ORCL · Jim Lebenthal (Cerity Partners)
Lebenthal said he had added Oracle over the past few weeks and is positioned for a rebound, arguing the AI-stock selloff is technical rather than fundamental.
Original segment ↗CNBC · October 23, 2026
Stocks / Software
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Two views on Oracle
Both said on October 23, as AI-related stocks sold off.
ORCL · Dan Ives (Wedbush Securities)
Ives said Oracle is in a tough spot because it is trying to become a hyperscaler financed by debt, while Microsoft, Amazon and Google can pay from cash flow.
Original segment ↗Bloomberg Surveillance · October 23, 2026
Editorial summaries of public statements. Dates belong to the cited sources; they are not trade execution dates.
Mkt cap $343B (11/2)β 2.5652w $115–275Shares 2.88BInd. Services-Prepackaged SoftwareNYSE since 1986Emp. 162,000HQ Austin, TXoracle.com
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Who’s talking about ORCL
20 long18 shortlatest 2026-10-27
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Steve GrassoCEO, Grasso Global | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Oracle stock has fallen over 50% despite having the largest cloud backlog at $664B and 120%+ cloud revenue… |
| 2026-10-26 | Mark Habib | Bearish | CNBC (uncut) | Oracle exceeded its AI-related debt threshold when off-balance-sheet commitments (data center leases, chip… |
| 2026-10-23 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bearish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Oracle is attempting to build hyperscaler-scale data center capacity financed primarily by debt, leaving it… |
| 2026-10-23 | Vishy Tirupattur | Short | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Oracle is triple-B-minus rated with a negative outlook, making it a fundamentally weaker credit relative to… |
| 2026-10-23 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bearish | Liz Ann Sonders (newest) | Oracle is attempting to build out hyperscaler capacity funded entirely by debt at a time when the cost of… |
| 2026-10-23 | Jim Lebenthal (Cerity)Partner, Cerity Partners | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Recent addition reflecting conviction that the broad tech/AI infrastructure correction is technical in… |
| 2026-10-23 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bearish | Liz Ann Sonders (newest) | Oracle is attempting to compete with native hyperscalers by financing its data center buildout with debt… |
| 2026-10-22 | Gil LuriaManaging Director and Head of Technology Research, D.A. Davidson | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Oracle can fund a profitable, higher-return data-center buildout using the substantial cash flow and roughly… |
| 2026-10-21 | Tyler RadkeCo-head of software equity research, Citi | Bullish | Fox Business (uncut) | Oracle's profitable software franchise, strong demand exceeding supply and expected increases to its 2030… |
| 2026-10-19 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bearish | Bloomberg TV (uncut) | Oracle is cutting core business muscle to fund data center expansion in its bid to become a hyperscaler… |
Show all 38 mentions
| Date | Voice | Stance | Venue | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bearish | Dan Ives (newest) | Oracle is forced to cut core business muscle to fund data center build-out in pursuit of hyperscaler status… |
| 2026-10-16 | Steve EismanHost, The Real Eisman Playbook; former PM, Neuberger Berman | Bearish | The Compound | Half of Oracle's entire backlog is a single customer (OpenAI), so any AI price war, funding crack, or OpenAI… |
| 2026-10-14 | Jackson Nader | Bullish | CNBC (uncut) | Below $150, Oracle's stock is pricing either OCI (its fast-growing neocloud business on track to be half of… |
| 2026-10-01 | Luke KawaHead of markets, Sherwood News | Bearish | Odd Lots | Oracle carries significantly more leverage than hyperscaler peers and lacks their FCF generation, making it… |
| 2026-09-29 | Tyler RadkeCo-head of software equity research, Citi | Bullish | Fox Making Money (playlist) | Oracle is executing well on AI infrastructure buildout — standing up nearly a gigawatt of data center… |
| 2026-09-24 | Dan Nathan (RiskReversal)Trader & co-host, RiskReversal Media | Bearish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Oracle is invoking force majeure on Stargate data center obligations due to power access delays and… |
| 2026-09-14 | Dan Nathan (RiskReversal)Trader & co-host, RiskReversal Media | Short | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Oracle is a neo-cloud that took on massive debt to build out infrastructure which may prove excess in the… |
| 2026-09-10 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Street is underestimating Oracle's RPO/backlog conversion probability by roughly 50-60%, and the quarter… |
| 2026-08-28 | Ed ZitronCEO, EZPR; Host, Better Offline | Bearish | The Compound | Oracle's revenue has been flat for 15 years adjusted for inflation, it carries a near-junk credit rating, has… |
| 2026-08-20 | Raoul PalCo-founder, Real Vision; ex-GLG PM | Bullish | Tom Bilyeu | Larry Ellison is front-running the AI compute buildout aggressively, and his track record of capital… |
| 2026-08-13 | Michael LeeFounder, Michael Lee Strategy | Bullish | Fox Making Money | Oracle controls 35% of the world's enterprise data as the largest database manager, making it a structural… |
| 2026-07-28 | Tom HayesFounder & chairman, Great Hill Capital | Bearish | Fox Claman Countdown | Oracle's credit default swap spreads are at record levels — higher than during the Great Financial Crisis —… |
| 2026-07-24 | Ed | Bearish | Prof G Pod (Galloway) | Oracle borrowed $43B to build data centers while generating negative free cash flow of ~$24B, making it a… |
| 2026-07-19 | Jim ChanosShort seller — Chanos & Co (family office) | Short | Warren Buffett School | Oracle has the worst return on incremental invested capital among hyperscalers and cloud providers, and rival… |
| 2026-07-03 | Brian Belski (BMO)Chief Investment Strategist, BMO | Bullish | The Compound | Oracle's selloff is driven by AI-sentiment contagion despite being an early AI infrastructure investor with a… |
| 2026-06-25 | Jim Lebenthal (Cerity)Partner, Cerity Partners | Bullish | Tom Lee | Oracle will benefit from the same hyperscaler AI CapEx tailwind that is driving Micron — as all the compute… |
| 2026-04-14 | Brian Belski (BMO)Chief Investment Strategist, BMO | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Final Trades | Fundamentals support a 12–18 month tactical hold; Oracle is one of their largest positions across US-focused… |
| 2026-01-13 | Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt)CIO, Seymour Asset Management | Bullish | CNBC Fast Money Final Trade | Oracle has been beaten down to the point where AI contract optionality is not in the price, offering… |
| 2025-12-16 | Jim ChanosShort seller — Chanos & Co (family office) | Short | The Monetary Matters Network | Oracle is free cash flow negative, earning only ~8.5% incremental return on capital (below WACC), and faces… |
| 2025-12-16 | Dan IvesTech analyst, Wedbush Securities | Bullish | Mohamed El-Erian | Oracle's recent sell-off reflects execution and communication missteps, not a structural change in its AI… |
| 2025-11-11 | Barry SternlichtChairman/CEO, Starwood Capital | Bearish | CNBC Television | Oracle's data center deals are back-ended to OpenAI, a cash-burning startup competing against… |
| 2025-11-11 | Barry SternlichtChairman/CEO, Starwood Capital | Bearish | CNBC Television | Oracle is back-stopping data center leases to OpenAI (ChatGPT), a loss-making startup, creating credit risk… |
| 2025-10-14 | Larry FinkChairman/CEO, BlackRock | Bullish | CNBC Television | Oracle is undergoing a meaningful transformation under Larry Ellison that positions it as a potential winner… |
| 2025-07-14 | Jim Lebenthal (Cerity)Partner, Cerity Partners | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Trimmed Oracle after 30%+ YTD gain to raise dry powder for buying stocks that sell off on good earnings… |
| 2025-07-04 | Shay BoloorChief Market Strategist, Futurum Equities Research | Bullish | The Compound | Oracle is the only platform with unmatched enterprise presence for governing the explosion of data generated… |
| 2025-06-20 | Bill GurleyGeneral Partner, Benchmark | Bullish | Bg2 Pod | Oracle's Nvidia GPU allocation (19% share vs only 5% cloud-revenue share) signals a successful AI reinvention… |
| 2023-06-13 | Pete NajarianCo-founder, Market Rebellion | Bullish | Fox Mornings with Maria | Oracle posted blowout earnings with strong revenue and earnings growth driven by tech-sector efficiency gains… |
| 2022-08-19 | Shannon SaccociaCIO, NB Private Wealth | Bullish | CNBC Halftime Committee | Oracle is a tech-adjacent services name with visible cash flow and the capacity to grow its dividend over… |
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Earnings
Next report: 8 Dec 2026
Confirmed date · consensus EPS 1.93. Reactions below are the next settled session over the prior close.
| Report | When | EPS actual vs est. | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | after the close | 1.92 vs 1.77 | -7.2% |
The options tape
Notable options days
Sessions in the last 120 where ORCL’s settled options volume ran ≥ 2× its trailing 20-session baseline, or delta-dollar flow ran ≥ 2.5× — 10 of 120 sessions qualified.
The qualifying dates are the free record. Close, flow, call/LEAPS mix and the 20-session outcome — for every session below — are member content.
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