Former chief strategist, Bridgewater
5 dated public stances tracked since 2025-02-14, most recently 2026-01-06. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Rebecca Patterson's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Rebecca Patterson is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2026-01-06 | KBWB | bullish | -7.9% | +9.9% | — |
| 2025-04-25 | long CASH / short USTS | pair | +0.4% | -1.3% | -0.0% |
| 2025-04-25 | SPX | bearish | -15.6% | -22.0% | -31.4% |
| 2025-02-14 | GOLD | bullish | +11.8% | +16.1% | +68.3% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| BRAZIL EQUITIES | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2025-04-25 |
| GOLD | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2025-02-14 |
| KBWB | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2026-01-06 |
| SPX | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2025-04-25 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-01-06
KBWB
bullish
CNBC Fast Money Final Trade · video
Bank stocks still have a favorable near-term window despite the recent run
“we have a nice window for the banks still even here”
90d -7.9% · 180d +9.9%
Final Trade: RIO, KBWB, HD, GDX
2025-04-25
long CASH / short USTS
pair
The Compound · video
With inflation above target, Fed on hold, and foreign capital outflows threatening to push the 10-year yield to 5%, investors should avoid long-duration treasuries and park capital in money markets where the opportunity cost is low and principal is safe
“I don't think it's in 10-year treasuries right now. I think it's probably in money markets”
90d +0.4% · 180d -1.3% · 1y -0.0%
The Worst Is Still to Come | TCAF 189
2025-04-25
BRAZIL EQUITIES
bullish
The Compound · video
Brazil is a structural trade-war beneficiary on two fronts simultaneously: gaining agricultural export market share to China (replacing US soybeans China permanently reallocated after 2018) and gaining shoe manufacturing share from China and Vietnam given…
“Brazil is going to get market share from China and Vietnam on shoes... and agriculture goods. They're winning on both sides”
The Worst Is Still to Come | TCAF 189
2025-04-25
SPX
bearish
The Compound · video
75% recession probability driven by tariff-induced consumer purchasing-power hit, with earnings deterioration not yet visible and $22 trillion in foreign-held US assets at risk of multi-month allocation shifts reducing demand for US stocks
“We haven't even seen the earnings start to deteriorate. Right. I don't think it's done”
90d -15.6% · 180d -22.0% · 1y -31.4%
The Worst Is Still to Come | TCAF 189
2025-02-14
GOLD
bullish
CNBC Fast Money Final Trade · video
Gold via GLD serves as a diversifier and alternative to Bitcoin for portfolio balance
“I'm going to take the other side of that I like GLD gold for diversifier”
90d +11.8% · 180d +16.1% · 1y +68.3%
Final Trade: WST, BTC, GLD, ALT
Said again: 2025-04-25 (The Compound)
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