Investors / stance tracking
What Peter Tchir is saying
FollowFollowingUnfollowHead of Macro Strategy, Academy Securities
16 dated public stances tracked since 2025-10-15, most recently 2026-10-28. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Peter Tchir's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Peter Tchir is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
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16
tracked stances
13
themes
0
side flips
2026-10-28
last heard
Returns 90d -0.9% 40% correct · 5 calls · 180d +5.7% 40% correct · 5 calls · 1y +23.4% 40% correct · 5 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-15 | URANIUM | owns | -8.5% | -5.9% | -34.9% |
| 2025-10-15 | INTC | bullish | +27.3% | +75.5% | +156.7% |
| 2025-10-15 | ETH | bullish | -19.3% | -42.8% | -37.5% |
| 2025-10-15 | ENERGY | bullish | +9.8% | +34.3% | +58.6% |
| 2025-10-15 | BITCOIN | bullish | -14.0% | -32.8% | -25.9% |
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ENERGY | 2 | 2 bullish | 2026-09-25 | |
| Ai Infra | 1 | 1 bearish | 2026-10-19 | |
| BITCOIN | 1 | 1 bullish | 2025-10-15 | |
| Big Tech | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 | |
| Crypto Other | 1 | 1 bullish | 2025-10-15 | |
| DIESEL AND GASOIL | 1 | 1 bullish | 2026-10-28 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
2026-10-28
Big Tech
bullish
Bloomberg TV (uncut) · uncut_tv
Strong earnings and support near 200-day moving averages favor a near-term bounce, although capital-spending concerns may return later in the month.
“So a little bit positive right now. But I think the doubts creep back in later this month.”
Bloomberg TV uncut 2026-10-28 06:00 ET (30 min)
2026-10-28
Investment Grade Credit
bullish
Bloomberg TV (uncut) · uncut_tv
Plain-vanilla investment-grade corporate debt offers direct recourse to predominantly healthy issuers without the valuation and contractual risks embedded in structured AI-financing products.
“My preference right now is still in the plain vanilla IG corporate.”
Bloomberg TV uncut 2026-10-28 06:00 ET (30 min)
2026-10-28
DIESEL AND GASOIL
bullish
Bloomberg TV (uncut) · uncut_tv
Diesel prices should remain elevated because Middle Eastern supply has fallen sharply and replacement barrels require longer, more expensive shipping routes.
“I think you're looking at higher diesel prices for a while.”
Bloomberg TV uncut 2026-10-28 06:00 ET (30 min)
2026-10-19
Ai Infra
bearish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Credit cracks in compute-sector debt can cascade into broader corporate credit, and even if earnings provide temporary relief the fundamental questions about AI returns, first-mover advantage, and rising cost of capital remain unresolved
“The risk is a fast move to the downside is much greater than the charts suggest a big move tighter”
Bloomberg Surveillance 10/19/2026
2026-09-25
long BP / long SHEL / long TTE
basket
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
European oil majors are irrationally cheap because the energy transition cannot function without them and the market will eventually recognize the world needs traditional energy production
“I'm long and will continue to buy BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Totel”
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/25/2026
Canada is pivoting away from green ideology and moving to harness its natural resources, creating a positive inflection for the sector
“Canada and Australia both seem to be realizing we have resources, let's harness this”
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/25/2026
2026-09-25
Long Dur Treasuries
bearish
Bloomberg Surveillance · video
Building out domestic energy infrastructure and supply chain reshoring is structurally inflationary, making it very hard to get inflation sustainably below 2.5% and pushing yields higher for longer
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/25/2026
US-Iran talks are in a 'show me' stage where neither side is ready to concede leverage, so the geopolitical risk premium has room to rise further
Bloomberg Surveillance 9/25/2026
2025-10-15
short MONEY MARKET FUNDS / long Long Dur Treasuries
pair
Wealthion · video
With inflation not a runaway concern, investors should rotate out of money markets into the longer end of the yield curve, which will additionally benefit from stablecoin-driven structural demand for short-to-medium treasuries
“I would be less in money markets. I'd be more aggressively either in the longer end of the yield curve”
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
2025-10-15
RARE EARTH / CRITICAL MINERALS PROCESSING COMPANIES
bullish
Wealthion · video
China controls ~90% of rare earth refining and is weaponizing that leverage, forcing a US 'production for security' buildout that will be the decade's dominant investment theme — the new ESG — with a 3-to-7-year runway of capital deployment
“this production for security might be the new ESG”
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
Trump's 10% stake in Intel and desire to win the chip competition means the administration will actively steer business toward Intel, providing a durable political tailwind
“I suspect he is going to be either softly or more aggressively suggesting people, hey, you need to use Intel”
90d +27.3% · 180d +75.5% · 1y +156.7%
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
Large-cap energy majors have the global extraction expertise to be pulled into the rare-earth and critical-mineral security buildout, and the market hasn't yet priced that rerating
“these companies and the large cap, they're experts at extracting minerals and resources from the ground globally”
90d +9.8% · 180d +34.3% · 1y +58.6%
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
Nuclear is the only credible long-term solution to AI-driven electricity demand and is inevitable at scale, making uranium miners the direct structural beneficiary
“I definitely own some uranium companies cuz I think that has to be a part of it”
90d -8.5% · 180d -5.9% · 1y -34.9%
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
The Trump administration is fully committed to making the US the crypto capital of the world and you do not want to bet against a determined president on a goal he has decided to pursue
“I like Bitcoin, I think you want to own Bitcoin”
90d -14.0% · 180d -32.8% · 1y -25.9%
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
Ethereum has the highest upside among crypto assets because it is the most credible foundational layer for stablecoin infrastructure and broader technology use cases under the current regulatory environment
“I lean towards ETH right now...I feel that has the most potential maximum upside”
90d -19.3% · 180d -42.8% · 1y -37.5%
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
2025-10-15
Crypto Other
bullish
Wealthion · video
Stablecoins extend US dollar dominance globally and will structurally require large-scale treasury purchases, making stablecoin technology infrastructure a growth sector backed by explicit administration policy
“I think the stable coins are going to be a big part”
Peter Tchir: America’s ‘Pre-War World’ and Its Investing Playbook
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