What Jeff Ubben is saying
Founder, Inclusive Capital Partners
4 dated public stances tracked since 2023-09-20, most recently 2023-09-20. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Jeff Ubben's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Jeff Ubben is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.
2023-09-20
ENERGY
bullish
Jeff Ubben · video
Supply response to oil demand will be structurally muted because capital markets view hydrocarbons as a sunset industry, creating predictable cash flows for a company still facing global demand growth from 7 billion non-Western consumers, while Exxon's carbon…
“once you get comfortable with the cash flow, and it's not up and down cash flow, but it's a predictable cash flow”
90d -4.9% · 180d +2.6% · 1y +1.0%
Episode 379: Famed Investor Jeff Ubben of Inclusive Capital Partners, on Climate & Capital
2023-09-20
OCI
bullish
Jeff Ubben · video
OCI's $1.1B greenfield blue ammonia plant in Beaumont, Texas is expected to generate a $350M annual return enabled by IRA subsidies and EU carbon pricing, yet the public market ascribes zero or negative value to this near-term (2-year) cash flow stream…
“the public markets has valued it at zero. It's actually kind of a negative cuz you're putting the capital out before the cash flow comes in”
Episode 379: Famed Investor Jeff Ubben of Inclusive Capital Partners, on Climate & Capital
2023-09-20
ICE
bullish
Jeff Ubben · video
ICE's energy exchange and data franchise is mispriced relative to structurally elevated energy volatility caused by chronic underinvestment, while its dominant environmental markets position (98% of EU carbon trading, ~95% of US RINs and LCFS credits) gives…
“that thing can grow 15% a year for many many years to come”
90d +7.7% · 180d +17.3% · 1y +39.5%
Episode 379: Famed Investor Jeff Ubben of Inclusive Capital Partners, on Climate & Capital
2023-09-20
BAYN
bullish
Jeff Ubben · video
Bayer's Monsanto subsidiary is a keystone climate-adaptation franchise whose seed library, traits platform, and incoming gene-editing pipeline are essential to feeding 8 billion people on shrinking arable land with less water and methane, making it a…
“Monsanto is one of the great climate adaptation franchises out there”
Episode 379: Famed Investor Jeff Ubben of Inclusive Capital Partners, on Climate & Capital
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