The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Todd Sohn's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Todd Sohn is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
2026-11-02
long JETS / short OIL
pair
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
If oil continues to decline, airlines and oil-sensitive consumer/leisure names are the beneficiary expression — lower energy costs lift margins in the names most sensitive to fuel prices
“That's the pair trade, right?”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 14:02 ET (5 min)
2026-11-02
HEALTHCARE
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Defensive sector rotation is underway with healthcare leading market internals as tech positioning unwinds, making overweight healthcare the prudent allocation shift
“You want to favor health care”
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 14:02 ET (5 min)
2026-11-02
ENERGY
bullish
CNBC (uncut) · uncut_tv
Defensive leadership rotation supports a tactical allocation to energy as a low-tech, low-correlation diversifier amid tech unwind
CNBC uncut 2026-11-02 14:02 ET (5 min)
2026-08-17
long ENERGY / long HEALTHCARE SECTOR / long GLOBAL FINANCIALS
basket
Bloomberg ETF IQ · video
Energy, healthcare, and global financials have seen their S&P 500 correlations and betas collapse, making them effective diversifiers in a world where long-duration bonds no longer hedge tech concentration risk
“Add more energy...look to healthcare as a defensive balance. And then financials globally remain strong. This is all about low-tech, low correlation.”
Deals, Launches, and Risk-Taking | ETF IQ 8/17/2026
2026-08-17
BITCOIN
bullish
Bloomberg ETF IQ · video
Crypto flows peaked roughly a year ago, volumes are deeply depressed, and attention has fully rotated to AI and leveraged products — classic contrarian setup where maximum pessimism creates a small-bet opportunity
“if you're looking to put that contrarian hat on, crypto's worth a shot to us”
Deals, Launches, and Risk-Taking | ETF IQ 8/17/2026
2026-08-14
HEALTHCARE SECTOR
bullish
The Compound · video
Extreme ETF outflows, bottom-decile relative performance, and near-universal investor hatred create a classic contrarian setup — the sector is finally starting to work after years of underperformance
“Bottom decile performance, healthcare outflows, people hate it. So the contrarian to me starts to say, 'Oh, look at this.'”
It's a bull market and nobody drinks anymore. | TCAF 255
2025-08-15
long INDUSTRIALS / short DEFENSIVE SECTORS (STAPLES, HEALTHCARE, UTILITIES)
pair
The Compound · video
Cyclicals posted their best 3-month rate of change relative to defensives in 15 years coming off the April low, driven by corporate earnings beats and broadening breadth momentum, signaling continued risk-on leadership
“big momentum is risk on for this”
Does the Stock Market Know Something We Don’t? | TCAF EP204
2025-08-15
Big Tech
neutral
The Compound · video
Exchange operators benefit from recovering M&A and IPO activity, growing data businesses, and increasing crypto integration through listings and infrastructure, making them the cleanest diversifier away from big tech concentration
“NASDAQ, ICE, which I own”
Does the Stock Market Know Something We Don’t? | TCAF EP204
2025-06-20
International Dev
bullish
The Compound · video
International developed markets are breaking out above 2007 highs for the first time with improving sector composition — industrial exposure up, financials flat — and both Japan and Europe showing momentum
“international portfolios actually have something working again”
90d +10.7% · 180d +13.1% · 1y +34.5%
Why Defensive Stocks Have Disappeared | TCAF Chartpalooza Special