Founder, Sankey Research
5 dated public stances tracked since 2024-08-28, most recently 2026-09-22. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Paul Sankey's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Paul Sankey is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2024-08-28 | OIL | bearish | +5.1% | -0.6% | +0.3% |
| 2024-08-28 | ENERGY | bearish | -6.9% | -3.0% | -3.4% |
View flips
Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances —
bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.
ENERGY —
bearish2024-08-28 →
bullish2026-08-31 Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| ENERGY | 2 | | 1 bullish / 1 bearish | 2026-08-31 |
| E | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2026-08-31 |
| OIL | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2024-08-28 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-09-22
short OIL / long DIESEL / CRACK SPREADS / REFINED PRODUCTS
pair
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Chinese demand retreat above $100 plus Saudi supply returning will pressure crude near-term, but a structural global shortage of diesel—US refineries at record 98% utilization with inventories at all-time operational minimums and no meaningful refinery…
“I'm getting conviction that the on market environment stays very elevated through the end of 27”
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/22/2026
2026-08-31
ENERGY
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Chevron never left Venezuela and carries no legacy legal disputes with the Venezuelan government, making it the sole dominant US operator uniquely positioned to capture upside from the US-Venezuela oil deal, with volumes already growing rapidly and a 50%…
“They never left Venezuela. They are the dominant US player... Chevron's in very good shape here and you've seen their volumes from Venezuela grow rapidly”
Bloomberg Surveillance 8/31/2026
2026-08-31
E
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
At $90 WTI, upstream oil companies are generating maximum cash flows; management discipline has fundamentally improved — the sector is now doing the opposite of the old capex blowout era — making the oils the best-performing sector of the year with continued…
“90 is a very good price for these guys and so they're doing very very well”
Bloomberg Surveillance 8/31/2026
2024-08-28
ENERGY
bearish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Buffett stopped buying OXY, which was the primary driver of the stock's elevated valuation; with that buying catalyst removed, the stock is expected to be weak.
“the stock we expect to actually be weak here and we're a little bit negative on OXY at the moment just because of that lack of buying that drove stock so high”
90d -6.9% · 180d -3.0% · 1y -3.4%
Awaiting Nvidia | Bloomberg Surveillance | August 28, 2024
Said again: 2024-08-28 (Bloomberg Surveillance)
2024-08-28
OIL
bearish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Oil faces Q4 seasonal demand weakness while OPEC wants to unwind supply restraints, with 3 million barrels/day of spare capacity overhang and UAE pushing to raise output from ~3 to 5 mb/d.
“we're going into the end of the year which weakens and OPEC wants to increase and that's why we've been kind of bearish”
90d +5.1% · 180d -0.6% · 1y +0.3%
Awaiting Nvidia | Bloomberg Surveillance | August 28, 2024
Said again: 2024-08-28 (Bloomberg Surveillance)
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