c8alpha
Investors / stance tracking

What Tyler Neville is saying

Trader, Muddy Waters Capital

105 dated public stances tracked since 2024-08-02, most recently 2026-08-07. Each line carries the date and the venue it came from; quotation marks mean verbatim. Methodology.

The stances below are c8alpha's editorial distillation of Tyler Neville's public commentary — television, podcasts, and interviews — compiled by automated transcript analysis and dated to the episode they came from. They may lag the speaker's current view and may contain extraction errors. Text in quotation marks is verbatim from the episode; everything else is our paraphrase. Tyler Neville is not affiliated with c8alpha and has not endorsed this page. Nothing here is investment advice.

Think we got something wrong? Report a misattribution — we correct it or take it down.

105
tracked stances
39
themes
6
side flips
2026-08-07
last heard
Returns  90d +4.5% (n=116) · 180d +5.8% (n=107) · 1y +17.3% (n=87)

Raw direction-aware returns on public statements — long calls credited when the price rose, shorts when it fell, shorts capped at −100% — in a rising market this mostly measures who was long, not who has skill. Returns run from the stance date; calls are rarely closed publicly, so fixed 90-day / 180-day / 1-year horizons are used. A horizon shows only once it has fully matured, and only at 5+ scored stances.

View flips

Where the tracked view on a theme reversed between appearances — bullish to bearish or back. Dates are the episodes on each side of the turn.

VOL — bullish2025-08-01 → bearish2026-06-19
OIL — bullish2025-09-26 → bearish2026-06-12
OIL — bearish2025-06-27 → bullish2025-09-26
USD — bearish2025-07-04 → bullish2025-09-19
VOL — bearish2024-11-02 → bullish2025-08-01
Long Dur Treasuries — bullish2024-09-07 → bearish2025-07-04

Most-argued themes

ThemeStancesLeanMixLast
BITCOIN1211 bullish / 1 neutral2026-08-07
GOLD1010 bullish2026-08-07
USD83 bullish / 5 bearish2025-10-03
IWM55 bullish2025-08-15
OIL41 bullish / 3 bearish2026-06-12
SPX44 bullish2025-10-10

Tracked stances

bullish / bearish is a view they argued; owns / short is a position they said they hold.

2026-08-07 Investment Grade Credit bullish Forward Guidance · video
Hyperscaler bonds (Oracle at ~8-9% yield) offer compelling real yield from companies that are effectively a toll on AI usage and won't default; boomer demand for yield will hoover up this investment-grade paper as the government suppresses Treasury vol.
“Oracle Oracle's like 8 or 9%... that's a steal, man. This company that's an investment grade company”
Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-08-07 AI DATA CENTER INCUMBENTS (HYPERSCALERS WITH EXISTING GRID ACCESS) bullish Forward Guidance · video
Regulation of AI data centers favors incumbents who already hold grid/power access — new rules raise barriers that only large balance sheets can clear, effectively turning existing capacity into a monopoly toll booth on AI usage.
“regulation favors the incumbent... if you have access to the grid or power, you're literally like a toll taker. Ching ching ching”
Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-08-07 INDUSTRIALS bullish Forward Guidance · video
State-directed capitalism and deglobalization are routing capital toward large CapEx industrial assets (railroads, machinery) that AI cannot replicate, making them geopolitically essential in a bifurcating global economy.
“industrials and machinery and railroads and things like that are really interesting from a long-term perspective”
Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-08-07 BITCOIN neutral Forward Guidance · video
Bitcoin is in a cleansing supply phase as miners pivot to AI and sell holdings to finance it, reducing hash rate and eventually restoring mining profitability; Saylor's relevance is fading, toxicity washing out — setting up a better structural entry but no…
“I feel like I'm almost bottom ticking Bitcoin... a lot of this supply has basically been AI winning the battle”
Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-08-07 GOLD bullish Forward Guidance · video
Gold is correctly pricing the policy pivot toward fiscal dominance — Treasury's stimulative interventions (QRA coupon language shift to 'changes', yen defense via ESF) and fiscal excess will sustain inflation despite Warsh's hawkish surface talk.
“look at the rally in gold the last couple days. I feel like it's really starting to sniff out this pivot”
Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-08-07 POWER INFRASTRUCTURE bullish Forward Guidance · video
AI has commoditized capital, making power the next genuinely scarce resource; whoever controls grid access controls the backbone of 21st-century economic growth, making power infrastructure the single most concentrated long-term bet.
“the power is where you really have to be concentrated. That's like the backbone of everything”
Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-26 GOLD bullish Forward Guidance · video
The hawkishness narrative became extremely overcrowded (call skew hit 90th+ percentile), dollar looks toppy and is rolling over, so the debasement trade assets that got annihilated in the reversal now represent good value as the narrative normalizes
“the debasement trade is probably, you know, good value here”
Is The Fed Panic Already Fading? | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-26 Big Tech bearish Forward Guidance · video
Hyperscalers are structurally rerated lower as they shift from FCF-rich, buyback-friendly businesses to highly leveraged, capex-heavy enterprises—if they stop spending they fall behind in AI, if they keep spending they compress margins, creating a…
“upside on these things is very very capped for the foreseeable future in my opinion”
Is The Fed Panic Already Fading? | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-19 SOFR bullish Forward Guidance · video
Peak hawkishness has passed as inflation's major components are rolling over — oil down 30% from the last dot plot, break-evens collapsing, shelter moderating — making Fed hikes by year-end essentially impossible despite the hawkish dot-plot messaging
“I know there's no way in hell that we're hiking at the end of this year”
A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-19 VOL bearish Forward Guidance · video
Post-quad-witching seasonal tailwinds, vol-targeting systematic funds re-levering into momentum, and the resolution of the Iran war combine to drive a low-volatility summer grind with no major Fed catalysts until fall
“I feel like we're just going to go into that classic summer grind”
A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-19 GOLD bullish Forward Guidance · video
Extreme bearish sentiment positioning — put-to-call skew at 10-year highs and CTA positioning collapsed to the 1st percentile on a one-year lookback — signals a contrarian long opportunity after Tyler himself intentionally top-ticked gold bullishness with a…
“Gold six-month put-to-call skew is near 10-year highs. CTA positioning gold is collapsed toward the first percentile”
A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-19 long AI BOTTLENECK/BENEFICIARY STOCKS (GOLDMAN SACHS AI BENEFICIARIES BASKET) / short HYPERSCALERS (GOLDMAN SACHS HYPERSCALER BASKET) pair Forward Guidance · video
Capital is visibly rotating out of hyperscalers — whose capex growth rate is decelerating from 80% YoY toward 45% — into AI bottleneck and beneficiary names that are ripping, a trend that continues as long as high-yield credit spreads remain contained
“all the AI bottleneck stocks just absolute rip show... I just don't see that stopping”
A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-12 SOFR bullish Forward Guidance · video
Two hikes are priced in by next year but real wages are falling, demand destruction is underappreciated, and the Fed is already too tight on real rates — any scenario from here (AI bubble sustained via cuts, or slowing growth) removes those hikes, making SOFR…
“My favorite trade sofur futures because you win either way”
Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-06-12 OIL bearish Forward Guidance · video
Consumer-level demand destruction from high prices is greater than the oil bull camp credits, and a potential Strait of Hormuz resolution would relieve the supply shock — both dynamics point to lower prices and a consumer spending tailwind in subsequent…
“there's a lot more demand destruction happening at the consumer level”
Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup
2026-05-29 LARGE-CAP SEMICONDUCTORS bearish Forward Guidance · video
Semiconductor call/put skew is at the 98th percentile with no downside protection being purchased, signaling extreme one-sided euphoria that makes risk/reward unfavorable for new longs at current levels
“risk-reward is skewed especially for a lot of these big semiconductor stocks. It's in the 98th percentile”
How To Trade The AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup
2026-05-29 short LARGE-CAP SEMICONDUCTORS / long SOFTWARE STOCKS pair Forward Guidance · video
Semiconductors are set to pass the sector leadership baton as crowded positioning unwinds, driving capital into beaten-down software names that could see short squeezes — a rotation, not a market-wide selloff, consistent with still-tight credit spreads
“there will be a baton passing at some point over the next few weeks I think from semis”
How To Trade The AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup
2026-05-21 AI POWER AND NETWORKING INFRASTRUCTURE SUPPLIERS bullish Forward Guidance · video
Each gigawatt of AI compute now costs $15–41 billion to build out, creating a sustained multi-year capex wave that must flow to power generation, energy, and networking infrastructure suppliers regardless of what happens at the model layer
“that's where you're obviously wanting to invest in”
Can The AI Driven Rally Continue? | Weekly Roundup
2026-05-21 ENERGY bullish Forward Guidance · video
Higher WTI oil prices mean US energy companies are generating exceptional cash flows and initiating buybacks, mirroring the shareholder-return cycle large-cap tech ran for the prior decade as their balance sheets have been repaired
“these US oil and gas companies are probably just printing printing dough, and a lot of them I think are buying back stock”
90d +8.3%
Can The AI Driven Rally Continue? | Weekly Roundup
2026-05-15 long ENERGY / short Long Dur Treasuries hedge Forward Guidance · video
In a 2021-style inflationary regime where the Fed is paralyzed and suppresses the long end, commodities benefit from inflation and hot nominal growth while short long-duration bonds hedges against Fed accommodation making the long-end problem progressively…
“play commodities which you benefit from inflation protection and be short bonds as your hedge”
90d +1.8%
The Consumer Cushion Is Almost Gone | Weekly Roundup
2026-04-16 AI INFRASTRUCTURE STOCKS bullish video
AI infrastructure has underlying real demand regardless of macro volatility or narrative rotation, making it a stable source of alpha in a bipolar macro environment
“concentrate on the sectors that actually have underlying demand no matter what, which is like AI infrastructure”
2026-04-16 GOLD bullish video
Gold has persistent underlying demand in all macro regimes and benefits directly from the negative real yield environment where inflation runs above nominal yields
“concentrate on the sectors that actually have underlying demand no matter what, which is like AI infrastructure, uh gold”
90d -15.4%
2026-04-16 ENERGY bullish video
Energy companies are returning cash to shareholders through buybacks, making them attractive even in a macro environment of oil price uncertainty
“energy stocks are probably buying back stocks”
90d +0.6%
2026-04-16 DOW TRANSPORTS bullish video
Dow Transports reflect real underlying economic demand and have been grinding steadily higher technically, offering a grounded anchor amid macro noise
“Dow transports are like slow and boring, but like look at that chart. That thing is just like slowly grinding higher.”
2026-04-16 HOUSING neutral video
Demographic imbalance (more supply as boomers eventually sell their equity-heavy homes) will suppress residential real estate appreciation for the next decade-plus, making it a dead store-of-value asset for younger generations
“housing becomes just a dead asset, I think, for the next 10-15 years”
2026-04-10 GOLD bullish video
Spot gold is now well above miners' break-even rates making margins absurd, yet miners are trading at a fraction of NAV at current spot prices, and a 79% M&A premium takeout of a Canadian junior miner signals an M&A cycle is beginning
“the gold in the ground is trading at a fraction of the NAV… the whole world has changed, but they're not valuing it”
90d -13.5%
2026-04-10 SMH bullish video
GPU availability for B200s has collapsed to zero and H100s are close behind, creating a severe supply-demand mismatch that AI agentic use will drive non-linearly, making this a national security imperative that will get funded regardless of geopolitics
“SMH is breaking out… I think the market is underpricing the demand for compute here”
90d +39.1%
2026-04-10 IGV bearish video
AI is eating software's lunch — IGV is breaking its daily, weekly, and monthly moving averages as the market compresses software multiples in anticipation of AI-driven earnings erosion, and EPS has not yet rolled over so the worst is still ahead
“This is the IGV software ETF. This looks like death.”
90d -25.7%
2026-04-10 BITCOIN bullish video
Bitcoin is diverging from software names because the market is anticipating a large Trump policy response to juice the economy ahead of midterms, and is sniffing out global liquidity relief as geopolitical pressure recedes
“Bitcoin diverging from software now… Trump's going to pull out some massive weird policies to juice things for midterms”
90d -13.5%
2026-04-10 long GOLD / short MAG SEVEN pair video
Markets are nominally going up but real returns are being suppressed through financial manipulation, requiring a debasement long (metals) offset against Mag Seven which faces real headwinds from AI disruption of software revenue and government intervention in…
“long long metal, short mag seven… you need something to protect you from that if you want to express a negative view on assets”
2025-10-10 SPX bullish Forward Guidance · video
Convergence of falling fed funds rate (toward 2.5%), persistent fiscal deficit (6–7%), and AI capex buildout creates macro conditions for a violent blow-off top rally before the bull market peaks
“The ingredients are in place for a massive rally before it blow off top to the bull market”
90d +5.9% · 180d +4.1%
The Ingredients Are in Place for a Blow-Off Top | Weekly Roundup
2025-10-10 long SILVER / short GOLD pair Forward Guidance · video
As dollar strength signals economic reacceleration, the debasement baton passes from gold to higher-torque industrial and precious metals that benefit more from growth and carry less of gold's crowded positioning
“copper, palladium, platinum, silver, all of those are highly likely to outperform gold in the next few months”
90d +21.0% · 180d +15.4%
The Ingredients Are in Place for a Blow-Off Top | Weekly Roundup
2025-10-03 USD bullish Forward Guidance · video
Record short positioning in USD, US economy outperforming Europe and Japan (both sliding toward stagflation), immigration and oil-deal policies threading the needle on inflation, and a likely narrative flip to 'soft landing' all make a USD squeeze the path of…
“you have record short dollars and you have other parts of the world like Europe Japan going basically into stagflation while the US is sort of accelerating”
90d +2.0% · 180d +4.3%
This Bull Market Has Legs | Weekly Roundup
2025-10-03 HIGH SHORT INTEREST AND LEVERAGED EQUITIES bullish Forward Guidance · video
The 2-year real yield (nominal minus 2yr breakeven) is trending toward negative territory, which historically triggers flows into the riskiest, most-levered, highest-short-interest names as monetary inflation forces capital out of safe assets and into…
“Just go buy the dumbest, most levered, riskiest, high short interest companies when this is dropping”
This Bull Market Has Legs | Weekly Roundup
2025-10-03 BITCOIN bullish Forward Guidance · video
Bitcoin was artificially suppressed by an SEC insider-trading investigation into crypto treasury companies while macro fundamentals (gold strength, TGA rebuild completing, liquidity re-accelerating) were bullish; with the headline catalyst resolved, Bitcoin…
“the second that headline hit the tape, we bottomed. And then now we've just been ripping ever since”
90d -27.4% · 180d -44.3%
This Bull Market Has Legs | Weekly Roundup
2025-09-26 OIL bullish Forward Guidance · video
Oil is the last major hard asset yet to fully reprice in the secular inflationary nominal-growth environment; Russia/Ukraine ceasefire momentum has stalled (Trump appearing to capitulate on Putin) which removes a key supply overhang, and oil's move would be…
“the last straw is oil and oil's about to go in my opinion”
90d -11.1% · 180d +47.2%
Economic Reacceleration or Growth Scare? | Weekly Roundup
2025-09-26 USD bullish Forward Guidance · video
Rest-of-world is weakening (Germany heading into recession, Europe struggling, capital-flight rotation out of US in April now fully reversed) while the dollar benefits from being the cleanest dirty shirt; record short positioning creates asymmetric squeeze…
“gun to my head, I think dollar higher”
90d +1.0% · 180d +3.8%
Economic Reacceleration or Growth Scare? | Weekly Roundup
2025-09-26 long GOLD / long SILVER / long PALLADIUM / long PLATINUM (+1 legs) basket Forward Guidance · video
In a secular nominal-growth and inflationary regime, owning every hard asset that cannot be printed is the correct asset-selection framework; gold, silver, palladium, platinum, and lithium are all repricing as dollar debasement broadens from financial markets…
“every single thing you can't print is just sending”
90d +37.4% · 180d +35.3%
Economic Reacceleration or Growth Scare? | Weekly Roundup
2025-09-19 USD bullish Forward Guidance · video
All foreseeable Fed cuts are already priced in while Europe and BOJ have only one to two cuts remaining, US interest rate differentials vs the rest of the world are at extreme lows set to mean-revert, and a US economic reacceleration would pull capital flows…
“I think this is an exact repeat of last September”
90d +2.0% · 180d +5.0%
Winners & Losers After The Fed’s Dovish Pivot | Weekly Roundup
2025-09-11 GOLD bullish Forward Guidance · video
Trump's effective takeover of the Fed via 100+ bps of rate cuts on top of 6%+ fiscal deficits forces fiat debasement; geopolitical chaos and central-bank accumulation amplify demand while circulating supply is fixed, making gold the only hedge whose market…
“It's a fiscal super cycle, bro. Get on get on the bandwagon.”
90d +16.2% · 180d +42.7%
The Data Is Screaming Two-Speed Economy | Weekly Roundup
2025-08-29 GOLD bullish Forward Guidance · video
After years of post-capex-bubble deleveraging, gold miners now have clean balance sheets and strong operating leverage exactly when gold is breaking out while oil remains low, making this the ideal entry point
“this is exactly when you want to buy the gold miners. They're breaking out on strength. Oil's low, massive margins”
90d +21.9% · 180d +48.8% · 1y +28.4%
The Post-Summer Market Rotation is Here | Weekly Roundup
2025-08-29 long IWM / short Big Tech pair Forward Guidance · video
The IWM/QQQ ratio has reached the same extreme as 2001 when everything piled into large caps before small caps outperformed for years; rate cuts lower the cost of capital for small caps and a large short base in Russell futures adds squeeze potential
“that rotation is finally here”
90d -1.3% · 180d +2.4% · 1y +0.0%
The Post-Summer Market Rotation is Here | Weekly Roundup
2025-08-21 BANKS bullish Forward Guidance · video
Japanese banks are repatriating capital from US Treasuries into domestic lending as wage-driven inflation finally breaks Japan's 40-year deflation cycle, and rotation from JGBs into domestic equities creates a self-reinforcing boom dynamic
“Japanese banks are actually a great place to hide because they're lending out the money back home and they're repatriating capital”
90d -2.5% · 180d +14.2% · 1y +21.4%
Will Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Break Markets? | Weekly Roundup
2025-08-15 IWM bullish Forward Guidance · video
Non-commercial futures traders are at an all-time record short position in Russell futures, historically a setup for violent short-covering rallies similar to the tech-selloff/IWM-rip dynamic seen six months prior
“They've never been more short the Russell, which is really fascinating to me”
90d +4.6% · 180d +17.4% · 1y +35.3%
Markets Are Underestimating the Risk of a 10–15% Correction | Weekly Roundup
2025-08-01 VOL bullish Forward Guidance · video
August has historically driven volatility higher (VIX seasonality since 1990), and the current setup is particularly vulnerable — JPMorgan squeeze sentiment just hit its highest level since the 2021 meme mania and retail options exceeded 20% of total options…
“August, we always see volatility turn up”
90d -26.5% · 180d -41.7% · 1y -54.5%
Will Market Euphoria Cool Off In August? | Weekly Roundup
2025-08-01 LARGE CAP AI / TECH FRONTIER COMPANIES bullish Forward Guidance · video
AI capex is now the primary driver of corporate earnings and GDP, the productivity boom in large-cap tech is real and bearing fruit in margins, and any Fed easing will asymmetrically benefit frontier companies over the levered fiat-dependent parts of the…
“you're going to have to bet on the productive frontiers because that is the only way you stay ahead”
Will Market Euphoria Cool Off In August? | Weekly Roundup
2025-08-01 BITCOIN bullish Forward Guidance · video
Bitcoin is uniquely convex due to fixed supply; generational wealth transfer from boomers to millennials defaults toward BTC over legacy equities, sovereigns are beginning to adopt it as a store of value, and continued fiat debasement with a Fed easing cycle…
“this is the most convex asset that's ever existed because you can't increase the supply”
90d -4.4% · 180d -21.3% · 1y -44.6%
Will Market Euphoria Cool Off In August? | Weekly Roundup
2025-07-04 USD bearish Forward Guidance · video
Bessant's bill-heavy issuance strategy is functionally zero-duration money printing more inflationary than QE, producing negative real rates and a structurally weaker dollar with ~15% downside as the exhaust valve for the debasement regime
“all these roads we're talking about are heading towards Dixie down 15% over the next years”
90d -1.7% · 180d -3.2% · 1y -8.2%
All Roads Lead To Debasement | Weekly Roundup
2025-07-04 ARKK bullish Forward Guidance · video
ARK as a frontier-risk proxy is completing a three-year cup-and-handle breakout, confirmed by tight credit spreads and loose fiscal conditions that are pushing capital out the risk spectrum into names like Coinbase and Tesla
“three-year cup and handle and now it's breaking out to the upside and like all the prices are telling you get out on the risk spectrum”
90d +26.7% · 180d +9.2% · 1y +18.7%
All Roads Lead To Debasement | Weekly Roundup
2025-07-04 Long Dur Treasuries bearish Forward Guidance · video
Hidden yield curve control keeps long yields below inflation while bill issuance suppresses duration, creating negative real returns that make holding bonds irrational in a world where DeFi stablecoins yield more than investment-grade corporate credit
“it makes zero sense to own a bond under this new regime”
90d -5.1% · 180d -3.4% · 1y -3.7%
All Roads Lead To Debasement | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-27 BITCOIN bullish Forward Guidance · video
Fiscal dominance and an extreme generational wealth gap create secular demand for crypto as both a store of value and collateral for the next generation's home-buying power, putting it among the ~2% of assets that historically create all wealth
“crypto is going to be one of them and you just got to find the right entrepreneurs to back”
90d +1.9% · 180d -18.1% · 1y -44.0%
The Fed’s New Mandate Is Financing The Deficit | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-27 SPX bullish Forward Guidance · video
$1.4 trillion in annual corporate buybacks mechanically removes float every year while passive flow price sensitivity has become 20x more reflexive in mega-cap names, making sustained equity drift the structural path of least resistance until a credit event
“those just slowly shrink the floats of all the stocks and they just keep going up. That's just not going to change”
90d +7.3% · 180d +12.9% · 1y +21.8%
The Fed’s New Mandate Is Financing The Deficit | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-27 OIL bearish Forward Guidance · video
Geopolitical conflicts are pre-negotiated behind closed doors (Pippa Malmgren framework), making military-event oil spikes sell-the-news events as a global peace dividend takes hold and neocon forever-wars give way to a multipolar AI-enabled order
“sell the news in oil and we're probably heading into some first turning”
90d -5.1% · 180d +4.2% · 1y -46.1%
The Fed’s New Mandate Is Financing The Deficit | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-27 USTS bullish Forward Guidance · video
Dearth of new high yield issuance forces managers to reinvest income right back into HY, creating a self-reinforcing spread tightening loop that is pushing the asset class to new highs
“the high yield market's breaking out to new highs here. And credit spreads are falling”
90d +1.9% · 180d +3.3% · 1y +3.5%
The Fed’s New Mandate Is Financing The Deficit | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-14 BITCOIN bullish Forward Guidance · video
Every major economy is joining the global fiscal supercycle, debasing their own currencies simultaneously, making bitcoin one of the only assets with no sovereign credit exposure to this dynamic
“I'd rather own gold. I'd rather own Bitcoin”
90d +10.1% · 180d -12.3% · 1y -37.7%
The Unwinding Of The Global U.S Dollar Trade | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-14 URNM owns Forward Guidance · video
The US-China geopolitical AI race requires massive energy buildout that governments must fund, making nuclear a direct infrastructure beneficiary with an additional positive correlation to inflation as a hedge against the reflation scenario
“I'm balls long it... that I think there's one trade”
90d +12.3% · 180d +28.9% · 1y +29.3%
The Unwinding Of The Global U.S Dollar Trade | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-14 long RKLB / long ALAB / long LUNR basket Forward Guidance · video
The 21st-century AI space race between the US and China is a geopolitical imperative that forces governments to juice AI and space infrastructure spending regardless of economic conditions, making companies in this supply chain structural long-term winners
“you're forced to be balls long like AI infrastructure space companies”
90d +74.2% · 180d +79.1% · 1y +252.5%
The Unwinding Of The Global U.S Dollar Trade | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-06 GOLD bullish Forward Guidance · video
A stagflationary macro backdrop — inflation bottoming while growth slows and the Fed is trapped — historically favors gold as the clearest beneficiary
“In that world like what does well gold? I mean clearly”
90d +7.0% · 180d +26.8% · 1y +30.2%
The Trump–Elon Fallout Proves Nothing Stops The Spending Train | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-06 SPX bullish Forward Guidance · video
A structural buyback machine ($717B YTD, ~$1.5T annualized run rate), persistent passive 401k inflows, and interest-payment recycling from bill-funded cash balances back into equities create buying pressure that overwhelms bearish macro narratives and makes…
“Year-to-date S&P share repurchase programs — we're at a new high, 717 billion in new share repurchases”
90d +8.7% · 180d +14.8% · 1y +24.8%
The Trump–Elon Fallout Proves Nothing Stops The Spending Train | Weekly Roundup
2025-06-06 BITCOIN bullish Forward Guidance · video
Government spending is politically impossible to stop regardless of party or personality (as the Trump–Elon break proves), ensuring perpetual debt monetization that makes Bitcoin the best-performing asset next to gold as more people wake up to fiscal reality
“That's basically why Bitcoin's continuously the best performing thing next to gold”
90d +6.0% · 180d -10.5% · 1y -41.7%
The Trump–Elon Fallout Proves Nothing Stops The Spending Train | Weekly Roundup
2025-05-30 AI INFRASTRUCTURE COMPANIES bullish Forward Guidance · video
The US–China AGI race is effectively a military competition that governments cannot allow to be derailed by a credit crisis, making AI infrastructure buildout a policy-backed structural long
“you have to buy AI infrastructure companies…if you can't have a credit crisis”
Trump’s Tariff War Gets Sidelined By The Courts | Weekly Roundup

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