Chief Strategist, Interactive Brokers
7 dated public stances tracked since 2024-07-17, most recently 2026-10-15. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Steve Sosnick's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Steve Sosnick is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|
| 2026-07-07 | MU | bearish | -13.4% | — | — |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|
| INDUSTRIALS | 1 | | 1 bullish | 2026-10-15 |
| IWM | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2026-10-15 |
| LEVERAGED SINGLE-STOCK ETFS | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2026-07-07 |
| MU | 1 | | 1 bearish | 2026-07-07 |
| NVDA | 1 | | 1 neutral | 2026-07-07 |
| SPX | 1 | | 1 neutral | 2026-04-10 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-10-15
IWM
bearish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Many Russell 2000 components are unprofitable and depend on debt financing; rising yields tighten credit for lesser-quality borrowers, putting these companies in real trouble
“the Russell 2000 components are in some real trouble”
CNBC uncut 2026-10-15 14:01 ET (30 min)
Industrials are out of favor relative to the AI/tech trade and look reasonably attractive on a contrarian basis given the crowding into technology names
CNBC uncut 2026-10-15 14:01 ET (30 min)
2026-07-07
NVDA
neutral
Fox Business · video
Parabolic trend has broken and the market has already extrapolated 1-2 quarters of strong guidance into a 3-5 year runway, leaving no fresh money to drive further upside even on good earnings
“find me the person who's not already invested in Nvidia or Micron”
These are TRADING vehicles, not INVESTMENT vehicles: strategist
2026-07-07
MU
bearish
Fox Business · video
Parabolic trend in semiconductors has broken and Micron's stock barely reacted to terrific earnings, signaling expectations are already fully priced and no fresh buyers remain
“these stocks have not reacted the way you would think they would”
90d -13.4%
These are TRADING vehicles, not INVESTMENT vehicles: strategist
2026-07-07
LEVERAGED SINGLE-STOCK ETFS
bearish
Fox Business · video
Embedded short-dated options in levered single-stock ETFs decay faster at elevated volatility, causing structural underperformance versus the underlying on any horizon beyond intraday — they are trading vehicles, not investment vehicles
“these are trading vehicles not investment vehicles”
These are TRADING vehicles, not INVESTMENT vehicles: strategist
2026-04-10
SPX
neutral
video
Midterm election years have historically been the market's worst years recently, and markets tend to stress-test new Fed chairs, creating meaningful headwinds for the index through 2026
“The last two down years out of like the last 15 were midterm election years”
2024-07-17
VALUE STOCKS / DIVIDEND-PAYING EQUITIES
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Concentration risk in the Mag 7 is enormous — if those names sell off heading into earnings season they drag the other 493 S&P names with them, making dividend-paying value stocks attractive as ballast and likely outperformers during any shakout
“putting money into value stocks into dividend paying stocks is not a bad idea”
Unity in the GOP | Bloomberg Surveillance | July 17, 2024
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