Chief market strategist, New York Life Investments
3 dated public stances tracked since 2024-09-20, most recently 2024-09-20. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Lauren Goodwin's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Lauren Goodwin is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2024-09-20 | USTS | bullish | -5.1% | -1.7% | +1.8% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2024-09-20 |
| GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE / SUPPLY CHAIN BUILD-OUT | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2024-09-20 |
| USTS | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2024-09-20 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2024-09-20
USTS
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
With 5%+ cash yields disappearing as the Fed cuts, reinvestment risk is now investors' top priority, making the shift from money market funds into short-duration bonds the most urgent portfolio reallocation.
“reinvestment risk is now the most important most urgent thing that investors need to be thinking about”
90d -5.1% · 180d -1.7% · 1y +1.8%
Markets and Politics | Bloomberg Surveillance | September 20, 2024
Said again: 2024-09-20 (Bloomberg Surveillance)
2024-09-20
GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE / SUPPLY CHAIN BUILD-OUT
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Reglobalization is driving a durable surge in redundant supply chain construction across multiple countries, making infrastructure a multi-year structural theme independent of any single economy.
“it's about infrastructure um that we're highly interested in globally”
Markets and Politics | Bloomberg Surveillance | September 20, 2024
2024-09-20
GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Reglobalization, capital intensivity, and electrification are driving a multi-year surge in infrastructure construction across many countries.
Markets and Politics | Bloomberg Surveillance | September 20, 2024
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