GM
Earnings expectations heading into next week's report are too low, setting up for a beat-driven move higher
“Netflix says earnings next week. I think the expectations are way too low.”
90d +22.3% · 180d -16.5%
Final Trade: NFLX, AFFRM, NVTS, C
Melco has sold off 35% on soft Macau gaming revenue but China normalization is beginning, making the pullback an overreaction worth fading
“This stock has pulled back 35% in a blink. I think we're starting to see China normalize.”
90d -14.1% · 180d -17.8%
'Fast Money' traders Karen Finerman and Tim Seymour unveil their 2026 trader acronyms
Target is a classic bombed-out turnaround: management change and new business segments signal a change-of-character that the market hasn't priced in yet
“Bombed out names that I think actually have turned the corner.”
90d +9.6% · 180d +26.5%
'Fast Money' traders Karen Finerman and Tim Seymour unveil their 2026 trader acronyms
Biogen has five to six drugs in phase 2/3 trials representing multiple independent catalysts in 2026, and the stock has already begun recovering from its bottom
“they've got five, at least five to six drugs in phase two or three that could be major catalysts in 26”
90d -1.1% · 180d +17.2%
'Fast Money' traders Karen Finerman and Tim Seymour unveil their 2026 trader acronyms
2026-01-13
IVO
bullish
CNBC Fast Money Final Trade · video
International equities have already outperformed in 2026 and Seymour expects the trend to continue as investors seek diversification outside the US
“International's outperformed. It's already done it again this year. I think it will continue.”
'Fast Money' traders Karen Finerman and Tim Seymour unveil their 2026 trader acronyms
Oracle has been beaten down to the point where AI contract optionality is not in the price, offering asymmetric upside for a world-class franchise
“I just think this thing's so beaten up. Valuation, they're not in the price.”
90d -22.8% · 180d -34.5%
'Fast Money' traders Karen Finerman and Tim Seymour unveil their 2026 trader acronyms
The offshore drilling market remains an interesting opportunity and SLB is the way to play continued activity in that space
“the offshore drilling market is still an interesting place”
90d +16.9% · 180d +6.1%
Final Trade: TRU, SLB, SPY, BA
Boeing has been performing and the momentum is expected to continue into the near term
“Boeing is performing and it will continue to”
90d -7.9% · 180d +2.8%
Final Trade: BA, C, PG, NFLX
Showing the 60 most recent of 75 tracked stances.
Idea Scout Weekly
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