Investors / stance tracking
What Brett Rentmeester is saying
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73 dated public stances tracked since 2024-09-05, most recently 2026-10-23. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.
The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Brett Rentmeester's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Brett Rentmeester is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.
Think we got something wrong? Report a misattribution — we correct it or take it down.
73
tracked stances
44
themes
1
side flips
2026-10-23
last heard
Returns 90d +7.3% 70% correct · 33 calls · 180d +10.8% 65% correct · 31 calls · 1y +15.7% 57% correct · 30 calls
Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances. “% correct” is the share of those scored calls whose direction-aware return was positive at the horizon — in a rising market a bullish call is correct by default, so read it beside the market, not alone.
Scored calls
Every tracked call with at least one matured horizon: the rows behind the Returns line above. A dash is a horizon that has not matured yet.
| Date | Name | Call | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | ENERGY | bullish | +20.0% | — | — |
| 2026-07-20 | SILVER | bullish | +1.1% | — | — |
| 2025-10-23 | USTS | bearish | +0.7% | +0.2% | +2.8% |
| 2025-10-23 | SPX | bearish | -2.3% | -5.4% | -14.4% |
| 2025-10-23 | Long Dur Treasuries | bearish | +3.4% | +3.2% | +6.9% |
| 2025-10-23 | GOLD | bullish | +17.1% | +13.4% | -3.2% |
| 2025-09-30 | long GOLD / long VC / long USTS | hedge | +6.8% | +8.6% | +1.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | BITCOIN | bullish | -23.6% | -42.2% | -26.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | Big Tech | bullish | +3.5% | -6.8% | +23.8% |
| 2025-09-10 | long SILVER / long GOLD | ratio | +31.5% | +75.1% | +36.0% |
| 2025-08-26 | long USTS / long Private Credit | other | -2.5% | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| 2025-08-26 | SILVER | bullish | +33.2% | +130.1% | +75.9% |
| 2025-08-26 | ENERGY | bullish | +1.9% | +27.2% | +45.9% |
| 2025-08-26 | Commercial Real Estate | bearish | +0.8% | -5.8% | -12.0% |
| 2025-08-04 | SUI | bullish | -0.2% | +1.7% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-21 | USTS | bearish | -3.9% | -2.8% | -2.4% |
| 2025-07-21 | GOLD | bullish | +28.7% | +39.6% | +19.7% |
| 2025-05-27 | SOL | bullish | +10.8% | +6.6% | — |
| 2025-05-27 | ETH | bullish | +64.4% | +10.6% | -23.0% |
| 2025-05-27 | BITCOIN | bullish | +1.0% | -20.4% | -31.8% |
| 2025-04-07 | SILVER | bullish | +23.2% | +62.3% | +143.0% |
| 2025-04-07 | GOLD | bullish | +12.3% | +33.1% | +57.8% |
| 2025-01-29 | long GOLD / long SILVER | basket | +13.5% | +21.9% | +186.1% |
| 2025-01-29 | USTS | bullish | +4.1% | +3.6% | +7.3% |
| 2025-01-29 | SPX | bearish | +7.6% | -6.5% | -16.7% |
| 2025-01-29 | Private Credit | bullish | -8.8% | +2.4% | -4.9% |
| 2025-01-29 | NVDA | bearish | +11.9% | -42.9% | -55.7% |
| 2025-01-29 | ENERGY | bullish | -7.0% | -0.2% | +16.4% |
| 2025-01-29 | BITCOIN | bullish | -9.1% | +13.8% | -18.5% |
| 2024-10-24 | USTS | bullish | -1.8% | +1.0% | +6.5% |
| 2024-10-24 | GOLD | bullish | +0.6% | +23.1% | +49.3% |
| 2024-10-24 | ENERGY | bullish | +3.1% | -7.9% | +1.3% |
| 2024-09-05 | Commercial Real Estate | bearish | -1.8% | +0.1% | -1.1% |
View flips
Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.
Most-argued themes
| Theme | Stances | Lean | Mix | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD | 5 | 5 bullish | 2026-10-23 | |
| USTS | 5 | 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral | 2025-10-23 | |
| ENERGY | 4 | 4 bullish | 2026-07-27 | |
| SILVER | 4 | 4 bullish | 2026-10-23 | |
| BITCOIN | 3 | 3 bullish | 2025-09-30 | |
| Commercial Real Estate | 3 | 3 bearish | 2026-10-23 |
Tracked stances
bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.
Silver, alongside gold, is part of the anti-fiat hard-asset allocation that historically preserves purchasing power in inflationary, rising-rate regimes
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
Gold outperformed equities and bonds in the last rising-rate inflationary era (1970s) and serves as a hedge against sovereign debt monetization and potential currency debasement
“Gold and silver did well”
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
2026-10-23
Commercial Real Estate
bearish
Wealthion · video
Remote-work structural shift combined with high financing costs is producing severe distress in big-city office, with transactions clearing at roughly 10% of prior peak valuations
“buildings are changing hands...of 10% of what the value was 10 years ago”
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
2026-10-23
Long Dur Treasuries
bearish
Wealthion · video
Rates have completed a 40-year falling cycle and history suggests we are entering a new multi-decade rising cycle, which destroys real bond returns just as it did from 1945–1981
“the idea of owning a 5% bond right now, although it seems attractive, won't seem attractive five years from now”
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
2026-10-23
Commodities Broad
bullish
Wealthion · video
Commodities and real assets broadly outperformed stocks and bonds in the 1970s rising-rate cycle and should again as inflation and government debt monetization pressure paper assets
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
2026-10-23
CRYPTOCURRENCY / BLOCKCHAIN INFRASTRUCTURE
bullish
Wealthion · video
Crypto is an anti-fiat hedge against sovereign debt restructuring and currency debasement, while blockchain rails benefit from regulatory tokenization trends and explosive AI-agent transaction demand
“I ought to consider some of it as just a hedge because the world could go there”
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
2026-10-23
AI / ROBOTICS / AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES / ORBITAL ECONOMY
bullish
Wealthion · video
Demand for AI-driven intelligence will multiply exponentially as software moves into hardware—humanoid robots, autonomous vehicles, space—creating a sustained multi-year growth cycle that justifies selective investment despite near-term valuation risk
“in the next five years we'll see autonomous vehicles everywhere. We'll see humanoid robots”
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
Cities carrying massive structural debt and underfunded pension obligations may face rule changes, forced restructuring, or deferred payments—the traditional safety premium in munis is unwarranted
“the rules may change down the road. So be careful”
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
2026-10-23
MULTIFAMILY / RENTAL REAL ESTATE
bullish
Wealthion · video
Inflationary environments translate into higher rents over time, sustaining multifamily valuations even as higher rates increase borrowing costs, particularly in supply-constrained markets
“multifamily and rental in key areas are still going to be strong”
Why the 60/40 Portfolio May Not Protect You
2026-07-27
NATURAL GAS
bullish
Wealthion · video
US natural gas is abundant and will be the primary near-term energy source powering AI data center expansion while nuclear and fusion remain years away
“natural gas in the US is abundant and probably going to be the engine right now for what fuels a lot of this”
You're Underestimating AI's Next Trillion-Dollar Opportunity
Power availability is an investment opportunity adjacent to AI because government backing of AI dominance ensures demand gets satisfied regardless of normal free-market constraints
“I think it's an opportunity adjacent to AI”
90d +20.0%
You're Underestimating AI's Next Trillion-Dollar Opportunity
2026-07-27
AGENTIC AI AND PHYSICAL AI THEME (ROBOTICS, AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES, DRONES)
bullish
Wealthion · video
Agentic AI and physical AI (humanoid robots, robo-taxis, drones) represent underestimated second and third waves of AI demand that most investors are not positioned for, with effectively uncapped intelligence demand
“we might be massively understating the demand at this point”
You're Underestimating AI's Next Trillion-Dollar Opportunity
AI infrastructure build-out and robotics create durable incremental demand for copper, silver, and steel as essential inputs for data centers and physical AI devices
“copper and silver and steel, all these things that are going to be in demand related to robotics and data centers”
90d +1.1%
AI's $920 Billion Gamble: Bubble or the Biggest Opportunity Yet?
Junk-bond spreads over Treasuries are near historical lows (~2–2.5%), so investors are not being compensated for taking credit risk relative to prior recessionary entry points where spreads were 10–20%
90d +0.7% · 180d +0.2% · 1y +2.8%
Brett Rentmeester: The Great Market Illusion — Gold Soars, AI Booms, Debt Mounts
Global debt trajectory is not improving and there is no plan to pay it down, so central banks and institutions keep buying gold as a hard-money anchor against continued fiat debasement
“The more paper money in the system, the more things like gold and silver are going to be an anchor”
90d +17.1% · 180d +13.4% · 1y -3.2%
Brett Rentmeester: The Great Market Illusion — Gold Soars, AI Booms, Debt Mounts
Technology sector P/S is higher than the 1999 peak and top-10 names represent 39% of the S&P 500, creating concentration risk that historically precedes de-risking, though the AI growth runway is still early
“technology as a sector, price relative to sales, is almost 10 times sales — that's much higher than the 1999 tech bubble top”
90d -2.3% · 180d -5.4% · 1y -14.4%
Brett Rentmeester: The Great Market Illusion — Gold Soars, AI Booms, Debt Mounts
2025-10-23
Long Dur Treasuries
bearish
Wealthion · video
Unsustainable global sovereign debt issuance with no credible path to reduction means the long end of the yield curve faces structural selling pressure and real after-tax-and-inflation returns are negative
“the epicenter of the problem is going to be over time the bond market”
90d +3.4% · 180d +3.2% · 1y +6.9%
Brett Rentmeester: The Great Market Illusion — Gold Soars, AI Booms, Debt Mounts
2025-09-30
long GOLD / long VC / long USTS
hedge
Wealthion · video
A barbell of hard assets (gold, silver, farmland) against high-risk growth bets (VC, crypto, cannabis) replaces the 60/40 model because falling real rates on bonds and ongoing fiat debasement break the bond anchor while selective growth bets capture AI/energy…
“weights on both sides … some bets that are high risk … offsetting that, you've got gold and silver, you've got farmland”
90d +6.8% · 180d +8.6% · 1y +1.7%
$5,000 Gold, AI Bubble? & How to Invest Now | Brett Rentmeester Ask Me Anything
2025-09-30
NATURAL GAS
bullish
Wealthion · video
Natural gas is clean, abundant, and positioned as the primary fuel source for the energy infrastructure needed to support AI growth in America, yet remains undervalued relative to that demand story.
$5,000 Gold, AI Bubble? & How to Invest Now | Brett Rentmeester Ask Me Anything
Crypto serves as the high-risk, high-reward leg of a barbell portfolio that offsets hard-asset hedges; dollar debasement and potential government balance-sheet accumulation (Bitcoin reserves) support long-term appreciation.
“I put cryptocurrency in that too. High risk, but high reward.”
90d -23.6% · 180d -42.2% · 1y -26.7%
$5,000 Gold, AI Bubble? & How to Invest Now | Brett Rentmeester Ask Me Anything
Said again: 2025-10-23 (Wealthion)
2025-09-30
UTILITIES
bullish
Wealthion · video
Doubling US energy output to support AI buildout creates a structural demand tailwind for the utility sector as a backdoor play on the AI boom without paying peak-valuation tech multiples.
“utilities are a sector that may benefit … that is a backdoor play to this boom”
$5,000 Gold, AI Bubble? & How to Invest Now | Brett Rentmeester Ask Me Anything
2025-09-30
Big Tech
bullish
Wealthion · video
AI demand is real and broad unlike the 1999 dotcom cycle, but peak-valuation mega-caps carry excess risk; relative-value names — specifically one robotics-focused company — offer AI exposure at better entry points.
“we are in AI, but we're not chasing the big winners … there's one we really like that focuses on the future of robotics”
90d +3.5% · 180d -6.8% · 1y +23.8%
$5,000 Gold, AI Bubble? & How to Invest Now | Brett Rentmeester Ask Me Anything
2025-09-30
AGENTIC AI STARTUPS (VENTURE CAPITAL)
bullish
Wealthion · video
Early-stage agentic AI companies solving real-world domain problems will be acquired by larger competitors, making overpayment at the seed stage immaterial versus the acquisition premium, unlike chasing public market leaders at all-time highs.
$5,000 Gold, AI Bubble? & How to Invest Now | Brett Rentmeester Ask Me Anything
2025-09-10
long SILVER / long GOLD
ratio
Wealthion · video
The gold/silver price ratio at 88:1 is far above both the geological extraction ratio (~10:1) and the prior-cycle peak ratio (~30s), so overweighting silver relative to gold captures mean-reversion of a historically stretched spread.
“88 ounces of silver only buys you 1 ounce of gold... the last time we had a relative peak in 2011, that ratio was maybe in the 30s”
90d +31.5% · 180d +75.1% · 1y +36.0%
The Dollar’s 99% Collapse vs Gold | Brett Rentmeester
2025-08-26
long USTS / long Private Credit
other
Wealthion · video
Bond barbell that avoids duration risk by pairing liquid short-term Treasuries for coupon clipping with private credit at 8–12% projected returns, sidestepping long-bond vulnerability to debt-driven rate and inflation risk.
“we would not be taking on tremendous interest rate risk. We would not be owning long-term bonds”
90d -2.5% · 180d -3.4% · 1y -0.1%
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
Shares the monetary debasement thesis with gold — limited supply, cannot be printed, and tracks monetary growth; still undervalued relative to expanding debt obligations.
“we continue to think gold and silver are critical pieces, precious metals to a portfolio”
90d +33.2% · 180d +130.1% · 1y +75.9%
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
Said again: 2025-09-30 (Wealthion), 2025-10-23 (Wealthion)
Dividend-paying energy infrastructure is out of favor and offers income plus low correlation to high-valuation tech, providing balance against the risk of an AI hype-cycle correction.
90d +1.9% · 180d +27.2% · 1y +45.9%
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
Said again: 2025-09-30 (Wealthion)
2025-08-26
FARMLAND
bullish
Wealthion · video
Hard asset in limited supply that cannot be printed; food prices structurally rising; organic conversion compounds returns (organic blueberries fetch double the price), generating farm profitability over a multi-year horizon.
“that little pint of blueberries in the grocery store is about double the price once it's organic”
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
2025-08-26
CANNABIS STOCKS
bullish
Wealthion · video
Growth industry with positive regulatory catalysts ahead that remains 80–90% off all-time highs even after a recent surge, leaving substantial upside if the thesis plays out.
“anytime you look at sectors that are 80 90% off their all-time highs, even with a strong move, there's probably a lot of room”
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
2025-08-26
Commercial Real Estate
bearish
Wealthion · video
Post-COVID occupancy has not recovered, lenders are extending and pretending to avoid marking down impaired collateral, and major towers are selling at deep discounts to prior valuations — a sector to avoid without deep specialist expertise.
“we're seeing major office towers selling at huge discounts to what they were carried at a number of years ago”
90d +0.8% · 180d -5.8% · 1y -12.0%
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
Said again: 2025-09-30 (Wealthion)
2025-08-26
TOBACCO STOCKS
bullish
Wealthion · video
Out-of-favor, dividend-paying sector provides income and low correlation to the AI-driven, highly concentrated and overvalued US equity market, acting as a portfolio counterbalance.
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
2025-08-26
BUILD-TO-RENT RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE IN SUNBELT STATES
bullish
Wealthion · video
Structural migration to low-tax sunbelt states creates rental demand exceeding supply, while cost-to-own remaining well above cost-to-rent keeps occupancy and rents supported.
“the cost of owning is much higher in a lot of these markets than the cost to rent”
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
2025-08-26
EFFICIENCY / BUDGET HOTELS
bullish
Wealthion · video
Sky-high hotel prices are generating price-sensitive consumer demand for smaller, lower-cost efficiency formats; major chains expanding this segment creates investable income-producing real estate.
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
2025-08-26
GROCERY-ANCHORED RETAIL CENTERS
bullish
Wealthion · video
Service and necessity-driven retail anchored by groceries and personal services is structurally resilient to e-commerce disruption, providing stable, defensive income in a volatile macro environment.
“you're still going to go get your haircut somewhere. You're still going to stop in for groceries”
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
2025-08-26
AI VENTURE CAPITAL AND PRE-IPO PRIVATE COMPANIES
bullish
Wealthion · video
Early-stage AI startups and proven pre-IPO names (e.g., SpaceX) offer AI theme exposure at meaningfully lower relative valuations than trillion-dollar public market leaders, with upside from eventual acquisitions or IPOs.
“there are some pre-IPO kind of companies... already proven... a little bit more derisked than doing startup plays”
AI Boom vs Debt Doom? Brett Rentmeester on Markets at a Crossroads
Sui (built by ex-Meta/Diem engineers) targets the same high-speed consumer-transaction bucket as Solana—quick, low-cost peer-to-peer transfers for social and micro-payment applications
“Stewie, which are ex Facebook people when they were developing a coin, is in that space”
90d -0.2% · 180d +1.7% · 1y +0.1%
Crypto’s Future Unlocked: Brett Rentmeester’s Guide to Bitcoin, Ethereum & AI
2025-08-04
TAO
bullish
Wealthion · video
Bittensor coordinates independent AI development teams through a decentralized incentive system, allowing any developer to plug in and attract capital without going through big tech, making it a foundational platform for the decentralized AI megatrend
“I'm familiar with one called Bit Tensor… it helps coordinate different independent teams and has an incentive system”
Crypto’s Future Unlocked: Brett Rentmeester’s Guide to Bitcoin, Ethereum & AI
2025-08-04
VIRTUAL (VIRTUALS PROTOCOL)
bullish
Wealthion · video
Virtuals Protocol on Coinbase's Base chain enables developers to deploy autonomous AI agents at low cost, representing the practical infrastructure layer for the decentralized AI theme without requiring centralized big-tech gatekeepers
“virtuals is a platform where people are basically building these agents or bots… empowering these agents to go out with AI intelligence”
Crypto’s Future Unlocked: Brett Rentmeester’s Guide to Bitcoin, Ethereum & AI
2025-08-04
RWA
bullish
Wealthion · video
Tokenization of illiquid and traditional assets—including private equity and stocks trading 24/7—will create real-time markets for previously locked-up capital, driven by platforms like Robinhood moving into this space
“companies like Robinhood talking about tokenizing all sorts of assets… illiquid assets that can now have a real-time market”
Crypto’s Future Unlocked: Brett Rentmeester’s Guide to Bitcoin, Ethereum & AI
With global debt levels at extremes and governments structurally printing money, bonds face a potential crisis as the primary alternative to equities — offering capped upside and existential downside if fiscal credibility breaks
“Bonds might be the epicenter of the next crisis.”
90d -3.9% · 180d -2.8% · 1y -2.4%
Gerald Celente: AI Bust, Gold Boom, War & Global Recession Ahead?
Said again: 2025-08-26 (Wealthion)
Precious metals rise when governments print money and devalue currencies; with sovereign debt levels globally at extremes, money-printing is a structural trend that makes this a durable long position
“They go up when everybody's printing money and devaluing their currency. With the debt levels in the world, it seems like that's a trend that's going to continue.”
90d +28.7% · 180d +39.6% · 1y +19.7%
Gerald Celente: AI Bust, Gold Boom, War & Global Recession Ahead?
Said again: 2025-08-26 (Wealthion), 2025-09-10 (Wealthion), 2025-09-30 (Wealthion)
2025-07-21
AI MEGA-CAP TECHNOLOGY STOCKS
bearish
Wealthion · video
AI mega-caps are running on stretched valuations and momentum-chasing rather than fundamentals, creating significant pullback risk for investors who are overconcentrated in that cohort
“There's a danger if you're just chasing the AI mega caps that are running. There could be a significant pullback at some point.”
Gerald Celente: AI Bust, Gold Boom, War & Global Recession Ahead?
2025-07-21
BUILD-TO-RENT RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE
bullish
Wealthion · video
Homeownership unaffordability and desire for labor mobility are structurally increasing demand for rental communities that feel like single-family neighborhoods; this niche avoids the distressed office-CRE overhang
Gerald Celente: AI Bust, Gold Boom, War & Global Recession Ahead?
Mushrooming global fiat debt problem makes Bitcoin a critical store-of-value alternative; 4-year halving cycle points to a near-term cycle peak of $150K–$400K, with a longer-term 10x scenario (~$1M) if Bitcoin's market cap rivals gold's
“if you look to a cycle where it rivals gold, it's probably pushing a 10x from here”
90d +1.0% · 180d -20.4% · 1y -31.8%
Bitcoin to 10X? Brett Rentmeester on Crypto, the Death of 60/40, AI & The 4th Turning
Said again: 2025-06-10 (Wealthion), 2025-08-04 (Wealthion)
2025-05-27
Crypto Other
bullish
Wealthion · video
Decentralized AI platforms that coordinate contributors and reward them with tokens—rather than concentrating AI ownership in a single company—represent the next major convergence theme between AI and crypto
“almost becoming coordination platforms with incentives to fund groups of entrepreneurs...building AI”
Bitcoin to 10X? Brett Rentmeester on Crypto, the Death of 60/40, AI & The 4th Turning
Said again: 2025-08-04 (Wealthion)
Ethereum is the longest-standing business-application blockchain and a likely settlement layer for financial transactions; as a winner-take-all global platform play it deserves a core allocation within a crypto framework
“it also might be a settlement layer for a lot of financial things”
90d +64.4% · 180d +10.6% · 1y -23.0%
Bitcoin to 10X? Brett Rentmeester on Crypto, the Death of 60/40, AI & The 4th Turning
Said again: 2025-08-04 (Wealthion)
2025-05-27
SOL
bullish
Wealthion · video
Solana offers a throughput speed advantage that makes it the natural infrastructure for memecoins, NFTs, and emerging AI-token activity; worth a smaller 'sprinkle' position alongside core holdings as a high-beta platform bet
“coins that have a speed advantage...Salana and Sooie and some of these chains”
90d +10.8% · 180d +6.6%
Bitcoin to 10X? Brett Rentmeester on Crypto, the Death of 60/40, AI & The 4th Turning
Said again: 2025-08-04 (Wealthion)
Gold/silver ratio near 102 is an extreme versus the ~15:1 natural mining ratio; silver has been dragged down by recession/industrial fears but supply dynamics differ from gold, making reversion to historical ratio likely
“silver is probably one of the cheapest assets given the environment we're in out there”
90d +23.2% · 180d +62.3% · 1y +143.0%
Scott Bessent Endorsed Gold? | Wealthion Flash Market Report
Said again: 2025-05-27 (Wealthion)
Global debt unsustainability, Basel III elevating gold to Tier 1 bank asset, and central bank accumulation support gold to $5k–$15k over the next 3–5 years as currency risk forces capital into no-counterparty-risk assets
“gold could be $5 to $15,000 in the next three to five years is kind of a range that we think is very reasonable”
90d +12.3% · 180d +33.1% · 1y +57.8%
Scott Bessent Endorsed Gold? | Wealthion Flash Market Report
Said again: 2025-04-08 (Wealthion), 2025-05-27 (Wealthion)
Rolling short-term Treasuries as a cash-equivalent placeholder while avoiding long-duration bonds; preserves capital and earns yield while waiting for better risk-asset entry points
“we generally are rolling short-term treasuries; we're not finding the bond market overly attractive on a long-term basis”
Scott Bessent Endorsed Gold? | Wealthion Flash Market Report
2025-01-29
long VALUE AI EQUITIES (UNDISCOVERED PUBLIC NAMES) / long AI-FOCUSED PRIVATE VENTURE CAPITAL
basket
Wealthion · video
Capture AI upside by pairing cheap undiscovered public AI names (full valuation not recognized) with private-market AI venture capital where entry is at startup multiples rather than trillion-dollar public valuations
“we kind of pair that with actually some private investing venture capital that is largely focused on AI”
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
2025-01-29
long GOLD / long SILVER
basket
Wealthion · video
Hold physical gold and silver in non-bank vaults as a hard-money hedge against financial system failure and dollar debasement, since fiat systems are fundamentally unsustainable given global debt levels
“precious metals gold and silver...held in a nonbank vault so not a line item at a brokerage firm”
90d +13.5% · 180d +21.9% · 1y +186.1%
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
2025-01-29
NATURAL GAS
bullish
Wealthion · video
Natural gas is deeply out of favor, abundant domestically, cost-competitive, and relatively clean versus coal—offering an asymmetric setup as energy policy shifts and LNG export capacity opens
“we're looking more at natural gas which has been really out of favor”
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
Pipeline and midstream MLPs earn toll-road economics regardless of commodity price direction, insulating them from the supply-expansion headwind that makes E&P names riskier under a pro-energy Trump administration
“we historically liked energy infrastructure master limited partnerships these are like the pipelines the things that actually get energy from point A to point B”
90d -7.0% · 180d -0.2% · 1y +16.4%
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
Bitcoin's fixed supply and trustless architecture make it a credible reserve asset and inflation hedge as sovereign debt becomes structurally unsustainable; potential US strategic reserve adoption would be a major catalyst
“cryptocurrencies I think that's got to be part of what people consider”
90d -9.1% · 180d +13.8% · 1y -18.5%
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
Said again: 2025-04-08 (Wealthion)
2025-01-29
TOBACCO INDUSTRY
bullish
Wealthion · video
Tobacco companies trade at single-digit PE ratios and yield ~8%, while holding potential to become cannabis market leaders as legalization expands—cheap valuation plus a free optionality call
“a lot of those companies trade at single-digit PE ratios and are one company I'm thinking of yields you know eight percent a year”
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
2025-01-29
Private Credit
bullish
Wealthion · video
Private credit secured by hard-asset collateral yields 8–12%, and secondary-market purchases from liquidity-seeking LPs can be acquired at a discount to NAV, offering a margin of safety unavailable in tight public credit markets
“normally you can buy those at a discount from them”
90d -8.8% · 180d +2.4% · 1y -4.9%
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
US equities are at historically extreme Shiller PE valuations—surpassing 2008 and 1929 levels—making long-term returns from passive index exposure very difficult to achieve
“I'd be very cautious about just buying into the S&P 500 or buying into the Meg 7”
90d +7.6% · 180d -6.5% · 1y -16.7%
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
Said again: 2025-04-07 (Wealthion)
Rolling short-term Treasuries at current rates provides attractive liquid yield while avoiding the duration risk of long bonds in an environment where the long end is rising
“rolling short-term treasuries at these rates still makes sense”
90d +4.1% · 180d +3.6% · 1y +7.3%
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
DeepSeek demonstrated that AI model parity can be achieved with cheaper chips and less energy, undermining the monopoly-pricing premium baked into Nvidia's valuation
“there's always caution with something like Nvidia...priced like monopolies like they've got a lock on the space”
90d +11.9% · 180d -42.9% · 1y -55.7%
Massive Debt and Big Changes: A New Economy Is Emerging | Brett Rentmeester
Showing the 60 most recent of 73 tracked stances.
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