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Investors / stance tracking

What Chris Whalen is saying

Banking analyst — Whalen Global Advisors

84 dated public stances tracked since 2025-09-03, most recently 2026-08-29. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.

The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Chris Whalen's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Chris Whalen is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.

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84
tracked stances
35
themes
3
side flips
2026-08-29
last heard
Returns  90d -4.8% (n=39) · 180d +12.8% (n=6) · 1y +19.1% (n=6)

Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.

View flips

Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.

HOUSING — bullish2026-06-20 → bearish2026-06-27
NVDA — bullish2025-09-03 → bearish2026-05-23
HOUSING — bearish2026-04-11 → bullish2026-04-18

Most-argued themes

ThemeStancesLeanMixLast
GOLD1111 bullish2026-08-29
SILVER99 bullish2026-08-15
Mortgage Reits88 bullish2026-08-29
HOUSING63 bullish / 3 bearish2026-07-25
Long Dur Treasuries55 bearish2026-08-22
NVDA41 bullish / 3 bearish2026-08-29

Tracked stances

bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.

2026-08-29 GOLD bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Rising US debt effectively encumbers all domestic assets creating confiscation risk, while Chinese central bank demand and declining dollar reserve-currency status drive structural appreciation; offshore physical gold is the only real protection.
“The only way you can really protect yourself is to have physical gold and keep it offshore.”
Chris Whalen Answers Your Questions on Gold, the Fed, and Retirement Risk
2026-08-29 AYA bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Commercial industrial demand for silver supports a distinct investment thesis from gold's monetary-hedge role, and AYA is a small-cap pure-play vehicle on that demand.
“Because of the commercial demand for silver, you definitely want to have some of that in your portfolio.”
Chris Whalen Answers Your Questions on Gold, the Fed, and Retirement Risk
2026-08-29 Mortgage Reits owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Annaly is the best-managed residential mortgage REIT: its MBS are government-guaranteed (no credit risk), the servicing book is a natural negative-duration hedge against positive-duration MBS, and integrated lending and securitization operations add operating…
“I'm very comfortable holding the equity because of the reasons we just discussed.”
Chris Whalen Answers Your Questions on Gold, the Fed, and Retirement Risk
2026-08-29 NVDA bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Nvidia's practice of financing its own AI customers creates circular credit risk and makes the apparent revenue growth dependent on its own lending, which Whalen views as a structural vulnerability in an already overheated AI trade.
“I worry about Nvidia — they're financing their customers, that is kind of a circular situation.”
Chris Whalen Answers Your Questions on Gold, the Fed, and Retirement Risk
2026-08-22 JAPANESE YEN (JPY) bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Japan's rates remain far below US rates, the yen carry trade is structurally unwinding, and neither the Fed nor Treasury can prevent continued yen depreciation — entropy is in charge
“I personally think the yen is going to continue to weaken”
Chris Whalen Answers Your Questions on the Fed, Rates & the Next Bailout
2026-08-22 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
30-year Treasury yields are below the rate of inflation, offering negative real returns, while alternatives like mortgage REITs and money market funds provide superior risk-adjusted yield
“No. I think there are many other things that you can buy that give you much better yield”
Chris Whalen Answers Your Questions on the Fed, Rates & the Next Bailout
2026-08-22 long Mortgage Reits / long Mortgage Reits basket Julia La Roche Show · video
Annaly and AGNC offer meaningfully higher yield than Treasuries, which are below inflation, making mortgage REITs the preferred yield vehicle — Whalen currently owns both
Chris Whalen Answers Your Questions on the Fed, Rates & the Next Bailout
2026-08-15 ENERGY bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Iran conflict destroyed roughly half of productive capacity for key industrial chemicals and LNG, diesel is already up ~35% since February and will move higher as supplies at the bottom of available US inventory ripple into food, housing, construction, and…
“diesel's up about 35% since February when the Iran war started. I think that's going to go higher”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's First Big Unwind — and Why Insurance Is Next
2026-08-15 UWMC bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
United Wholesale Mortgage overstated servicing asset values by roughly 20-25% to borrow against them, was never truly profitable, and has been extracting cash for years — Oaktree's $1.5B rescue signals the severity and will likely force out management and…
“I think they were overvaluing their servicing assets by about 20, 25%. And that's a no-no”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's First Big Unwind — and Why Insurance Is Next
2026-08-15 GOLD bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Chinese buying at record levels with physical delivery (gold going into Chinese storage and off the market permanently) combined with systemic supply shortage versus demand keeps the bull market intact
“the gold trade is very much intact... both metals in terms of the bull market trade are very much intact”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's First Big Unwind — and Why Insurance Is Next
2026-08-15 SILVER owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Silver is a commercial/industrial trade (not just monetary) with supply in terrible short supply relative to demand, and silver miners are the top performers in Whalen's precious metals ranking
“the top performers in our precious metals group are silver stocks and ETFs”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's First Big Unwind — and Why Insurance Is Next
2026-08-15 AI COMPANY VALUATIONS bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Chinese competitors (DeepSeek-class firms) offer equivalent AI functionality at a tenth the cost, destroying the pricing power and valuation assumptions underpinning US AI companies without stopping the capex spending race
“all of the valuation assumptions for the Anthropics of the world are being just torn to shreds”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's First Big Unwind — and Why Insurance Is Next
2026-07-25 GOLD bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Central banks globally are adding to gold stocks as prices dip, physical delivery constraints cap available supply, and gold serves as a monetary store of value hedge against persistent commodity-input inflation approaching double digits
“I'm continuing to be very bullish on both metals”
Chris Whalen: 5% Yields, 7% Mortgages, Double-Digit Inflation & the End of the Party
2026-07-25 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
The Treasury's 6%-of-GDP fiscal deficit is running the economy structurally hot, making the Fed's 2% inflation target 'laughable' and pushing the 10-year yield toward and above 5% in a sustained higher-for-longer regime
“You may see that 10-year Treasury go above 5%”
Chris Whalen: 5% Yields, 7% Mortgages, Double-Digit Inflation & the End of the Party
2026-07-25 MSTR bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
MicroStrategy's business model is fundamentally flawed — holding Bitcoin as assets while owing fiat on liabilities creates an acute asset-liability mismatch, paying 11% on preferred signals financial desperation, and the company may not survive as a going…
“MicroStrategy, you may not be around a year from now, simply because the business model is so flawed and the balance sheet is so horribly out of line”
Chris Whalen: 5% Yields, 7% Mortgages, Double-Digit Inflation & the End of the Party
2026-07-25 SILVER bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
China is scouring the planet buying physical silver for delivery (not speculation), inelastic commercial and tech demand creates a hard floor with no substitute, and the supply-demand imbalance is more acute than gold with less downside risk from further…
“When the price gets down to a certain point, people are going to buy it because they realize how much of an imbalance there is between supply and demand”
Chris Whalen: 5% Yields, 7% Mortgages, Double-Digit Inflation & the End of the Party
2026-07-25 Mortgage Reits owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Annaly manages spread risk well, holds a balanced portfolio including mortgage servicing rights (negative duration but income-generating), trades around NAV, and is a reliable high-yield vehicle — he rolled T-bills directly into Annaly and will add more on…
“I own Annaly, I own AGNC for cash. I don't even have any T-bills right now, they all rolled off and I just stuck them in Annaly”
Chris Whalen: 5% Yields, 7% Mortgages, Double-Digit Inflation & the End of the Party
2026-07-25 BHLL bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Bunker Hill Mine is going into production later this year for silver (plus zinc and copper), targeting a 50/50 silver mix, representing a domestic US supply story on a metal with a severe supply-demand imbalance and no cheap alternative data source
“They're going to be going into production later this year for both metals, zinc, copper, and silver”
Chris Whalen: 5% Yields, 7% Mortgages, Double-Digit Inflation & the End of the Party
2026-07-25 HOUSING bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Both PennyMac Mortgage Trust and its manager PennyMac Financial have repeatedly struggled to navigate the rising-rate environment correctly, making them less attractive than better-managed mREIT peers like Annaly in the same yield-seeking thesis
“I'm not as keen on PennyMac because both PennyMac Mortgage Trust and PennyMac Financial have had some trouble getting it right recently”
Chris Whalen: 5% Yields, 7% Mortgages, Double-Digit Inflation & the End of the Party
2026-07-11 USTS bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Economy running hot with ~7% deficit-to-GDP government spending and war-driven inflation gives the Fed no real choice but to hike at least once before Labor Day, with the White House already signaling approval to protect Worsh's credibility
“the White House has probably greenlighted at least one rate increase because they know that Worsh doesn't really have much of a choice”
Chris Whalen: One Rate Hike Coming, Iran Peace Unlikely, Double-Digit Inflation Inevitable
2026-07-11 OIL bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
US physical oil inventories at 20-year lows, ongoing Iran-US hostilities blocking Middle East supply recovery, and continued strong economic demand will produce refined product shortages and meaningfully higher prices into fall 2026
“diesel prices are up 30% this year — diesel ripples through just about every part of the US economy”
Chris Whalen: One Rate Hike Coming, Iran Peace Unlikely, Double-Digit Inflation Inevitable
2026-06-27 HOUSING bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Institutional overcrowding in loosely-underwritten business-purpose loans mirrors 2005 pre-GFC dynamics, and declining property values will surface losses as the equity buffer that has masked defaults disappears.
“I think today is 2005. That's when real estate really started to crack.”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's Slow Motion Train Wreck & The Warning Signs for a 2028 Housing Reset
2026-06-27 Private Credit bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Rising rates are triggering simultaneous redemption pressure and asset impairment in DSCR/business-purpose loan portfolios, creating a two-sided squeeze on private credit vehicles.
“This is a slow motion train wreck. This is the gift that keeps on giving.”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's Slow Motion Train Wreck & The Warning Signs for a 2028 Housing Reset
2026-06-27 GOLD owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Persistent Congressional failure to address the budget deficit ensures the dollar debasement narrative returns, making higher short-term rates only a transient headwind.
“I've been in gold for years.”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's Slow Motion Train Wreck & The Warning Signs for a 2028 Housing Reset
2026-06-27 Mortgage Reits owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Government-insured collateral eliminates credit risk and leaves only market risk, and Annaly's management does the best job in the peer group of handling that, supporting a high and durable common dividend yield.
“I like owning Annaly Common because the yield is higher and the stock has very low volatility.”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's Slow Motion Train Wreck & The Warning Signs for a 2028 Housing Reset
2026-06-27 MSTR bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Wall Street institutionalized crypto via ETFs as a distribution mechanism and is now exiting, leaving MicroStrategy structurally exposed as the institutional bid collapses.
“Micro Strategy is in big trouble, I think.”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's Slow Motion Train Wreck & The Warning Signs for a 2028 Housing Reset
2026-06-27 SILVER bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Structural supply deficit combined with irreplaceable industrial demand from the tech sector makes the rate-driven price dip a temporary headwind, not a structural reversal.
“Just about anything you can think of in tech requires silver.”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's Slow Motion Train Wreck & The Warning Signs for a 2028 Housing Reset
2026-06-27 BITCOIN bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Major financial firms created Bitcoin ETFs as a temporary distribution vehicle and are now actively selling, removing the institutional sponsorship that drove the 2024-25 rally.
“The street having killed Bitcoin by creating all these ETFs is now going to run away.”
Chris Whalen: Private Credit's Slow Motion Train Wreck & The Warning Signs for a 2028 Housing Reset
2026-06-20 HOUSING owns Julia La Roche Show · video
PennyMac Mortgage Trust holds almost entirely Fannie/Freddie conventional loans yielding ~16%, benefiting from the bond market's de facto rate hike with no credit risk
“I also just bought some PennyMac Mortgage Trust ... 16% yield is not too bad”
Whalen: Bond Market Already Hiked, Double-Digit Inflation Still Ahead, Warsh Sets New Tone at Fed
2026-06-20 AI AND SOFTWARE STOCKS bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Liquidity is draining from equity markets as bond yields rise and attract capital reallocation from equities; 10x moves in 12 months signal a bubble top, with software already down 20–30% since June 1 and AI still to follow
“I'm preparing for the next thing, which is probably a sell-off in tech and AI”
Whalen: Bond Market Already Hiked, Double-Digit Inflation Still Ahead, Warsh Sets New Tone at Fed
2026-06-20 COPPER bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Structural supply shortage in copper against rising industrial demand — not enough is being mined to meet needs — makes it a medium-term accumulation trade
“Copper is in short supply ... we need copper for pretty much everything in the industrial sector”
Whalen: Bond Market Already Hiked, Double-Digit Inflation Still Ahead, Warsh Sets New Tone at Fed
2026-06-20 SILVER bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Annual silver production is structurally short of industrial/tech demand, creating an asymmetric supply squeeze; price weakness from financial-market volatility is a buying opportunity for a multi-year thesis
“the differential between how much silver we're producing and how much we need every year for tech is mind-boggling”
Whalen: Bond Market Already Hiked, Double-Digit Inflation Still Ahead, Warsh Sets New Tone at Fed
2026-06-20 Mortgage Reits owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Annaly buys government-insured mortgages funded via repo at 10:1 leverage, capturing a widening spread as long-term yields rise, with mortgage-servicing-right assets providing negative-duration hedge — just raised its dividend and carries no credit risk
“I stopped buying short-term Treasuries. I just have everything sitting in Annaly”
Whalen: Bond Market Already Hiked, Double-Digit Inflation Still Ahead, Warsh Sets New Tone at Fed
2026-06-20 GOLD bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Central banks globally are accumulating gold as a reserve asset with no political connotation and will not become sellers, providing a durable demand floor independent of dollar status
“central banks are not going to be sellers of gold. They're going to continue to accumulate gold as a reserve asset”
Whalen: Bond Market Already Hiked, Double-Digit Inflation Still Ahead, Warsh Sets New Tone at Fed
2026-06-20 SPACEX bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
SpaceX holds a de facto monopoly on commercial orbital launch AND global satellite internet (Starlink) with no credible competitor, making it a durable long-term compounder regardless of Elon Musk's political exposure
“this guy has a monopoly on putting things in space. He has a monopoly on global internet services”
Whalen: Bond Market Already Hiked, Double-Digit Inflation Still Ahead, Warsh Sets New Tone at Fed
2026-06-06 AI TECH STOCKS (BROAD) bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
The AI trade is momentum-driven rather than fundamentals-based, community opposition to data center construction is a growing political headwind, and Whalen has already been selling his positions after 150-200% gains
“I think there is a momentum quality to what's going on here... the AI trade, which I think is almost done. I've been selling my tech stocks”
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-06-06 ENERGY owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Persian Gulf refinery damage is driving a structural energy supply shock that will persist for years, making well-managed oil majors like Chevron beneficiaries; Whalen bought back in after taking profits
“I got right back into Chevron... it's one of the best managed oil companies in the world”
90d +10.6%
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-06-06 NVDA bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Nvidia has been financing its own large customers to drive demand, raising questions about credit quality and whether the company is as attractive as its valuation implies
“if you look at the degree to which they've been financing some of their larger customers, is that really an attractive company? I would say no”
90d -10.4%
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-06-06 BITCOIN bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Bitcoin's primary marginal buyer (MicroStrategy/Saylor) is effectively insolvent, institutional sellers like BlackRock are exiting, and speculative interest has rotated to AI, leaving crypto without a catalyst
“MicroStrategy Mike Saylor's company is clearly insolvent and he was really the primary buyer of Bitcoin”
90d -30.9%
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-06-06 SILVER bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Supply-demand dynamics in silver are even more compelling than gold, prompting Whalen to tilt his metals allocation toward silver over gold
“I think the supply demand dynamics in silver are even more compelling”
90d -2.9%
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-06-06 HIGH-END SYNTHETIC LUBRICANTS (SUPPLY RATIONING THEME) bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Destruction of key Persian Gulf petrochemical plants has created a structural shortage of high-end synthetic lubricants critical for turbines, hybrid vehicles, and complex engines, with de facto rationing already underway and set to intensify by mid-year
“Rationing of key high-end lubricants... He sees rationing as a fact way before the midterm elections”
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-06-06 GOLD owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Persistent inflationary wave from Persian Gulf supply disruption will structurally erode fiat purchasing power, making gold a core portfolio holding; Whalen is buying the dip
“I've been buying more as the price comes off”
90d +2.4%
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-06-06 DIESEL FUEL / REFINED PETROLEUM PRODUCTS bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Persian Gulf refinery destruction and nations prioritizing domestic diesel over exports will cause pronounced shortages and rising prices by July-August, hitting transportation and consumer prices across the economy
“diesel fuel prices are going to continue to rise”
Chris Whalen: The Markets Know There's A Problem, Trump Admin Doesn't, Rationing Ahead
2026-05-30 USTS bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
TIPS are pricing only 2-3% inflation while Whalen expects double-digit inflation driven by commodity shortages from the Gulf War, making them a poor inflation hedge relative to alternatives
“I don't think the TIPS are a good shelter for inflation right now”
90d +0.7%
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 Private Credit bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
US private credit default rates hit a record 6% in April—10x bank default rates—indicating the asset class is priced at single-B/triple-C quality and losses will accelerate as the cycle turns
“Fitch Ratings reports that US private credit default rate hit a record of 6% in April, which is 10 times the default rate for US banks”
90d -7.3%
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 Mortgage Reits owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Agency mortgage REITs owning government-insured mortgages offer significantly higher yield than TIPS and provide better inflation shelter without the measurement distortion of official CPI
“I own Annaly. There's a number of other REITs that own government insured mortgages that would pay you several times what you're going to make on the TIPS”
90d +2.3%
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 GOLD bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Gold scarcity combined with accelerating central bank reserve buying provides a structural bid that offsets competition from higher Treasury yields
“my basic thesis on precious metals both gold and silver is based on scarcity and central banks are buying it to use for reserves”
90d -0.6%
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 HOUSING bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Absence of rate cuts is crushing mortgage origination volumes, forcing top-10 lenders into consolidation M&A to cut costs, creating event-driven opportunities in the sector
“we could see three, four new M&A deals in housing announced between now and the end of the year. Top 10 lenders merging”
90d +1.5%
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 BANK OF AMERICA / CHARLES SCHWAB (LEGACY LOW-COUPON SECURITIES HOLDERS) bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Banks still holding large portfolios of COVID-era low-coupon securities face rising unrealized losses and balance sheet illiquidity as rates remain elevated, locking up capital
“banks that still have a lot of legacy low coupon paper like the Bank Americas and the Schwabs, you're going to see unrealized losses rise”
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 SILVER bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Silver faces structural supply scarcity from wartime destruction of technology assets combined with permanent demand from AI and defense manufacturing, making it attractive beyond just inflation hedging
“there's nothing you need to make in the world of AI that doesn't involve silver in one way or another”
90d -11.3%
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 AI-RELATED EQUITIES (CROWDED TRADE) bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
AI stocks have become a crowded momentum trade disconnected from profitability fundamentals, with other market sectors not participating, creating a lopsided and vulnerable market structure
“this AI thing is getting really silly. This is what you call a crowded trade on Wall Street”
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-30 FED FUNDS RATE HIKE (MACRO RATE CALL) bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
A majority of FOMC members may favor a July rate hike as forward-cut language is removed from the June statement, but Whalen believes hiking into war-driven inflation would destroy Fed credibility without curbing prices
“I wouldn't be surprised to see a majority of the committee in favor of a rate hike in July”
Whalen: Bank Outlook, Fed Policy Losing Efficacy, Rate Hike May Be Coming, Private Credit Defaults
2026-05-23 BITCOIN bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Wall Street ETFs have introduced passive investment mechanics into crypto that drag prices down in selloffs, and large holders like Michael Saylor reversing stance signals the bloom is off the rose for the asset class
“Wall Street ultimately killed Bitcoin”
90d -2.2%
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes
2026-05-23 GOLD owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Double-digit inflation driven by Gulf War supply disruptions and global central bank rebalancing away from dollars makes gold a credible inflation hedge
“I'm still happy with the long gold piece as an inflation hedge”
90d +2.3%
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes
2026-05-23 AMD owns Julia La Roche Show · video
AMD was bought when unloved and has outperformed Nvidia, benefiting from AI buildout spending while Nvidia has become too well-known for alpha generation
“we own AMD...it's up dramatically...moving much better than Nvidia”
90d -6.1%
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes
2026-05-23 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Inflation concerns are the chief market worry as evidenced by 10-year above 4.5% and 30-year heading toward 5%, and a Fed balance sheet reduction under Warsh would force markets to absorb more duration keeping long rates elevated
“medium to long-term rates...are going to remain elevated”
90d +2.4%
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes
2026-05-23 Mortgage Reits owns Julia La Roche Show · video
Annaly's mortgage servicing rights have risen dramatically with higher rates, slowing prepayments and extending income streams, providing duration balance that protects earnings and the dividend
“I'm quite happy with my position in Annaly. I'm going to be adding to that”
90d +2.7%
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes
2026-05-23 FED RATE HIKES / SHORT-DURATION RATES bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
War-driven inflation and loss of FOMC consensus for cuts makes a rate hike as early as July likely, forcing a hawkish pivot in Fed guidance
“we're going to have a rate hike perhaps as early as July”
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes
2026-05-23 SILVER bullish Julia La Roche Show · video
Silver offers a play on physical metal shortage combined with growing industrial/technology demand, making it a commercial commodity opportunity distinct from gold
“silver is I think a play on the shortage of the metal...and the growing demand in technology”
90d -10.0%
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes
2026-05-23 NVDA bearish Julia La Roche Show · video
Nvidia has become too widely known and commonplace, reducing alpha potential as investors rotate to less crowded AI names, and data center regulation poses a headwind to the AI buildout theme
“Nvidia's kind of almost got to be too well-known, too commonplace”
Chris Whalen: Why We Could See Double-Digit Inflation, Rationing, & Fed Hikes

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