Investors / stance tracking
What Lou Basenese is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowPresident & chief market strategist, MDB Capital Holdings
15 dated public stances tracked since 2021-10-12, most recently 2026-10-29. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Lou Basenese's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Lou Basenese is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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15
tracked stances
14
themes
0
side flips
2026-10-29
last heard
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-12 | ZM | bearish | +32.5% | +57.3% | +70.6% |
| 2021-10-12 | PTON | bearish | +60.3% | +72.1% | +90.2% |
| 2021-10-12 | COIN | bearish | +9.8% | +38.3% | +71.9% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-22 | |
| AI COMPANIES | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| COIN | 1 | 1 bearish | 2021-10-12 | |
| CRAK | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| GOOGL | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-29 | |
| HALO | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-22 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
Navan is an under-the-radar AI play benefiting from unexpectedly strong business travel, with AI agents handling 60% of customer interactions and recent revenue growth of about 35%, though its premium valuation requires continued rapid growth.
“This is a great indirect way to play.”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-29 09:21 ET (5 min)
Microsoft’s positive cash flow and proven ability to earn returns on large AI capital investments distinguish it from less financially disciplined AI competitors and should drive the shares higher.
“I think this is going higher from here for sure.”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-29 09:01 ET (5 min)
Alphabet’s historic post-earnings drop is a buying opportunity because its search business continues to produce strong results despite recurring fears that AI will replace it.
“I think you have to consider buying on this dip as well.”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-29 09:01 ET (5 min)
NXP Semiconductors trades at 14x earnings — historically cheap for this name — with AI-edge sensor chips used in industrial and auto applications; every time it reaches this valuation it has historically rallied 20–30%
“Every time it gets this cheap, it rallies about 20 to 30 percent historically. I just buy more on the dips.”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-29 09:41 ET (5 min)
Said again: 2026-10-29 (Fox Business (uncut))
2026-10-28
AI COMPANIES
bullish
Fox Business (uncut) · uncut_tv
AI resembles a normal early-stage technology adoption cycle, making rising earnings alongside falling valuations attractive while only a small fraction of the market currently uses the technology.
“I get really excited about rising earnings, falling valuations.”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-28 12:03 ET (5 min)
2026-10-28
CRAK
bullish
Fox Business (uncut) · uncut_tv
Oil refiners should continue outperforming because constrained refining capacity leaves the supply-side problem unresolved.
“I think that performance persists. Stay in those positions.”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-28 12:18 ET (5 min)
Escalating Middle East tensions and attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure should push crude prices higher despite shipments through the Strait returning to pre-war levels.
“All I see is prices going higher from here.”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-22 12:57 ET (5 min)
86% of Meta's recent patent filings are in Reality Labs, signaling Zuckerberg is going all-in on AI wearables and advertising hardware, which is where future profits are headed despite near-term spending indigestion
“super interesting play here that Mark Zuckerberg is going all in on the hardware piece combined with AI”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-22 12:02 ET (5 min)
Housing market slowdown will drive excess inventory onto Airbnb's platform, boosting listing supply and growth heading into the holiday season
“if I'm investing in Airbnb and I'm seeing more excess inventory moving into that, I would expect them to have a growth in their inventory over the holidays”
Fox Business uncut 2026-10-22 12:22 ET (5 min)
Halozyme's royalty model — licensing drug-delivery technology to already-approved drugs rather than developing its own — delivers 40% revenue growth with none of the binary clinical-trial risk, and still trades cheap at ~14x earnings despite an 85% YTD gain
“this is a biotech stock without the biotech risk”
Varney & Company — 2026-10-22 (Fox Business, full episode, ads cut)
2026-10-22
SPACEX
bullish
Fox Business (uncut) · uncut_tv
Secondary-market SpaceX shares at $142 represent a long-term hold on Musk's most valuable private asset, bridging the Tesla/SpaceX merger thesis and Elon's broader robotics and AI empire
“I see it as a long-term investment just like Elon does”
Varney & Company — 2026-10-22 (Fox Business, full episode, ads cut)
2021-10-12
long NVDA / long SMALL-CAP SEMIS ('ADAM ERA' — LIKELY MIS-TRANSCRIBED TICKER, UNVERIFIED)
basket
Fox Making Money · video
Semiconductors are the highest-growth, highest-margin sector and are effectively immune to Fed taper and rate-rise headwinds because underlying demand is structural, not rate-sensitive
“their business is going to keep chugging along no matter how fast interest rates rise”
Lou Basenese - Fox Business - Making Money with Charles Payne - 10.12.21
Coinbase faces worsening customer service and hacking problems — including a reported $700K theft from a couple — that will erode user trust and pressure the stock 50% lower
“they've got a customer service and hacking problem on their hands”
90d +9.8% · 180d +38.3% · 1y +71.9%
Lou Basenese - Fox Business - Making Money with Charles Payne - 10.12.21
Peloton is a COVID-era demand beneficiary that, alongside Zoom and Coinbase, should crash-land another 50% as pandemic tailwinds fully unwind
“those three names alone should come back another 50 percent and crash land”
90d +60.3% · 180d +72.1% · 1y +90.2%
Lou Basenese - Fox Business - Making Money with Charles Payne - 10.12.21
Zoom fatigue has durably set in post-COVID and the stock still needs to be cut in half again from its pandemic highs
“zoom communications is doomed the zoom fatigue is real that stock needs to be cut in half again”
90d +32.5% · 180d +57.3% · 1y +70.6%
Lou Basenese - Fox Business - Making Money with Charles Payne - 10.12.21
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