The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Lisa Shalett's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Lisa Shalett is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns
line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
2026-09-24
USTS
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Nominal yields above 5% are very solid value as the vast majority of this year's rate repricing reflects the neutral-rate/real component rather than fiscal concerns, with debt sustainability not yet priced in — creating an asymmetric entry for patient buyers
“Nominal yields over 5% are very solid at this point”
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/24/2026
2026-09-24
SPX
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Multiples have already contracted 3.5 turns on top of 30% earnings growth, making the market rational rather than exuberant; earnings power is visible for the next 6-9 months and the election will serve as a cathartic clearing event
“The market's up 12% on earnings that are up 30. That is not an excessively exuberant market”
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/24/2026
2026-09-24
TECH/AI SECTOR
bullish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Rate hikes will clip cyclicals, small caps, and housing but not AI/tech, which has secular earnings power independent of the economic cycle — so the bull market narrows back to tech leadership as the broadening trade reverses
“We know at the end of the day this entire bull market is an AI tech story”
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/24/2026
2026-08-01
Ai Infra
bullish
Fox Barron's Roundtable (playlist) · video
Post-capitulation selling has rung out the excess momentum trade in hyperscalers, creating a re-entry opportunity as investors now differentiate on ROI rather than narrative
“a handful of hyper scalars … that have come down”
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn’t?
Said again: 2026-10-28 (Bloomberg TV (uncut))
2026-08-01
SEMIS
bullish
Fox Barron's Roundtable (playlist) · video
Semiconductor names have corrected enough to offer value after capitulation drained the momentum trade, and earnings breadth across the broader market supports a rebound in beaten-down semis
“some semiconductor names that have come down”
90d -4.2%
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn’t?
2026-08-01
CONSUMER STAPLES
owns
Fox Barron's Roundtable (playlist) · video
Defensive positioning is attractive as earnings broadening and dispersion replace the concentrated momentum trade, giving investors confidence to add staples as a complement to tech exposure
“we are complementing that with more defensive names — consumer staples”
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn’t?
2026-08-01
HEALTHCARE
bullish
Fox Barron's Roundtable (playlist) · video
Healthcare offers defensive earnings stability as the market transitions from momentum concentration toward broad sector participation with management teams being pressed on ROI
“some healthcare”
90d +14.4%
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn’t?
2026-08-01
REITS
bullish
Fox Barron's Roundtable (playlist) · video
Real estate investment trusts provide defensive income exposure as overall earnings broaden and investors rotate out of hyperfocused momentum trades
“some real estate trust”
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn’t?
2026-08-01
HOUSING
owns
Fox Barron's Roundtable (playlist) · video
Housing is a favored cyclical as extraordinarily strong corporate profits and a stable labor market support the broader economy's ability to absorb the current rate environment
“in the more cyclicals we have like housing”
90d -4.5%
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn’t?
2026-08-01
FINANCIALS
bullish
Fox Barron's Roundtable (playlist) · video
Financials are a preferred cyclical as a strong economy, stable labor market, and broadly broadening earnings create a positive backdrop for bank and financial earnings
“would like financials”
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn’t?
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