Investors / stance tracking

What Michael Gayed is saying

Publisher, The Lead-Lag Report

10 dated public stances tracked since 2024-10-09, most recently 2025-03-31. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.

The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Michael Gayed's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Michael Gayed is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.

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tracked stances

themes

side flips

2025-03-31

last heard

Returns 90d -1.2% (n=11) · 180d -2.0% (n=11) · 1y +17.1% (n=11)

Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.

View flips

Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.

GOLD — bullish2024-10-12 → bearish2025-03-31

Most-argued themes

Theme	Stances	Mix	Last
GOLD	2	1 bullish / 1 bearish	2025-03-31
UTILITIES SECTOR	2	2 bullish	2024-10-12
China Equities	1	1 bullish	2024-10-09
Commodities Broad	1	1 bullish	2024-10-09
ENERGY	1	1 bullish	2024-10-12
GLP	1	1 neutral	2024-10-09

Tracked stances

bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.

2025-03-31 GOLD bearish Wealthion · video

Gold has built genuine euphoria after an extended run and the disposition effect will force investors to sell this rare winner to cover losses elsewhere during the next market dislocation, producing a meaningful correction though not the end of the secular…

“I just think it's gonna be a correction”

90d -5.8% · 180d -22.3% · 1y -49.3%

The Real Risk for Markets Isn’t Tariffs: It’s Japan! | Michael Gayed

2024-10-12 GOLD bullish Wealthion · video

Persistent government debt forces policy makers to maintain negative real interest rates (inflation above cost of capital), which is the historical sweet spot for gold; gold's advance is also signaling a coming tail event

“Gold is sending a warning…gold does well when you're in a negative real rate environment”

90d +1.3% · 180d +19.3% · 1y +54.3%

Weekly Recap: Bitcoin, AI, US Debt, Oil & Uranium

2024-10-12 UTILITIES SECTOR bullish Wealthion · video

Utilities combine defensive characteristics with a structural AI tailwind as data-center electricity demand surges, making them likely the best-performing sector this year

“I argued at the start of the year utilities would likely be the best performing sector”

Weekly Recap: Bitcoin, AI, US Debt, Oil & Uranium

2024-10-12 ENERGY bullish Wealthion · video

China stimulus acts as a pavlovian trigger for algorithms to rotate into commodities and materials, which have been beaten down and represent sleeper sectors due for outperformance

“I think Commodities the material sector broadly…those are probably sleeper sectors that should start to outperform”

90d -3.9% · 180d -15.7% · 1y -3.8%

Weekly Recap: Bitcoin, AI, US Debt, Oil & Uranium

2024-10-09 China Equities bullish Wealthion · video

Fifteen years of underperformance and chronic underallocation among financial advisors have left China and EM deeply underinvested, and stimulus now acts as a catalyst for a multi-year mean-reversion cycle of China outperforming the US

“I think there's going to be a multi-year cycle where China outperforms the US”

90d -8.3% · 180d -7.1% · 1y +27.2%