Research only. Aggregates public statements from canonical investors (podcasts, interviews, 13F filings). Not a trading signal, not a recommendation.
Three managers — Nancy Tengler ●, Aadil Zaman, and Kenneth M Leon — each independently took a long position in Goldman Sachs (GS · reports Tue Oct 13 (pre-open)) within ten days, with the convergence arriving the same week Goldman crossed the three-voice consensus threshold for the first time in this cycle. Morgan Stanley (MS · reports Wed Oct 14 (pre-open)) cleared the same bar in the same window, Tengler and Leon appearing in both lists — the only moment this cycle where two major banks have simultaneously reached the three-manager mark.
Brent Johnson ●, Cathie Wood, Jayati Bharadwaj, and Patrick Ceresna ● each staked independent bullish dollar views in separate appearances, pushing the greenback to a new four-voice consensus that did not exist last week. Big Tech crossed into genuine split territory for the first time, four managers constructive against three bearish, with Jeremy Grantham and David Kelly pushing back against what Raoul Pal ● and Stuart Kaiser are building.
Names link to what each person has said on the record. Bullish and bearish are stated views; a name with ● also said they hold the position this week. Counts below show both.
Independent managers landing on the same stock, same side, within ten days of each other. Names they said themselves — not a sector or an index we mapped them to. The facts, and what followed setups like it; what you do with that is yours.
3 VOICES 3rd manager in 10 days went long MU · Micron Technology · next report Dec 15
Jay Woods (Tom Lee), Hendi Susanto (Bloomberg The Close), Erica Brescia (Bloomberg The Close)
The last 81 setups like this: 65% higher 20 sessions later, median +0.7%.
3 VOICES 3rd manager in 10 days went long MS · Morgan Stanley · reports Wed Oct 14 (pre-open)
Bill (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade), Nancy Tengler (Bloomberg Open Interest), Kenneth M Leon (Bloomberg The Close)
The last 81 setups like this: 65% higher 20 sessions later, median +0.7%.
3 VOICES 3rd manager in 10 days went long GS · Goldman Sachs Group · reports Tue Oct 13 (pre-open)
Nancy Tengler (Bloomberg Open Interest), Aadil Zaman (Fox Making Money (playlist)), Kenneth M Leon (Bloomberg The Close)
The last 81 setups like this: 65% higher 20 sessions later, median +0.7%.
SECOND VOICE 2nd manager in 10 days went long MDB · MongoDB · next report Nov 30
Dev Ittycheria (Bloomberg The Close), Tyler Radke (Fox Making Money (playlist))
The last 237 second-voice setups: 51% higher 20 sessions later, median +0.0%.
SECOND VOICE 2nd manager in 10 days went long NKE · Nike · next report Dec 16
David Swartz (Bloomberg The Close), Joe Favorito (Bloomberg The Close)
The last 237 second-voice setups: 51% higher 20 sessions later, median +0.0%.
SECOND VOICE 2nd manager in 10 days went long V · VISA · reports Tue Oct 27 (after close)
Steve Eisman (Michael Burry), John Armitage (In Good Company)
The last 237 second-voice setups: 51% higher 20 sessions later, median +0.0%.
Agreement among the voices over the last 14 days, against last week’s edition. A consensus is at least 3 voices on one side with no more than one against; a split is at least 3 on each side. crowded 90d: the 90-day map was already near-unanimous, so new voices are joining a crowd rather than starting one.
Also still split: LONG_DUR_TREASURIES, SPX, USTS.
Every name above has a receipt — the interview, the date, the quote. Those ride in The Prime, the members’ daily edition.
The desk’s themes over the last 14 days: where the stated views sit (one per person), what changed since last week, and the single names that drew views — with their next report. Views, not positions.
Quiet (no stated views in the window): Robotics & autonomy (split 90d (6–3)), Defense & drones (crowded bullish 90d (6–0)), Space (even 90d (1–1)).
The full 90-day standing map is below.
A single manager arguing for a single stock — not a crowd, and not part of any convergence above. The most specific pitches of the week, each with the reason they gave.
| Stock | Who | Their case |
|---|---|---|
| TPB Long Turning Point Brands | George Baxter no record yet (Yet Another Value Podcast) | TPB is positioned as the durable third player in the rapidly growing (~22% annually) $6.5B nicotine pouch market via its FRE and ALP brands (now 48% of revenue), with a near-term step-change in unit e |
| BKTI Long | Chris Colvin no record yet (Sunday's Idea Brunch) | New CEO transformed BK Technologies from a no-growth business into a high-growth one with 20% EBITDA margins via the BKR 9000 handheld LMR; the upcoming BKR 9500 in-vehicle launch provides a second gr |
| MSGS Long Madison Square Garden Sports | Jonathan Boyar no record yet (The Acquirers Podcast) | MSG Sports' $10B enterprise value lets you buy the Knicks and Rangers combined at a deep discount to recent comparable sales — Lakers forced sale at $12B, Islanders minority stake implying $3B+ for a |
| GLEN Long | Rupert Mitchell no record yet (Wealthion) | Glencore delivers copper structural demand exposure at reasonable valuation versus pure-play copper peers, while the seaborn coal business provides durable free cash flow and the commodities trading d |
| KSPI Long Joint Stock | Evan Vanderveer no record yet (The Business Brew) | Kaspi is a Kazakhstan super app with 65% e-commerce market share, a payments/BNPL flywheel that bypasses Visa/Mastercard rails, ~25% founder ownership, and a mispriced expansion into Turkey's Hepsibur |
| PRG Long PROG Holdings | Chris Colvin no record yet (Sunday's Idea Brunch) | PROG Holdings trades at ~7x FY26 UFCF despite an unappreciated transformation: Progressive Leasing is returning to growth while subsidiary Four Technologies (BNPL) is growing ~100% y/y at 20% EBITDA m |
| HHH Long Howard Hughes | Pershing Square / Ackman (13F) 90d -1.7% · 44% hit · n=18 (Bill Ackman) | Howard Hughes is mispriced as a real-estate company while Pershing is actively converting it into a Berkshire-style insurance compounder, deploying real-estate cash flows into a capital-light high-ROE |
| NKE Long Nike | David Swartz no record yet (Bloomberg The Close) | Nike is excessively punished at a 25-year price low; the multi-year inventory and product-innovation problems are known and ongoing, not new, and Elliot Hill's turnaround path via product leadership a |
| HUT Long Hut 8 | Eric Jackson no record yet (Fox Making Money (playlist)) | HUT8 is a misunderstood neo-cloud name focused on land permitting and sustainable data center development rather than chip buying, with a 650-acre Louisiana site that alone could generate $15B from $1 |
| SPCX Long Space Exploration Technologies | Kyle Reidhead no record yet (Fox Making Money (playlist)) | SpaceX compute division selling capacity at $60M/megawatt vs prior $26M average implies ~$450M+ annual revenue at 7-10 gigawatts online by end of 2027, with Starship daily launches as additional upsid |
| BATRK Long | Jonathan Boyar no record yet (The Acquirers Podcast) | Atlanta Braves Holdings trades at ~$50 but applying the same valuation metrics as the recent Angels sale implies an $88 fair value, and rational capital allocator John Malone or his heirs will eventua |
| PSH Long | Pershing Square / Ackman (13F) 90d -1.7% · 44% hit · n=18 (Bill Ackman) | Pershing Square Holdings trades at a 33% discount to NAV which itself holds a portfolio of stocks each trading at a discount, creating a double-discount compounded by low-cost 20% leverage |
| MC Short MOELIS & COMPANY | Kevin Mahn (Hennion & Walsh) 90d -1.2% · 56% hit · n=9 (Yet Another Value Podcast) | LVMH's 75% profit concentration in fashion/leather and Louis Vuitton's dominance within that creates high cyclicality via aspirational-buyer exposure; seven consecutive quarters of negative organic gr |
| SNPS Long Synopsys | Sassine Ghazi no record yet (Fox Claman Countdown (playlist)) | Synopsys occupies a mandatory, non-displaceable role in AI chip design — every hyperscaler and frontier model company (Amazon, OpenAI, Google) must use its EDA software to design and verify custom sil |
| MDB Long MongoDB | Dev Ittycheria no record yet (Bloomberg The Close) | Agentic AI workloads structurally require fresh live data from operational data stores and elastic platforms that handle highly burstable, unpredictable traffic — MongoDB's core competency — making it |
| MKL Long Markel Group | Jonathan Boyar no record yet (The Acquirers Podcast) | Markel trades at only 1.2x book with a new underwriting head driving improving combined ratios, Janna Partners activist pressure will force more aggressive buybacks, and the company is not family-cont |
| EVO Long | Evan Vanderveer no record yet (The Business Brew) | Evolution Gaming trades at ~10x earnings despite ~70% EBITDA margins and a near-monopoly on live casino infrastructure; Asian gray-market disruption is stabilizing, a 17% buyback was just announced, a |
| CEG Long Constellation Energy | Aadil Zaman no record yet (Fox Making Money (playlist)) | Constellation Energy is the largest nuclear operator and has signed power-supply deals with Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon — making it a direct beneficiary of AI data-center electricity demand — yet |
| C Short Citigroup | Kenneth M Leon no record yet (Bloomberg The Close) | Citigroup was downgraded to hold because a higher share of revenue comes from outside the US, exposing it to divergent international economic outlooks, and the restructuring narrative is at risk of un |
| QSR Long Restaurant Brands International | Jonathan Boyar no record yet (The Acquirers Podcast) | Burger King North America is now same-store-sales positive after years of being the problem child under Patrick Doyle's proven turnaround playbook, the stock is cheap with a 3-3.5% yield, and refranch |
| UBER Long Uber Technologies | Jonathan Boyar no record yet (The Acquirers Podcast) | Uber trades at a below-market multiple despite 20-30% annual growth and ~$10B of projected free cash flow, because autonomous vehicle disruption fears are overblown — peak-hour demand economics and re |
| BLK Long Blackrock | Alex Blostein no record yet (Bloomberg The Close) | BlackRock is expected to post another record AUM quarter with high single-digit organic fee growth driven by momentum in alternatives, active ETFs, and private credit/infrastructure, making it one of |
| BKNG Long Booking | Jonathan Boyar no record yet (The Acquirers Podcast) | Booking's competitive moat in boutique/small hotel inventory is not replicable by AI agents like Muse, which cannot handle cancellations, EU regulations, or hotel relationships, making the AI-driven s |
| MS Long Morgan Stanley | Kenneth M Leon no record yet (Bloomberg The Close) | Morgan Stanley is a cleaner story than peers because its large wealth and asset-management franchise generates durable, equity-market-correlated fee income that is clearly rewarded by equity-market va |
The weekly view shows what changed; this shows where the crowd stands. Every speaker's most recent statement in the last 90 days, one stance per person. The fault lines here run deeper than any single week.
Where the crowd already stands, measured over the full 90 days — not this week’s news. A theme tagged + new this week is still drawing fresh voices; the untagged ones have been settled for a while and added nobody in the last 14 days.
GOLD BULLISH (54 for, 15 positioned, 3 against) + new this week · ENERGY BULLISH (33 for, 3 positioned, 0 against) + new this week · OIL BULLISH (15 for, 1 positioned, 3 against) · INDUSTRIALS BULLISH (14 for, 1 positioned, 1 against) + new this week · SILVER BULLISH (14 for, 2 positioned, 0 against) · AAPL BULLISH (10 for, 1 positioned, 2 against) · NFLX BULLISH (11 for, 1 positioned, 0 against) · GOOGL BULLISH (9 for, 1 positioned, 2 against)
The hardest signal to fake: a public reversal. Direction changes that landed in the last 90 days, with how long the prior view stood.
| Speaker | Theme | Was | Now | Held prior view |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raoul Pal | USD | BULLISH (2022-05-02) | BEARISH (2026-09-25) | 3,674d |
| David Rosenberg | LONG_DUR_TREASURIES | BULLISH (2026-06-19) | BEARISH (2026-08-21) | 3,349d |
| Harley Bassman | MORTGAGE_REITS | BULLISH (2020-07-04) | BEARISH (2026-09-17) | 2,266d |
| Harley Bassman | USTS | BEARISH (2021-05-28) | BULLISH (2026-09-17) | 1,938d |
| Ray Dalio | BITCOIN | BULLISH (2025-01-28) | BEARISH (2026-07-30) | 1,733d |
| Bridgewater Associates (13F) | USTS | BULLISH (2022-10-12) | BEARISH (2026-10-06) | 1,455d |
| Joe Terranova (Virtus) | SPX | BEARISH (2023-08-10) | BULLISH (2026-09-22) | 1,139d |
| Lacy Hunt | LONG_DUR_TREASURIES | BULLISH (2026-04-13) | BEARISH (2026-07-28) | 1,040d |
Multi-leg views — pairs, hedges, spreads, baskets — each from ONE speaker. A relationship or hedged trade rather than a naked direction, so these are tracked separately from the consensus tallies above. Research only.
| Speaker | Type | Structure | Horizon | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Whalen | BASKET | LONG ENERGY (XLE) / LONG ENERGY (XLE) / LONG WMB | multi-year | Middle East war damage to Persian Gulf refining capacity will take years to repair regardless of a ceasefire, sustaining energy demand and prices while progressive clean-energy mandates face political (Julia La Roche Show) |
| Ben Carlson | HEDGE | LONG INVESTMENT_GRADE_CREDIT (LQD) / LONG US LARGE-CAP EQUITIES | multi-year | Bonds at current ~5% yields finally offer competitive standalone returns AND crash-hedge value, but holding 100% bonds exposes investors to inflation erosion — a 20% stock allocation hedges that infla (A Wealth of Common Sense (Ben Carlson)) |
| Brent Johnson | PAIR | LONG USD (UUP) / SHORT UNKNOWN | months | Long USD / short CAD is an attractive carry-plus-appreciation trade because rising US rates relative to Canada mean you earn an extra yield spread while also capturing CAD depreciation as global capit (Macro Voices) |
| Bridgewater Associates (13F) | PAIR | SHORT AI_INFRA / LONG COMPANIES USING AI TO TRANSFORM BUSINESS MODELS VIA REVENUE OR COST IMPROVEMENT | multi-year | Returns are rotating away from AI hyperscalers—now capital-constrained and shifting to debt financing—toward overlooked companies using AI to drive revenue growth or cost transformation (Ray Dalio) |
| Bridgewater Associates (13F) | PAIR | SHORT AI_INFRA / LONG COMPANIES USING AI TO TRANSFORM BUSINESS MODELS (REVENUE GROWTH OR COST REDUCTION) | multi-year | AI hyperscalers are hitting financing limits and must shift from equity to debt capital, while companies adopting AI to transform revenues or cut costs have been largely overlooked and represent the n (Ray Dalio) |
| Stephanie Link (Hightower) | BASKET | LONG ENERGY (XLE) / LONG BANKS (KBE) / LONG XLU / LONG MATERIALS SECTOR | months | Energy, financials, utilities, and materials sectors were all sold indiscriminately down 7-8% in September alongside rate-sensitive names, creating broad-brush value as the market broadens beyond mega (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade) |
| Nancy Tengler | BASKET | LONG LLY / LONG JNJ / LONG ABBV | multi-year | Healthcare names that underperformed in the recent tech-dominated rally will benefit from AI-driven drug discovery acceleration, offering high-quality entry points with durable earnings growth (Bloomberg Open Interest) |
| Rupert Mitchell | PAIR | LONG RSP / SHORT BIG_TECH (QQQ) | multi-year | Equal-weight S&P 500 offers better value than Nasdaq-100 because over half the S&P by market cap trades above 10x sales and the Nasdaq is an over-concentrated single bet on AI outcomes that hasn't pro (Wealthion) |
| Max Kettner | PAIR | LONG BANKS (KBE) / SHORT BANKS (KBE) | months | European banks benefit structurally from near-zero percent deposit funding versus US banks where deposit competition from money markets is intensifying and bank CEOs are warning of surprisingly weak Q (Bloomberg Surveillance) |
| Max Kettner | HEDGE | LONG US LARGE-CAP EQUITIES / SHORT USTS (IEF) | months | Earnings revisions are uniquely strong this cycle at 20%+ for US large caps since mid-May, justifying max overweight equities alongside max underweight bonds where yields face continued structural upw (Bloomberg Surveillance) |
| Russell Napier | PAIR | SHORT SPX (SPY) / LONG JAPAN_EQUITIES (EWJ) | multi-year | The structural shift away from China-suppressed discount rates destroys the valuation prop under S&P 500 mega-caps that benefited from the old system, while capital-investment companies enabling devel (Russell Napier) |
| Lyn Alden | PAIR | LONG LARGE-CAP BLUE-CHIP EQUITIES (LONG-DURATION LOCKED-IN DEBT) / SHORT SMALL/MID-CAP EQUITIES (SHORT-TERM ROLLING BANK DEBT, WEAKER BALANCE SHEETS) | multi-year | Large-cap blue-chips that have already locked in long-term cheap debt sit near the top of the capital stack and are relatively insulated from sustained high rates, while small and mid-cap companies de (Lyn Alden) |
Ranked by points, the same score as the investor board: each name an investor called scores +1 if it paid and −1 if it didn’t, plus 10 points per 100% of signed return (capped at ±50%), 90 days on; repeated calls on the same name count once.
| Investor | Score | Names | Best calls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Wellum | 57.3 | 29/40 green | CCO +67%, PAAS +66%, MAG +63% |
| Adam Johnson | 48.2 | 20/26 green | CLS +50%, SYM +44%, TSLA +39% |
| Bill Nygren | 38.9 | 24/34 green | WBD +55%, REGN +32%, MRK +32% |
| Rick Rule | 38.6 | 15/19 green | IA +95%, PAAS +49%, GOLD_MINERS +47% |
| Thomas Hayes | 36.9 | 13/16 green | BA +44%, DIS +44%, INTC +41% |
| Stanley Druckenmiller | 29.0 | 17/25 green | LNG +53%, BITCOIN +43%, NVDA +42% |
| Chris Vermeulen | 27.4 | 17/23 green | GOLD_MINERS +31%, NEM +28%, AEM +24% |
| Jim Lebenthal (Cerity) | 25.2 | 15/24 green | LNG +53%, RIG +44%, GOOGL +42% |
| Capital Flows | 24.5 | 7/9 green | MP +160%, PLTR +70%, BITCOIN +51% |
| Shay Boloor | 23.4 | 7/10 green | MU +53%, TSLA +48%, PLTR +34% |
| Nick Lawson | 22.5 | 5/5 green | UEC +82%, GCL +35%, CCJ +33% |
| Warren Buffett | 21.9 | 11/15 green | BYD +61%, GE +30%, BANKS +27% |
| Jared Dillian | 20.2 | 11/12 green | BITCOIN +31%, SPX +24%, COPPER +16% |
| Larry Mcdonald | 19.8 | 13/19 green | AR +47%, AEM +29%, GOLD_MINERS +28% |
| Paul Tudor Jones | 18.7 | 11/13 green | SILVER +65%, COMMODITIES_BROAD +13%, GOLD +13% |
From the daily brief, session 2026-10-09. The paid edition carries the full feed every market morning — this is one row of it.
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