Investors / stance tracking
What Bryn Talkington is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowManaging Partner, Requisite Capital
33 dated public stances tracked since 2022-10-17, most recently 2026-11-02. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Bryn Talkington's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Bryn Talkington is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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33
tracked stances
24
themes
1
side flips
2026-11-02
last heard
Returns 90d +7.0% 78% correct · 9 calls · 180d +2.3% 57% correct · 7 calls · 1y -3.1% 40% correct · 5 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Big Tech | bullish | +6.9% | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | IGV | bullish | +12.7% | — | — |
| 2026-01-23 | COF | bullish | -9.2% | -6.6% | — |
| 2026-01-12 | RSP | owns | +1.0% | +9.2% | — |
| 2025-04-29 | APO | bullish | +8.5% | -7.5% | -9.7% |
| 2024-08-02 | RSP | bullish | +6.1% | +9.2% | +12.0% |
| 2024-08-02 | IWM | bearish | -4.6% | -9.0% | -6.4% |
| 2024-03-01 | COWZ | bullish | +1.6% | +5.9% | +4.7% |
| 2022-10-17 | TSLA | bearish | +40.1% | +14.7% | -16.2% |
View flips
Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSP | 4 | 3 bullish / 1 neutral | 2026-10-20 | |
| DRAM | 2 | 2 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| TSLA | 2 | 1 bullish / 1 bearish | 2026-10-21 | |
| AAPL | 1 | 1 neutral | 2026-11-02 | |
| APO | 1 | 1 bullish | 2025-04-29 | |
| BUG | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
Post-midterm elections have historically been a reliable clearing event with the S&P positive 21 out of 21 times since 1942 averaging ~16% returns, so excessive bearishness into year-end is statistically unjustified
“21 out of 21 times the S&P is positive and the average return is around 16%”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 12:12 ET (5 min)
Like Costco and Walmart, Apple is hitting a valuation ceiling near 40x forward as everything positive is already priced in at $337, with Q1 2027 Christmas sales being the real catalyst to watch
“I do think you have to be aware of a lot is priced in at this $3.37”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 12:22 ET (5 min)
Autonomous vehicle proliferation (Waymo, Tesla Cybercabs) is weighing on market sentiment and there is no near-term catalyst to push the stock higher, making it a frustrating range-bound trade rather than a fundamental long
“I'm not a fundamental bull on this stock... it feels like there's more sellers and buyers.”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 12:32 ET (5 min)
Visa's 60%+ margins, duopoly positioning, and highly durable earnings justify a premium multiple and make it a rare simultaneously great stock and great business
“very few companies where it's a great stock and a great company very consistently”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-30 12:37 ET (5 min)
Memory producers have strong growth and contracted demand through 2028–2030, while weak price action reflects healthy peak skepticism rather than deteriorating fundamentals.
“I bought DRAM before SK had their IPO in the US”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:19 ET (5 min)
2026-10-28
FED POLICY RATE
neutral
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
The Fed will largely pause after possibly one December hike because higher rates cannot remedy energy-driven inflation and are already severely pressuring housing and commercial real estate.
“They're going to be on pause outside of that.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:04 ET (5 min)
Alphabet should deliver strong earnings because its cloud platform can monetize AI demand and make investors comfortable with its spending.
“These cloud numbers I think are going to be all-time high growth as well, year over year.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:09 ET (5 min)
The cybersecurity ETF provides diversified exposure to rising security demand as AI-driven hacking increases, making it suitable to hold through a full market cycle.
“I'm a long-term holder. Don't need to trim it. I have it sized right.”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-28 12:39 ET (5 min)
2026-10-21
long AMZN / long MSFT / long GOOGL
basket
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet should remain technology leaders because AI adoption is accelerating cloud growth across their hyperscale platforms.
“Amazon, Microsoft and Google cloud providers are going to crush it.”
Closing Bell — 2026-10-21 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Tesla offers more upside than SpaceX over the next year because SpaceX is likely to acquire Tesla and operational integration between the companies is increasing.
“I still think Tesla has more upside over the next year.”
Closing Bell — 2026-10-21 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Said again: 2026-10-28 (CNBC (uncut))
Rapid enthusiasm and adoption for Muse create a large consumer opportunity that should outweigh investor concerns about Meta's capital expenditures.
“I think it's going to be a good print.”
Closing Bell — 2026-10-21 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
2026-10-20
short SPACEX / short SPACEX
spread
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Sell SpaceX’s August $145 put and $155 call because upcoming insider-share unlocks should exert downward pressure while rich option premiums compensate for a largely range-bound stock.
“That options trade is a pretty good one because you can get massive call premium.”
Closing Bell — 2026-10-20 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Own the equal-weight S&P 500 ETF to diversify away from the overlapping mega-cap technology and AI concentration in the Nasdaq 100 and capitalization-weighted S&P 500.
“We own RSP, we've owned it for a few years, we like to have that as a hedge.”
Closing Bell — 2026-10-20 (CNBC, full episode, ads cut)
Equal-weight S&P 500 ETF is the right vehicle to position for a re-broadening trade heading into October earnings season where 25-27% year-over-year growth is expected
“I think we own RSP. I think the broadening trade.”
Stocks hit record highs: Your next move
Said again: 2026-10-06 (CNBC Halftime Final Trades)
Disney trades at 14x earnings with a 6.1% FCF yield and 17% EPS growth this year; tangible theme park businesses are less AI-threatened than other entertainment, and consistent execution sets it apart from other beaten-down consumer blue chips
“It's trading at 14 times earnings as a 6.1% free cash flow yield”
Half Time Report guests share their top stock picks... I analyze those picks in the last segment.
Goldman Sachs NASDAQ-100 covered-call ETF delivers 10.5%+ income while retaining Nasdaq upside participation, combining income and growth in a single instrument for portfolio yield enhancement
“GPIQ great income 10 and a half% plus the Q's upside”
Half Time Report guests share their top stock picks... I analyze those picks in the last segment.
Azure growth is re-accelerating as AI agent usage scales, and Copilot's pivot to a model-neutral architecture should drive strong enterprise adoption, setting up a standout quarter
“I think Microsoft is going to have a wonderful quarter”
Half Time Report guests share their top stock picks... I analyze those picks in the last segment.
Said again: 2026-10-28 (CNBC (uncut)), 2026-10-28 (CNBC (uncut))
Elanco Animal Health is down 12% from highs with insider buying emerging alongside very strong fundamentals and market share gains, signaling that informed insiders see the dip as an opportunity
“you're seeing insider buying. Very strong fundamentals with market share gains. Very interesting”
TOM LEE'S NEW PREDICTIONS FOLLOWED BY HALF TIME AND ICHIMOKU ANALYSIS 08/18
Micron has broken into the top 7-8 S&P 500 weighting and its earnings alongside NVIDIA's are going to continue to be monster, making further S&P upside easily math-able
“earnings from those three companies — especially Micron, Nvidia — are going to continue just to be monster”
Positioning for Big Tech's next move
2026-07-08
long ENERGY / short SEPTEMBER 70 CALLS ON SAME NAME
hedge
CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Long the E&P name while selling near-money September calls to monetize Iran-premium in implied volatility and reduce downside if oil retreats below $70
“I like Jim's trade but I'm going to go Dram but then I'm going to sell the September 70 calls for $7”
Software and cloud computing names have strong growth scenarios, says ETF Action's Mike Akins
2026-07-08
Big Tech
bullish
CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Diamondback has best-in-class E&P execution and capital discipline, and is unlikely to increase drilling during the Iran skirmish, meaning production restraint supports stock price
“they've got the execution, they've had a lot of capital discipline”
90d +6.9%
Software and cloud computing names have strong growth scenarios, says ETF Action's Mike Akins
Micron and memory ETF DRAM are bouncing off the 20/21-day moving average like clockwork, and the trade stays intact until price breaks below that level
“they're still like right at the 20 21 day moving average. Until you get below that, I think that trade stays in place”
The second half setup for stocks
IGV put in a bottom in the mid-70s and is building a base of higher lows, signaling a rebuild that benefits cyber, Palantir, and Microsoft
“it put in a bottom in the mid 70s. And now it's making higher lows”
90d +12.7%
The second half setup for stocks
Capital One is vertically integrated owning the payment rails via Discover, is the issuer, and now has B2B exposure through Brex, driving a path to $250 within a year
“Very integrated, vertically integrated. They own the rails with Discover”
90d -9.2% · 180d -6.6%
Final Trades: Capital One, Medtronic, Transocean and Caterpillar
Yield curve steepening and 12-14% broad earnings estimates drive a catch-up trade in equal-weight S&P as non-tech names close the gap with concentrated tech
“this ketchup ketchup trade, you know, has legs. We have RSP”
90d +1.0% · 180d +9.2%
The Investment Committee's Reaction to the DOJ investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
Said again: 2026-02-09 (CNBC Halftime Committee)
2025-09-12
LARGE CAP EQUITIES
bullish
CNBC Halftime Committee · video
Large caps driven by AI and data center demand remain high quality in a slowing economy, while small caps face harder hits from economic deceleration and are dependent on capital markets in ways large caps are not
“the safe playbook is with these guys...the highest quality parts of the index are being driven by AI data center and demand”
'Halftime Report' Investment Committee debate their rate cut playbooks
2025-09-12
REAL ESTATE, PRIVATE EQUITY
bullish
CNBC Halftime Committee · video
Rate cut cycle lowers borrowing costs and continues to benefit rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and private equity, which have already been working and will keep working
“sectors like real estate, private equity, etc. that will continue to be the beneficiaries of a lower rate environment”
'Halftime Report' Investment Committee debate their rate cut playbooks
Pre-earnings bet on Apollo Global Management ahead of a Q2 report where analysts forecast $1.85 per share in quarterly profit
“betting on Apollo Global Management, Inc. with analysts expecting its Q2 earnings report”
90d +8.5% · 180d -7.5% · 1y -9.7%
Qualcomm Earnings Boost: Top Trades from Halftime Report
2024-08-02
long NVDA / short NVDA
hedge
The Compound · video
Nvidia will crush upcoming earnings given explicit AI capex commitments from Meta, Google, and Microsoft, and AMD's proxy beat confirms demand, but near-term volatility justifies harvesting ~6% quarterly call premium against the long position rather than…
“I like this setup a lot more than if Nvidia was mooning into the earnings”
The Tech Unwind | TCAF 152
Equal-weight S&P offers mean reversion from the largest large/small-cap performance dispersion since 1998, and broadening market participation is now materializing as Mag-7 money rotates into the rest of the index
“you had the biggest dispersion since 1998...it always comes back”
90d +6.1% · 180d +9.2% · 1y +12.0%
The Tech Unwind | TCAF 152
Russell 2000 is structurally impaired — 42% of members carry negative net income, operating margins are 4.7% vs the S&P's 13.7%, earnings are set to decline 5.6%, and new high-quality companies no longer IPO at small-cap valuations, leaving the index filled…
“42% of Russell members lose money...why would you buy that?”
90d -4.6% · 180d -9.0% · 1y -6.4%
The Tech Unwind | TCAF 152
2024-03-01
COWZ
bullish
CNBC Halftime Final Trades · video
Pacer Cash Cows ETF offers 8.5% free cash flow yield vs Russell 1000's ~1.3%, providing diversification away from tech with high-quality free cash flow exposure
“if you want to diversify out of tech add some good free cash flow yielding exposure”
90d +1.6% · 180d +5.9% · 1y +4.7%
Final Trades: Citigroup, Google and COWZ
Tesla has broken down against multi-year technical support going back to 2017, is expensive on valuation, and faces a new negative dynamic from forced Elon Musk stock sales for the Twitter acquisition
“from a trader and technician it is what it is. That is not positive for large-cap tech”
90d +40.1% · 180d +14.7% · 1y -16.2%
‘Halftime Report’ investment committee's tech plays
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