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Investors / stance tracking

What Nouriel Roubini is saying

Economist; professor emeritus, NYU Stern

70 dated public stances tracked since 2022-12-16, most recently 2026-06-22. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.

The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Nouriel Roubini's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Nouriel Roubini is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.

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70
tracked stances
29
themes
3
side flips
2026-06-22
last heard
Returns  90d +1.7% (n=56) · 180d +4.1% (n=48) · 1y +6.3% (n=36)

Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.

View flips

Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.

USD — bullish2026-05-06 → bearish2026-06-01
USD — bearish2025-05-08 → bullish2025-12-12
SPX — bearish2023-09-18 → bullish2025-05-08

Most-argued themes

ThemeStancesLeanMixLast
Long Dur Treasuries88 bearish2026-06-01
GOLD66 bullish2026-06-01
SPX65 bullish / 1 bearish2026-06-22
USD62 bullish / 4 bearish2026-06-01
Big Tech44 bullish2026-02-18
ENERGY44 bullish2026-06-22

Tracked stances

bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.

2026-06-22 ENERGY bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A Cambrian explosion of 12+ distinct technological verticals will drive US potential growth from ~2% to ~4% by decade's end, with productivity already having doubled since COVID — creating durable structural tailwinds independent of Fed policy
“the most important technological innovation in human history”
Nouriel Roubini on the Tech Boom, Interest Rates, Fed Reserve
2026-06-22 SPX bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
AI-driven productivity surge powers equity returns regardless of Fed policy moves, with market discipline constraining macro headwinds, as evidenced by stocks reaching all-time highs even during oil spikes and geopolitical stress
“the economy is powered by AI and technology and these massive tailwinds”
Nouriel Roubini on the Tech Boom, Interest Rates, Fed Reserve
2026-06-01 STABLECOINS bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Stablecoins are merely a digital wrapper around fiat currency and therefore fail to hedge against fiat debasement or inflation — they solve the access problem but not the store-of-value problem
“if you worry about fiat currencies, stable coin is just a digital version of a fiat currency”
Reinforcing Dollar Primacy Through Investment: A Conversation with Nouriel Roubini and Reza Bundy
2026-06-01 USD bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
The US has weaponized the dollar for sanctions purposes, triggering gradual dedollarization — dollar share of global reserves has already fallen from 71% to 58% and the trend continues
“the share of the dollar in reserve assets gone from 71 plus to 58”
90d -1.3%
Reinforcing Dollar Primacy Through Investment: A Conversation with Nouriel Roubini and Reza Bundy
2026-06-01 GOLD bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Gold is the only reserve asset that cannot be seized by sanctions (unlike dollar, euro, or yen), and central banks have been buying it for three years as dedollarization accelerates and fiat currencies face debasement risk
“what's the only reserve asset that's not a currency that cannot be seized?”
90d -0.7%
Reinforcing Dollar Primacy Through Investment: A Conversation with Nouriel Roubini and Reza Bundy
2026-06-01 USTS owns Nouriel Roubini · video
Short-duration TIPS reprice for inflation and avoid the duration risk that kills nominal long bonds in a rising-inflation environment, making them the safe fixed-income sleeve in a stagflationary regime
“short-term treasuries or tips give you a good return and are part of our portfolio”
90d -0.8%
Reinforcing Dollar Primacy Through Investment: A Conversation with Nouriel Roubini and Reza Bundy
2026-06-01 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Rising inflation pushes bond yields higher, collapsing long-duration bond prices — the classic 60/40 defensive function breaks down, making long-duration treasuries a liability rather than a hedge
“bond yields are higher, the price of bond falls, 20% fell in 2022”
90d +2.7%
Reinforcing Dollar Primacy Through Investment: A Conversation with Nouriel Roubini and Reza Bundy
2026-05-06 USD bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
An AI-driven US investment boom will attract sustained capital inflows that support the dollar's reserve-currency status, making fears of a dollar free-fall and loss of exorbitant privilege unfounded.
“if they have this capital inflows, the dollar is not going to go into a free fall”
90d +3.0%
The Bridge Ep. 2: A Cambrian Explosion of Innovation
2026-05-06 SPX bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
AI and a broader Cambrian explosion of technology will drive US potential growth from ~2% toward 4%, expanding earnings and compressing risk premia, making current valuations sustainable and multiples capable of re-rating higher over the medium term.
“tech trumps tariff... the effect of tech is to increase potential growth from 2% to four”
90d +5.4%
The Bridge Ep. 2: A Cambrian Explosion of Innovation
2026-05-06 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Large fiscal deficits combined with fiscal-dominance dynamics and backdoor activist Treasury issuance create structural upward pressure on long-end yields, making long-duration bonds vulnerable, especially when negative supply shocks simultaneously push…
“you lose money on equity, you lose money on bonds — that's exactly what has happened”
90d +2.7%
The Bridge Ep. 2: A Cambrian Explosion of Innovation
2026-05-06 ENERGY bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Iran's threat to block the Strait of Hormuz has caused a more significant and sustained oil-price spike than prior regional conflicts, driving near-term inflationary pressure globally before potentially stabilizing if a ceasefire emerges.
“the war led the Iranians to actually exercise the option of trying to block the strait of Hormuz”
90d +3.4%
The Bridge Ep. 2: A Cambrian Explosion of Innovation
2026-05-06 AI / TECHNOLOGY SECULAR GROWTH THEME (BROAD) bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A Cambrian explosion across AI, semiconductors, robotics, biomedical, fusion, quantum, and other verticals represents the most important positive aggregate supply shock in human history, underpinning a secular boom in productivity and growth for the US.
“a Cambrian explosion of innovation... bigger than the first industrial revolution”
The Bridge Ep. 2: A Cambrian Explosion of Innovation
2026-02-18 SHORT US RATE CUTS / HIGHER-FOR-LONGER FED FUNDS RATE bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
If real potential growth rises to 3-4%, the equilibrium real rate must also rise to ~3%, meaning lower inflation does not justify a lower Fed funds rate and rate cuts are largely unwarranted
“if potential growth is higher, the equilibrium real long rate has to be higher”
Nouriel Roubini Expects Close to 4% US Growth by End of the Decade
2026-02-18 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Structurally higher real growth keeps the equilibrium real rate elevated (~3%), so long-duration bonds face persistent headwinds even if inflation declines toward 1%, leaving nominal rates anchored near 4%
“equilibrium real rate has to be at least 3%... you get still at a 4% nominal”
90d +6.2% · 180d +7.1%
Nouriel Roubini Expects Close to 4% US Growth by End of the Decade
2026-02-18 SPX bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A productivity-driven growth acceleration from AI, robotics, quantum, biotech, and related technologies will push US potential growth to ~4% by end of decade, creating a sustained economic boom that supports risk assets
“potential growth in the US is already well above 2% and by the end of the decade is going to be closer to 4%”
90d +7.2% · 180d +13.2%
Nouriel Roubini Expects Close to 4% US Growth by End of the Decade
2026-02-18 DEFENSE bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Multiple distinct technology verticals (semiconductors, robotic automation, quantum, fusion, defense tech, fintech, biomedical) are each independently compounding via AI-driven progress, producing a structural investment boom and significant growth uplift
“tech trumps tariffs because tech is first order, 200 basis points increase in potential growth”
90d -9.1% · 180d +4.7%
Nouriel Roubini Expects Close to 4% US Growth by End of the Decade
2026-02-18 Big Tech bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
AI and 14 other technology waves will lift US potential GDP growth to 4% by 2030, which must translate to equity returns higher than the already-strong historical 12-16% the market delivered at 2% growth
“American exceptionalism is not over. Actually, it's going to be reinforced over time.”
90d +16.0% · 180d +20.8%
Chairman & CEO at Roubini Macro Associates Nouriel Roubini Talks Geopolitics, AI Takeover |...
2026-02-18 AI CAPEX SUPPLY CHAIN (CHIPS, COOLING, CONSTRUCTION, EQUIPMENT — BEYOND HYPERSCALERS) bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Every S&P 500 firm must have an AI strategy or face competitive disruption, so the AI capex boom is broad-economy — not just Mag-7 hyperscalers — lifting supply chains for chips, cooling, construction, and equipment across the market
“It's not just a hyper scalar story. Everybody is trying to play with AI.”
Chairman & CEO at Roubini Macro Associates Nouriel Roubini Talks Geopolitics, AI Takeover |...
2026-02-18 China Equities bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
China is structurally risky and uninvestable relative to the US opportunity set, and allies will increasingly decouple from the Chinese technology and economic stack
“China is risky and uninvestable for lots of good reasons.”
90d +6.3% · 180d +8.7%
Chairman & CEO at Roubini Macro Associates Nouriel Roubini Talks Geopolitics, AI Takeover |...
2026-02-18 long USD / short UNKNOWN pair Nouriel Roubini · video
US 4% real GDP growth vs Eurozone 1% implies a higher US real R-star and a significantly stronger dollar, driving EUR/USD well below parity by the end of the decade
“the euro has to be well below parity in that world”
Chairman & CEO at Roubini Macro Associates Nouriel Roubini Talks Geopolitics, AI Takeover |...
2026-01-13 TECH & COMMUNICATION SERVICES SECTOR EQUITIES bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Real revenue per worker at S&P 500 tech and communication services firms has risen ~20% since ChatGPT's launch, demonstrating measurable productivity gains that directly support earnings growth
“a lot of it is closer to 20% in tech and communication services”
Nouriel Roubini Sees a Tech-Led US ‘Productivity Revolution’
2026-01-13 SPX bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A broad technology-driven productivity revolution is lifting US potential growth from 1.8% toward 4% by 2030, which historically drives higher equity returns well above the 12% average seen during the lower-growth era.
“If it was American exceptionalist with 1.8% growth, with higher growth, it has to be better than that on average.”
90d -0.8% · 180d +8.6%
Nouriel Roubini Sees a Tech-Led US ‘Productivity Revolution’
2026-01-13 US POTENTIAL GROWTH / TECH TRUMPS TARIFFS MACRO CALL bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Technology adds ~200bps to US potential growth while Trump's stagflationary policies (tariffs, immigration, fiscal deficits) subtract at most 50bps, yielding a 4-to-1 net positive ratio that offsets policy headwinds.
“You have an upside of 200 from technology, a downside of 50—it's a ratio of 4 to 1.”
Nouriel Roubini Sees a Tech-Led US ‘Productivity Revolution’
2026-01-13 TARIFF/POLICY DRAG VS US TECH UPSIDE (LONG US GROWTH, SHORT STAGFLATION NARRATIVE) bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Technology adds ~200bps to US potential growth while all Trump stagflationary policies (tariffs, migration curbs, fiscal deficit, Fed interference) subtract at most 50bps, giving a 4-to-1 upside ratio that overwhelms macro headwinds
“you have an upside of 200 from technology, you have a downside of 50, is a ratio of 4 to 1”
Nouriel Roubini Sees a Tech-Led US ‘Productivity Revolution’
2026-01-13 Big Tech bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A productivity revolution driven by AI and 14 related emerging technologies is lifting US potential GDP growth from 1.8% toward 4% by 2030, which historically implies equity returns well above the 12–16% already achieved at lower growth rates
“if it was American exceptionalist with 1.8% growth, with higher growth, it has to be better than that on average”
90d -1.3% · 180d +13.9%
Nouriel Roubini Talks Tech Led Boom, Geopolitics | Bloomberg Talks
2026-01-13 US TECHNOLOGY / INNOVATION THEME (AI, SEMICONDUCTORS, BIOMEDICAL, QUANTUM, FINTECH) bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A 15-technology supercycle centered on the US creates a positive supply shock that raises growth AND lowers inflation simultaneously, producing a 200bps upside to potential growth that dwarfs the ~50bps downside from adverse trade/fiscal policy—tech trumps…
“tech trumps tariffs because the upside coming from tech is 200 basis points”
Nouriel Roubini Talks Tech Led Boom, Geopolitics | Bloomberg Talks
2025-12-12 ENERGY bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
US leads in the most critical next-decade technologies and this leadership will drive US potential growth toward 4%, creating a secular boom that more than offsets any stagflationary policy drag
“tech trumps tariffs...potential growth in the United States by the end of this decade is going to be closer to 4%”
90d +27.5% · 180d +29.9%
KEY NOTE: 𝐍𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐥 𝐑𝐨𝐮𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐢, 𝐏𝐡.𝐃 - 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐄𝐱𝐜𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐦 & 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐨𝐫𝐛𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐥𝐞𝐠𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐒$
2025-12-12 USD bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
US-vs-Europe growth differential (4% vs 1%) will drive real exchange rate appreciation and a sustained equity FDI inflow boom to finance the US investment cycle, making medium-term dollar strength inevitable despite ongoing cyclical weakness
“the dollar with exorbitant privilege remaining...the dollar can strengthen over time”
90d +2.4% · 180d +3.8%
KEY NOTE: 𝐍𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐥 𝐑𝐨𝐮𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐢, 𝐏𝐡.𝐃 - 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐄𝐱𝐜𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐦 & 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐨𝐫𝐛𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐥𝐞𝐠𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐒$
2025-12-12 DEFENSE bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Geopolitical fragmentation is driving a global defense spending boom while modern warfare has structurally shifted to technology-intensive systems, making defense tech the primary beneficiary sector
“the nature of defense has become a defense tech as we saw in the war between Russia, Ukraine or Israel and Iran”
90d +10.5% · 180d +7.4%
KEY NOTE: 𝐍𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐥 𝐑𝐨𝐮𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐢, 𝐏𝐡.𝐃 - 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐄𝐱𝐜𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐦 & 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐨𝐫𝐛𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐥𝐞𝐠𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐒$
2025-05-08 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Large fiscal deficits and sovereign/rival-nation selling of US fixed income are pushing long-end yields higher, and Treasury buyback manipulation (issuing short-term to retire long-term) is an unstable 'doubling down' on a flawed policy
“they're talking about buybacks...that is doubling down on this ATI policy”
90d -2.2% · 180d -5.8% · 1y -3.5%
Nouriel Roubini on Tariffs, Recession Call, State of Economy, Fed, Dollar
2025-05-08 DEFENSE bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
The US leads in technologies of the future—AI, robotics, semis, quantum, fintech—which could raise potential GDP growth by 200bps, far outweighing the ~50bps drag from tariffs, making US tech a secular outperformer
“tech trumps tariffs...US potential growth could increase from 2% towards 4% by end of the decade”
90d +20.9% · 180d +30.2% · 1y +37.5%
Nouriel Roubini on Tariffs, Recession Call, State of Economy, Fed, Dollar
2025-05-08 US TECHNOLOGY SECTOR (AI, ROBOTICS, SEMICONDUCTORS, FINTECH) bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
US dominance in AI, machine learning, robotics, semiconductors, and fintech could boost US potential growth by 200bps to ~4% by decade end, far outweighing the ~50bps drag from tariffs, making tech the dominant secular driver
“tech trumps tariffs...US is really number one in many of the technologies of the future”
Nouriel Roubini on Tariffs, Recession Call, State of Economy, Fed, Dollar
2025-05-08 SHORT-AND-SHALLOW US RECESSION TRADE (RISK-OFF NEAR-TERM) bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Tariffs of 10-15% on most countries and 60% on China will push core PCE toward 4%, compress disposable income, and tip the US into a short and shallow recession by Q4 2025, before the Fed cuts rates
“we'll have a short and shallow recession by year end—that's probably highly likely”
Nouriel Roubini on Tariffs, Recession Call, State of Economy, Fed, Dollar
2025-05-08 SPX bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A secular investment/capex boom driven by AI and productivity gains will attract sustained FDI and portfolio inflows into US equities, more than offsetting any fixed-income outflows from sovereign investors
“being overweight in US equity is going to become the story over the next few years”
90d +12.3% · 180d +20.2% · 1y +32.0%
Nouriel Roubini on Tariffs, Recession Call, State of Economy, Fed, Dollar
2025-05-08 GOLD bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Gold is the only reserve asset that cannot be seized by Western powers, making it the preferred destination for rivals like China shifting away from US Treasuries, driving sustained structural demand
“gold is the only reserve asset that cannot be seized...gold has been going higher”
90d +1.9% · 180d +18.9% · 1y +42.4%
Nouriel Roubini on Tariffs, Recession Call, State of Economy, Fed, Dollar
2025-05-08 USD bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Sovereign and central bank fixed income investors are reducing US asset exposure due to deficit concerns and damaged US credibility, weakening the dollar gradually, though reserve currency status remains largely intact
“the dollar is going to weaken, but it's going to weaken gradually”
90d +1.2% · 180d -2.1% · 1y -1.9%
Nouriel Roubini on Tariffs, Recession Call, State of Economy, Fed, Dollar
2025-04-25 Big Tech bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A technological revolution in AI, robotics, semiconductors and adjacent industries will lift US potential growth from 2% to ~4% by decade-end, a 200bp productivity gain that outweighs the ~50bp drag from tariffs and migration restrictions, sustaining US…
“tech trumps tariffs and therefore US American exceptionalism is going to remain”
90d +19.7% · 180d +28.4% · 1y +41.2%
Roubini Weighs In on Tariffs, US Dollar and Global Relations
2025-04-25 RARE EARTH METALS / CRITICAL MINERALS bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A US-China grand bargain would still require full decoupling on strategic high-tech and critical inputs including rare earths, keeping structural demand elevated and supply restricted as both blocs ring-fence these materials
“decouple fully on technology and critical things like rare earth metals”
Roubini Weighs In on Tariffs, US Dollar and Global Relations
2025-04-25 USD bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
While fixed-income reserve managers are nervous about dollar credibility, a massive AI-driven capex and investment boom will attract large FDI and portfolio inflows into US equities, limiting dollar weakness to a very gradual drift rather than a collapse
“I don't think there will be a collapse in the value of the dollar”
Roubini Weighs In on Tariffs, US Dollar and Global Relations
2025-02-13 GOLD bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Gold hedges against inflation, fiat currency debasement, de-dollarization risk, and geopolitical instability, and has already demonstrated 40% returns last year with strong early-year momentum
“gold...40% return last year has gone up 8% in the first month of the year”
90d +8.5% · 180d +14.0% · 1y +71.1%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 BITCOIN bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Bitcoin is not a viable currency (El Salvador: 0.2% of transactions after five years), not a stable store of value (69k → 15k → 100k → 90k), has no intrinsic value beyond claimed scarcity, and the broader crypto ecosystem is rife with scams and offers zero…
“it's a scam it's total scam the bubble the pony skin doesn't have any underlying value”
90d -7.2% · 180d -24.3% · 1y +28.8%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Inflation will rise gradually from ~3% toward 5-6% by end of decade, pushing 10-year yields toward 8% and causing 40%+ price losses on long bonds, breaking the negative stock-bond correlation that underpins the 60/40 portfolio
“you lose more money on the safe defensive asset long duration treasuries than you did on the US Equity market”
90d +2.8% · 180d -0.2% · 1y -5.7%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 USTS bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Short-term Treasuries offer ~4-5% yield without duration price risk in a rising inflation and yield environment, making them the new defensive anchor to replace long bonds in a portfolio
90d +1.4% · 180d +4.6% · 1y +8.6%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 Big Tech bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Mag 7 firms win the AI race either through internal research (Google DeepMind) or majority stakes in frontier AI startups (Microsoft/OpenAI, Amazon/Anthropic), producing durable double-digit earnings growth that justifies current high valuations over a…
“I would say Max 7 probably and Tech does better than SP...you shouldn't care about those dips”
90d -3.1% · 180d +8.5% · 1y +12.9%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 Commodities Broad bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Commodity prices historically rise with inflation, making broad commodities a useful portfolio hedge in his base case of gradually rising inflation driven by deglobalization, fiscal deficits, and supply-side shocks
90d -4.2% · 180d -2.9% · 1y +10.0%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 CLIMATE-RESILIENT REAL ESTATE bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Real estate supply is fixed in the short run so rents adjust upward with inflation, and screening for assets in low-flood, low-fire, low-drought zip codes using big-data risk modeling preserves value against climate tail risk
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 USAF bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
USAF implements Roubini's inflation-defensive thesis in a single vehicle — combining short-term Treasuries, gold, TIPS, commodities, and climate-screened real estate — as a substitute for the long-duration Treasury leg of a 60/40 portfolio
90d +1.4% · 180d +2.5% · 1y +10.9%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2025-02-13 long Big Tech / short SPX pair Nouriel Roubini · video
NASDAQ and Mag 7 will capture disproportionate gains from the AI secular shift while old-economy S&P 500 firms that fail to adopt AI face obsolescence, making overweight NASDAQ vs underweight broad S&P a compelling relative positioning
90d +0.1% · 180d +1.2% · 1y -0.1%
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
2024-11-27 GOLD bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Structural central-bank diversification away from the dollar (driven by dollar weaponization for sanctions), currency debasement risk, and geopolitical fragmentation are secular tailwinds; gold rose ~40% in 2024 on these forces.
“part of the reason why gold is going higher 40% this year is because central banks are diversifying away”
90d +10.3% · 180d +25.1% · 1y +59.3%
Roubini Macro Associates Chairman & CEO Nouriel Roubini Talks His New ETF | Bloomberg Talks
2024-11-27 BITCOIN bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Bitcoin's extreme daily volatility (±10-15%) disqualifies it as a stable store of value; it fails the basic tests of a currency (unit of account, means of payment, stability) and is 'vaporware' compared to gold as a tail-risk hedge.
“cryptocurrencies that are based on out there vaporware”
90d +7.7% · 180d -14.0% · 1y +4.8%
Roubini Macro Associates Chairman & CEO Nouriel Roubini Talks His New ETF | Bloomberg Talks
2024-11-27 Commodities Broad bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
A stagflationary macro regime combined with climate-change disruptions to food and energy supply will drive broad commodity prices higher, making them a genuine portfolio diversifier against both inflationary and geopolitical tail risks.
“some exposure to commodities that going to do well in a world of inflation and of climate change”
90d +6.3% · 180d +1.0% · 1y +9.8%
Roubini Macro Associates Chairman & CEO Nouriel Roubini Talks His New ETF | Bloomberg Talks
2024-11-27 long USTS / short Long Dur Treasuries pair Nouriel Roubini · video
Trump-era inflationary shocks (tariffs, deportations, deficit expansion) will push 10-year yields from 4% toward 6-8%, making long-duration treasuries catastrophically loss-making while short-duration paper preserves capital — a deliberate curve-steepener…
“in a world in which average inflation might be 5% rather than 2% bond yields may be closer to 7 8%”
90d +0.7% · 180d +3.5% · 1y +2.8%
Roubini Macro Associates Chairman & CEO Nouriel Roubini Talks His New ETF | Bloomberg Talks
2024-07-23 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
ATI has artificially suppressed 10-year yields by ~25bps; unwinding ~$1 trillion of bills back into coupon debt will spike yields 50bps temporarily then leave them 30bps permanently higher, with structural deficits potentially pushing the 10-year toward 5%+.
“you're going from minus 25 to plus 25. So, there's a 50 basis points increase in the transition”
90d -0.7% · 180d +2.9% · 1y +3.0%
How U.S. Treasury Is Fighting The Fed | Nouriel Roubini & Stephen Miran on $800B “Stealth QE”
2023-09-18 SPX short Nouriel Roubini · video
Sticky inflation, rising oil prices, and central banks not done hiking create conditions for a ~10% decline in US stocks
“I will be shorting U.S stocks”
90d -6.8% · 180d -16.4% · 1y -28.2%
Why Nouriel Roubini Is Shorting US Stocks
2023-09-18 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Structural supply-side shocks (deglobalization, aging, climate, geopolitics) and persistent fiscal deficits requiring debt monetization will keep inflation structurally at 3-4% in advanced economies, making long-duration bonds unattractive
“two percent is at this point Mission Impossible and The New Normal may be somewhere between three and four percent”
90d -6.6% · 180d -1.0% · 1y -12.2%
Inflation: Nouriel Roubini Calls Return to 2% ‘Mission Impossible’
2023-09-18 European Equities bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Eurozone and UK face stagflation — simultaneous inflation and recession — making them worse than the US on a risk-adjusted basis
“in the Eurozone the UK we're talking about inflation and recession stagflation”
90d -7.0% · 180d -12.8% · 1y -21.0%
Why Nouriel Roubini Is Shorting US Stocks
2023-09-18 China Equities bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
China is slowing down sharply, making it part of a globally deteriorating equity backdrop worse than the US
“China is slowing down sharply”
90d +11.7% · 180d +8.9% · 1y -0.2%
Why Nouriel Roubini Is Shorting US Stocks
2023-09-18 INFLATION REGIME SHIFT / REAL ASSETS bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Persistent above-target inflation driven by deglobalization, fiscal dominance, and supply-side cost pressures structurally favors real assets over nominal fixed income across advanced economies
“we're entering an era of what I call Great stagflationary and financial instability”
Inflation: Nouriel Roubini Calls Return to 2% ‘Mission Impossible’
2023-03-31 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Nouriel Roubini · video
Global debt-to-GDP at 420% means rising interest rates create unbearable carrying costs, producing an inevitable economic and financial crash that central banks cannot prevent without sacrificing either price stability, growth, or financial stability
“eventually we'll have a economic and financial crash”
90d +3.6% · 180d +15.5% · 1y +9.5%
Nouriel Roubini Sees 'Eventual' Economic, Financial Crash
2023-03-19 GOLD bullish Nouriel Roubini · video
Converging drivers — de-dollarization by strategic rivals, central bank reserve diversification, Fed forced to pause/pivot into backdoor QE, dollar twin-deficit weakness, and geopolitical safe-haven demand — all support structurally higher gold prices toward…
“gold as upside of course in this situation rather than downside”
90d -2.2% · 180d -3.0% · 1y +8.8%
Dr Doom:"We're Solely In First Inning Of Major Debt Crisis," | Nouriel Roubini Latest Interview 2023

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