Investors / stance tracking
What Neil Howe is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowPortfolio Manager, Hedgeye Asset Management
6 dated public stances tracked since 2026-10-18, most recently 2026-10-21. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Neil Howe's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Neil Howe is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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6
tracked stances
3
themes
0
side flips
2026-10-21
last heard
Most-argued themes
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-10-21
long Managed Futures / long OTM
hedge
Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart) · video
CTA trend-following and deep OTM equity puts provide complementary drawdown protection — trend-following captures sustained downtrends while tail puts guard against sudden gap-down crashes like April's tariff shock
The Fourth Turning Is Here — Is Your Portfolio Prepared?
2026-10-21
long Commodities Broad / long GOLD / short USTS
hedge
Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart) · video
Replace fixed income as portfolio ballast with commodity futures and precious metals because commodities have a 150-year record of outperforming government bonds and specifically outperform during inflationary regimes that crush fixed income
“we are not long fixed income securities. If anything, we're occasionally short”
The Fourth Turning Is Here — Is Your Portfolio Prepared?
2026-10-18
short USTS / long Commodities Broad / long GOLD
pair
Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart) · video
Replace bond allocation with commodity futures and precious metals because financial repression — governments forcing artificially low rates to fund deficits at bondholders' expense — combined with inflation structurally destroys fixed income returns, while…
“We are not long fixed income securities...we are in commodity futures and precious metals”
Surviving The Fourth Turning | Neil Howe
2026-10-18
OTM
owns
Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart) · video
Fourth-turning volatility produces periodic sharp gap-down events (e.g., April 2026 tariff shock of -10-12% in three days), and far OTM puts provide asymmetric tail protection as a structural portfolio element when valuations are elevated and systemic risks…
“we buy some way out of the market puts to protect ourselves against a gapping down”
Surviving The Fourth Turning | Neil Howe
Global defense spending is rising across virtually all major nations as great-power conflict risk escalates in the fourth turning, and US defense appropriations are ramping sharply via new legislation, making defense a structural beneficiary of the current…
“defense spending is rising in almost every country around the world”
Surviving The Fourth Turning | Neil Howe
Said again: 2026-10-21 (Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart))
Shiller CAPE at roughly 40x historically predicts negative inflation-adjusted returns over the subsequent decade, warranting strategic underweight in equities and cash reserves to deploy at lower valuations
“Shiller's CAPE is like way up in the 40s...the decade return is...negative”
Surviving The Fourth Turning | Neil Howe
Said again: 2026-10-21 (Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart))
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