What Julien Garran is saying
Partner, The MacroStrategy Partnership
4 dated public stances tracked since 2025-04-10, most recently 2025-04-10. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Julien Garran's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Julien Garran is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Returns 90d -7.6% (n=7) · 180d -2.9% (n=7) · 1y +7.6% (n=7)
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.
Most-argued themes
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2025-04-10
India Equities
bullish
Wealthion · video
India sits in the $10–15k per-capita income sweet spot where a burgeoning middle class drives resource-intensive growth; as dollar weakness channels offshore liquidity into EM, India is one of two markets Garran specifically highlights as capable of very…
“the two that I would highlight are India and Vietnam”
90d +10.2% · 180d +4.7% · 1y -2.3%
Julien Garran: The Real Trump Trade Is a Blue-Collar Economic Revolution
2025-04-10
SPX
bearish
Wealthion · video
A confluence of peak valuations, high leverage, antitrust pressure on big-tech earnings, rising savings rates, and fiscal/trade-deficit contraction creates a triple threat to corporate profitability that drives a prolonged bear market lasting at least 12…
“this is the first aggressive move in what is going to be a longer-term bare market”
90d -19.3% · 180d -28.3% · 1y -31.0%
Julien Garran: The Real Trump Trade Is a Blue-Collar Economic Revolution
2025-04-10
GOLD
bullish
Wealthion · video
In the early stages of a reflationary cycle driven by Fed easing and dollar weakness, precious metals are historically the first asset class to benefit as real rates fall and offshore dollar liquidity expands.
“it tends to be bullish for precious metals in the very early stages”
90d +4.5% · 180d +25.3% · 1y +49.5%
Julien Garran: The Real Trump Trade Is a Blue-Collar Economic Revolution
2025-04-10
short Big Tech / long Commodities Broad
pair
Wealthion · video
The macro shift away from financial capital toward blue-collar/physical capital mirrors the 2000 tech bust: the primary trade is short big tech (antitrust headwinds, AI bubble deflation, earnings derating) paired with long resources (commodities, miners, EM)…
“what you wanted at that point was to be short of tech and long of resources”
90d -8.4% · 180d -12.8% · 1y +2.6%
Julien Garran: The Real Trump Trade Is a Blue-Collar Economic Revolution
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