Research only. Aggregates public statements from canonical investors (podcasts, interviews, 13F filings). Not a trading signal, not a recommendation.
CoreWeave (CRWV · reports Mon Nov 16) drew the sharpest single-name debate of the past two weeks — twenty voices bullish and sixteen skeptical, at roughly eleven times the stock's typical share of the conversation — with Brad Gerstner, Paul Meeks, and Dave Mazza among those arguing the bull case ahead of November 16 earnings. The banks consensus that reached eleven voices in last week's memo is now a genuine split, with opinion hardening on both sides across the fortnight.
On Treasuries, the 10-year yield's fourteen-session fall from 5.31% to 4.96% produced clean scorecards: Andy Constan, David Rosenberg ●, and Nimrit Kang were all positioned for the rally and right, while Steve Chiavarone, who had targeted 5.5%, and Jesse Felder, who argued for 7%, called it wrong. Bitcoin, which carried uncontested bullish alignment last week, opened its first genuine split this window as skeptical voices multiplied to match the bulls.
Names link to what each person has said on the record. Bullish and bearish are stated views; a name with ● also said they hold the position this week. Counts below show both.
Several voices landing on the same stock within ten days — names they said themselves, not a sector we mapped them to. Stated views, not positions. Counts cover the last 14 days. The tag compares that attention with the name’s own history — 11× usual, new, or usual level — and the list is ordered by it, so a company that is always discussed sits below one nobody talked about a month ago. The last 81 three-voice setups: 65% higher 20 sessions later, median +0.7%.
11× USUAL 20 bullish, 16 bearish on CRWV · CoreWeave · reports Mon Nov 16
Melvin Mathew (Fox Making Money (playlist)), Dave Mazza (Fox Making Money (playlist)), Brad Gerstner (CNBC (uncut)), Paul Meeks (CNBC (uncut)), Robert Shiffman (Bloomberg TV (uncut))
8× USUAL 4 bullish, 2 bearish on C · Citigroup · reported Tue Oct 13 (12 days ago)
Erika Najarian (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Jim Cramer (Cnbc) (CNBC (uncut)), Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt) (CNBC (uncut))
5× USUAL 5 bullish, 1 bearish on IBM · International Business Machines · reported Wed Oct 21 (4 days ago)
Chris Vergotti (CNBC (uncut)), Wamsi Mohan (CNBC (uncut)), Guy Adami (Riskreversal) (CNBC (uncut)), Jeff Kilburg (CNBC (uncut))
NEW 4 bullish, 1 bearish on GM · General Motors · reported Tue Oct 20 (5 days ago)
John Mcneil (CNBC (uncut)), Chris Grisanti (CNBC (uncut)), Joe Kernen (CNBC (uncut))
4× USUAL 3 bullish on LLY · Eli Lilly · reports Thu Oct 29 (pre-open)
Jared Holz (CNBC (uncut)), Todd Gordon (CNBC (uncut)), Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt) (CNBC (uncut))
NEW 4 bullish on DELL · Dell Technologies · reports Mon Nov 23
Jim Cramer (Cnbc) (CNBC (uncut)), Chris Verrone (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Karen Finerman (Metropolitan) (CNBC (uncut))
3× USUAL 44 bullish, 5 bearish on META · Meta Platforms · reported Wed Oct 21 (4 days ago)
Martin Shkreli (All-In Podcast), Chris Davis (Excess Returns Clips), Mike Novogratz (Money Rehab with Nicole Lapin), Mark Mahaney (CNBC (uncut)), Rob Sechan (Newedge Wealth) (CNBC (uncut)), Victoria Green (CNBC (uncut)), Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt) (CNBC (uncut)), Rich Greenfield (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Kelly Kowalski (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Chris Verrone (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Jim Cramer (Cnbc) (CNBC (uncut)), Anastasia Amoroso (CNBC (uncut)), Keith Fitz (Fox Business (uncut)), Ted Thatcher (Fox Business (uncut)), Jason Ware (Fox Business (uncut)), Brent Thill (CNBC (uncut)), Ronald Josey (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Bryn Talkington (Requisite) (CNBC (uncut)), Kyle Reidhead (Fox Business (uncut)), Jenny Harrington (Gilman Hill) (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade), Steve Weiss (Short Hills) (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade), Libby Leffler (Bloomberg The Close), Marta Norton (CNBC (uncut)), Yusef Scully (CNBC (uncut)), Dan Ives (CNBC (uncut)), Gene Munster (CNBC (uncut)), Nick Jones (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Michael Nathanson (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Laura Martin (CNBC (uncut)), Nancy Tengler (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Bill Ackman (CNBC (uncut)), Rob Seachin (CNBC (uncut)), Dan Greenhaus (CNBC (uncut)), Lou Basenese (Fox Business (uncut)), Barbara Doran (CNBC (uncut)), Adam Johnson (Fox Business (uncut)), Brad Erikson (CNBC (uncut)), Michael Morris (CNBC (uncut))
NEW 4 bullish on SLB · SLB · reported Fri Oct 23 (2 days ago)
Larry Mcdonald (Wealthion), Stephanie Link (Hightower) (CNBC (uncut)), Tim Seymour (Seymour Asset Mgmt) (CNBC (uncut)), George Noble (Monetary Matters)
2.3× USUAL 4 bullish on AMD · Advanced Micro Devices · reports Tue Nov 3 (after close)
Kyle Reidhead (Fox Making Money (playlist)), Steve Chiavarone (Fox Business (uncut)), Ann Berry (Bloomberg TV (uncut))
2.2× USUAL 4 bullish on CRWD · CrowdStrike Holdings
Robert Herjavec (Fox Varney & Co (playlist)), Dan Ives (Dan Ives (newest)), Malcolm Ethridge (Cic Wealth) (CNBC (uncut))
2.2× USUAL 4 bullish on NKE · Nike
Gareth Soloway (Wealthion), Larry Mcdonald (Julia La Roche Show), Jesse Felder (Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart))
2.1× USUAL 14 bullish, 5 bearish on MU · Micron Technology
Carter Worth (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade), Cameron Dawson (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Jesse Felder (Thoughtful Money (Adam Taggart))
2.0× USUAL 3 bullish on BABA · Alibaba Group Holding · reports Mon Nov 23
Karen Finerman (Metropolitan) (CNBC (uncut)), Tom Hayes (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)), Josh Brown (Ritholtz) (CNBC (uncut))
2.0× USUAL 4 bullish on RSP · Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
Bryn Talkington (Requisite) (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade), Larry Mcdonald (Wealthion), Mark Newton (Fundstrat)
1.8× USUAL 3 bullish on BLK · Blackrock · reported Wed Oct 14 (11 days ago)
Alex Blostein (Bloomberg The Close), Neil Sipes (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Jim Cramer (Cnbc) (CNBC (uncut))
1.8× USUAL 3 bullish on INTC · Intel · reports Thu Oct 29 (after close)
Charles Lemonides (Monetary Matters), Anni Sen (Fox Making Money (playlist)), Phil Bluntado (Fox Business (uncut))
1.8× USUAL 4 bullish, 3 bearish on ORCL · Oracle
Jackson Nader (CNBC (uncut)), Tyler Radke (Fox Business (uncut)), Gil Luria (CNBC (uncut))
1.8× USUAL 9 bullish, 5 bearish on NFLX · NetFlix · reported Tue Oct 20 (5 days ago)
Josh Brown (Ritholtz) (CNBC (uncut)), Rob Sechan (Newedge Wealth) (CNBC (uncut)), Malcolm Ethridge (Cic Wealth) (CNBC (uncut)), Ann Berry (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Laura Martin (CNBC (uncut))
USUAL LEVEL 5 bullish on PLTR · Palantir Technologies · reports Mon Nov 2
Carter Worth (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade), Dan Ives (Dan Ives (newest)), Josh Brown (Ritholtz) (CNBC (uncut))
USUAL LEVEL 6 bullish on TSM · Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing · reported Thu Oct 15 (10 days ago)
Sarah Kunst (Bloomberg TV (uncut)), Mehdi Hosseini (Bloomberg The Close), Derek Yan (CNBC (uncut))
Who called the turn, each way, in the month up to it. ● = said they owned it, were buying, or were short.
Treasuries. The 10-year yield went from 5.31% on Oct 5 to 4.96% on Oct 22.
Right so far — said bonds would rally (33 voices, 3 positioned): Andy Constan ● (Excess Returns, Oct 4), David Rosenberg ● (Macro Voices, Oct 1), Nimrit Kang ● (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 15, at 5%), Jack Manley (Bloomberg Surveillance, Oct 5), David Kelly (Fox Claman Countdown, Oct 5), Tom Lee (Tom Lee, Oct 5, at 5%), Jim Lebenthal (CNBC Halftime Committee, Oct 2), Emmanuel Cau (Bloomberg ETF IQ, Oct 2), Jeremy Grantham (Jeremy Grantham, Oct 2), Bill (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade, Oct 1), Liz (CNBC Halftime Committee, Sep 30), Gabriela Santos (Bloomberg Open Interest, Sep 29, at 5%), Bob Michele (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 28, at 5.23%), Raoul Pal (Raoul Pal, Sep 25), Bob Doll (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 25), Kara Murphy (Bloomberg Open Interest, Sep 25), Katerina Simonetti (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 25), Lisa Shalett (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 24, at 5%), Ed Al-Hussainy (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 24), Vishal Khanduja (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 22, at 5%), Jonathan Wellum (Wealthion, Sep 21), Rob Sechan (CNBC Halftime Final Trades, Sep 18), Julian Emanuel (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 17), Henrik Zeberg (Wealthion, Sep 16), Rick Rieder (CNBC Halftime Committee, Sep 15, at 5%), Chris Harvey (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 14), Matt Hornbach (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 14, at 3%), Jim Paulsen (Excess Returns, Sep 13, at 4%), Justin Bergner (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade, Sep 11), Omar Aguilar (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 10), Michael Green (Wealthion, Sep 9), Larry Mcdonald (Julia La Roche Show, Sep 8), Jared Dillian (Excess Returns, Sep 8)
Wrong so far — said yields would keep rising (35 voices, 1 positioned): Steve Chiavarone ● (Bloomberg Surveillance, Oct 5, at 5.5%), Brent Johnson (Brent Johnson, Oct 4), Jesse Felder (Wealthion, Oct 2, at 7%), Quinn Thompson (Forward Guidance, Oct 2), Mark Thornton (Julia La Roche Show, Oct 1), George Blue Cloud Trading (CNBC Halftime Final Trades, Oct 1), Pershing Square / Ackman (13F) (Bill Ackman, Sep 30), Nancy Zimmerman (Capital Allocators, Sep 30), Tim Adams (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 29), Cem Karsan (Cem Karsan, Sep 29), Grant Williams (Grant Williams Podcast, Sep 28), Wall St Macro (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade, Sep 27), Luke Gromen (Luke Gromen, Sep 25), Peter Tchir (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 25), Olaolu Aganga (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 25), Inigo Fraser Jenkins (Hidden Forces, Sep 24), Greg Peters (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 23, at 5.5%), Robert Sockin (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 22), Russell Napier (Russell Napier, Sep 18), Mark Skousen (Wealthion, Sep 18), Dan Suzuki (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade, Sep 17, at 5.3%), Neil Dutta (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 17), Richard Bernstein (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 14), Subadra Rajappa (CNBC Fast Money Final Trade, Sep 14, at 5.25%), Nate Geraci (Bloomberg ETF IQ, Sep 14), Darius Dale (Luke Gromen, Sep 13, at 5.87%), Chris Whalen (Julia La Roche Show, Sep 12, at 5%), Felix Jauvin (Forward Guidance, Sep 11, at 5.8%), Ven Ram (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 11), David Woo (Capital Allocators, Sep 11), Jeffrey Gundlach (Jeffrey Gundlach, Sep 10), Michael Howell (Michael Howell, Sep 9), Mohamed El-Erian (Mohamed El-Erian, Sep 9, at 5%), Mike Wilson (Bloomberg Surveillance, Sep 9), Rajeev De Mello (Bloomberg The Close, Sep 7)
The dollar. The dollar (UUP) is up 3.2% since its Sep 11 low.
Right so far — said the dollar would rise (3 voices, 0 positioned): Cathie Wood (Cathie Wood, Sep 4), Daniel Lacalle (Macro Voices, Aug 27), Brent Johnson (Brent Johnson, Aug 20)
Wrong so far — said the dollar would fall (11 voices, 1 positioned): Andreas Steno Larsen ● (Raoul Pal, Aug 27), Jeffrey Gundlach (Jeffrey Gundlach, Sep 10), Louis Vincent Gave (Louis-Vincent Gave, Sep 4), David Rosenberg (David Rosenberg, Sep 2), Bob Elliott (Bloomberg Surveillance, Aug 31), Patrick Ceresna (Macro Voices, Aug 25), Bob Doll (Bloomberg Open Interest, Aug 25), Michael Howell (Michael Howell, Aug 21), Felix Jauvin (Forward Guidance, Aug 20), Luke Gromen (Luke Gromen, Aug 14), Darius Dale (Forward Guidance, Aug 12)
Agreement among the voices over the last 14 days, against last week’s edition. A consensus is at least 3 voices on one side with no more than one against; a split is at least 3 on each side. crowded 90d: the 90-day map was already near-unanimous, so new voices are joining a crowd rather than starting one.
AGREEMENT THAT BROKE · 15
NEW SPLITS · 16
NEW AGREEMENT · 22
AGREEMENT THAT GREW · 15
Also held, no new voices: ASML, JNJ, MS; still split: AI_INFRA, BIG_TECH, LONG_DUR_TREASURIES, OIL, SMALL_CAPS, SPX, USTS.
not priced means there is no single listed instrument that honestly expresses the theme — the speakers and the direction are real, but we do not attach a return to it. A proxy is our choice of how to trade a theme; it is never something a speaker said.
Every name above has a receipt — the appearance and its date, on the investor’s page. Follow an investor and their new calls lead The Brief, the free morning email.
The desk’s themes over the last 14 days: where the stated views sit (one per person), what changed since last week, how the theme’s stocks moved over the last 5 sessions, and the single names that drew views — with an earnings report when one is due within a month or came in the last two weeks. Views, not positions.
The full 90-day standing map is below.
A single manager arguing for a single stock — not a crowd, and not part of any convergence above. The most specific pitches of the week, each with the reason they gave.
| Stock | Who | Their case |
|---|---|---|
| CCI Long Crown Castle | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | SpaceX's $8B spectrum acquisition proves terrestrial towers are indispensable — satellites cannot cover indoor users at scale — making Crown Castle the key beneficiary of SpaceX's terrestrial… |
| LEU Long Centrus Energy | Patrick Ceresna 90d +2.6% · 50% hit · n=22 (Macro Voices (feed)) | Centrus Energy is expanding domestic enriched uranium supply capacity, making it a structural beneficiary of nuclear buildout; current sector selling pressure combined with elevated implied… |
| BA Long Boeing | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Boeing won both the FA-XX Navy fighter and the F-47 Air Force program — hundreds of billions in production over aircraft lifetimes — while commercial deliveries are ramping, a $715B backlog provides… |
| VFC Long V.F. | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Olivia Rodrigo (this generation's Taylor Swift) wears multiple pairs of Vans at every night of her sold-out Unravel Tour through May 2027, SZA has a Vans collaboration at Zara, Piper Sandler teen… |
| CEIX Long | Mohnish Pabrai 90d +1.5% · 50% hit · n=40 (MOI Global) | CONSOL Energy is a low-cost Appalachian thermal coal producer that has never gone bankrupt, is now net-cash after the 2022 boom, and sits in a capital-cycle-constrained industry where closed mines… |
| BKTI Long | Chris Colvin no record yet (Sunday's Idea Brunch) | New CEO transformed BK Technologies from a no-growth business into a high-growth one with 20% EBITDA margins via the BKR 9000 handheld LMR; the upcoming BKR 9500 in-vehicle launch provides a second… |
| CPS Long | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Cooper Standard earns approximately 80% more revenue per car on hybrids versus ICE, and with US hybrid market share projected to grow from 14% to 34% by decade end, current ICE-based earnings models… |
| CRK Long Comstock Resources | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Comstock Resources trades at a 75% discount to proved and unproved reserves, is the lowest-cost natural gas producer within ~100 miles of 8 of 12 US LNG export terminals, and sits adjacent to… |
| WULF Long TeraWulf | Paul Prager no record yet (CNBC (uncut)) | TeraWolf is a powered real estate co-location landlord with investment-grade credit backstops (Google at Lake Mariner, Kentucky Power in Hawesville), 20-year predictable revenue streams, and on-time… |
| BAX Long Baxter International | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Baxter International shed its slow-growing kidney division, paid down debt, and installed a Danaher-trained CEO applying Danaher principles to rerate margins; trading at 11x forward vs. a normalized… |
| TPL Short Texas Pacific Land | Charles Lemonides no record yet (Monetary Matters) | Texas Pacific Land is overvalued because the market double-counts both the intrinsic asset value of the land (~$2.5B) and mineral rights (~$2B) AND separately capitalizes the cash flows those same… |
| QXO Long QXO | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Brad Jacobs is executing the same accretive roll-up playbook in building/commercial supplies that produced 200x in United Rentals and 50x in XPO; stock is at $10 on debt fears while Jacobs raises at… |
| SWK Long Stanley Black & Decker | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Stanley Black & Decker's $2.1B cost restructuring is complete, gross margins recovered from 19.5% to 33.7%, balance sheet repaired to 2.5x leverage, and the DeWalt drilling robot is already capturing… |
| PFE Long Pfizer | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Pfizer's patent cliff fears are overstated given a growing cancer franchise from the Seagen acquisition, an oral GLP-1 (Metser) targeting a 2028 launch, and a stock trading at only 9x earnings with a… |
| VFC Long V.F. | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | VF Corp CEO Bracken Darrell is running the same turnaround playbook he used for a 26-bagger at Logitech; Vans is inflecting back to growth driven by Olivia Rodrigo brand heat, creating massive… |
| CASY Short Casey's General Stores | Charles Lemonides no record yet (Monetary Matters) | Casey's General Stores trades at 35–40x earnings and 3–4x store replacement cost while a temporary margin tailwind from elevated gasoline prices (~50 cents/gallon vs. a normal 20–25 cents) is… |
| PRG Long PROG Holdings | Chris Colvin no record yet (Sunday's Idea Brunch) | PROG Holdings trades at ~7x FY26 UFCF despite an unappreciated transformation: Progressive Leasing is returning to growth while subsidiary Four Technologies (BNPL) is growing ~100% y/y at 20% EBITDA… |
| TDW Long Tidewater | Charles Lemonides no record yet (Monetary Matters) | Tidewater's fleet of offshore supply vessels can be purchased near replacement cost while supply-demand has tightened sharply — the expanding number of drill ships each requires four to five supply… |
| MSDL Long Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund | Tim Travis no record yet (The Acquirers Podcast (feed)) | Business development company trading at 67 cents on dollar with only 1.8% non-performing loans implicitly prices in total loan recovery of just 74 cents — a scenario far worse than the 2009 great… |
| PZZA Long Papa John's International | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Papa John's is at the bottom of a recurring 4-5 year consumer-discretionary revenue cycle, has $500M liquidity against $700M net debt with no major maturity until 2029, and historically performs well… |
| IONQ Long IonQ | Sylvia Jablonski no record yet (CNBC (uncut)) | IONQ is a pure-play quantum computing company transitioning from science experiment to commercial entity—tripling revenues and signing paying commercial contracts with AstraZeneca, Nvidia… |
| VRT Long Vertiv Holdings Co | Steven Tusa no record yet (CNBC (uncut)) | AI data center capex demand is very strong with very short supply, and 2028 capex from hyperscalers will come in materially above current Street estimates; after a 40%+ drawdown from highs the… |
| GEV Long GE Vernova | Michael Sansoterra no record yet (CNBC (uncut)) | GE Vernova has years of bookings visibility into secular power demand (data centers plus broad US infrastructure), low market expectations leave room to beat on margins and earnings, and the recent… |
| CPS Long | Tom Hayes 90d +16.5% · 80% hit · n=25 (Hedge Fund Tips (Tom Hayes)) | Cooper Standard has already refinanced debt through 2031 removing near-term solvency risk, all contracts were renegotiated to pass through inflation, and hybrid/EV vehicle content is 80% higher per… |
The weekly view shows what changed; this shows where the crowd stands. Every speaker's most recent statement in the last 90 days, one stance per person. The fault lines here run deeper than any single week.
| Theme | Split | Leans | Bullish | Bearish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USTS | 69–53 positioned 5–3 | BULLISH | Anastasia Amoroso, Matt Miskin, Jean Boivin, Jerome Schneider +65 | Vincent Deluard, Chamath Palihapitiya, Torsten Slok, Patrick Ceresna +49 |
| SPX | 73–51 positioned 3–4 | BULLISH | Nadia Lovell, Andrew Slimmon, Leslie Marks, Kriti Gupta +69 | Vincent Deluard, Whitney Tilson, Eric Weiner, Tim Seymour +47 |
| LONG_DUR_TREASURIES | 50–62 positioned 9–2 | BEARISH | Robert Mullen, Nadia Lovell, Chris Verrone, Courtney Garcia +46 | Cameron Dawson, Torsten Slok, Bob Diamond, Brett Rentmeester +58 |
| BIG_TECH | 25–21 positioned 1–1 | BULLISH | John Marion, Jim Cramer, Tom Lee, Gene Munster +21 | Peter Maluk, Stephanie Guild, Mohnish Pabrai, Grant Williams +17 |
| CRWV | 21–20 positioned 3–0 | BULLISH | Mike Lee, Joe Lonsdale, Daniel Newman, Tyler Radke +17 | Dan Niles, George Noble, Gil Luria, Guy Adami +16 |
| USD | 17–16 positioned 2–1 | BULLISH | Patrick Ceresna, Brent Johnson, Jens Nordvig, Ben Isaac +13 | Ken Griffin, David V Lez, Luke Gromen, Jeffrey Sherman +12 |
Where the crowd already stands, measured over the full 90 days — not this week’s news. A theme tagged + new this week is still drawing fresh voices; the untagged ones have been settled for a while and added nobody in the last 14 days.
GOLD BULLISH (67 for, 16 positioned, 10 against) · ENERGY BULLISH (65 for, 5 positioned, 0 against) + new this week · META BULLISH (54 for, 5 positioned, 6 against) · NVDA BULLISH (50 for, 5 positioned, 8 against) · SEMIS BULLISH (32 for, 2 positioned, 8 against) · OIL BULLISH (31 for, 3 positioned, 7 against) · HEALTHCARE BULLISH (30 for, 2 positioned, 0 against) + new this week · MU BULLISH (24 for, 2 positioned, 6 against)
The hardest signal to fake: a public reversal. Direction changes that landed in the last 90 days, with how long the prior view stood.
| Speaker | Theme | Was | Now | Held prior view |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raoul Pal | USD | BULLISH (2022-05-02) | BEARISH (2026-09-25) | 4,263d |
| David Rosenberg | LONG_DUR_TREASURIES | BULLISH (2026-06-19) | BEARISH (2026-08-21) | 3,349d |
| Terry Smith | ULVR | BULLISH (2024-04-10) | BEARISH (2026-07-27) | 2,670d |
| Keith Mccullough | GOLD | BULLISH (2019-08-23) | BEARISH (2026-10-14) | 2,609d |
| Whitney Tilson | SPX | BULLISH (2020-03-18) | BEARISH (2026-10-23) | 2,410d |
| Harley Bassman | MORTGAGE_REITS | BULLISH (2023-09-14) | BEARISH (2026-09-17) | 2,266d |
| Cathie Wood | ILMN | BEARISH (2021-05-07) | BULLISH (2026-09-16) | 2,033d |
| Harley Bassman | USTS | BEARISH (2023-09-14) | BULLISH (2026-09-17) | 1,938d |
Multi-leg views — pairs, hedges, spreads, baskets — each from ONE speaker. A relationship or hedged trade rather than a naked direction, so these are tracked separately from the consensus tallies above. Research only.
| Speaker | Type | Structure | Horizon | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Mullen | PAIR | LONG COPPER (CPER) / SHORT COPPER (CPER) | months | Long a basket of the ~6 best-in-class next-generation copper project developers in good jurisdictions while short big-cap diversified copper/mining majors, because the supply-driven copper bull… (The Market Huddle) |
| Robert Mullen | OTHER | LONG UNKNOWN / SHORT UNKNOWN / SHORT USD (UUP) | months | Long JPY against both EUR and USD because the yen was the most overcrowded short funding-currency globally, the euro carries additional French fiscal vulnerability, and any risk-off or credit-stress… (The Market Huddle) |
| Dan Ives | PAIR | LONG MSFT / LONG AMZN / LONG GOOGL / SHORT ORCL | months | AI data center buildout will consolidate toward self-funded cash flow hyperscalers (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL) and away from debt-dependent entrants like Oracle as capital markets tighten. (Bloomberg TV (uncut)) |
| Dan Ives | BASKET | LONG PLTR / LONG SNOW / LONG CRWD | multi-year | Every dollar of hyperscaler CapEx drives a 5–6x multiplier into data analytics and security software, making second/third/fourth derivative AI beneficiaries (Palantir, Snowflake, CrowdStrike) durable… (Bloomberg TV (uncut)) |
| Jean Boivin | PAIR | LONG LONG_DUR_TREASURIES (TLT) / NEUTRAL SPX (SPY) | months | AI build-out capex expectations face rising financing costs and societal headwinds that will slow the capital competition driving yields higher, making 5–5.5% 10-year yields look like fair value with… (Bloomberg TV (uncut)) |
| Lizanne Saunders | PAIR | LONG SMALL_CAPS (IWM) / SHORT SMALL_CAPS (IWM) | months | Tighter credit conditions and rising debt costs are discriminating sharply by profitability — profitable Russell 2000 stocks are up 18% YTD while non-profitable ones are roughly flat, an 18-19… (Bloomberg TV (uncut)) |
| Nadia Lovell | PAIR | LONG AI_INFRA / SHORT NEO-CLOUD COMPANIES (REFINANCING-DEPENDENT) | multi-year | In the multi-year AI capex cycle (~$1.2T globally, +33% growth), hyperscalers self-funding capex from operating cash flows carry lower refinancing and concentration risk than neo-cloud names… (Bloomberg TV (uncut)) |
| Stephanie Link | BASKET | LONG VRT / LONG GEV / LONG PWR | months | AI infrastructure build-out pullback of 30–50% is unwarranted — Vertiv, GE Vernova, and Quanta all have strong backlogs, improving margins, and market share gains ahead that the selloff ignores (CNBC (uncut)) |
| Michael Sansoterra | PAIR | LONG AMZN / SHORT AI_INFRA | months | Hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet) carry sub-6% debt costs with decade-long proven capex execution, while neo-cloud players like CoreWeave carry unsecured debt above 15% and must still prove… (Bloomberg TV (uncut)) |
| Tony Wang | BASKET | LONG NVDA / LONG AVGO / LONG GOOGL / LONG AAPL | multi-year | High-quality compounders with large install bases, strong ecosystems, and capital to absorb compute costs have long runways to incorporate AI into their businesses and sustain growth (CNBC (uncut)) |
| Jason Greenberg | PAIR | LONG ENTERPRISE APPLICATION SOFTWARE / SHORT AI_INFRA | months | With AI infrastructure now sufficient to deliver application-layer value, capital is rotating from picks-and-shovels (chips, data centers) toward enterprise software companies that leverage AI to… (CNBC (uncut)) |
| Osan Kwan | PAIR | LONG AI_INFRA / SHORT SEMIS (SMH) | months | AI capex cycle is rotating from infrastructure build-out to applications, so hyperscalers should outperform semis as the build-out trade decelerates (CNBC (uncut)) |
Ranked by points, the same score as the investor board: each name an investor called scores +1 if it paid and −1 if it didn’t, plus 10 points per 100% of signed return (capped at ±50%), 90 days on; repeated calls on the same name count once.
| Investor | Score | Names | Best calls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Nygren | 58.2 | 29/36 green | WBD +55%, ACN +50%, REGN +32% |
| Jonathan Wellum | 49.9 | 27/40 green | GROY +76%, CCO +67%, PAAS +66% |
| Tom Hayes | 44.3 | 16/20 green | BA +44%, SCHW +44%, DIS +44% |
| Adam Johnson | 41.1 | 19/25 green | CLS +50%, SYM +44%, TSLA +39% |
| Rick Rule | 29.0 | 13/19 green | IA +95%, PAAS +49%, GOLD_MINERS +47% |
| Stanley Druckenmiller | 27.1 | 15/19 green | NVDA +55%, BANKS +43%, BITCOIN +43% |
| Warren Buffett | 25.3 | 12/16 green | PARA +42%, BYD +32%, GE +30% |
| Nick Lawson | 22.5 | 5/5 green | UEC +82%, GCL +35%, CCJ +33% |
| Whitney Tilson | 21.9 | 11/16 green | CHS +60%, SPX +33%, TSLA +25% |
| Shay Boloor | 20.2 | 7/11 green | MU +53%, TSLA +48%, PLTR +34% |
| Michael Batnick | 18.8 | 19/29 green | MSFT +33%, IMAX +28%, NVDA +25% |
| Josh Brown | 18.3 | 28/48 green | RKT +41%, BITCOIN +38%, PANW +37% |
| Jim Lebenthal | 18.2 | 13/24 green | LNG +53%, GOOGL +42%, RIG +25% |
| Chris Bloomstran | 18.1 | 10/20 green | HOOD +51%, ARKK +43%, SHOP +40% |
| Carl Icahn | 18.1 | 9/11 green | AAPL +25%, CLDR +24%, GME +21% |
From the daily brief, session 2026-10-22. The paid edition carries the full feed every market morning — this is one row of it.
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